分析师：关税不确定性令美元难以大幅回升 金十数据4月29日讯，美元虽现涨势，但在美国关税政策前景不明朗背景下仍难实现实质性复苏。对美 国可能与其他国家达成贸易协议的乐观情绪略微帮助了美元。月末资金流动引发的投资组合调整也可能 产生利好。但Pepperstone策略师Michael Brown在报告中说，美元仍然 "缺乏吸引力"，美国例外论叙事 已经失效。他表示，美元是受持续贸易不确定性影响最大的资产。 ...

财经网站Forexlive分析师Justin Low评论德国5月GfK消费者信心指数称，这是一个不错的进步，但GfK 警告说，关税的不确定性仍在很大程度上影响着更广泛的前景。因此，这将是未来几个月需要考虑的更 大因素。 ...

文 ： 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 高拓（13705969808） 核心结论 关税不确定性使财政扩张的必要性增加，我们提示二季度或有几个边际变化： 1 、 二季度财政或加速发行既定债务 ，增量债务或随时接续（经验规律： 增量债务政策 多在 6 月底 ~10 月底 ）； 2 、财政扩张方向或 由一季度偏消费到二季度边际倾斜投资 ； 3 、 基于既定政策测算， 二季度广义财政支出增速或在 -0.6%~10.4% 附近 （ 今年一季度为 4.3% ， 2019~2024 年二季度均值为 1.8% ；均为不考虑中央金融机构注资特别国债、用于化债的特殊新增专项债 的同口径比较）， 若新增专项债极限提速 （如首个出台专项债"自审自发"方案的省份湖南要求"原则上 6 月底前完成全年专项债券发行工作"； 2018 年 8 月中美贸易争端升级后，财政部要求在两个月内发完全年 额度） 或增量债务接续，增速或更高。 一、财政扩张的规律：二季度或加速发行既定债务，增量债务或随时接续 债务是支持财政扩张的重要力量，每年可分为既定债务和增量债务。既定债务规模由预算确定 ...

欧洲央行管委霍尔茨曼：降息必须等待更多关税不确定性消除之后才能实施。 ...

美联储理事沃勒：总体的基调是许多公司因为关税不确定性而陷入停滞。 ...

欧盟碳市场行情简报 (2025年第67期) 本公司具有中国证监会被准的期货交易咨询业务资格。本内容的观点和信息仅供国泰君安邦货的专业投资者参考。本内容难以设置访问权限 给您造成不便，鼓清谅解。若您并非国泰君安期货客户中的专业投资者，清勿闻读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本内容不拘成具体业务的准介, 亦不应被视为任何投资、法律、会计或税务建议、且本公司不会固接收人收到本内容而犯案为客户。本内容的信息来源于公开资料。本公司对这 些信息的准确性、完整性及未来受更的可能性不作任何保证。请您根据自身的风险承受能力作出我资决定并且主承担投资风险，不应危情体内容 进行具体操作,本公司不对固使用本内容而造成的损失事担任何责任。除非另有说明,本公司拥有本内容的版权和/或其他相关知识产权。未经 本公司事先书面午可，任何单位或个人不得以任何方式复制、转载、引用、刊登、发表、发行、修改、翻译此报告的全部或部分内容。 发布日期:2025-04-23 EUA跟随TTF下跌 敢新 1、一级：拍卖价格63.3欧元/吨(-2.71%)，投标覆盖比1.51; 行情 2、二级:EUA期货收盘价64.39欧元/吨(-1.96%),成交2.62万手(0. ...

以下文章来源于智通财经APP ，作者智通编选 智通财经APP . 智通财经APP，连线全球资本市场。内容合作/内容举报请联系李先生： Tel: +86-15121009144 Email:zhitongcolumn@163.com 美国股票买盘停滞，日元多头投机头寸增加 摩根大通最新的资金流向与流动性报告得出了一些有趣的结论： (1)自 2 月以来，非美国本土投资者停止买入美国股票基金，自 3 月起开始少量抛售美国债券基金。鉴于 美国经济长期存在大额经常账户赤字，外国投资者买盘停滞(更不用说净抛售美国资产)可能对美元产生 负面影响。 点击蓝字，关注我们 以消费为重点的财政政策仍不及投资：政府的消费刺激计划规模从 2023 年的零增长至 2024 年的 3000 亿元人民币，2025 年预计达到 4000 - 6000 亿元人民币， 但与每年 5 万亿元人民币的政府投资债券相比 仍显不足 。尽管加大消费领域的财政投入备受期待，但投资者必须区分政府 "应该做" 和 "实际会做" 的 差异。朱海斌预计，鉴于政府认为投资在创造就业和促进收入增长方面更具成效，财政支出仍将侧重于 投资。 消费板块首选股（凯文・尹推荐） ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Acme United Corporation reported net sales of $46 million for Q1 2025, a 2% increase from $45 million in Q1 2024 [6][17] - Net income for Q1 2025 was $1.65 million, or $0.41 per diluted share, compared to $1.63 million, or $0.39 per diluted share in the same period last year, reflecting a 1% increase in net income and a 5% increase in earnings per share [18][19] - Gross margin improved to 39.0% in Q1 2025 from 38.7% in Q1 2024 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first aid business experienced a significant growth of 14% in Q1 2025, driving overall growth [7] - Sales of Westcott cutting tools were impacted by a large initial order in Q1 2024, leading to a decrease in sales this quarter [8] - The European business saw a decline of 7% in Q1 2025 due to a large promotion in 2024 that did not repeat [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales in the US segment increased by 3% in Q1 2025, primarily due to higher sales of first aid and medical products [17] - Net sales in Europe declined by 4% in local currency compared to Q1 2024, attributed to timing issues [17] - Canadian net sales increased by 6% in local currency, driven by higher sales of first aid products [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its first aid and medical product lines in Europe and strengthening its sales team in Germany [9] - Acme United is exploring acquisition opportunities, particularly in the cutting tool and first aid sectors, and is looking at both geographic and product line expansions [25][26] - The company is investing in automation and efficiency improvements, including the installation of robotic systems in its production facilities [11][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current challenging macroeconomic environment characterized by high inflation and tariff uncertainties [4][16] - The company views tariff uncertainties as an opportunity to gain market share, leveraging its strong financial position [15] - Management indicated that while there are challenges, they are optimistic about future growth and potential acquisitions [16][19] Other Important Information - The company has generated over $2 million in annual productivity savings from capital projects in production operations [14] - Acme United's bank debt less cash was $27 million as of March 31, 2025, down from $32 million a year earlier [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inquiry about acquisitions - Management indicated they are looking at both geographic and product line acquisitions, particularly in cutting tools and first aid [25][26] Question: Clarification on tariffs - Management discussed the uncertainty surrounding tariffs, particularly on imports from China, and how it affects pricing and inventory management [33][34] Question: Guidance for the year ahead - Management refrained from providing specific guidance due to the current volatility in costs and tariffs but indicated they are monitoring the situation closely [48][49] Question: Impact of tariffs on sourcing - Management confirmed that approximately 40% of their products are sourced from China and discussed efforts to diversify sourcing to other countries [98] Question: Performance of the first aid business - Management noted that the 14% growth in the first aid business is partly due to easier comparisons from the previous year, but they expect continued organic growth [82][84]

The semiconductor sector is swimming in red ink today, and ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML) is one of the primary culprits. The stock is down 6% to trade at $641.56, after the Dutch-based chipmaker reported a lackluster sales forecast. For the second quarter, ASML expects sales between 7.2 and 7.7 billion euros, lower than the 7.8 billion forecast.CEO Christophe Fouquet said in a statement: "The recent tariff announcements have increased uncertainty in the macro environment and the situation will remain dynami ...

韩国财政部：尽管美国暂停对等关税90天，但不确定性依然很高。 ...