Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Despite the recent market fluctuations caused by quarter - end liquidity, the medium - to long - term allocation value of credit bonds remains intact. High - grade, long - duration credit bonds show strong resilience, and the narrowing decline in wealth management scale indicates stabilizing market sentiment. The supply - demand pattern of the credit bond market is relatively stable, and the yield - mining potential of credit bonds is prominent. The core logic of credit spread compression still holds, and investors are advised to focus on medium - to high - grade urban investment bonds and industrial bonds in stable industries [2][15] Summary by Directory 1. Credit Bond Configuration Value Unchanged by Quarter - End Disturbance - High - grade, long - term credit bond varieties have significant gains. From March 24th to 28th, the total full - price index of national bonds rose 0.25%, outperforming credit bonds (0.11%) and financial bonds (0.09%). Among them, the full - price index of national bonds over 10 years rose 0.72%, and the index of AAA credit bonds over 10 years rose 1.02% [16] - The scale of wealth management products decreased seasonally, but the decline was narrower year - on - year. In the 13th week of 2025, the scale change was - 0.49 trillion yuan, smaller than - 1.41 trillion yuan in 2024 and - 1.10 trillion yuan in 2023 [19] 2. Market Trading Structure and Selling Pressure - At the end of the month, the selling pressure was relieved. The proportion of GVN in interest - rate bonds dropped from 61.35% on March 17th to 32.96% on March 26th, and then rebounded to 48.54% on March 27th. The proportion of GVN in credit bonds was relatively stable, falling from 39.90% on March 17th to 19.20% on March 20th and rising to 31.48% on March 28th [24] 3. Coupon Advantage of Bonds - Brokerage bonds and insurance bonds have relative coupon advantages. This week, short - end bond yields generally declined. For example, the yields of 1 - month urban investment bonds and medium - short - term notes decreased by 3 bp and 1 bp to 1.97% and 2.01% respectively, and the yield of secondary capital bonds decreased significantly by 9 bp to 1.92% [27] 4. Credit Spread Compression Logic - The core logic supporting credit spread compression still holds. Against the backdrop of the "asset shortage", credit bonds are an important choice for capital allocation. The debt resolution work has reduced the credit risk of urban investment platforms. In the second quarter, the supply pressure of credit bonds eases, and the allocation demand is expected to pick up. 3 - year AA+ urban investment bonds are more cost - effective, and for industrial bonds, defensive industries such as public utilities and transportation are recommended [45] 5. Institutional Behavior and Allocation Strategies - Funds and money market funds have continuously increased their holdings in the past two weeks, and insurance companies have allocated long - end local government bonds. Funds have net - bought 305.42 billion yuan in 1 - year credit bonds, 210.95 billion yuan in 3 - year credit bonds, and 143.82 billion yuan in 5 - year credit bonds. Insurance companies have net - bought 275.69 billion yuan in 20 - 30 - year local government bonds and 22.79 billion yuan in 7 - 10 - year credit bonds. Money market funds have net - bought 2470.26 billion yuan in inter - bank certificates of deposit [39] - It is recommended that investors deploy along three main lines: seize the interest - rate elasticity of 3 - year AA+ urban investment bonds, explore mis - valued opportunities in non - bank varieties such as brokerage subordinated bonds and insurance capital bonds, and pay attention to the net - value restoration opportunities of wealth management subsidiaries' products with a low break - even rate. It is necessary to be vigilant about the economic recovery expectation, and the duration strategy should be moderately flexible [9]

| | | 唐第郎示 1 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 研究院:李泽矩 | | 发布日期:2025/04. | | | 投资咨询号:Z0000116 从业资格号:F0251925 | | | | | 行业板块 | 品种 | 趋势研判 | 逻辑观点精粹及策略参考 | | | | | 多头 H与IF品种较为稳健:IM注意波动加大的风险,综合结合期权进行风 | | | 股指 | 震荡 | 险对冲。 | | 宏观金融 | 国债 | 震荡 | 资产荒和弱经济利好债期,但短期央行提示利率风险,压制上涨空间。 | | | 黄金 | 震荡 | 短期料高位宽幅震荡调整,长期仍有上涨空间。 | | | 白银 | 農 汤 | 短期料高位宽幅震荡。 | | | 铜 | 震荡 | 关税阴霾笼罩,叠加高铜价抑制下游需求,铜价存在回调风险。 | | | 铝 | い震荡 | 国内电解铝现货进一步下滑,但短期价格缺乏驱动,价格震荡运行。 | | | 氧化铝 | 震荡 | 国内氧化铝产能持续释放,供应过剩格局延续,价格承压。但盘面跌破成 | | | | | 本线,短期预计跌势放缓。 | | | | | 加工费上 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the Ping An Money Market Fund's performance, management, and financial metrics for the year 2024, highlighting its focus on risk control and liquidity management while striving for stable returns. Group 1: Fund Overview - Fund Name: Ping An Money Market Fund [1] - Fund Manager: Ping An Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] - Fund Custodian: Ping An Bank Co., Ltd. [1] - Fund Operation Type: Contractual open-end [1] - Fund Contract Effective Date: December 7, 2016 [1] - Total Fund Shares at Year-End: 14,833,343,541.23 shares [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Total Net Asset Value at Year-End: 7,371.89 million RMB [2] - Fund Share Net Value at Year-End: 1.0000 [2] - Annualized Yield for Ping An Money Market A: 1.8625% [12] - Annualized Yield for Ping An Money Market C: 1.6591% [3] - Annualized Yield for Ping An Money Market D: 0.4369% [12] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investment Objective: To achieve stable returns exceeding the performance benchmark while strictly controlling investment risks and maintaining high liquidity [1] - Investment Strategy: Adjusting the fund's investment portfolio based on predictions of short-term interest rate changes, with a focus on qualitative and quantitative analysis of various investment types [1] Group 4: Management and Compliance - Management Company Established: January 7, 2011, with a registered capital of 1.3 billion RMB [4] - Total Public Fund Management: 215 funds with total assets under management of approximately 637.1 billion RMB as of December 31, 2024 [4] - Compliance with Regulations: The fund management strictly adheres to relevant laws and regulations, ensuring the protection of fund holders' interests [14][16] Group 5: Audit and Custody - Auditor: Ernst & Young Hua Ming [17] - Audit Opinion: Standard unqualified opinion on the financial statements [17] - Custodian's Compliance: The custodian, Ping An Bank, has fulfilled its duties without harming the interests of fund holders [16]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened weakly with over 4500 stocks in the red, as of 9:43 AM, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 0.67%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.86% [1] - The market was impacted by news of tariffs, with President Trump signing an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on all imported cars, leading to a significant drop in the Nasdaq by over 2% [1] Sector Performance Chemical Sector - The chemical sector remained active, with Huatai hitting the daily limit, and Hengguang shares rising over 10%. Other companies like Dir Chemical, Jiangtian Chemical, and others also saw gains [2] - Sulfuric acid prices increased to 596.96 RMB/ton, up 66% from 359.01 RMB/ton on February 7, and up 290% year-on-year. Analysts predict a potential inventory replenishment cycle in the chemical sector due to expected fiscal policy boosts in 2025 [2] Dairy Sector - The dairy sector showed strength, with Huangshi Group hitting the daily limit and other companies like Sunshine Dairy and Knight Dairy also rising [3] - A recent announcement from the State Administration for Market Regulation encourages the use of raw cow or sheep milk in infant formula production, which is expected to benefit the dairy sector as demand is anticipated to rise due to supportive policies [3] Institutional Insights Dongwu Securities - Dongwu Securities suggests focusing on sectors with strong first-quarter performance, including upstream non-ferrous metals, organic silicon, and certain chemicals, as well as the photovoltaic industry and consumer sectors [4] Huaan Securities - Huaan Securities indicates that market rotation remains the main theme, with a focus on undervalued sectors such as banks, insurance, and policy-driven industries like pharmaceuticals and automobiles [5] Dongfang Securities - Dongfang Securities notes that while stock indices may experience limited downward and upward movement, the medium-term outlook remains positive despite current challenges in the banking sector due to falling interest rates [6]

Core Viewpoint - The REITs market is experiencing a "dividend wave" in the first quarter, with a significant increase in the number of REITs distributing dividends, driven by new products launched in 2024 [2][3]. Group 1: Dividend Distribution - In the first quarter of this year, 12 REITs have completed dividend distributions, with several exceeding 100 million yuan, including招商高速公路REIT (210 million yuan), 工银银河北高速REIT (190 million yuan), and 中金安徽交控REIT (180 million yuan) [3]. - The dividend ratios for some REITs are notably high, with招商高速公路REIT at 5.9%, 嘉实中国电建清洁能源REIT at 3.5%, and 嘉实物美消费REIT at 3.4% [3]. - The increase in dividend distributions is attributed to a batch of new products entering their first dividend period, contrasting with only 4 REITs distributing dividends in the same period last year [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The rapid expansion of the public REITs market and concentrated dividend distributions are driven by the need to activate a large number of quality existing assets and the appeal of stable returns amid an "asset shortage" [2][6]. - The year 2024 is projected to be a significant year for REITs issuance, with 29 new REITs launched, contributing to a total of 63 listed REITs by March 24, 2025 [5]. Group 3: Investment Appeal - REITs are gaining traction among institutional investors due to their high dividend yield, low volatility, and low correlation with other asset classes, making them an attractive option for optimizing asset allocation [2][4][9]. - The 中证REITs total return index has increased by 9.32% as of March 24, outperforming the沪深300 index, which indicates strong market performance [8]. - Institutional investment in REITs has surpassed 100 million yuan, with over 40 public products incorporating REITs into their portfolios, highlighting their growing importance in asset allocation strategies [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital is increasingly favoring bank stocks, with a notable rise in shareholding activities in 2025, indicating a strategic shift in investment focus towards the banking sector [2][3]. Group 1: Insurance Capital's Preference for Bank Stocks - In 2025, six insurance companies have made shareholding moves in nine listed companies, with over half of these being bank stocks, particularly in H-shares [2][3]. - The main targets for shareholding include banks such as CITIC Bank, Postal Savings Bank, China Merchants Bank, Agricultural Bank, and Hangzhou Bank, with Ping An Life being the most active player [4]. - Historical data shows that since 2015, there have been 16 instances of insurance capital acquiring bank stocks, indicating a long-standing interest in this sector [6]. Group 2: Factors Driving Insurance Capital Investment - Three main factors are driving the current trend of insurance capital investing in bank stocks: policy guidance, the need to address "asset scarcity," and the impact of new accounting standards [7][8]. - Recent regulatory measures have encouraged insurance companies to increase their investments in A-shares, with a directive for 30% of new premiums to be allocated to A-share investments starting this year [7]. - The ongoing low interest rate environment has heightened the demand for stable, high-dividend assets, making bank stocks particularly attractive to insurance companies [8]. Group 3: Sustainability of Investment Interest - The sustained interest of insurance capital in bank stocks is influenced by the macroeconomic recovery and the evolving regulatory landscape [10]. - If the low interest rate environment persists, insurance capital may continue to seek higher-yield investment opportunities in bank stocks [10]. - The introduction of long-term stable shareholders can enhance banks' market value, creating a positive feedback loop that benefits both banks and insurance investors [10].

中信建投固收｜固羽增收 - 信用性价比框架失效了吗 20250320 摘要 Q&A 当前信用债的性价比框架是否失效？ 我们认为当前的信用债性价比框架在某些情况下确实失效。尽管按照之前的性 价比框架，短端信用债已经进入了较好的投资区间，但市场环境和前提条件发 生了变化。自 2022 年起，我们观察到中短票的信用利差（3A 评级、3 年期限） 在 30 到 50BP 之间波动。然而，2024 年的市场调整显示，这一规律并不总是适 用。 • 信用利差受资产荒、流动性及风险偏好影响，2024 年公募基金增持长端信 用债，改变了市场调整模式，3-7 年期债券调整幅度超过短端，需关注资 金面和货币政策。 • 构建信贷性价比框架需满足资产荒、流动性稳定和风险偏好不变三个假设， 否则适用性受限。当前利率债供给增加，传统信用利差配置区间逻辑可能 变化。 • 股市与理财产品存在互动，散户资金流向影响债市，需关注市场分化。广 义基金仓位平衡时应防守，仓位低则需配置，关注资金面和货币政策。 • 2025 年初专项债发行扰动市场，央行紧平衡操作并引导资金中枢偏高运行， 需关注银行态度及其引导方式，而非简单解读为阶段性扰动。 • 当前资 ...

Summary of REITs Investment Framework and Latest Tracking Industry Overview - The document discusses the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry, particularly focusing on infrastructure REITs in China, which serve as a tool for real estate investment while meeting financing needs of the real economy and social capital investment demands [2][4][6]. Key Points and Arguments - **Investment Strategy**: Infrastructure REITs primarily adopt a core investment strategy, characterized by low risk and long investment horizons, targeting mature real estate assets such as office buildings, retail properties, and industrial properties [2][4]. - **Key Support Regions**: The Chinese REITs market emphasizes support for regions like the Yangtze River Economic Belt, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, covering 12 pilot industries including transportation, energy, municipal, environmental protection, logistics, and rental housing [2][6]. - **Valuation Methods**: Valuation methods for REITs include cost, income, and market approaches. However, due to the domestic market's maturity and information disclosure issues, the income approach is deemed more suitable, with differentiated valuation based on asset types [2][8]. - **Market Performance**: In 2024, the Chinese REITs market saw an overall increase of approximately 30%, with significant differentiation among types. Defensive assets like rental housing and energy infrastructure performed strongly, while cyclical assets like logistics and transportation showed modest gains [2][12][13]. - **Consumer Infrastructure**: Consumer infrastructure is expected to perform exceptionally well from 2024 to 2025, with an average increase of 36.4% for newly listed assets in 2024, and a dividend yield of around 5% by the end of the year, outperforming other asset types [2][14]. - **Yield Differentiation**: As of March 14, 2025, the yield rates for various infrastructure REITs showed significant differentiation, with defensive assets yielding between 3.5% and 3.8%, while transportation infrastructure yielded as high as 6.67% [2][16]. Additional Important Insights - **Liquidity Concerns**: The liquidity of REITs in the Chinese market is relatively low, with a total issuance scale of approximately 160 to 170 billion, primarily held by institutional investors, leading to low turnover rates. However, trading activity has improved recently [2][15]. - **High Configuration Value**: In the current market environment, consumer infrastructure and affordable rental housing, along with new municipal environmental projects, are highlighted as having high configuration value due to their robust fundamentals and relatively high yields [3][17]. - **Tracking Market Performance**: Monitoring the overall REITs market can be done through weekly tracking databases that assess market performance, liquidity, asset correlation, and valuation conditions [18]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights and data from the REITs investment framework and tracking document, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the REITs market in China.

Core Viewpoint - Ping An Life's stake in three major banks' H-shares is a necessary choice for insurance capital seeking stable returns amid an "asset shortage," responding to policy calls and enhancing competitiveness through bancassurance collaboration [1][8]. Group 1: Investment Actions - Ping An Life disclosed that it has reached a 5% stake in Agricultural Bank of China H-shares, marking the third major bank it has invested in since 2025 [2]. - As of now, Ping An Life's holdings in Agricultural Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and China Merchants Bank H-shares have all surpassed 5% [2]. - Following the purchase of 133 million Industrial and Commercial Bank of China H-shares, Ping An Group's stake rose to 18.08% [2]. Group 2: Significance of Insurance Capital's Stake - The investment optimizes asset allocation as current market interest rates are declining, making fixed-income assets less capable of covering insurance liabilities [4]. - Insurance capital can smooth financial statement volatility by classifying bank stocks under FVOCI, avoiding direct impacts of stock price fluctuations on current profits [4]. - The move aligns with regulatory encouragement for insurance capital to support the real economy, with bank stocks being a core economic sector [4]. Group 3: Reasons for Choosing Specific Banks - The selected banks offer high dividend yields and low valuations, with Agricultural Bank's H-share yield exceeding 9% and a price-to-book ratio below 1 [6]. - These banks exhibit strong operational stability, with controllable non-performing loan ratios and growth in revenue and net profit as of 2024 [6]. - H-shares provide liquidity advantages, influenced by international capital flows and favorable valuations in the Hong Kong market [6]. Group 4: Impact on Capital Markets - The entry of insurance capital boosts market confidence, signaling positive trends and potentially driving bank stock valuation recovery [7]. - This investment encourages a long-term investment philosophy, shifting market focus from short-term speculation to value investing [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing adjustments in performance benchmarks by wealth management subsidiaries, indicating a significant decline in expected returns, with many products now having benchmarks below 2% [2][3][6]. Group 1: Performance Benchmark Adjustments - Multiple wealth management subsidiaries have recently lowered their performance benchmarks, with many products now below 2% [3][4]. - As of the end of January, the total annualized yield for existing products from wealth management subsidiaries was 3.05%, a decrease of 0.25% from the end of the previous year [3]. - The adjustments in benchmarks range from 10 basis points (BP) to 160 BP, reflecting a broader trend of declining yields in the market [3][4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The wealth management market is facing challenges such as asset scarcity and declining absolute returns, which are expected to persist into 2025 [2][6]. - Analysts predict that the average performance benchmark for new products may drop by 40-50 BP, potentially falling below 2% [7][8]. - Despite a slight recovery in the number of new products in February, the downward trend in performance benchmarks continues [6][8]. Group 3: Strategic Shifts in Asset Management - Wealth management subsidiaries are increasingly focusing on a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" approach to enhance returns amid a challenging environment [10][11]. - There is a growing emphasis on diversifying asset classes beyond fixed-income assets to stabilize yields [11][12]. - Companies are exploring various asset types, including credit bonds and REITs, to balance stability, growth, and investor expectations [12].