AH溢价

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净流入超6300亿元 南向资金此次港股扫货有何不同
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-12 13:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing significant inflows from southbound funds, leading to a strong performance in various sectors, particularly technology and new consumption [1][5][9] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index have achieved over 20% returns year-to-date, outperforming global markets [2][3] - Southbound funds have seen a cumulative net inflow of over 630 billion yuan, more than doubling year-on-year, indicating a strong interest in Hong Kong stocks [5][6] Group 2 - The healthcare, materials, and information technology sectors have shown robust growth, with respective increases of 50.54%, 36.41%, and 28.32% [3] - Notable individual stock performances include Tencent Holdings rising over 22% with a market capitalization of 4.69 trillion HKD, and Alibaba increasing by 46% with a market cap of 2.25 trillion HKD [3] - The investment strategy of southbound funds has shifted towards a "barbell" approach, focusing on high-dividend assets and technology growth sectors [8] Group 3 - Analysts believe that the current macroeconomic environment in China favors the Hong Kong stock market, with structural opportunities in dividends, new consumption, and AI technology [4][9] - The market is expected to continue strengthening, driven by a U-shaped recovery in corporate earnings and an expansion of core listings [9] - The innovation drug sector is highlighted as having significant potential, although caution is advised regarding small-cap stocks that have seen rapid gains [9]
AH溢价创五年新低,部分热门股已出现“倒挂”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-12 06:50
中国A股相对H股的溢价率跌至五年低点,而比亚迪、宁德时代等全球投资者青睐的龙头股更是罕见地出现A股较H 股"倒挂"现象,这一反常市场结构正向投资者发出潜在的A股被低估信号。 据恒生沪深港通AH股溢价指数显示,中国内地股票(A股)目前较香港交易的同一公司股票(H股)溢价率为 27%,创下2020年8月以来最低纪录。 恒生AH股溢价指数当前已经显著跌破130点整数关口,该关口代表着A股30%的溢价率。历史上当溢价率跌破30% 时,估值差距往往会再度扩大。相较之下,2024年2月,恒生沪深港AH股溢价指数一度超过160点。 数据图表来源于恒生指数公司 这一趋势最引人注目的是,比亚迪和宁德时代等企业的A股相对于H股交易出现罕见的折价,形成市场所谓的"倒 挂"现象。分析认为,这种不寻常的价格关系可能为投资者提供了布局A股的潜在机会。 不同行业在两地的溢价率也不尽相同,传统上券商股、航空股、基建股等普遍存在高溢价,而部分资源股、原材 料股、家电股则属于溢价较低的板块。 "同股同价"还有多远 据新华社报道,今年以来,在估值优势、海外流动性边际宽松、南向资金持续流入等因素影响下,港股表现整体 好于A股,恒生AH溢价指数也开启 ...
A to H上市浪潮影响有多大?
2025-06-04 01:50
A to H 上市浪潮影响有多大?20250603 摘要 港股市场活跃度提升,成交量和换手率显著高于 2024 年,特定板块如 AI、互联网科技等形成集聚效应,吸引更多公司赴港上市,但需关注南 向资金流入和 IPO 活动带来的市场波动。 H 股溢价现象罕见出现,部分龙头个股交易于 A 股溢价之上,可能与其 独特优势、行业前景及投资者预期有关。投资者需综合考虑宏观基本面、 政策环境及市场结构选择 A 股或港股。 特朗普 2.0 财政政策可能增加投资和资金流入,拉动经济增长,但同时 也会加重财政压力,需从正反两方面解读,并评估其长期影响,尤其关 注未来十年可能带来的额外赤字。 AH 溢价源于市场机制、流动性及投资者结构差异,长期存在是正常现 象,因两地股份不可兑换,套利机会无法抹平。中概股回归港美两地上 市无折溢价,因两边股份完全可兑换。 港币融资成本低因联系汇率制度,金管局投放港币流动性导致 HIBOR 利率下降。HIBOR 大幅下行对香港银行业息差和盈利产生影响,银行需 通过资产负债和衍生品对冲措施应对。 Q&A A 股公司转向港股上市的主要原因是什么? A 股公司转向港股上市的主要原因可以归纳为以下三大类: ...
中金:A to H上市浪潮影响有多大?
中金点睛· 2025-06-02 23:45
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing trend of A-share companies listing in Hong Kong (A to H listings) since 2025, driven by a supportive policy environment, improved market conditions, and specific business needs of companies [1]. Group 1: Reasons for A to H Listings - The supportive policy environment includes measures from the China Securities Regulatory Commission encouraging leading enterprises to list in Hong Kong, which has led to 8 A-share companies raising a total of 981.1 billion HKD since September 2022 [1]. - The market environment has improved significantly, with Hong Kong's stock market showing better liquidity and sentiment compared to A-shares, as evidenced by the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising over 15% year-to-date [1][6]. - Companies are seeking to expand their overseas business and increase the proportion of foreign investors, with many companies finding Hong Kong's listing process more flexible and quicker for financing needs [9]. Group 2: Understanding AH Premium - The AH premium, which indicates the price difference between A-shares and H-shares, is influenced by differences in investor structure, trading, liquidity, and refinancing mechanisms between the two markets [13]. - Currently, the AH premium index is at 133%, with historical averages around 140%, indicating that H-shares generally trade at a discount compared to A-shares due to various market dynamics [14]. - The AH premium is more applicable for dividend investment perspectives, as most A-H listed companies are in traditional sectors, making them suitable for dividend-focused strategies [18]. Group 3: Why H-shares Can Be More Expensive - The recent listing of Ningde Times has led to a situation where H-shares are trading at a premium to A-shares, with a current premium of 11% [19]. - Factors contributing to this premium include the limited size of the IPO, high investor enthusiasm, and favorable liquidity conditions in the Hong Kong market [21][22]. - The inclusion of Ningde Times in the MSCI Global Standard Index is expected to attract approximately 200 million USD in passive fund inflows, further supporting the premium [26].
港股和汇率都要反转了吗!?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-02 12:01
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring the AH premium as a leading indicator for A-shares, with recent data showing the AH premium level dropped to a low of 131.65 on May 29, indicating a potential correlation with the peak of the Hong Kong stock market [1][2][3] - The AH premium has historically shown a relationship where its highs and lows correspond to the peaks and troughs of the Hong Kong stock market, suggesting that the recent decline may signal a market bottom [1][2] - Starting from May 30, the AH premium began to recover, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [1][3] Group 2 - The article discusses the recent trend of the Chinese yuan's appreciation, which has positively impacted both the Hong Kong and A-share markets, but warns that this trend may be reversing [7][8] - Technical analysis suggests that the rapid appreciation of the yuan may be reaching its end, potentially leading to pressure on both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [7][8] - The yuan's exchange rate is shown to have a vague positive correlation with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, but the recent technical indicators suggest a possible stabilization or reversal in the yuan's appreciation [7][8]
AH溢价指数创四年多新低,后续如何走?
证券时报· 2025-03-25 14:36
近些年来,同一家公司A股相对于港股整体长期存在溢价,表现为恒生AH股溢价指数很长时间内超过100点,且一度还呈现连续上升趋势。 但2025年以 来,随着港股市场的整体强劲上行,表现强于同期A股,恒生AH股溢价指数不断下跌,并于近日创出四年多新低,A股相对于H股的整体溢价也大幅收 窄。 对于AH比价的长期变化趋势,有专家在接受证券时报记者采访时认为,溢价的格局未来仍将延续,但随着国内资本市场改革的持续推进,AH溢价预计将逐 步收敛。 A股溢价指数近期创出四年多新低 自2025年以来,恒生沪深港AH股溢价指数总体不断下跌,并于近日一度跌至128.31点,创出最近四年多新低。尽管本周已有所反弹,重回130点以上,但该 指数总体仍处于年内低位。相较之下,2024年2月,恒生沪深港AH股溢价指数一度超过160点。 根据恒生指数公司的介绍,恒生沪深港通AH股溢价指数为2007年7月9日推出的恒生沪深港通AH指数系列的其中一员,用以量度同时以A股形式及H股形式上 市、市值最大及成交最活跃的中国内地公司("AH公司")A股相对H股的绝对溢价(或折让) 。 据悉,由于内地和香港两地的股票市场环境有别,而投资者亦不相同,加上A股 ...
中金:中国资产重估到哪一步了?
中金点睛· 2025-03-23 23:33
过去一段时间,港股市场这种剧烈的上下起伏已经不是第一次出现。2月底以来,虽然市场多次由短期情绪和资金涌入催化快 速上冲,但始终无法"有效突破"我们早前给出的点位。我们在2月16日与2月24日连续发布《 中国资产的重估? 》与《 再论中 国资产的重估前景 》两篇专题报告, 测算恒指中枢23,000-24,000点,乐观情形25,000点,建议在这一区间附近观望不必追 高,如果不选择获利可以适度调仓至红利。 回过头来看,这一观点是有效的。实际上,尽管活跃的市场给人一种持续火热的感觉, 但如果投资者是选择从2月底以来加仓 龙头个股或者恒指与恒生科技的话,过去一个月大概率持平甚至是亏损的。 那么,走到这一步,中国资产的重估到哪里了? 接下来走向如何,该如何配置?有哪些节点需要重点关注? 一、重估到哪一步了?叙事驱动的极致"结构市",当前估值相对合理 图表:上周MSCI中国指数下跌1.7%,电信服务与房地产领跌,而公用事业与能源逆势上涨 点击小程序查看报告原文 资料来源:FactSet,中金公司研究部 过去一周港股市场大幅波动,周初恒指一度逼近我们给出的乐观情形25,000点,随即再度大幅回撤,恒生科技周四周五连续两 ...
3月19日投资提示:芳源股份股东拟减持不超3%股份
集思录· 2025-03-18 14:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the AH premium has dropped below 130, marking a rare occurrence [1] - This level is noted to be the lowest in approximately five years, with the last instance below 130 occurring in 2020, while it was as high as 155 just a year ago [2] Group 2 - Fangyuan Co., Ltd. plans to reduce its shareholding by no more than 3% [3] - Hefeng Co., Ltd. intends to reduce its shareholding by no more than 1.27% [3] - Huayou Cobalt's subsidiary has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Weilan New Energy Technology [3] - Certain convertible bonds, including Jia Yuan Convertible Bond, Tian 23 Convertible Bond, and Jinggong Convertible Bond, will not undergo adjustments [3]
港股买了2000多亿
表舅是养基大户· 2025-02-25 13:30
如果要给今天的A股港股的韧性打个分的话, 满分100分,至少能得95分,强的让人感到陌生了。 理论上来讲,昨晚美股的中概股走成那样了,今天应该拉一坨大的才对,但恒生科技开盘跌了4%多,结果盘中拉红,最后也就只跌了1.5%而 已,而A股这边,则全天都比较亢奋,即使尾盘跳水,主要股指的跌幅也都在1%附近,远远好于隔夜美股的中概表现。 昨天,我们提到不可低估America First Investment Policy的影响,结果 美股开盘后,中概股血崩 ,因为昨晚相当于政策发布后,美股的第一个交 易日,所以不管怎么说,在外资看来,确实兹事体大。 昨晚纳斯达克中国金龙指数,跌超5%,其中阿里跌超10%,拼多多跌近9%,京东和腾讯都是跌7%以上,历史上看,都是极其惨烈的一天。 我们往大了看,今天市场没崩的主要原因,我觉得是在于强大的、看起来似乎无穷无尽的 南向买入资金 ——今天,南向净买入超过220亿,这相 当于过往三个交易日净买入之和,也是2021年初以后,南向净买入第二大的交易日,仅次于一周之前,2月18日的224亿,而算上今天的220亿, 南下今年2个月不到就累计买入港股突破2000亿了 ,很残暴。 这里,22 ...