Economic Performance - In the first half of 2025, Shandong's GDP reached 500.46 billion yuan, growing by 5.6% year-on-year [2] - The primary industry added value was 30.15 billion yuan, growing by 3.9%; the secondary industry added value was 197.99 billion yuan, growing by 5.6%; and the tertiary industry added value was 272.32 billion yuan, growing by 5.8% [2] - The industrial added value above designated size grew by 7.7%, with significant growth in equipment manufacturing at 13.0% [2] Port and Waterway Development - The Shandong Provincial Government approved the "Shandong Port and Waterway Layout Plan (2025-2035)", aiming to establish a world-class port and waterway system by 2035 [4] - The plan emphasizes the integration of coastal and inland waterways, promoting coordinated development and addressing existing imbalances in waterway resources [5] International Cooperation on Food Security - The 2025 International Food Loss and Waste Conference was held in Jinan, focusing on technological innovation to enhance food security [6] - The conference highlighted the global response to the "Jinan Initiative" and outlined a three-year action plan for international cooperation on food loss reduction [6] Corporate Rankings - In the 2025 Fortune China 500 list, 19 companies from Shandong were included, showcasing the economic strength and market influence of these enterprises [7] - The listed companies include major players such as Shandong Energy Group and Haier Smart Home, contributing significantly to the regional economy [8] County Economic Development - Twelve counties from Shandong were ranked among the top 100 counties in China for economic development, maintaining a strong performance in county-level economic growth [9] - The distribution of these counties reflects a concentration in the eastern region, indicating regional economic strengths [10] Pension Adjustments - Shandong announced adjustments to basic pensions for retirees, effective January 1, 2025, aimed at enhancing the sustainability of the pension system [11] Oil Production Milestone - The successful production launch of the Kenli 10-2 oilfield group marks a significant development in China's offshore oil production capabilities, with an expected peak output of 3,000 tons per day [12] - This oilfield is part of a larger strategy to enhance production in the Bohai Sea, contributing to national oil output goals [12]

Group 1 - In the first half of 2025, China's general public budget revenue was approximately 11.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - National general public budget expenditure reached 14.13 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.4%, indicating strong fiscal spending [1] - The issuance of government bonds and local bonds increased significantly, with 7.88 trillion yuan in national bonds issued, a year-on-year increase of 35.28% [1][3] Group 2 - The fiscal policy has been notably proactive, with a planned deficit rate of 4%, corresponding to a deficit scale of 5.66 trillion yuan, and a total of 11.86 trillion yuan in new government bonds to be issued, which is an increase of 2.9 trillion yuan compared to last year [3][4] - The issuance of special bonds and local government bonds totaled 2.6 trillion yuan, supporting major projects in local areas [4] - The retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5% year-on-year, significantly supported by the consumption upgrade policy [6] Group 3 - The export tax rebate reached 1.27 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.6%, which positively supported foreign trade but negatively impacted fiscal revenue [2][3] - The fiscal revenue quality is improving, with tax revenue showing positive growth for three consecutive months starting from April [2][3] - The government plans to accelerate the implementation of policies to boost consumption, including support for new consumption models and enhancing the consumer environment [7]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China Shandong Branch is actively promoting the issuance of technology innovation bonds to support the financing needs of technology enterprises and enhance the province's financial ecosystem for innovation [1][4]. Group 1: Technology Innovation Bonds - As of now, 17 enterprises and institutions have successfully issued technology innovation bonds totaling 22.7 billion yuan in the interbank market, positioning Shandong among the top provinces in terms of issuance scale [1][5]. - The technology innovation bonds cover a wide range of issuers, including state-owned enterprises, private enterprises, equity investment institutions, and financial institutions, thereby supporting various sectors such as electronic information, new energy, new materials, high-end chemicals, and biomedicine [5][6]. - The bonds feature long maturities and low interest rates, with some institutions issuing bonds with terms of 5 to 10 years and a minimum issuance interest rate of 1.63%, while the weighted average interest rate is only 2% [5][6]. Group 2: Innovative Measures and Support - The issuance of technology innovation bonds includes several innovative aspects, such as flexible issuance methods, diverse funding uses, and rich credit enhancement measures to better match the financing needs of technology enterprises [4][6]. - The People's Bank has established risk-sharing tools for technology innovation bonds to support private enterprises and equity investment institutions, aiming to reduce issuance costs and improve success rates [4][6]. - Future efforts will focus on enhancing the promotion of technology innovation bonds, exploring better mechanisms for central-local credit enhancement, and striving for more entities to issue these bonds to optimize the innovation ecosystem in Shandong [6].

Core Insights - The exploration and achievements of major economic provinces in scale support, structural improvement, and momentum accumulation are crucial for observing the high-quality development of China's economy [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first half of 2025, six major provinces contributed over 29.4 trillion yuan to the national economy, accounting for 44.6% of the total, with five provinces outpacing the national average growth rate [1][2] - Guangdong and Jiangsu remain in the "6 trillion yuan club," with GDPs of 68,725.4 billion yuan and 66,967.8 billion yuan respectively, showing growth rates of 4.2% and 5.7% [2] - Shandong and Zhejiang surpassed 50 billion yuan and 45 billion yuan in GDP, with growth rates of 5.6% and 5.8% respectively, while Sichuan and Henan are in a competitive race for the fifth position with GDPs of 31,918.2 billion yuan and 31,683.8 billion yuan, growing by 5.6% and 5.7% [2] Group 2: Innovation and Structural Transformation - Major economic provinces are leading in the integration of technological and industrial innovation, accelerating the transformation of old and new growth drivers, and fostering new productive forces [3] - The service sector is also experiencing a clear transformation, with modern services increasingly contributing to economic growth and a strong shift towards mid-to-high-end industrial structures [3] - In Zhejiang, high-tech manufacturing and digital economy sectors saw double-digit growth, while Jiangsu's equipment manufacturing sector has maintained a growth rate above the overall industrial average for 20 consecutive months [3] Group 3: Resilience and External Engagement - The vast domestic market serves as a strong safeguard against various risks, with major provinces actively boosting consumption and investment to stabilize employment and market expectations [4] - In the first half of the year, Sichuan's retail sales of household appliances grew by 20.2%, while Guangdong, as the largest foreign trade province, achieved a foreign trade volume of 4.55 trillion yuan, marking a 4% year-on-year increase [4] - Shandong's goods trade imports and exports grew by 6.8%, leading among the top six foreign trade provinces, with products exported to 242 countries and regions [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - Major economic provinces are expected to play a more significant role in driving national development, focusing on achieving annual targets and ensuring the successful completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan [5]

Economic Growth and Structure - Shaanxi Province achieved a GDP of 168.28 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.5% at constant prices [1] - The secondary industry led the growth with a 6.4% increase, driven by a robust recovery in the consumption market at 6.9% [1][2] - The industrial value added for large-scale industries grew by 9.2%, indicating a significant structural adjustment and quality improvement [1][2] Industrial Transformation - The equipment manufacturing sector grew by 13.9%, becoming a strong engine for industrial growth, with electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing surging by 45.4% [1][2] - The automotive manufacturing sector saw a 27.9% growth, contributing to a 25.2% increase in total vehicle production, with new energy vehicles growing by 30.3% [1][2] - Industrial investment surged by 19.8%, with manufacturing investment at 26.3% and industrial technological transformation investment at 22.4% [2][4] Consumption Market Dynamics - The total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 577.98 billion yuan, growing by 6.9%, reflecting a shift from scale expansion to quality upgrading [3][4] - The "old-for-new" policy significantly boosted retail sales in communication equipment by 78.2% and new energy vehicles by 36.3% [3][4] - Online retail sales grew by 23.6%, surpassing offline channels, indicating a new phase of integration between online and offline sales [3][4] Investment and Trade - Fixed asset investment grew by 5.6%, with significant increases in the primary (16.1%) and secondary industries (19.2%), while the tertiary industry saw a decline of 1.2% [4] - The total import and export volume reached 244.514 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5%, driven by a 37.8% increase in "new three samples" products [4][5] - Exports of electric vehicles surged by 110%, indicating a shift towards high-value-added products in trade [4][5] Innovation and Service Sector - Revenue from modern service industries, particularly scientific and technical services, grew by 12.8%, with R&D services increasing by 46.9% [5] - The integration of innovation and industrial chains is deepening, with rising indicators in technology market transactions and patent authorizations [5]

Core Viewpoint - The insurance asset management companies are shifting their focus towards equity investments and asset securitization, reflecting a change in how insurance funds serve the real economy [1][5]. Debt Investment Plans - In the first half of the year, insurance asset management institutions registered 137 debt investment plans with a total scale of 212.2 billion, marking a year-on-year decrease of 23% and 24.5% respectively [2]. - This decline in debt plans has been ongoing for four consecutive years, with the peak in 2021 seeing over 960 billion registered [2]. - The average yield of newly registered debt plans has dropped to just above 3%, with quality assets yielding less than 2% [3]. Shift to Asset Securitization - Insurance asset management companies are increasingly focusing on asset securitization to revitalize existing infrastructure projects [4]. - The asset-backed plans have seen significant growth, with the scale reaching nearly 460 billion in 2023, up from 300 billion in 2022 [5]. Growth in Equity Investment - In contrast to the decline in debt plans, equity investment business has experienced rapid growth, with 11 new equity investment plans registered, a 120% increase year-on-year [7]. - The total scale of equity investment plans reached approximately 26.8 billion, reflecting a 188% increase [7]. - The insurance private equity funds also saw substantial growth, with three new funds registered, totaling around 25 billion, marking increases of 50% and 524.9% respectively [8]. Investment Focus and Strategy - The new equity plans and private equity funds are increasingly directed towards projects in new economic sectors, such as green infrastructure and data centers [9]. - The insurance asset management sector is recognizing the need to adapt to the changing economic landscape, with a focus on equity investments becoming a core competitive advantage [9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the ChiNext Index, representing undervalued large-cap growth sectors, is experiencing a valuation recovery opportunity in the current liquidity-rich environment [1] - The ChiNext Index has a PE ratio of 33.89 times, which is at the 23.82% percentile over the past decade, making it one of the lowest valued among mainstream broad-based indices [1] - The profit growth rate for Q1 reached 19%, significantly outperforming the overall A-share market's growth of 3.46% [1] Group 2 - New momentum industries such as AI computing power, innovative pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and new energy are entering cyclical turning points, supporting the ChiNext Index's performance [1] - The market is currently in the second phase of "new and old momentum conversion," with a strong recommendation for technology and innovation sectors, positioning the ChiNext Index as a likely beneficiary [1] - The Guotai ChiNext 50 ETF (159375) tracks the ChiNext 50 Index (399673), which can have daily fluctuations of up to 20% [1] Group 3 - The ChiNext 50 Index is compiled by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and selects 50 listed companies with larger market capitalizations and better liquidity from the ChiNext market, primarily covering growth sectors such as electronics, healthcare, and information technology [1] - The ChiNext 50 Index reflects the performance of the most representative and dynamic enterprises in the ChiNext market, showcasing significant innovative growth characteristics among its constituent stocks [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai ChiNext 50 ETF Initiated Link A (023371) and Guotai ChiNext 50 ETF Initiated Link C (023372) [1]

Group 1 - The current market environment favors the technology and innovation sectors, with the ChiNext Index representing a low valuation large-cap growth style that is expected to benefit significantly [1] - The ChiNext Index currently has a PE ratio of 33.89 times, which is at the 23.82% percentile over the past decade, indicating it is among the lowest valuation levels in mainstream broad-based indices [1] - New growth drivers such as AI (computing power), innovative pharmaceuticals, and new energy vehicles are experiencing cyclical turning points, providing fundamental support for the low valuation large-cap growth sector [1] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech Innovation and Entrepreneurship ETF (588360) tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation and Entrepreneurship 50 Index (931643), which can have daily fluctuations of up to 20% [1] - The index is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting high-quality listed companies from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and ChiNext market in fields such as new-generation information technology, biomedicine, and new materials [1] - The index focuses on technology companies with high growth characteristics, highlighting significant coverage of high-tech industries [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Victory Power Plant is transitioning from traditional power generation to high-end technical services in response to the shutdown of its aging units, aiming to leverage its technical talent to capture new market opportunities [1][2][3]. Group 1: Operational Changes - The first two units of the Victory Power Plant have reached the end of their operational life after 34 years, leading to concerns about the future of personnel and operational efficiency [1][2]. - The plant has successfully secured a technical service contract with Jinan Thermal Power Group for the operation of the Changqing Power Plant, marking a strategic shift towards high-end technical services [1][2][3]. Group 2: Strategic Development - The Victory Power Plant is focusing on expanding its high-end technical service market as a key development strategy, implementing new operational responsibility systems to enhance profitability and performance [2][3]. - The plant has been proactive in addressing personnel challenges by matching employee skills and aspirations with market needs, resulting in the reassignment of 17 employees and the integration of 14 technical experts into the operations team [2]. Group 3: Technical Expertise and Achievements - The plant's technical team has demonstrated its capabilities by successfully assisting the Luwest Power Plant in resolving operational issues and providing over 20 optimization suggestions, saving the plant more than 4 million yuan annually [3]. - The Victory Power Plant has a history of engaging in high-end technical service projects since 2009, establishing a strong reputation in the industry through successful contracts with major companies [3]. Group 4: Project Execution - A dedicated team of 14 technical experts was deployed to the Changqing Power Plant, quickly mastering the operational parameters and systems within 10 days [5]. - The project team worked closely with the Changqing Power Plant staff to ensure successful commissioning, culminating in the successful first run of Unit 1 on June 21 and subsequent grid connection on June 24 [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The plant's leadership emphasizes that the shutdown of the first phase units is not an endpoint but a catalyst for transformation, aiming to convert idle technical resources into effective contributors to the plant's growth [6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - AI + technology remains the main battlefield, with new consumption, some resource products, and innovative drugs also being frequently mentioned in the viewpoints of the second - quarter reports of representative public funds [10]. - The new wave of the pan - AI industry has become the mainstream allocation, with the allocation ratio of TMT + Hang Seng Technology reaching 36.19% and showing a continuous increase, while the pan - new energy is in a continuous reduction process [16]. - The consumption position shows a trend of shifting from traditional consumption to new consumption, with the current position of the new consumption 50 portfolio accounting for about 10.36%. The overseas expansion wave has not fundamentally reversed due to tariffs, and the position of the overseas expansion 50 portfolio remains high, with obvious increases in cultural overseas expansion sectors less affected by tariffs [20]. - The logic of the transformation of new and old kinetic energy in the A - share market has become the consensus of institutional allocation, with the position of the new economy TMT index continuously rising and the current position of the old economy index only at 9.46% [30]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Active - type Public Offering Q2 Position Change Breakdown - **Q2 Institutional Increase Logic**: AI industry chain (overseas computing power, domestic substitution, application end), pharmaceutical sector benefiting from the overseas expansion of innovative drugs and policy improvement, military industry (aircraft and missile chain) and high - end manufacturing, and some resource products (such as electrolytic aluminum, copper, and gold) [5]. - **Q2 Institutional Reduction Logic**: Traditional consumption (such as liquor) and some previously high - level sectors (such as intelligent driving and robotics) [5]. - **Industry - level Changes**: In 2025Q2, the top five industries with institutional increases were communication, banking, non - banking finance, pharmaceuticals, and media; the top five industries with institutional reductions were food and beverage, automobiles, machinery, household appliances, and power equipment and new energy [1][5]. - **AI Industry Chain**: In 2025Q2, the allocation of the AI industry chain remained the core. Benefiting from the diffusion effect of the continuous rise of NVIDIA, active funds significantly increased their positions in the overseas computing power chain, such as optical modules (+2.29pct) and PCB (+1.56pct), while domestic computing power (-0.08pct) and Hong Kong - listed Internet giants had slight reductions [5]. - **Pharmaceutical Sector**: In 2025Q2, the institutional position in the pharmaceutical sector increased significantly, especially in some leading Hong Kong - listed innovative drug companies. Chemical preparations (+0.77pct, mainly innovative drugs) and biomedicine (+0.52pct), and Hong Kong - listed Innovent Biologics became one of the top 20 institutional heavy - position stocks for the first time [5]. - **Overseas Expansion Industry Chain**: In 2025Q2, institutional investors' positions in the overseas expansion industry chain were differentiated. In the context of tariff risks, game and cultural overseas expansion became the focus, with games (+0.45pct) and advertising and marketing (+0.29pct) increasing, while white goods (-0.91pct), engineering machinery (-0.43pct), and consumer electronics (-1.10pct) had obvious reductions [6]. - **Consumption Sector**: In 2025Q2, the positions in the new and traditional consumption sectors were opposite. The new consumption sector increased overall, such as pet food (+0.38pct), and stocks like Hong Kong - listed Pop Mart increased; traditional consumption such as liquor (-2.61pct) and consumer medical services (-0.57pct) had obvious reductions [6]. - **Large Financial Sector**: In 2025Q2, the institutional position in the large financial sector increased significantly. Banks (+1.02pct, the allocation ratio reached 4.81% for the first time since 2016), insurance (+0.50pct), and securities (+0.23pct) all showed obvious increasing trends [6]. - **Resource Product Sector**: In 2025Q2, institutional investors increased their positions in some resource product sectors with rising prices, including gold (+0.12pct), rare earths (+0.10pct), and copper (+0.19pct) [6]. 3.2 Overall Allocation Trends - The number of heavy - position Hong Kong - listed stocks and the proportion of heavy - position market value in active - type public funds continued to rise, currently approaching about 20% [13]. - The new wave of the pan - AI industry has become the mainstream allocation, with the allocation ratio of TMT + Hang Seng Technology reaching 36.19% and showing a continuous increase, while the pan - new energy is in a continuous reduction process [16]. - The consumption position shows a trend of shifting from traditional consumption to new consumption, with the current position of the new consumption 50 portfolio accounting for about 10.36%. The overseas expansion wave has not fundamentally reversed due to tariffs, and the position of the overseas expansion 50 portfolio remains high, with obvious increases in cultural overseas expansion sectors less affected by tariffs [20]. - The logic of the transformation of new and old kinetic energy in the A - share market has become the consensus of institutional allocation, with the position of the new economy TMT index continuously rising and the current position of the old economy index only at 9.46% [30]. 3.3 Active - Position - Increasing Stock Ranking The stocks with active position increases are mainly concentrated in the CPO + innovative drug direction, including Zhongji Innolight, New Fiber Optic Network, Huadian Technology, etc. [31].