Core Viewpoint - Chujiang New Materials has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 41.22%, despite recent fluctuations in trading volume and net capital outflow [1][2]. Company Overview - Anhui Chujiang Technology New Materials Co., Ltd. was established on December 21, 2005, and listed on September 21, 2007. The company specializes in the research, processing, and sales of non-ferrous metal (copper) materials, thermal equipment for new materials, and the production of high-performance carbon fiber composite prefabricated parts [2]. - The main revenue composition includes copper-based materials at 96.79%, high-end equipment and carbon fiber composites at 2.09%, and steel-based materials at 1.12% [2]. - The company is classified under the non-ferrous metals industry, specifically industrial metals and copper, and is associated with concepts such as new industrialization, drones, robotics, low-altitude economy, and third-generation semiconductors [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Chujiang New Materials achieved a revenue of 44.191 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.29%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 355 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year increase of 2089.49% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.36 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 479 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Chujiang New Materials reached 72,300, an increase of 67.75% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person decreased by 35.84% to 22,327 shares [2]. - Notable shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the fifth-largest shareholder with 20.3385 million shares, and E Fund Defense Industry Mixed A as the seventh-largest shareholder with 12.7166 million shares, which saw a reduction of 1.04366 million shares compared to the previous period [3].

Report Information - Report Title: Copper Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: November 28, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The copper price is still expected to rise. The domestic social inventory is accelerating the destocking process, and domestic and foreign spot prices are supportive of the copper price. The market is also continuously trading on the expectation of a Fed rate cut in December [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Shanghai copper rose slightly, with the main contract closing at 86,990. Overnight, the overseas market continued to trade on the expectation of a Fed rate cut in December, driving up the copper price. The spot price rose by 430 to 87,085 during the day, and the spot premium rose by 25 to 105. The domestic social inventory decreased by 0.7 tons this week and 2.1 tons compared to last Thursday. The import loss of spot copper was nearly 1,000 yuan, and subsequent imported supplies will continue to decrease, driving domestic destocking. The C - L spread has widened again, supporting non - US spot prices [11]. 3.2 Industry News - The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) predicts that the global copper market will face a supply shortage of 150,000 tons in 2026. Global copper mine production is expected to increase by 2.3% in 2026, and the growth rate of copper production is expected to slow to 0.9% in 2026 from 3.4% in 2025 [12]. - A London Metal Exchange (LME) executive said that due to the uncertainty of US copper tariff policies, the COMEX copper price will remain higher than the LME copper price in the next 18 months. The spread between COMEX and LME has led to a continuous loss of LME inventory, and copper inventory is shifting to COMEX warehouses. COMEX copper inventory exceeded 400,000 short tons for the first time this Monday [12]. - Aya Gold&Silver announced strong mineralization intercept results from the latest drilling at its Boumadine polymetallic project in Morocco and discovered a new high - grade parallel structure. The company holds an 85% stake in the project and plans to build 6 open - pit mines and 3 underground mines with a target daily ore processing capacity of 8,000 tons [12][13]. - The Canadian government has launched a national security review of the proposed merger between Anglo American and Teck Resources. The review will focus on the impact of the transaction on key minerals and related supply chains. Copper is listed as a key mineral in Canada. The two companies have promised to invest approximately C$4.5 billion in five years, but most of the investment was previously announced by Teck Resources. Anglo American also proposed to relocate its global headquarters from London to Vancouver and rename itself "Anglo Teck" [13].

Group 1: International News - The U.S. delegation will visit Moscow next week, and President Putin reiterated that Russia generally agrees to use the U.S. list for resolving the Ukraine issue as a basis for future negotiations. He stated that if Ukrainian armed forces withdraw from currently controlled areas, Russia will cease military actions; otherwise, military means will be employed to achieve objectives [1][6]. Group 2: Domestic News - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, held a meeting to discuss promoting high-quality development and reviewed the provincial-level coordination of basic medical insurance. The meeting emphasized the need to enhance grassroots medical service capabilities [7]. Group 3: Industry News - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is promoting the expansion of infrastructure REITs to include urban renewal facilities, hotels, sports venues, and commercial office facilities. The NDRC also highlighted the need to balance speed and bubble risks in the development of embodied intelligence industries, particularly humanoid robots [8]. Group 4: Financial Market Overview - The U.S. stock indices rose, with the previous trading day seeing a high followed by a pullback. The light industry manufacturing sector led the gains, while the comprehensive sector lagged. The market turnover was 1.72 trillion yuan, and the financing balance increased by 5.977 billion yuan to 24,522.65 billion yuan [2][11]. Group 5: Commodity Insights - In the coal market, the double焦 (coking coal and coke) futures showed weak performance, with total positions remaining stable. Steel production slightly increased, but overall inventory continued to decline, primarily driven by rebar. The profitability of steel mills is under pressure, leading to expectations of reduced iron production [2][21]. Group 6: Oil Market Analysis - The SC night market for crude oil rose by 1.46%. There are mixed sentiments regarding the potential restart of peace talks in Ukraine. The International Energy Agency reported that the daily oil supply from nine OPEC countries was 23.77 million barrels in October, a decrease of 180,000 barrels from September [3][14].

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights a strong performance in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly focusing on the significant growth of the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF and the recent developments in gold and aluminum production, indicating a positive outlook for investment in this sector. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 27, 2025, the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Theme Index (000811) rose by 1.33%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Tin Industry Co., Ltd. (000960) up 3.60% and Tianshan Aluminum (002532) up 2.99% [1] - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) saw a 1.37% increase, with a recent price of 1.48 yuan, and has accumulated a 19.69% rise over the past three months [1] - The trading volume for the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF was 17.07 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.58% [1] Group 2: Fund Flows and Growth - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF experienced a significant scale increase of 2.085 billion yuan over the past three months [3] - The ETF's shares grew by 94 million over the past week, indicating strong investor interest [3] - Recent net inflows into the ETF totaled 8.79 million yuan, with a cumulative inflow of 294 million yuan over the past ten days [3] Group 3: Industry Developments - A significant gold resource discovery was reported in Sichuan Province, with the Northeast Zhai gold mine adding 28.24 tons of gold resources, bringing the total to 81.06 tons, valued at over 76 billion yuan [3] - China Aluminum announced plans to acquire minority stakes in several subsidiaries for 2.267 billion yuan, increasing its ownership to over 96% in these companies [4] - Analysts predict a strong cycle for copper driven by supply constraints and new demand from AI and energy sectors, with expectations of a continued supply-demand gap into 2026 [4] Group 4: Investment Insights - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF is highlighted for its high "gold and copper content," with 33% copper and 13% gold, making it a leading choice in its category [6] - The ETF's top five constituent stocks have a concentration of 38%, indicating a strong focus on key strategic metals [6] - The ETF has shown superior performance since 2022, with a cumulative return of 36% and a lower maximum drawdown compared to peers [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports Industrial Silicon - The price of industrial silicon is expected to remain in a low - level oscillation. In November, the supply and demand of the industrial silicon market will both decline, with a larger decline in supply. However, due to the large supply base and the replenishment of the spot market by cancelled warehouse receipts, there is still expected to be inventory accumulation pressure. The main price fluctuation range is expected to be between 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton [1]. Polysilicon - It is expected to maintain a high - level range oscillation. The market is in a situation of both supply and demand decline, with inventory accumulation expected in each link, but strong spot support. The backwardation market structure will remain. For trading strategies, try to go long at around 50,000 for futures; hold or take profit on sell put options for options, and consider buying straddles if volatility decreases [2]. Tin - With strong fundamentals, a bullish view on tin prices is maintained. Hold previous long positions and pay attention to macro - end changes and the recovery of supply in Myanmar [4]. Aluminum - Alumina is expected to maintain a bottom - level oscillation, with the main contract operating in the range of 2,700 - 2,850 yuan/ton. Whether the market can rebound depends on the actual production cut scale of existing enterprises and the inventory inflection point. Electrolytic aluminum is expected to maintain a high - level oscillation, with the Shanghai aluminum main contract operating in the range of 21,100 - 21,700 yuan/ton. Focus on overseas monetary policy trends and domestic inventory destocking rhythm [6]. Zinc - Zinc prices are expected to oscillate. The supply - side pressure has gradually eased, and the demand side has shown a structural improvement. However, the terminal demand has remained stable, and there is limited upward momentum. The main reference range is 22,200 - 22,800 yuan/ton [7]. Copper - In the medium - to - long - term, the supply - demand contradiction supports the upward movement of the bottom center of copper prices. Pay attention to macro - drivers such as overseas interest - rate cut expectations. The main reference range is 85,500 - 87,500 yuan/ton [8]. Nickel - The macro - situation is temporarily stable, and the fundamentals remain weak. However, due to upstream production cuts and low valuations, the market may oscillate and repair. In the medium term, the abundant supply will still restrict the upward space of prices. The main reference range is 116,000 - 120,000 yuan/ton [9]. Aluminum Alloy - The price of ADC12 is expected to maintain an oscillating pattern in the short term, with the main contract operating in the range of 20,300 - 20,900 yuan/ton. Pay attention to the improvement of scrap aluminum supply and the change in downstream procurement rhythm [11]. Stainless Steel - The policy - driven effect is difficult to be directly transmitted in the short term, cost support is weakening, and the fundamental structure has not improved significantly. There is still pressure on the supply - side steel mill production schedule and social inventory, and the demand is weak in the off - season. It is expected to oscillate, with the main operating range of 12,300 - 12,700 yuan/ton [13]. Lithium Carbonate - The market is expected to oscillate and adjust in the short term, with the main reference range of 90,000 - 95,000 yuan. Although the market has a bullish sentiment, there is limited substantial new driving force [15]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Spot Prices and Basis - **Industrial Silicon**: The spot prices of various grades of industrial silicon remained stable on November 25, 2025, while the basis of some varieties decreased. For example, the basis of East China oxygen - containing S15530 industrial silicon decreased by 20 yuan to 540 yuan, with a decline of 3.57% [1]. - **Polysilicon**: The spot price of polysilicon remained stable, while the price of battery cells decreased. The main contract of polysilicon futures closed at 54,730 yuan/ton, up 1,415 yuan/ton [2]. - **Tin**: The spot prices of SMM 1 tin and Yangtze River 1 tin increased by 1,700 yuan/ton on November 26, 2025, with a rise of 0.58%. The LME 0 - 3 spread increased by 18.32 US dollars/ton, with a rise of 19.15% [4]. - **Aluminum**: The price of SMM A00 aluminum increased by 80 yuan/ton on November 26, 2025, with a rise of 0.37%. The price of alumina in various regions remained stable [6]. - **Zinc**: The price of SMM 0 zinc ingot increased by 20 yuan/ton on November 26, 2025, with a rise of 0.09%. The import loss was - 4,312 yuan/ton, a decrease of 32.69 yuan/ton [7]. - **Copper**: The price of SMM 1 electrolytic copper increased by 375 yuan/ton on November 26, 2025, with a rise of 0.43%. The refined - scrap price difference increased by 378.62 yuan/ton, with a rise of 13.42% [8]. - **Nickel**: The price of SMM 1 electrolytic nickel increased by 800 yuan/ton on November 26, 2025, with a rise of 0.68%. The price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron decreased by 2 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.22% [9]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The price of SMM aluminum alloy ADC12 remained stable on November 26, 2025. The refined - scrap price difference of some regions changed, such as the refined - scrap price difference of Foshan crushed primary aluminum increased by 80 yuan/ton, with a rise of 4.57% [11]. - **Stainless Steel**: The price of 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 coil) remained stable at 12,700 yuan/ton on November 26, 2025, while the price of 304/2B (Foshan Hongwang 2.0 coil) increased by 100 yuan/ton, with a rise of 0.79% [13]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The prices of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate, industrial - grade lithium carbonate, etc. decreased slightly on November 26, 2025. For example, the price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 100 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.11% [15]. Monthly Spreads - Different contracts of various metals showed different changes in monthly spreads. For example, in industrial silicon, the spreads of contracts such as 2512 - 2601 remained unchanged; in tin, the spread of 2601 - 2602 increased by 450 yuan/ton, with a rise of 107.14% [1][4]. Fundamental Data Production - **Industrial Silicon**: In November, the national industrial silicon production is expected to decline to around 400,000 tons. In October, the national industrial silicon production was 452,200 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.46%. The production in Xinjiang increased by 15.94%, while that in Yunnan and Sichuan decreased [1]. - **Polysilicon**: The monthly production in October was 134,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.08%. The weekly production was 27,100 tons, a week - on - week increase of 1.12% [2]. - **Tin**: In October, SMM refined tin production was 16,090 tons, a month - on - month increase of 53.09%. The average operating rate was 66.81%, a month - on - month increase of 53.23% [4]. - **Aluminum**: In October, alumina production was 778,530 tons, a month - on - month increase of 2.39%; electrolytic aluminum production was 374,210 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.52% [6]. - **Zinc**: In October, refined zinc production was 617,200 tons, a month - on - month increase of 2.85% [7]. - **Copper**: In October, electrolytic copper production was 1,091,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.62% [8]. - **Nickel**: In October, China's refined nickel production was 35,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.84% [9]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: In October, the production of recycled aluminum alloy ingots was 645,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.42%; the production of primary aluminum alloy ingots was 286,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.06% [11]. - **Stainless Steel**: In October, the production of Chinese 300 - series stainless steel crude steel (43 enterprises) was 1,787,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.72% [13]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: In October, lithium carbonate production was 92,260 tons, a month - on - month increase of 5.73% [15]. Import and Export - Different metals have different import and export trends. For example, the import of refined tin in October decreased by 58.55% month - on - month, and the export decreased by 15.33% month - on - month; the import of electrolytic aluminum in October increased by 0.61% month - on - month, and the export decreased by 15.18% month - on - month [4][6]. Operating Rate - The operating rates of different industries also vary. For example, the national operating rate of industrial silicon in October was 68.12%, a month - on - month increase of 9.98%; the operating rate of aluminum profiles was 52.10%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.95% [1][6]. Inventory Changes - Different metals have different inventory trends. For example, the social inventory of industrial silicon increased by 0.37% week - on - week; the SHEF inventory of tin decreased by 0.46% week - on - week [1][4].

Summary of Conference Call on Rare Earth Materials Industry Company and Industry Overview - The document discusses the rare earth materials industry, specifically focusing on Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals (formerly known as Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals) and its integration into the China Rare Earth Group [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments - **Company Name Change**: The renaming of Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals to Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals signifies a deeper integration of state-owned enterprises in the rare earth sector, reflecting a broader business scope that includes tungsten and copper [2][4]. - **Market Sentiment**: The name change and the transfer of 100% equity of Guangdong Rare Earth Group to China Rare Earth Group are expected to catalyze market sentiment, potentially driving the sector's performance in the coming months [2][4]. - **Asset Composition**: Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals has a comprehensive asset layout, including rare earth (Huaqi Company, New District Trade), tungsten (Shirenzhang, Hongling Tungsten Mine), and copper (Dabaoshan Copper Mine), forming a complete industrial chain from mining to smelting [1][4][5]. - **Production Capacity**: The total rare earth production capacity is expected to nearly double with the commissioning of the Zuo Gong Mine, while the smelting capacity at Fuyuan Company is also projected to increase [1][5]. - **Financial Performance**: Excluding the pressure from magnetic materials, Zhongxi's expected performance for the year is over 300 million RMB, with a valuation lower than its peers [1][5]. - **Valuation Comparison**: Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 60, compared to 120 for its peers, indicating significant room for valuation correction [1][6][7]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The rare earth sector is experiencing a bullish trend due to several factors, including a 15% year-on-year increase in exports in October and a 20% increase in rare earth permanent magnet exports in Q3 [8][11]. - **Regulatory Environment**: The introduction of the "Rare Earth Management Regulations" and the "Total Control Management Measures for Rare Earth Mining" is expected to tighten supply and enhance the market's regulatory framework [11]. - **Supply Chain Concerns**: The anticipated closure of tin mines in Myanmar by the end of 2025 is expected to tighten supply, further supporting price increases in the rare earth sector [11]. Future Outlook - **Growth Potential**: Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals is projected to have a growth potential of 50%-100% in the short term due to favorable policies and supply-side reforms [3][9]. - **Comparative Analysis**: Baogang Co. and Northern Rare Earth are also highlighted as having significant upside potential, with Baogang expected to see a price increase of over 50% due to its valuation correction [10].

Industry Overview and Price Trends - The steel industry is entering a demand off-season, leading to increasing fundamental pressure on steel prices, which are expected to fluctuate at low levels in the short term [2] - Copper supply remains tight due to accidents at major overseas mines, providing support for copper prices. China's significant waste copper imports may face constraints if the EU restricts exports, potentially tightening domestic copper supply next year [2] - Aluminum prices are expected to remain volatile due to weak demand in the domestic off-season and a lack of support from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations [2] - Gold prices face upward pressure due to better-than-expected U.S. non-farm employment data and diverging opinions among Federal Reserve officials [2] - The lithium industry shows positive fundamentals, with adjustments to trading rules for lithium carbonate contracts aimed at curbing speculative behavior, leading to increased price volatility in the short term [2] - Rare earth prices are expected to fluctuate without significant improvement in downstream demand [2] Weekly Strategy - For the steel industry, the implementation of steady growth policies is expected to improve the competitive landscape and enhance profitability, with demand in shipbuilding and construction likely to increase [3] - The copper industry is anticipated to benefit from tightening global supply due to accidents at major mines, while demand is expected to rise in key sectors such as electric power grids and new energy vehicles [3] - In the aluminum sector, the release of new alumina project capacities is expected to keep alumina prices low, while demand from new energy vehicles and high-voltage power grids may support aluminum prices [4] - Gold prices will be influenced by U.S. economic data, Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, and geopolitical tensions, with long-term factors such as central bank gold purchases enhancing gold's attractiveness [4] - The rare earth industry is expected to see a revaluation of related companies due to upgraded export controls, with strategic value in resources and advancements in robotics and new energy sectors driving future demand [4] - The cobalt market is projected to remain tight due to constrained supply from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand from new energy vehicles and consumer electronics is expected to support prices [5] Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the steel industry and the non-ferrous metals sector, with specific companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), Zhongjin Gold (600489), Huayou Cobalt (603799), Zijin Mining (601899), and China Aluminum (601600) receiving "overweight" ratings [6]

Investment Highlights - Precious Metals: Maintain a strong hold and await the next major uptrend. Precious metals continue to fluctuate, with volatility decreasing but remaining within a downward range. It is suggested to continue buying gold around $3950 per ounce, as the previous rapid price increase may lead to a 2-3 month consolidation period. The long-term trend of de-dollarization is expected to continue, and investors are advised to hold onto low-positioned assets despite volatility [1][2]. - Copper: Supply disruptions are expected to elevate the price center, with adjustments seen as buying opportunities. Copper prices have shown volatility, with LME copper prices declining. The rapid price increase since October, coupled with profit-taking after successful US-China talks and seasonal inventory accumulation, has led to high-level fluctuations. However, due to expected supply-demand tightness in 2026, adjustments are viewed as buying points [1][2]. - Aluminum: The end of the peak season sees rigid supply supporting price levels. LME aluminum prices fell by 2.29%. Although there are risks of inventory accumulation during the off-season, market sentiment improved after price declines. The aluminum price is expected to maintain high-level fluctuations, with long-term price stability anticipated due to potential supply disruptions from overseas power supply issues [2][3]. - Tin: Significant reduction in Indonesian tin ingot imports highlights medium to long-term investment opportunities. Tin prices have steadily increased, remaining above 290,000 yuan per ton, primarily due to a sharp decline in imports from Indonesia. The crackdown on illegal tin mining and the transfer of smelting plants to state-owned enterprises have significantly reduced exports, leading to a tightening supply situation [3]. - Lithium: Significant price adjustments in lithium suggest buying on dips. The price of lithium carbonate has experienced substantial fluctuations due to overheated trading in the futures market. The current market shows a cautious attitude from downstream enterprises, with only rigid demand driving small-scale purchases. The overall supply-demand situation remains robust, and the lithium price is expected to have limited downward adjustments [3]. Investment Recommendations - Companies to focus on include: Dazhong Mining, Guocheng Mining, Zhongkuang Resources, Shengda Resources, Xingye Silver Tin, Chifeng Gold, Zijin Gold International, Zhaojin Gold, Shenhuo Co., and Zijin Mining [4].

Group 1 - The State Council will hold a press conference on November 27 to discuss policies aimed at enhancing the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, and promoting consumption [1] - From January to October, China's total foreign direct investment reached $144.34 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, while new contracts for foreign engineering projects amounted to $210.7 billion, up 18.6% year-on-year [1] - A-share buyback amounts have exceeded 130 billion yuan this year, marking the second-highest level in history, with over 100 companies doubling their stock prices after implementing buybacks [1] Group 2 - The U.S. stock indices rose, with the communication and media sectors leading the gains, while defense and transportation sectors lagged [2] - The financing balance decreased by 2.88 billion yuan to 2.4423 trillion yuan on November 24, indicating cautious market sentiment as the year-end approaches [2] - The "Fifteen Five" plan continues to focus on technological self-reliance, suggesting that the technology sector remains a long-term investment direction [2] Group 3 - Palm oil inventories continue to accumulate, with a 16.4% month-on-month decrease in Malaysian palm oil exports expected for November 1-25 [3] - The domestic supply of rapeseed oil is under pressure due to increased raw material supply, leading to price declines [3] - Rubber prices are expected to fluctuate as supply pressures emerge from overseas production, while domestic production transitions to the off-season [3] Group 4 - The National Space Administration has issued a plan to promote the high-quality and safe development of commercial aerospace from 2025 to 2027, establishing a national commercial aerospace development fund [8]

Core Viewpoint - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has increased, leading to a collective rise in gold and copper prices, with the non-ferrous metal sector showing signs of recovery [1][4]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller reiterated support for a rate cut in December, citing stable inflation and concerns about the labor market [3]. - Goldman Sachs predicts that the Fed will likely initiate a rate cut in December, with potential further cuts in 2025, bringing the benchmark rate down to the 3%-3.25% range [3]. - The current economic conditions suggest a tilt towards accelerated rate cuts if the economic downturn exceeds expectations [3]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Commodity Prices - The market's anticipation of the Fed's rate cut has provided upward momentum for physical asset prices, with COMEX gold and LME copper both rising over 1% [4]. - The copper production target for Freeport-McMoRan in Indonesia has been lowered to 478,000 tons for 2026 due to operational disruptions, which may lead to short-term supply concerns and support higher copper prices [4]. Group 3: Copper Price Projections - UBS has raised its copper price targets for 2026, with the new target set at $13,000 per ton, reflecting a bullish outlook on copper prices [5]. - The copper market is expected to maintain an upward price trend due to supply constraints and increasing demand from sectors like electric power, new energy vehicles, and data centers [8]. Group 4: Non-Ferrous Metal Sector Performance - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) saw significant gains, with leading stocks like Huaxi Nonferrous rising over 8% and several others increasing by more than 3% [6]. - The non-ferrous metal sector is characterized by tight supply and strong demand, with aluminum prices expected to remain high due to limited new capacity and robust demand [9]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted for its high "gold and copper content," with 33% copper and 13% gold, making it a leading choice in the sector [10]. - The ETF has demonstrated superior performance with a cumulative return leading its peers since 2022, driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion [12].