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W133市场观察:成长指数拥挤度重回今年三季度高点
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-03 09:45
丨证券研究报告丨 战略数据研究丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 成长指数拥挤度重回今年三季度高点 —— W133 市场观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 当周大盘修复反弹,科技成长领涨,长江创业板成长动量周度涨幅超 9%,长江动量指数周度 涨幅近 10%,今年三季度成长热点板块周度回归。不过成长修复背后,周度全 A 的成交额相较 于今年三季度仍有一定程度回落。各类风格和行业拥挤度比较上看,红利风格拥挤度普遍边际 变化不大,社会服务、农产品、传媒互联网等交易活跃度回暖相对较多。当周小微盘表现优于 大盘,成交活跃度也呈现同步回升。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈洁敏 SAC:S0490518120005 SFC:BUT348 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 成长指数拥挤度重回今年三季度高点 2] —— W133 市场观察 [Table_Summary2] 度量市场情绪:小微盘指数成交热度持续回暖,成长指数成交拥挤度边际修复 机构赚钱效应:成长回暖下,基金重仓悉数反弹 行业板块:通讯业务、信 ...
关键数据前遭获利了结 白银多头暂作休整
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-03 06:04
由于市场参与者在几项关键的美国宏观经济数据发布之前削减了敞口,在周一稳步上涨之后,白银价格 有所回落。 周三(12月3日)亚洲时段,现货白银震荡走高后突然回调,白银价格日内跌幅超1.00%,报57.76美元/盎 司;由于交易员在即将到来的美国关键数据发布前获利了结,白银多头失去动能,本交易日关注美国 ADP就业变动和ISM服务业PMI数据。 【要闻速递】 地缘政治仍是推动避险需求的背景因素。即使白银的看涨势头暂时停止,但围绕俄罗斯和乌克兰局势的 不确定性将有助于维持一定程度的风险厌恶情绪。 【最新白银行情解析】 周二白银收锤子阳线,逼近前高,徘徊于日线布林上轨附近,4小时回踩56.60一线企稳,短线预计现货 银将继续上探59。白银走势下方关注58.10美元或57.70美元支撑;上方关注59.00美元或59.70美元阻力。 美元的温和复苏和美国国债收益率的走强给贵金属市场带来了压力,这种模式在之前的避险情绪中曾出 现过。 尽管如此,由于白银继续受益于广泛支撑的宏观环境,下行空间仍然受到控制。投资者预计美联储最早 将在下周的会议上放松政策,目前市场预计降息25个基点的可能性很大。这种鸽派倾向支撑了对无息资 产的需 ...
外汇汇率波动受哪些常见因素影响?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 05:02
政治稳定性与地缘局势变化也会对汇率产生冲击。若一国政治局势动荡或面临地缘冲突风险,可能引发 市场对该国经济前景的担忧,导致资本外流,本币汇率波动加剧。此外,市场情绪作为一种短期影响因 素,会通过投资者的买卖行为影响汇率走势,比如市场对某国经济的乐观或悲观预期,可能在短期内推 动汇率出现阶段性变化。 以上信息由金融界利用AI助手整理发布。金融界是国内专业的金融信息服务平台,专注于为用户提供 全面、及时的财经资讯及金融知识内容,覆盖宏观经济、金融市场、产业动态等多个领域,致力于通过 专业的信息整合与解读,帮助用户提升对金融市场的认知与理解。 免责声明:本文内容根据公开信息整理生成,不代表发布者及其关联方的官方立场或观点,亦不构成任 何形式的投资建议。请您对文中关键信息进行独立核实,自主决策并承担相应风险。 经济基本面是影响汇率长期走势的关键因素之一。一国的经济增长速度、就业状况、产业结构等指标, 直接反映了该国经济的整体活力与发展潜力。当经济增长态势良好时,往往会吸引更多海外资本流入, 进而推动本国货币需求增加,汇率面临升值压力;反之,若经济增速放缓或出现衰退迹象,资本可能外 流,导致本币汇率承压。根据2025年 ...
【光大研究每日速递】20251203
光大证券研究· 2025-12-02 23:06
【金工】新股募资规模环比回落,网下询价账户持续扩容——打新市场跟踪月报20251201 点击注册小程序 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户,用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便, 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 2025年11月,共11只新股上市,募集金额共计101.88亿元,新股发行规模环比走弱,但单月募资仍维持百 亿元水平。网下询价账户数量继续增长,新股认购需求保持高位。主板和双创板块新股首日平均涨幅分别 为177.8%和267.7%,初步询价配售对象分别为主板9614家、双创板块8371家。5亿规模账户当月打新收益 率约为A类:0.14%,B类0.14%。 (祁嫣然/陈颖) 2025-12-01 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【金工】市场情绪降温,基金抱团程度加强——金融工程量化月报20251201 截至2025年11月28日,沪深300上涨家 ...
宏观金融类:文字早评2025/12/02-20251202
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-12-02 02:27
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall market shows a complex situation with different trends in various sectors. In the stock index market, the policy supports the capital market, and the technology - growth sector remains the main line, with a long - term bullish view on the index. In the bond market, the fourth - quarter bond supply - demand pattern may improve, and the market is expected to remain volatile. For precious metals, silver is strong due to expectations of Fed's easing policies. In the non - ferrous metal market, most metals have different supply - demand situations and price trends. In the black building materials market, the steel and iron ore markets face different challenges, and the glass - soda ash and other sub - sectors also have their own characteristics. In the energy - chemical market, different products have different supply - demand and price trends. In the agricultural products market, different products such as livestock, grains, and oils also show different supply - demand and price trends [4][6][7]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro - Financial Stock Index - **Market Information**: French President Macron will visit China from December 3 - 5. Many cities are implementing new housing subsidy policies. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology encourages Chinese advantageous enterprises to "go global". The market's expectation of Fed's interest rate cut has increased, and the price of London spot silver has reached a new high [2]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The market rotation has accelerated, and the risk preference has decreased. The policy support for the capital market remains unchanged, and the technology - growth sector is the main line. The long - term view is to buy on dips [4]. Treasury Bonds - **Market Information**: On Monday, the main contracts of TL, T, TF, and TS had different price changes. The Bank of Japan governor mentioned future interest - rate hike paths. The CSRC is promoting the REITs market. The central bank conducted 1076 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 2311 billion yuan [5]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The manufacturing PMI in November improved, but the service industry was weak. The social financing growth rate may remain weak at the end of the year. The central bank maintains a positive attitude towards funds. The bond market is expected to remain volatile, and attention should be paid to the stock - bond linkage and liquidity [6]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: Shanghai gold and silver prices rose. COMEX gold and silver also had certain prices. The US economic data was lower than expected, pushing up the silver price. The US 11 - month ISM manufacturing PMI was 48.2 [7]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The silver price is expected to continue to rise strongly next week, with attention to the resistance level of 14,500 yuan/kg. Gold is recommended to buy on dips. The reference ranges for Shanghai silver and gold are provided [8]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: The copper price rose, with LME copper up 0.51% and Shanghai copper at 89,380 yuan/ton. The LME copper inventory was flat, and the domestic copper inventory decreased. The spot import loss increased [10]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The market sentiment is positive due to the expected Fed's interest rate cut. The copper raw material supply is tight, and the price is expected to be strong. The reference ranges for Shanghai copper and LME copper are provided [11]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: The aluminum price rose, with LME aluminum up 0.8% and Shanghai aluminum at 21,885 yuan/ton. The domestic and LME aluminum inventories decreased. The market sentiment was weak [12]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The aluminum price is expected to rise further due to inventory reduction, supply disturbances, and copper price increase. The reference ranges for Shanghai aluminum and LME aluminum are provided [13]. Zinc - **Market Information**: The zinc price rose, with Shanghai zinc up 0.75% and LME zinc at 3065.5 dollars/ton. The zinc inventory decreased, and the import loss was high [14]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The zinc industry has a weak supply - demand situation, and the price is expected to fluctuate widely. The zinc market has low attractiveness to speculative funds [16]. Lead - **Market Information**: The lead price fell, with Shanghai lead down 0.10% and LME lead at 1982.5 dollars/ton. The lead inventory decreased, and the import profit was positive [17]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The lead price is expected to be strong in the short term due to the positive sentiment in the non - ferrous metal industry during the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle [18]. Nickel - **Market Information**: The nickel price rebounded, with Shanghai nickel at 117,850 yuan/ton. The nickel ore price was stable, and the nickel iron price decline slowed down [19]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The nickel price may fluctuate in the short term. Attention should be paid to the trends of nickel iron and ore prices. It is recommended to wait and see [20]. Tin - **Market Information**: The tin price rose, with Shanghai tin at 306,580 yuan/ton. The tin supply was tight, and the demand was weak. The inventory decreased [21]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The tin price is expected to be strong in the short term due to supply disturbances. It is recommended to wait and see. The reference ranges for domestic and overseas tin are provided [22]. Carbonate Lithium - **Market Information**: The carbonate lithium price rose, with the MMLC index up 1.07%. The futures price also rose [23]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The future demand expectation has differences, and the price may fluctuate greatly. It is recommended to wait and see or use options. The reference range for the futures contract is provided [23]. Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina price fell, with the index at 2716 yuan/ton. The inventory decreased, and the import profit was positive [24]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The alumina price is expected to be stable in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see. Attention should be paid to supply - side policies and Fed's policies [26]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: The stainless - steel price rose, with the main contract at 12,445 yuan/ton. The supply was high, and the demand improved marginally. The inventory increased [27]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The stainless - steel price is expected to fluctuate widely due to high supply and cost pressure [27]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The cast aluminum alloy price rose, with the main contract at 21,055 yuan/ton. The inventory decreased [28]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The cast aluminum alloy price is expected to follow the aluminum price trend due to cost support and supply disturbances [29]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market Information**: The steel price rose, with rebar and hot - rolled coil prices increasing. The export to South Korea may be affected by anti - dumping duties [31]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The steel demand has entered the off - season, and the hot - rolled coil inventory pressure remains. Attention should be paid to the production - cut rhythm and important meetings [32]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: The iron ore price rose, with the main contract at 801 yuan/ton. The supply and demand situation changed, and the inventory increased [33]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The iron ore price is expected to fluctuate within a range. Attention should be paid to the overall commodity environment [34]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Glass** - **Market Information**: The glass price fell, with the main contract at 1036 yuan/ton. The inventory decreased, and the demand was weak [35]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The glass market is in the bottom - exploring stage, and the price is expected to fluctuate widely. It is recommended to short on rallies [36]. - **Soda Ash** - **Market Information**: The soda - ash price was stable, with the main contract at 1176 yuan/ton. The inventory decreased, and the demand was weak [37]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The soda - ash price is expected to be stable in the short term. It is recommended to be bearish [37]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Information**: The manganese - silicon and ferrosilicon prices rose. The manganese - silicon price was supported at 5600 yuan/ton, and the ferrosilicon price was in a downward channel [38]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The black - building materials market is expected to have a rebound opportunity. The manganese - silicon price is unlikely to fall significantly, and attention should be paid to the manganese - ore situation. The ferrosilicon has low operability [40][42]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Industrial Silicon** - **Market Information**: The industrial - silicon price rose, with the main contract at 9145 yuan/ton. The inventory increased, and the demand was weak [43]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The industrial - silicon price is expected to be stable in the short term. The supply and demand are weak, and it is easily affected by market sentiment [44]. - **Polysilicon** - **Market Information**: The polysilicon price rose, with the main contract at 57,705 yuan/ton. The supply is expected to decrease, and the demand is weak. The inventory decreased [45]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The polysilicon price is expected to be unstable in the short term. Attention should be paid to the platform - company situation [47]. Energy - Chemical Rubber - **Market Information**: The rubber price fell, and the technical pattern was broken. The supply and demand situation was complex, and the inventory increased [49]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: It is recommended to wait and see or use short - term trading. A hedging strategy is also recommended [54]. Crude Oil - **Market Information**: The crude - oil price rose, with the INE main contract at 455.7 yuan/barrel. The refined - oil inventories changed [55]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The crude - oil price is expected to be stable in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see and test the OPEC's export - support intention [56]. Methanol - **Market Information**: The methanol price rose, with the main contract at 2136 yuan/ton. The supply and demand improved, and the inventory decreased [57]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The methanol price is expected to be stable in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see and pay attention to the positive - spread opportunity [57]. Urea - **Market Information**: The urea price rose, with the main contract at 1675 yuan/ton. The supply and demand improved, and the inventory decreased [58]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The urea price is expected to bottom out. It is recommended to buy on dips [59]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Information**: The pure - benzene and styrene prices were stable. The supply and demand situation changed, and the inventory increased [60]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The styrene non - integrated profit has room for upward repair. It is recommended to buy when the inventory situation reverses [61]. PVC - **Market Information**: The PVC price rose, with the main contract at 4553 yuan/ton. The supply was high, and the demand was weak. The inventory increased [62]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PVC price is expected to be weak in the short term. It is recommended to short on rallies [64]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Information**: The ethylene - glycol price fell, with the main contract at 3882 yuan/ton. The supply and demand situation changed, and the inventory increased [65]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The ethylene - glycol price is expected to be weak in the medium term. It is recommended to short on rallies [66]. PTA - **Market Information**: The PTA price rose, with the main contract at 4762 yuan/ton. The supply and demand situation changed, and the inventory decreased [67]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PTA price is expected to have a short - term rebound opportunity. It is recommended to buy on dips [68]. p - Xylene - **Market Information**: The p - xylene price rose, with the main contract at 6930 yuan/ton. The supply and demand situation changed, and the inventory increased [69]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The p - xylene price is expected to be stable in the short term. It is recommended to buy on dips [70]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Market Information**: The PE price rose, with the main contract at 6803 yuan/ton. The supply and demand situation changed, and the inventory decreased [71]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PE price is expected to be stable in the short term. It is recommended to short the LL1 - 5 spread on rallies [72]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Market Information**: The PP price fell, with the main contract at 6397 yuan/ton. The supply and demand situation changed, and the inventory decreased [73]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PP price is expected to be stable in the short term. It may be supported in the first quarter of next year [75]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **Market Information**: The pig price rose in some areas and fell in others. The supply was high, and the demand was weak [77]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The pig price is expected to be weak. It is recommended to short near - month contracts or use reverse - spread strategies [78]. Eggs - **Market Information**: The egg price was stable or rose. The supply was stable, and the demand was weak [79]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The egg price is expected to be strong in the short term and weak in the medium term. A short - long and long - short strategy is recommended [80]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market Information**: The soybean price fell, and the import cost decreased. The domestic soybean and meal inventories were high [81]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The soybean and meal prices are expected to fluctuate. The import cost has a bottom, and the inventory is large [83]. Oils - **Market Information**: The palm - oil price was weak, and the export data decreased. The domestic oil inventories decreased [84]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The palm - oil price may reverse if the Indonesian production decreases. It is recommended to buy on dips [86]. Sugar - **Market Information**: The sugar price was stable. The domestic sugar production decreased, and the global supply was expected to be in surplus [87]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The sugar price is expected to be weak. It is recommended to short on rallies [88]. Cotton - **Market Information**: The cotton price rose. The supply was high, and the demand was medium [89]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The cotton price is expected to fluctuate. It is difficult to have a unilateral trend [91].
双融日报-20251202
Huaxin Securities· 2025-12-02 01:33
Core Insights - The report indicates that the current market sentiment score is 81, categorizing it as "overheated," suggesting a high level of investor optimism and potential market risks [4][8][20] - Key investment themes identified include non-ferrous metals, banking, and low-altitude economy, each with specific drivers and related stocks [4][8] Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals theme is driven by expectations of demand increase due to potential US interest rate cuts and AI data center growth, leading to a price increase for copper and aluminum [4] - Copper prices are supported by financial attributes, supply constraints, and resilient traditional demand, while aluminum faces tight domestic capacity and limited overseas growth [4][8] Banking Sector - The banking sector is highlighted for its high dividend yield, with the China Securities Bank Index yielding 6.02%, significantly above the 10-year government bond yield [4] - In a slowing economy with increased market volatility, bank stocks are seen as stable investment options for long-term funds like insurance and social security [4][8] Low-Altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy is positioned for growth, with the upcoming Asia General Aviation Exhibition expected to attract over 300 companies from 21 countries, indicating significant international interest [4] - The report emphasizes the vast market potential in this sector, particularly in infrastructure and aircraft manufacturing, enhanced by improved information processing capabilities [4][8] Market Sentiment and Strategy - The report suggests that when market sentiment is above 70, it may indicate resistance, while levels below 30 could provide support, guiding investment strategies [8][20] - Investors are advised to consider reducing positions in an overheated market to avoid potential losses from market corrections [20]
文投控股:公司股票价格走势受到宏观经济等多种因素影响
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-01 14:12
证券日报网讯12月1日,文投控股(600715)在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司股票价格走势受 到宏观经济、行业政策、市场情绪、投资者偏好等多种因素影响,呈现出波动性特点,敬请投资者关注 风险。未来,公司将进一步提升经营管理水平,积极推进各项存量、增量业务有序开展,致力于为广大 投资者创造长期价值。同时,公司也将高度重视与投资者的沟通,积极通过召开业绩说明会、发布公 告、在上证E互动平台回复等多种渠道,加强与投资者交流,引导公司长期、稳定的市场价值预期。 ...
——金融工程量化月报20251201:市场情绪降温,基金抱团程度加强-20251201
EBSCN· 2025-12-01 13:05
- The "Market Sentiment Tracking" system includes the "Proportion of Rising Stocks Sentiment Indicator," which calculates the proportion of stocks with positive returns in the past N days within the CSI 300 Index. This indicator helps identify market sentiment by detecting market bottoms when the proportion increases and potential overheating when the proportion is high. However, it has limitations in avoiding market downturns and may miss gains during sustained market rallies[12][13][15] - The "Proportion of Rising Stocks Timing Strategy" applies two smoothing windows (N1=50, N2=35) to the sentiment indicator. When the short-term smoothed line exceeds the long-term smoothed line, it signals a bullish market view. Conversely, when the short-term line falls below the long-term line, it indicates a cautious market outlook[13][15][16] - The "Moving Average Sentiment Indicator" uses an eight-moving-average system (parameters: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233) to assess the CSI 300 Index's trend. The indicator assigns values of -1, 0, or 1 based on the moving average range, correlating with the index's performance. A bullish signal is generated when the current price exceeds the moving average values for more than five of the eight averages[21][26] - The "PB-ROE-50 Strategy" is based on the PB-ROE pricing model and incorporates factors like SUE and ROE growth to identify stocks with expectation gaps. The strategy selects 50 stocks to form a portfolio, aiming to enhance returns by leveraging expectation differences and additional alpha factors[30][33][34] - The "Institutional Research Strategy" includes "Public Fund Research Stock Selection" and "Private Fund Research Tracking." These strategies utilize institutional research data, such as the number of times a company is researched and its pre-research performance relative to benchmarks, to identify alpha opportunities[37][39][40] - The "Leverage Ratio Negative List" introduces three leverage ratio metrics: traditional, strict, and relaxed. The relaxed leverage ratio includes additional liabilities like other current liabilities and non-current liabilities due within one year, providing more opportunities for short-selling gains compared to traditional metrics[42][43][45] - The "Financial Cost Burden Ratio" measures a company's interest payment pressure using the formula: Financial Cost Burden Ratio = Interest Expense / EBIT. This metric focuses on interest expenses post-2018, offering a clearer view of financial costs and identifying companies with high repayment pressure[46][47][48] - The "Proportion of Rising Stocks Sentiment Indicator" showed a slight month-on-month decline as of November 28, 2025, with a value above 50%, indicating cooling market sentiment[12] - The "Proportion of Rising Stocks Timing Strategy" indicated a cautious market view as the short-term smoothed line was below the long-term smoothed line in the past month[16] - The "Moving Average Sentiment Indicator" suggested the CSI 300 Index was in a non-prosperous sentiment zone as of November 28, 2025[21] - The "PB-ROE-50 Strategy" delivered negative excess returns in November 2025: -0.08% for the CSI 500 pool, -1.09% for the CSI 800 pool, and -3.26% for the entire market pool[30][34] - The "Institutional Research Strategy" showed mixed results in November 2025: the "Public Fund Research Stock Selection" achieved a 3.49% excess return relative to the CSI 800, while the "Private Fund Research Tracking" recorded a -1.36% excess return relative to the CSI 800[37][39]
红利风格择时周报(1124-1128)-20251201
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-12-01 11:04
红利风格择时周报(1124-1128) [Table_Authors] 郑雅斌(分析师) 本报告导读: 本周(20251124 至 20251128)红利风格择时模型综合因子值为-0.69,相对于上周 (20251117 至 20251121)的-0.66 基本持平,仍保持小于 0,未发出正向信号。 投资要点: | | 021-23219395 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyabin@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040105 | | | 梁誉耀(分析师) | | | 021-38038665 | | | liangyuyao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080003 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报(20251128) 2025.11.30 低频选股因子周报(2025.11.21-2025.11.28) 2025.11.29 权益黄金尽墨,全球资产 BL 模型 2 本周微录正 收益 2025.11.28 绝对收益产品及策略周报(251117-251121) 2025.11.27 上周价量因子表现较 ...
自称“投机”的400多亿私募创始人,做了一场让价值投资者无比共鸣的分享……
聪明投资者· 2025-12-01 07:04
以下文章来源于苔藓花园播客 ,作者胡猛 苔藓花园播客 . 深度研究商业思维。 长期积累卓越公司的商业模式, 长期积累查理芒格的思维模型。 有两位投资圈的好友不约而同来分享了风和基金创始人胡猛在北大价值投资课堂上的交流。 他们说,很有意思,胡猛虽然在讲投机,其实底层认知跟价值投资殊途同归。 比如他说, "投资中 最重要的是诚实"。 " 投资是关于未来,人对未来的判断多数不靠谱。" " 要相信事实,以及变化的事实,要尊重事实,不要尊重你自己过去所谓的研究。" " 我们投资要脚踏实地,对每个企业做滚动研究,每个季报不要错过,每个季报是证明或者证伪你判断的机会,要珍惜这个机会。" "当市场都认为是存量经济,你就不要去这么想。不要轻易去下这自上而下的结论,要具体一个产业一个产业的去看。" "我们公司每一个基金经理,都必须对公司的商业模式、管理层、产品、市场、利润表有很深的分析。" 都是价值投资者非常熟悉的投资语境。 胡猛于2009年创办风和基金,总部位于新加坡,其管理的旗舰产品风和亚洲基金最新规模约65亿美元。 没有见过胡猛,看了交流实录,真真是几十年投资老法师的大实话,而且认知上非 常有共鸣点。 只是从自身管理的资金 ...