随着居民财富管理需求增加，资产配置的重要性愈发凸显。将不同的资产进行科学合理的配置，可以帮助投资者更好地平衡收益和风险，理性应对市场波 动，实现长期投资目标。 编者按 看似慢的追逐 威着终能热达的智慧 (5)中國证券報 三易方达 易方达基金说 许多年以后，我们回望A股的涨跌沉浮，依然会想起那场跨越十三载的相逢。 2013年初，如果将目光投向A股市场的两大风格赛道：一边是"老成持重"的红利低波指数，一边是"新经济引擎"创业板指，恐怕很难想象，这两条不同底 色的轨迹，在2025年9月一个普通的日子，悄然对齐了收益的刻度。 这是一个投资世界里的浪漫寓言，一场你我亲历的"龟兔赛跑"。 红利低波指数与创业板指的 长期累计收益比较（全收益） 数据来源：Wind，截至2025年10月21日 被低估的"慢" 在多数人认知里，红利投资总是带着"暮气"：缺乏高增长叙事，只剩稳定经营与持续分红，是市场里"沉默的配角"。 无畏波动，悄然前行：底层资产竞争格局与经营稳定，红利资产无暴涨暴跌，少遇腰斩，走势不受短期噪音与风格轮动干扰。 中证红利指数2024年12月 选样时的核心步骤 被高估的"快" 反观成长投资，从移动互联网到新能源，从 ...

Group 1 - The past five years have been unusual for the capital market, with significant regulatory frameworks established, including the new "National Nine Articles" and the implementation of the registration system, highlighting challenges such as the execution of delisting mechanisms and the quality of listed companies [2][3] - The main reform focus for the next five years should be on enhancing institutional inclusiveness and coordinating market functions, particularly improving the registration system to support high-quality technology and innovation enterprises [3][9] - A-shares are prioritized for asset allocation in 2026, with a focus on high-quality growth sectors such as technology, green energy, and consumer leaders, which are expected to benefit from policy support and profit recovery [3][15] Group 2 - The Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) can further optimize its issuance pricing mechanism and enhance resource allocation efficiency, supporting unprofitable frontier technology companies through innovative regulatory frameworks [10][11] - The expected IPO rhythm for the coming year is anticipated to remain stable, with a focus on supporting technology innovation enterprises aligned with national strategies, while reinforcing delisting mechanisms to ensure market quality [11][12] - External factors such as geopolitical conflicts and trade tensions may impact China's capital market, but a potential easing of U.S. monetary policy could provide a window for attracting foreign capital [12][14] Group 3 - In a low-interest-rate environment, the priority for asset allocation in 2026 is A-shares, followed by gold, bonds, and currency assets, with a focus on high-quality growth sectors [15][16] - Key investment opportunities in 2026 include artificial intelligence, renewable energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, driven by policy support and market demand, with a recommendation to focus on leading companies with strong technology barriers [16][17] - Gold is expected to maintain an upward trend due to its dual attributes of inflation hedging and safe-haven demand, making it a valuable component of long-term asset portfolios [17][18]

长期累计收益比较（全收益） 被低估的"慢" 随着居民财富管理需求增加，资产配置的重要性愈发凸显。将不同的资产进行科学合理的配置，可以帮助投资者更好地平衡收益和风 险，理性应对市场波动，实现长期投资目标。 易方达基金说 许多年以后，我们回望A股的涨跌沉浮，依然会想起那场跨越十三载的相逢。 2013年初，如果将目光投向A股市场的两大风格赛道：一边是"老成持重"的红利低波指数，一边是"新经济引擎"创业板指，恐怕很难想 象，这两条不同底色的轨迹，在2025年9月一个普通的日子，悄然对齐了收益的刻度。 这是一个投资世界里的浪漫寓言，一场你我亲历的"龟兔赛跑"。 红利低波指数与创业板指的 在多数人认知里，红利投资总是带着"暮气"：缺乏高增长叙事，只剩稳定经营与持续分红，是市场里"沉默的配角"。 当成长股借热门概念冲锋时，红利投资总是被遗忘在角落。它的"慢"，被误读为"停滞"；它的稳定，被曲解为"平庸"。 但很少有人意识到，这种"慢"，恰恰是它在长跑中不掉队的根基。以红利指数的编制运作来看，根基体现在三大特征： 用纪律对抗情绪：红利指数的编制规则是系统化价值筛选机制，注重持续分红能力（要求3年连续现金分红）、强调估值安全边 ...

Core Viewpoint - On November 20, COMEX gold futures experienced volatility, initially reaching $4,109 before dropping to $4,034 and then rebounding to around $4,068, indicating a lack of sustainable bullish factors in the market [1] Market Performance - As of November 19, the largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, saw an increase in holdings by 2.29 tons, bringing the total to 1,043.72 tons, ending a two-day outflow trend [1] - Gold-related ETFs showed mixed performance, with Huaxia Gold ETF (518850) down 0.53% and Gold Stock ETF (159562) down 0.66%, while Non-ferrous Metals ETF (516650) rose by 0.17% [1] Market Sentiment - Everbright Futures noted a decrease in market bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, contributing to instability in U.S. stocks and subsequent fluctuations in gold prices [1] - The overall market sentiment suggests that gold prices may struggle to break free from high volatility and could trend weaker in the short term [1] Investment Strategy - Given the unclear future trajectory of gold prices, the recommendation is to adopt a wait-and-see approach or consider opportunistic buying on dips from an asset allocation perspective [1]

【导读】易方达如意盈安6个月持有期混合FOF募集规模超58亿元 中国基金报记者 方丽 孙晓辉 新基金发行市场再现小 " 爆款 " 。 易方达基金 公告， 易方达如意盈安6个月持有混合发起式（FOF） 正式成立， 发行规模超58亿元，是四季度以来募集规模最大的新基 金，也是年内第 四 只发行规模超50亿元的公募FOF。 据了解，这只新基金 的 托管行为有"零售之王"之称的招商银行，属于 招行"TREE长盈计划"的一员，定位 为 中低波动 产品 。 今年以 来，FOF诞生多只" 爆款 " 产品 ，其中不少在"长盈计划"中 。 募集规模超58亿元 公募FOF发行再现小 " 爆款 " 公募FOF发行再现小 " 爆款 " 。 11月19日，易方达基金发布易方达如意盈安6个月持有混合发起式（FOF）基金合同生效公告。 公告显示，该基金于2015年11月18日正式成立，有效认购总户数为24688户，募集规模为58.48亿份。其中，基金管理人固有资金持有 1000.16万份，占基金总份额比例为0.17%。 11月14日，易方达如意盈安6个月持有混合FOF发布提前结束募集的公告。该基金自11月10日开始募集，原定募集截止日为1 ...

Group 1 - Energy metals lead the market, with traditional dividend assets like oil, chemicals, and banks showing strength, particularly the "three oil giants" which have boosted the Hong Kong stock market's dividend ETF, Guangfa (520900), by 1.39% [1] - Since the fourth quarter, technology stocks have entered a valuation adjustment phase, while market funds have shifted towards dividend assets, indicating a style switch [3] - The "technology" and "dividend" sectors have alternated in performance, highlighting the importance for investors to understand and adapt to these style changes rather than betting on a single style [4] Group 2 - A stable asset allocation strategy is crucial for investment safety, with successful investors often choosing robust leaders as a ballast in their portfolios [5] - In China, key sectors such as energy, utilities, communications, and finance have benefited significantly from the country's rapid economic growth since 2000, with state-owned enterprises playing a vital role [6] - China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) has seen its revenue grow from 360 billion yuan in 2000 to over 3 trillion yuan in 2024, a 7.5-fold increase, while maintaining stable net profits [6] Group 3 - Sinopec has distributed over 650 billion yuan in cash dividends since its listing in 2001, with a dividend yield consistently above 5% for the past decade [7] - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) has also performed well, distributing 320 billion yuan in dividends from 2020 to 2024 while maintaining over 50% of domestic crude oil supply [7] - China Shenhua Energy, a leading coal enterprise, has seen its revenue grow nearly tenfold since its listing in 2007, with cumulative dividends exceeding 700 billion yuan and a dividend yield reaching 6.8% in 2024 [8] Group 4 - The trend of style switching in the A-share market is becoming more evident, with both "technology" and "dividend" sectors coexisting as viable investment options [9] - The performance of high-dividend indices has shown resilience during market downturns, with the Smart High Dividend Index demonstrating significant cumulative gains since 2017 [12] - The National Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend Index has also shown strong performance, with a cumulative increase of 119% since its inception [19] Group 5 - The high dividend ETF (159207) has consistently achieved positive returns from 2020 to 2024, with a cumulative increase of 111.54% over the past five years [15][17] - Hong Kong stocks often exhibit higher dividend yields compared to their A-share counterparts, making them attractive for investors seeking high-yield assets [17] - The top sectors in the National Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend Index include oil and petrochemicals, telecommunications, and transportation, with significant weight in leading state-owned enterprises [18] Group 6 - The cyclical nature of technology and high-dividend assets is a consistent pattern, with both sectors expected to grow in the context of China's stable economic growth and technological advancements [21] - Finding a balance in investment strategies across different market environments is essential for achieving long-term stable returns [21]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.18% at 3946.74 points, while the Shenzhen Component remained flat and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.25% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.73 trillion, a decrease of 200.2 billion from the previous trading day [1] - The overall market sentiment was weak, with over 4100 stocks declining, indicating a risk-averse environment [1] Investment Strategy - The current market pullback does not signify the end of the bull market, as excess liquidity continues to increase and optimistic sentiments remain, particularly in technology and export sectors [1][2] - Two key strategies are suggested: balancing between mainline and defensive stocks, and waiting for an uplift in income expectations [1][2] Sector Focus - The technology sector, particularly AI, and industries related to de-involution such as photovoltaic and lithium battery resources, remain key areas of focus [2] - Investors are encouraged to consider ETFs related to communication, chips, photovoltaic, and coal [2] Bond Market Insights - The bond market continues to show a consolidation trend, with the ten-year government bond ETF slightly down by 0.04% [3] - The central bank's cautious approach to monetary policy is leading to uncertainty in interest rates, with a focus on avoiding excessive liquidity [3] Lithium Market Dynamics - The lithium sector is experiencing a resurgence, with lithium carbonate futures rising by 5% to over 100,000 yuan per ton, driven by strong demand in downstream applications [4] - Investors are advised to monitor ETFs related to lithium mining and non-ferrous metals, as the sector is expected to benefit from ongoing demand [4] Gold Market Trends - Gold stocks ETF surged by 4.55%, with spot gold prices returning to 4100 USD per ounce, indicating a potential upward trend in the gold market [5][6] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset is increasing due to global uncertainties and the challenges facing the US dollar credit system [6] Future Outlook - The potential for gold prices to exceed 5000 USD per ounce next year is highlighted, contingent on ongoing macroeconomic conditions and central bank policies [6] - Investors are encouraged to explore gold ETFs that directly invest in physical gold and those that focus on gold mining stocks for greater volatility and potential returns [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that market downturns, such as the recent global stock market decline, present investment opportunities rather than risks, particularly through asset allocation strategies [2][11]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Global stock markets experienced significant declines, with A-shares showing relatively better resilience [2]. - The article highlights the phenomenon of "liquidity shock," where different asset classes experience simultaneous declines, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][4]. Group 2: Historical Context - Historical instances, such as the 2020 market crash during the pandemic, illustrate that liquidity crises often lead to government and central bank interventions, which can create favorable buying opportunities [5][11]. - The article references past market behaviors, noting that significant downturns often precede recoveries driven by policy actions [8][17]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Strategy - The article argues that temporary failures in asset allocation strategies during market downturns should be viewed as opportunities to increase positions rather than risks [12][19]. - It stresses the importance of maintaining consistent investment strategies, particularly during adverse market conditions, to capitalize on future recoveries [14][18]. Group 4: Investor Guidance - For investors already engaged in asset allocation, increasing positions or investment amounts is recommended to enhance potential returns [22]. - New investors are encouraged to start asset allocation now, as it is seen as an optimal time to enter the market [22]. - Investors holding single assets should diversify to balance risk and return [22].

截至2025年9月底，外国投资者持有的总额达9.25万亿美元，较8月的9.26万亿美元减少136亿美元，前三大美债海外债主座次未变，日本、英国、中国大陆继 续占据前三位置。 日本作为美债最大海外持有国，9月增持89亿美元，总持仓达11893亿美元，稳守1.1万亿美元上方。尽管8月日本曾大幅增持290亿美元，但9月仍延续增持态 势，显示其对美债的长期信心。 美国财政部于每月中下旬公布TIC报告，但由于此前美国政府停摆，10月的报告未能及时发布。结束停摆后，和11月一同发布，本次的最新数据涵盖了截至 9月底各国和地区持有的美国国债情况以及增减持数据，揭示包括各国央行在内的全球投资者对美债的最新态度。 英国则出现罕见减持，9月净抛售393亿美元，持仓降至8650亿美元，创三个月新低。此前英国曾于今年3月超越中国大陆成为第二大持有国，近两年持续增 持的态势在9月戛然而止。 这种波动反映中国对美债的调整更多基于投资收益与资产配置考量，而非单纯减持。值得关注的是，中国香港与中国台湾地区作为独立经济体被单独列出， 其中台湾地区持有3126亿美元美债，恰好位列全球第十大美债持有方。 美国海外的其他"大债主"包括加拿大、比利时 ...

Core Insights - The global gold market in 2025 has experienced a significant bull market characterized by a "stair-step breakthrough and pullback" pattern, with gold prices reaching a historical peak of $4,380 per ounce in October before retreating below $4,000 in early November, and currently trading above $4,100, marking an annual increase of over 50%, the strongest performance since 1979 [1][2][3] Price Movement Analysis - Gold prices began the year at $2,800 per ounce, rising to $3,420 by the end of March, a quarterly increase of 22.1%, the best performance since Q2 2016 [1] - In Q2, gold prices fluctuated between $3,400 and $3,600, supported by an 11% drop in the US dollar index, while global gold ETF holdings increased by 187 tons [2] - Q3 saw a surge in demand, with total gold demand reaching 1,313 tons and total value at $146 billion, driven by a 47% increase in investment demand [2] - In Q4, gold prices peaked at $4,380 per ounce in mid-October but retreated to around $3,968 due to market corrections and a rebound in the dollar index [2] Driving Factors Behind Gold Prices - The current bull market in gold is driven by three core factors: geopolitical risks, central bank purchases, and global liquidity [3][4] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East instability, have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - Central banks have significantly increased gold reserves, with net purchases of 634 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting concerns over the US dollar's credibility [4][5] Investment Demand Dynamics - Private sector investment demand has surged, with Q3 global gold investment demand reaching 537 tons, a 47% year-on-year increase, driven by ETF purchases and physical gold demand [5] - The demand for gold bars and coins reached 316 tons in Q3, with significant contributions from India and China [5] Macroeconomic Influences - Macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's policy shift, global debt pressures, and geopolitical risks are key drivers for gold prices [6] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts and the decline in the dollar index have further supported gold's appeal [6] - Rising global debt levels and inflation concerns position gold as a valuable asset for hedging against economic instability [6] Future Outlook for Precious Metals - Analysts predict that 2026 will see a "high-level fluctuation with long-term positive trends" for precious metals, with gold potentially reaching $4,500 to $4,800 per ounce [7] - Other precious metals like silver and platinum are also expected to show significant investment value, driven by industrial demand and market dynamics [8] - The overall strategy for 2026 suggests a shift from "gold dominance" to a more balanced allocation across various precious metals [8][9]