类平准基金

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抓落实,稳市场,稳预期
HTSC· 2025-05-09 03:40
Group 1: Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered the policy interest rate by 10 basis points, leading to a decrease in LPR and deposit rates[2] - A 50 basis point reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut was implemented, with specific reductions for auto finance and leasing companies[2] - Three targeted relending tools were established, including a 500 billion yuan relending for consumption and elderly care, and an 800 billion yuan expansion for technology innovation[3] Group 2: Market Impact - The dual interest rate cuts are expected to have a neutral impact on the equity market, with marginal increases being limited due to already low discount rates[2] - The establishment of quasi-stabilization funds and support tools totaling 800 billion yuan aims to solidify market support and enhance risk appetite among investors[4] - Policies are expected to drive medium to long-term capital into the market, benefiting large-cap stocks, particularly in the technology and consumer sectors[1][5] Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - The report maintains a mid-term investment strategy focusing on dividends, domestic demand, and technology sectors[1] - The emphasis on structural opportunities suggests potential for growth in sectors directly benefiting from policy support[4][5] - The new regulations for public funds are designed to enhance the scale and stability of equity investments, optimizing the investor structure in the market[5]
三维发力 增强资本市场韧性
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-09 00:29
5月7日,三大金融管理部门在国新办发布会上宣布了一揽子金融政策,支持稳市场稳预期。对资本市场 而言,此次一揽子金融政策通过"稳预期""引活水""强根基"三个维度层层递进,增强资本市场韧性。 稳预期:重塑市场信心之锚 经济是资本市场信心之锚。稳住经济预期,就稳住了投资者对资本市场的价值认知。 此次发布会上,央行宣布了三大类政策:一是数量型政策,如降准0.5个百分点,释放长期流动性约1万 亿元;二是价格型政策,如调降政策利率0.1个百分点、调降结构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点;三 是结构型政策,如设立5000亿元的服务消费与养老再贷款,加强商业银行对服务消费和养老的信贷支 持。 同时,金融监管总局围绕当前经济的薄弱点——房地产、小微民企和受关税影响较大的市场主体,推出 了相应的融资、扶持增量政策。例如,制定实施银行业保险业护航外贸发展系列政策措施,对受关税影 响较大的市场主体提供精准服务,全力帮扶稳定经营、拓展市场。 值得注意的是,此次一揽子金融政策不仅求"稳",也求"进"。"进"体现在对新质生产力的培育上。央行 不仅增加了3000亿元科技创新和技术改造再贷款额度,还提出创设科技创新债券风险分担工具,和金融 ...
红利低波ETF(512890)规模突破160亿元再创新高
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-05-08 06:38
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the active trading of the Hongli Low Volatility ETF (512890), which has seen significant inflows and reached a new high in scale [1][4] - The ETF has recorded a cumulative return of 123.74% since its inception, with an annualized return of 13.43% [4][5] - Recent financial policies introduced by the central bank and regulatory bodies are expected to stabilize market expectations and enhance risk appetite among investors [3] Group 2 - The ETF has experienced net inflows of 3.3 billion yuan over the past five days and 9.14 billion yuan over the past twenty days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The financial policies are anticipated to support mid-to-long-term capital entering the market, particularly benefiting large-cap stocks [3] - The market sentiment is expected to remain cautious due to ongoing uncertainties, with a potential rotation between defensive and growth styles [3]
预计美联储短期内不会降息;继续看好银行板块配置价值| 券商晨会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 01:17
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates in the short term, especially not preemptively, with future rate cuts depending on tariff negotiations [1] - If tariff negotiations do not yield substantial progress, the Fed may be forced to initiate "recession-style" rate cuts, potentially reducing rates by 100 basis points by the end of the year [1] - Conversely, if effective results are achieved in tariff negotiations, rate cuts may be delayed until December, with a more moderate reduction [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities maintains a configuration suggestion focused on mid-term dividends, domestic demand, and technology, indicating a moderately positive short-term outlook [2] - The recent announcement of a comprehensive financial policy to stabilize the market is expected to support risk appetite among market participants [2] - The focus on technology and consumption sectors is reaffirmed as key areas for policy support [2] Group 3 - China Galaxy Securities continues to view the banking sector as having strong configuration value, supported by a series of financial policies including reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [3] - The release of liquidity and innovation in structural tools are expected to optimize the credit structure of banks [3] - The accumulation of positive fundamental factors in the banking sector is anticipated to accelerate the realization of its dividend value [3]
宝城期货股指期货早报-20250508
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-07 23:43
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The short - term view of the stock index futures is that the index will fluctuate strongly, and the medium - term view is that it will fluctuate. Policy - positive signals can well stabilize market expectations and form strong bottom support for the index [1][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2506, the short - term and medium - term trends are both fluctuating, and the intraday trend is fluctuating strongly. The core logic is that policy benefits provide strong support [1]. 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - Yesterday, each stock index rose first and then fell, closing slightly higher. The total stock market turnover was 1505.1 billion yuan, an increase of 140.6 billion yuan from the previous day. After the holiday, the trading volume continued to increase, indicating that funds flowed back to the stock market and market risk appetite significantly recovered [5]. - A series of major policies were announced at the press conference. The central bank cut interest rates and the reserve ratio, set up a 500 - billion - yuan service consumption and pension re - loan, and increased the re - loan quota for scientific and technological innovation and technological transformation by 300 billion yuan. The CSRC emphasized stabilizing stock market expectations, supporting Central Huijin to play the role of a quasi - stabilization fund, and promoting the reform of public funds. The CBIRC will expand the long - term investment pilot scope of insurance funds, introduce more incremental funds into the market, adjust and optimize regulatory rules, and reduce the risk factor of insurance companies' stock investment [5]. - The market is concerned about the China - US talks on tariffs from May 9th to 12th. Although the current market expectation is positive, the actual result may fall short of expectations [5].
国新办“一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期”发布会点评:关注新提法,续写新叙事
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-07 14:40
非银金融 证券研究报告 关注新提法,续写新叙事——国新办"一揽子金融政 行业报告 | 行业点评 策支持稳市场稳预期"发布会点评 事件:2025 年 5 月 7 日,国新办举办"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"发布 会,央行行长潘功胜、金管局局长李云泽、证监会主席吴清分别介绍政策情况。 要点: 1、央行方面,以定向"加杠杆"的方式"稳内需",科技和消费是两大抓手。第一, 数量政策和价格政策符合预期。下调存款准备金率 50bps,下调政策利率 10bps, 下调公积金贷款利率 25bps。第二,结构政策力度更大。结构性货币工具利率下调 25bps,力度更大。第三,着力于以央行加杠杆支持实体经济,定向清晰。十项政 策中六项直指再贷款工具,两项与准备金率相关,以央行定向加杠杆的形式稳定内 需。主要提及"科技"和"消费"两大抓手,科技改造再贷款、服务消费与养老再 贷款、支农支小再贷款、创新债券风险分担工具。 2、金管局方面,宏观方针锚定稳预期,微观举措定向于科技发展与企业纾困。一 方面,进一步推动银行和保险公司资本金补充,"稳楼市"和"稳股市"仍是"稳预 期"目标的具象阐释,优化保险公司股票投资风险因子引导保险资金入市 ...
政在发声|政策“定心丸”提振A股信心,多项改革措施在路上
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-07 14:12
21世纪经济报道记者崔文静 北京报道美国加征所谓"对等关税"后,国际形势更加复杂多变,当前,A股 市场稳在3300点,表现出较强韧性。持续稳住股市,成为市场广泛关注之处。 5月7日,中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽、证监会主席吴清共同参加国新 办发布会,提出一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期相关政策,为资本市场送上一颗"定心丸"。 上次三大部委联手发布一揽子政策是在2024年9月,彼时,A股迎来一波大涨。在业内人士看来,此次 发布会召开后,A股有望延续4月上旬以来的回稳态势。 5月7日,股市已经给出积极反应。根据Wind数据,截至收盘,上证指数、深证成指、科创50等主要指 数纷纷上涨。其中,上证指数当日上涨0.80%,报收3342.67点。两市及北交所共3293只股票上涨,其中 100只股票涨超9%。 就资本市场而言,一系列利好政策即将相继发布。 5月7日傍晚,《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》(下称《行动方案》)已经出台。其优化主动管理 权益类基金收费模式,打破基金公司"旱涝保收"现象;强化基金公司与投资者的利益绑定,将业绩比较 基准对比、基金利润率等直接关乎投资者利益的指标引入考核体系, ...
吴清发声!全力支持类“平准基金”,A股稳定器持续发力
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-05-07 11:47
前券商首席经济学家李大霄告诉北京商报记者,类"平准基金"会对整个市场的稳定起到重要作用。"汇金公司的类平准基金会使整个的估值系统合理化,特 别是可以使优质公司的估值有提升的可能。有助于整个资本市场的长期估值体系趋于合理。"李大霄如是说。 安永大中华区审计服务市场联席主管合伙人汤哲辉在接受北京商报记者采访时表示,作为具有较强政策导向性的资金,类 "平准基金" 的投资方向和操作策 略会对其他市场资金起到一定的引导作用。类 "平准基金"对特定行业或板块的投资,可能吸引其他投资者关注并跟随,从而促进资金向国家重点支持的产 业和领域聚集。 汤哲辉进而指出,一般情况下,类 "平准基金" 不会影响资本市场的长期估值体系。虽然类 "平准基金" 的交易行为可能会在短期内影响股票价格,但这种影 响是暂时的。长期来看,股票的价值仍然取决于公司的基本面,如盈利能力、成长性、行业竞争力等因素。一旦市场恢复稳定,股价将逐渐回归到由其内在 价值所决定的水平。例如,在历史上一些国家的平准基金介入市场后,短期内市场价格得到支撑。但随着市场情绪平稳,股价还是按照公司的基本面和宏观 经济环境等长期因素来重新定价。 交易行情显示,5月7日,A股三大 ...
超预期!央行宣布降准降息,告诉我们重要信息
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 05:40
5月7日,国新办举行新闻发布会上,央行行长潘功胜宣布:降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。公开市场7 天期逆回购操作利率从目前的1.5%调降至1.4%,预计将带动贷款市场报价利率(LPR)同步下行约0.1个百分点。 也就是说,降准降息来了! 降准方面,幅度高达0.5个百分点,释放长期流动性约1万亿元,超出预期,央行过往降准一般是0.25个百分点。 意义:有助于增加市场上的资金数量。印证了中国社会科学院学部委员余永定的观点: 与2024年相比,中国人民银行想通过现有政策工具降低市场基准利率,加快M2增速,从而实现 GDP增速5%左右、通货膨胀率涨幅2%左右的货 币政策最终目标。 之前监管已经明确:从2025年起每年新增保费的30%用于投资A股。未来三年公募基金持有A股流通市值每年至少增长10%。 我前期文章中多次提到,我国已经明确今年经济增长目标是5%左右,为了这个目标,外部环境风险越大,国内宏观政策发力的力度就越大,一轮 政策组合拳随时来临,现在得到印证,未来根据形势需要不排除还会有新的组合拳 此外,央行宣布降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点,预计每年将节省居民公积金 ...
“一行一局一会”:降准降息、类平准基金、鼓励保险公司加大入市力度!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-07 02:26
5月7日上午9时,国新办将举行新闻发布会,请中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券监督 管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况。中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家 金融监管总局局长李云泽、中国证监会主席吴清出席本次发布会。 中国人民银行 潘功胜说,今年以来,货币信贷呈现数量增加、价格下降、结构优化特征。4月份以来,尽管面临比较 大的冲击,国内的金融体系仍然保持稳健,金融市场展现出较强的韧性。上证指数在4月7号下跌后迅速 反弹。目前10年期国债收益率徘徊在1.65%左右,人民币对美元汇率有贬值后,目前回升到7.2。 潘功胜表示,未来将根据经济金融的运行情况和各项工具的使用效果,还可以扩大工具的规模,完善工 具的政策要素,或者创新新的政策工具。 潘功胜指出,汇金公司是维护资本市场稳定的重要战略力量。人民银行坚定支持汇金公司在必要时实施 对股票市场指数基金的增持,并向其提供充足的再贷款支持,坚决维护资本市场的平稳运行。 国家金融监管总局 国家金融监管总局局长李云泽表示,近期共推出8项增量政策,包括进一步扩大保险资金长期投资试点 范围,为市场引入更多增量资金,调整优化监管规则,调降保险公司股票 ...