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?AI基建大爆发 高盛重塑TMT投行版图! 押注“算力时代”的交易洪流
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 01:07
Core Insights - The article discusses the significant restructuring of investment banking teams at major firms like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan in response to the booming AI infrastructure market, particularly in the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector [1][2] - Goldman Sachs' recent report indicates a strong demand for AI server clusters, which is expected to continue growing through 2026, alongside robust demand for optical networking equipment and a moderate supply increase in the DRAM storage chip market [1][3] Investment Banking Restructuring - Goldman Sachs is creating a new global infrastructure technology business unit, integrating its telecom and CoreTech teams, led by Yasmine Coupal and Jason Tofsky [1] - Another new unit, focused on global internet and media, will be led by Brandon Watkins and Alekhya Uppalapati, as the firm seeks to capitalize on large-scale investment opportunities in the AI sector [2] AI Infrastructure Demand - The demand for AI servers is projected to remain strong, with significant growth expected in AI ASIC clusters led by Google, outpacing AI GPU shipments, which will also see robust growth [2][3] - Nvidia's Rubin architecture AI GPU clusters are set to begin production in mid-2026, with strong capacity ramp-up anticipated in the latter half of that year [3] Market Predictions - Goldman Sachs' stock strategists predict that the S&P 500 index will reach around 7600 points next year, indicating a potential 10% upside from current levels, driven by widespread AI technology adoption and resilient economic growth [3][4] - The overall earnings per share for S&P 500 companies are expected to jump by 12% next year, with a further 10% increase in 2027, reflecting the positive impact of AI on corporate profitability [3][4] AI Investment Wave - The article highlights that the current wave of investment in AI infrastructure is just beginning, with projections estimating that the total investment could reach between $3 trillion to $4 trillion by 2030, driven by unprecedented demand for AI computing power [4]
特朗普最强AI军团…携手英伟达、Google等科技巨头 带旺台链
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-16 23:30
广达看好AI服务器业务发展,目前AI服务器接单能见度至少到2026年底,明年还会扩增AI服务器相关 产能,因应客户庞大订单需求。 综合外媒报导。"美国科技部队"预计招募1,000名工程师及专家,开出年薪15万美元至20万美元找人, 并签约两年时间,目标让美国在AI基础建设、科技数位转型技术保持领先。 这项计划由白宫人事管理局(OPM)主持,将和苹果、英伟达、甲骨文、Google、亚马逊、OpenAI、 Palantir等十几家企业合作。人事管理局负责招募和评选,参与者将直接向派驻的政府机关负责人报 告,而非自成一个单位。 特朗普政府15日宣布,成立"美国科技部队"(US Tech Force),筹组以工程师、专家为主力的千人研发 大军,并邀来苹果、英伟达、甲骨文、Google、戴尔、微软、OpenAI等科技巨头参与,冲刺美国AI基 建与数位转型,业界看好,鸿海、广达(2382)、纬创等台厂同步迎来大单。 业界解读,特朗普政府的"美国科技部队",集结千名菁英,及总市值高达数兆美元的云端大咖投入,堪 称"地表最华丽、最强AI部队"。近期市场对"AI泡沫化"疑虑再起,特朗普此举意味美国力挺AI,在美国 霸权强势介入 ...
“AI基建”遭重创,博通,甲骨文三天跌超17%,英伟达亲儿子CoreWeave3个月几近“腰斩”
美股IPO· 2025-12-16 03:52
博通和甲骨文在短短三个交易日内跌幅均超过17%,其中博通创下自2020年3月以来最差表现,市值蒸发超3000亿美元,市值排名被Meta反超。同时, CoreWeave股价自6月高点已暴跌超60%。尽管AI需求依然旺盛,但市场担忧情绪蔓延,甲骨文高达500%的债务权益比更是引发了投资者的警惕。 在人工智能市场的至少一个细分领域,市场情绪已经明显转向悲观。市场风暴正在席卷整个AI基础设施板块。 与AI基础设施建设密切相关的三家公司——博通(Broadcom)、CoreWeave和甲骨文(Oracle)——在经历了上周大幅下跌后,本周一再度下挫: 博通股价周一再跌5.6%,此前周五已暴跌11%,目前较上周三创下的历史高点已回落18%。博通连续三个交易日下跌,累计跌幅达到18%, 创2020年3月份以来最 差同期表现。此次暴跌导致其市值蒸发超过3000亿美元,损失的规模约等于其竞争对手AMD的总市值。 甲骨文周一下跌2.7%,过去三个交易日累计下跌17%。自9月10日以来,公司市值已蒸发46%。 当日甲骨文股价曾创下自1992年以来的最佳单日表现,原因是披 露了庞大的AI订单积压规模。 CoreWeave股价周一再跌 ...
制造成长周报(第 38 期):智元第 5000 台机器人正式下线,GEV 再度上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划-20251215
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-15 12:32
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 制造成长周报(第 38 期) 优于大市 智元第 5000 台机器人正式下线,GEV 再度上修燃机订单指引 与扩产规划 重点事件点评&重点关注:人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-智元第 5000 台通用具身机器人正式下线:2025 年 12 月 8 日,智 元机器人累计下线通用具身机器人 5000 台。 事件 2-GEV 上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划:2025 年 12 月9 日,GEV 召开 2025 年投资者大会,公司预计 2025 年底积压订单+预留协议将达到 80W,同时宣 布 2026 年中产能达 20GW,2028 年产能扩充至 24GW。 人形机器人点评:智元机器人第 5000 台通用具身机器人下线表明产业量产 不断推进,规模量产将加速到来。我们持续看好人形机器人的长期投资机会, 建议从价值量和卡位上把握空间&确定性,从股票弹性上寻找增量环节。1) 确定性:特斯拉产业链核心供应商或者实力强、卡位好的公司,重点关注【飞 荣达】【龙溪股份】【唯万密封】【恒立液压】【汇川技术】【绿的谐波】 【蓝思科技】【五洲新春】;2)弹性:重视基本结构研究逐步拓展至完整 功能结 ...
制造成长周报(第38期):智元第5000台机器人正式下线,GEV再度上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划-20251215
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-15 11:08
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 制造成长周报(第 38 期) 优于大市 智元第 5000 台机器人正式下线,GEV 再度上修燃机订单指引 与扩产规划 重点事件点评&重点关注:人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-智元第 5000 台通用具身机器人正式下线:2025 年 12 月 8 日,智 元机器人累计下线通用具身机器人 5000 台。 事件 2-GEV 上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划:2025 年 12 月9 日,GEV 召开 2025 年投资者大会,公司预计 2025 年底积压订单+预留协议将达到 80W,同时宣 布 2026 年中产能达 20GW,2028 年产能扩充至 24GW。 人形机器人点评:智元机器人第 5000 台通用具身机器人下线表明产业量产 不断推进,规模量产将加速到来。我们持续看好人形机器人的长期投资机会, 建议从价值量和卡位上把握空间&确定性,从股票弹性上寻找增量环节。1) 确定性:特斯拉产业链核心供应商或者实力强、卡位好的公司,重点关注【飞 荣达】【龙溪股份】【唯万密封】【恒立液压】【汇川技术】【绿的谐波】 【蓝思科技】【五洲新春】;2)弹性:重视基本结构研究逐步拓展至完整 功能结 ...
制造成长周报(第38期):智元第5000台机器人正式下线,GEV再度上修燃机订单指引扩产规划-20251215
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-15 11:08
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 制造成长周报(第 38 期) 优于大市 智元第 5000 台机器人正式下线,GEV 再度上修燃机订单指引 与扩产规划 重点事件点评&重点关注:人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-智元第 5000 台通用具身机器人正式下线:2025 年 12 月 8 日,智 元机器人累计下线通用具身机器人 5000 台。 事件 2-GEV 上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划:2025 年 12 月9 日,GEV 召开 2025 年投资者大会,公司预计 2025 年底积压订单+预留协议将达到 80W,同时宣 布 2026 年中产能达 20GW,2028 年产能扩充至 24GW。 人形机器人点评:智元机器人第 5000 台通用具身机器人下线表明产业量产 不断推进,规模量产将加速到来。我们持续看好人形机器人的长期投资机会, 建议从价值量和卡位上把握空间&确定性,从股票弹性上寻找增量环节。1) 确定性:特斯拉产业链核心供应商或者实力强、卡位好的公司,重点关注【飞 荣达】【龙溪股份】【唯万密封】【恒立液压】【汇川技术】【绿的谐波】 【蓝思科技】【五洲新春】;2)弹性:重视基本结构研究逐步拓展至完整 功能结 ...
汇成股份涨6.56%,成交额12.99亿元,后市是否有机会?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 08:08
12月15日,汇成股份涨6.56%,成交额12.99亿元,换手率8.94%,总市值146.28亿元。 异动分析 存储芯片+先进封装+芯片概念+人民币贬值受益+专精特新 1、2025年10月14日公司,合肥新汇成微电子股份有限公司举办特定对象调研活动,向舟资本、兴全基 金、平安资管等多家机构投资者披露重磅布局:公司通过直接与间接投资相结合,拿下合肥鑫丰科技有 限公司(简称 "鑫丰科技")27.5445% 股权,并与鑫丰科技股东华东科技(苏州)有限公司(简称 "华 东科技")达成战略合作,共同拓展 3D DRAM 等存储芯片封测业务,瞄准 AI 基建时代下存储芯片的爆 发式需求。 来源:新浪证券-红岸工作室 区间今日近3日近5日近10日近20日主力净流入1873.96万1548.33万488.65万1.35亿6856.45万 主力持仓 主力没有控盘,筹码分布非常分散,主力成交额1.17亿,占总成交额的6.07%。 技术面:筹码平均交易成本为15.74元 2、据2023年2月投资者关系活动记录表: Chiplet先进封装技术是凸块制造、Fan-out、3D、SiP等高端先 进封装技术的集合,公司掌握的凸块制造技术是 ...
雅克科技(002409):前驱体材料行业领先,有望受益存储高景气
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-12-15 06:40
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the precursor materials industry, expected to benefit from the high demand in the storage sector. Memory prices have increased by 50% this year and are projected to rise further by 30% in Q4 2025 and approximately 20% at the beginning of next year [1][3]. - The company has shown significant growth in cash flow, with a 136.63% year-on-year increase in operating cash flow, attributed to increased sales collections [2]. - The company’s electronic materials product line is comprehensive, covering critical semiconductor manufacturing processes, and is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery of the storage industry and domestic supply chain localization trends [3]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.174 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.75%, with a gross margin improvement of 2.28 percentage points to 32.78% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 2025 was 273 million yuan, up 19.24% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 12.57% [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 8.609 billion yuan, 10.637 billion yuan, and 12.374 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.114 billion yuan, 1.483 billion yuan, and 1.808 billion yuan [4][5]. Business Segments - The LNG board business is experiencing strong demand due to the growth in large LNG transport vessels and ultra-low temperature insulation materials, with a solid order backlog and completed GTT certification processes [3]. - The company is positioned to leverage its technological and certification barriers in the LNG sector, enhancing its long-term profitability [3].
看好人形机器人、AI基建及流程工业 | 投研报告
信达证券近日发布机械设备行业周报:11月挖机销量20027台,同比增长13.9%,其中内销9842台,同 比增长9.1%,出口10185台,同比增长18.8%,内销增速回升,外销持续快速增长。工程机械景气度从 挖机向非挖全面扩散,11月装载机销量11419台,同比增长32.10%,其中内销5631台,同比增长 29.39%,保持快速增长;出口5748台,同比增长34.80%。 以下为研究报告摘要: 本期内容提要: 公司主要产品包括硬质合金、硬质合金工具(凿岩工具、切削工具),Q3收入、归母净利润、扣非净 利润分别增长38.02%、75.40%、94.83%。公司收入、利润增长加速,尤其是利润端表现亮眼,主要系 原材料价格上涨背景下,公司积极将下游传导,推动盈利水平提升。公司业务增长稳健,盈利能力有望 持续改善。 建议关注密集催化的人形机器人、景气持续的AI基建产业链,业绩向好的工程机械、流程工业、刀具 板块,及绩优个股: 1)日联科技 公司是国内领先的工业X射线智能检测设备及核心部件供应商,在核心部件、AI软件、检测设备等方面 建立了核心技术壁垒。上半年公司新签订单同比增长近一倍,前三季度收入同比增长44.0 ...
看好人形机器人、AI基建及流程工业
Xinda Securities· 2025-12-15 02:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the machinery equipment industry is optimistic [2] Core Views - The report highlights a positive outlook on humanoid robots, AI infrastructure, and process industries, indicating strong growth potential in these sectors [2][12] - The demand for AI-related infrastructure is expected to remain robust, driven by advancements in AI technology and government policies supporting the industry [12][62] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong performance in the humanoid robot sector, AI infrastructure, engineering machinery, process industries, and cutting tools [13][57] Summary by Sections Company Insights - **Riyuan Technology**: The company is a leading supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment, with a nearly 100% year-on-year increase in new orders and a 44.01% revenue growth in the first three quarters [3][13] - **Kangst**: The company specializes in digital detection instruments, showing resilience in international business despite tariff pressures, with a Q3 revenue growth of 22.24% [4][14] - **Xinxin Co., Ltd.**: The company reported a significant acceleration in profit growth, with a 75.40% increase in net profit in Q3, driven by effective cost management amid rising raw material prices [5][15] Industry Performance - The excavator sales in November reached 20,027 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, indicating a recovery in the engineering machinery sector [12][62] - The demand for AI-related infrastructure continues to grow, supported by government policies and technological advancements, with significant benefits expected for the AIDC, liquid cooling, and PCB equipment sectors [12][62] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the engineering machinery sector, which is showing signs of recovery, particularly in excavators and loaders [62][69] Market Trends - The manufacturing PMI in November was reported at 49.2%, indicating a slight recovery, primarily driven by export orders [25] - The report notes that the domestic manufacturing fixed asset investment growth has slowed, reflecting weaker downstream demand and external pressures [25][67] - The report highlights the ongoing support from government policies aimed at enhancing the industrial machinery sector, particularly in high-end machine tools and robotics [29][36]