Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent share transfer of 5.08% of Hoshine Silicon Industry's shares from its controlling shareholder, Ningbo Hoshine Group, to Xiao Xiugan, highlighting the financial pressures faced by the group and the company's declining performance in the silicon industry [1][5][16]. Group 1: Share Transfer Details - Hoshine Group plans to transfer 5.08% of Hoshine Silicon's shares to Xiao Xiugan for a total price of 2.634 billion yuan, at a price of 43.90 yuan per share, which is nearly 10% lower than the closing price of 48.71 yuan on July 16 [1]. - After the transfer, Hoshine Group's shareholding will decrease from 46.24% to 41.16%, while Xiao Xiugan will become the fourth largest shareholder with 5.08% [2]. - Prior to the transaction, Hoshine Group and its concerted actions held a total of 78.59% of Hoshine Silicon's shares, which will drop to 73.51% post-transaction [2]. Group 2: Financial Pressures and Performance - Hoshine Group has indicated a need for funds, citing both personal financial requirements and the developmental needs of the listed company [5][6]. - The group has previously pledged shares to raise funds for debt repayment, with a total of 4.51 billion shares pledged, accounting for 48.52% of their holdings and 38.13% of Hoshine Silicon's total shares [8]. - Hoshine Silicon's performance has been declining, with an expected net loss of 300 million to 400 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a significant drop from previous profits due to weak downstream demand for industrial silicon [16]. Group 3: Company Background and Market Position - Hoshine Silicon, established in 2005 and listed in 2017, is a leading player in the silicon industry, being the only high-tech enterprise with capabilities across the entire silicon-based industrial chain [3][4]. - The company reached a peak stock price of 259.80 yuan per share in September 2021, with a market capitalization of 279 billion yuan, making the founding family extremely wealthy [4]. - Recent market conditions have led to a significant decline in silicon prices, impacting the company's profitability, which has seen a continuous drop in net profit over the past three years [16].

| | | 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 沪锡产业日报 2025-07-16 。近日锡价宽幅调整，下游逢低采买为主，现货升水500元/吨，国内库存小幅下降。而LME去库放缓，升 研究员: 王福辉 期货从业资格号F03123381 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0019878 水下降。技术面，持仓低位多空分歧，三角震荡收敛，关注MA60支撑。操作上，建议暂时观望，参考26.2- | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:沪锡(日,元/吨) | 263960 | 720 LME3个月锡(日,美元/吨) | 33260 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in the photovoltaic (PV) industry in China, highlighting the government's efforts to combat "involution" and promote healthy competition among companies [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Regulation and Competition - The Central Economic Committee emphasized the need to strengthen market mechanisms to eliminate inefficient production capacities and prevent "involution" in competition [2] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association, along with 16 leading companies, set a minimum cost price for PV modules at 0.68 yuan/W, marking a clear boundary against illegal low-cost bidding [2] - The 15th Manufacturing Enterprise Symposium reiterated the importance of legal and regulatory measures to address chaotic low-price competition in the PV sector [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Performance - In 2024, China's newly installed PV capacity reached 277 million kW, a year-on-year increase of 27.8%, with a significant surge in distributed PV installations before May 31 [3] - By May 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of PV power generation exceeded 1 billion kW, accounting for 30% of the total installed capacity in China and nearly half of the global PV capacity [3] - A decline in new installed capacity is expected in the second half of the year as the "rush to install" phase concludes, leading to a forecasted decrease in terminal demand [3] Group 3: Price Trends in Silicon and Organic Silicon - Industrial silicon prices have shown a downward trend, with a current price of 9,000 yuan/ton, down 21.9% from the beginning of the year and 31.4% from the average price in 2024 [4] - Recent price increases in industrial silicon are attributed to production cuts by major manufacturers in Xinjiang, despite some recovery in Yunnan's production due to seasonal factors [4] - The organic silicon DMC price initially rose but has since declined, with a current average price of 10,800 yuan/ton, down 16.9% since the beginning of the year [5] - The organic silicon industry is expected to undergo a consolidation phase, with limited new capacity coming online, suggesting that further price declines may be constrained [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the electricity consumption growth rate in May slightly decreased to 4.4% due to weak secondary industry performance, although cumulative electricity demand is on a recovery trend. The coastal regions saw a notable rebound in electricity consumption growth in May, driven by exports [1]. Group 1: Electricity Consumption Trends - In May, the electricity consumption increased by 4.4% year-on-year, a decline of 0.3 percentage points from April's 4.7%. The secondary industry's electricity consumption growth rate fell to 2.1%, significantly impacting overall growth, with high energy-consuming sectors only growing by 1.1% [1]. - The coastal regions experienced a recovery in electricity consumption growth, reaching 5.4% in May, attributed to a temporary easing of the US-China tariff dispute that boosted export demand [1]. Group 2: Renewable Energy Installation and Investment - The surge in renewable energy installations was driven by a rush to install solar power, with May seeing a record addition of 9,240 MW, bringing the total installed capacity to 3.61 billion kW, a year-on-year increase of 18.8% [2]. - Despite the record installations, investment in power generation has slowed, with total power investment remaining flat at 257.8 billion yuan year-on-year, and a notable contraction in solar investment [2]. Group 3: Utilization Hours and Generation Efficiency - The average utilization hours for power generation equipment in May were 241 hours, a year-on-year decline of 10.7%. Hydropower utilization hours fell by 17.5% to 254 hours due to reduced water inflow, while wind and solar power utilization hours also saw significant declines [3]. - The domestic wind power utilization rate was 93.2%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the solar utilization rate was 94.2%, down 3.3 percentage points [3].

Core Insights - The domestic energy storage and battery market is experiencing significant growth, with May's installed capacity reaching 23.1 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 679% and a month-on-month increase of 427% [1] - The sales of energy storage and other batteries in May reached 36 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 69% and a month-on-month increase of 15% [1] - The lithium battery sector is seeing price declines, with lithium carbonate priced at 59,600 CNY/ton, down 7% from the previous month, and lithium hydroxide at 62,400 CNY/ton, down 5% [1] Industry Changes - The solid-state battery technology is transitioning from pilot production to mass production, with key companies receiving MWh scale orders and planning GWh scale production lines [1][6] - The solid-state battery is expected to enter the vehicle testing phase between 2026 and 2027, marking a significant technological advancement in the industry [3] - The overall performance of the lithium battery sector has been active since June 2025, with over half of the segments outperforming major indices [2] Market Trends - The sales of new energy vehicles in May reached 1.22 million units in China, showing a year-on-year increase of 33% and a month-on-month increase of 17% [1][4] - The cumulative sales of new energy vehicles from January to May reached 4.98 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41% [1] - The market for energy storage in China is driven by the "531 installation rush," leading to a significant increase in installed capacity [4] Investment Recommendations - The lithium battery sector is expected to shift from broad market-driven growth to structural opportunities led by technological breakthroughs and new application fields in 2025 [7] - Key companies recommended for investment include CATL, EVE Energy, Keda Industrial, and Xiamen Tungsten [7]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-24 5月光伏抢装超预期，关注后续装机持续性 工业硅： 市场分析 2025-06-23，工业硅期货价格偏震荡运行，主力合约2509开于7375元/吨，最后收于7420元/吨，较前一日结算变化 （-15）元/吨，变化（-0.20）%。截止收盘，2509主力合约持仓303119手，2025-06-23仓单总数为54184手，较前一 日变化-439手。 供应端：工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在8000-8300（0）元/吨；421#硅在8400-9000 （0）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格7500-7700（0）元/吨，99硅价格在7500-7700（0）元/吨。昆明、四川地区个别硅价 走低。天津、新疆、黄埔港、上海、西北地区硅价暂稳，97硅价格同样暂稳。 消费端：据SMM统计，有机硅DMC报价10200-10600（0）元/吨。SMM报道，有机硅价格企稳，消费端表现一般， 下游刚需采购。 策略 近期仓单注销较多，显性库存有所降低，但总库存呈累库情况，供需基本面偏弱。近期焦煤价格企稳反弹，对工 业硅情绪有一定影响，预计盘面底部震荡为主，若出现反弹，可 ...

多晶硅日报 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：李金（甲醇） 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 行业 日期 2025 年 06 月 13 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA/MEG） ...

多晶硅日报 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：李金（甲醇） 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 行业 日期 2025 年 06 月 06 日 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 市场表现：多晶硅 06 合约价格进入僵持阶段。PS2 ...

| 品种 | 核心观点 | 主要逻辑及价格区间 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 地缘风险上升，油价反弹走强。端午期间，乌克兰通过无人机袭击俄罗斯 | | 原油 | 偏强 | 战略轰炸机啊，地缘风险上升；OPEC+7 月继续增产 41.1 万桶/日符合市 | | | | 场预期，夏季原油消费旺季即将到来，近月下方存支撑。SC【465-485】 | | LPG | | 油价反弹叠加仓单压力下降，液化气短线偏强。成本端原油受俄乌冲突影 | | | 偏强 | 响走强；近期仓单连续下降，盘面压力下降；供需面有所改善，随着丙烷 | | | | 进口成本下降，PDH 开工率上升。PG【4080-4150】 | | L | 震荡 | 假期原油反弹，现货跌势放缓，华北基差为 90（环比+55）。停车比例升 | | | | 至 15%，LL 进口毛利持续倒挂，短期供给压力阶段性缓解，中期装置投 | | | | 产压力仍存；农膜需求淡季，暂无上行驱动。策略上，短期绝对价格低位， | | | | 继续下跌空间有限，中期仍存继续下跌风险，反弹偏空。L【6900-7050】 | | | | 假期原油反弹，华东拉丝 ...

Core Viewpoint - GCL-Poly's assistant vice president, Song Hao, stated that the company benefits from strong cost advantages and low carbon benefits of granular silicon, maintaining a tight supply-demand balance with inventory levels around 10 days, which supports positive EBITDA in Q1 and stable cash flow [1] Group 1: Company Performance - GCL-Poly's granular silicon remains in a tight supply-demand balance, with inventory levels only around 10 days [1] - The company achieved positive EBITDA in the first quarter and is expected to maintain stable positive cash flow [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Since mid-April, silicon material prices have started to decline, having decreased for nearly five consecutive weeks [1] - The high inventory levels accumulated prior to the current period are a significant factor suppressing the rebound of silicon material prices [1]