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大行评级丨大摩:相信金风科技股价在未来15天内将下跌 取消增值税退税或影响项目内部回报率
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-21 04:01
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley believes that the stock price of Goldwind Technology will decline in the next 15 days, with a probability of 70% to 80% for this scenario to occur [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - The cancellation of the value-added tax (VAT) rebate may reduce the internal rate of return (IRR) for wind power operators by 0.5% to 0.6% [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates upward pressure on wind turbine prices [1] Group 2: Company Projections - Goldwind Technology has accounted for a VAT rebate of 386 million yuan in 2024 and 112 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [1] - The company is increasing its exposure to overseas markets alongside a moderate recovery in gross margins [1] Group 3: Rating - Morgan Stanley maintains a "Market Perform" rating for Goldwind Technology [1]
6倍以上,36亿千瓦 中国未来“风光无限”
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-21 03:41
中国可再生能源学会风能专业委员会秘书长 秦海岩:到2035年,我国非化石能源消费占比达到30%以上,风电、太阳能发电总装 机容量达到2020年的6倍以上,力争突破36亿千瓦。 央视网消息:记者10月20日从中国电力企业联合会获悉,截至目前,中国风电装机规模已连续15年稳居世界第一。中国风电持续 保持高速稳定发展,正进入年均新增装机1亿千瓦以上的新时代。 最新数据显示,截至目前,全国风电新增并网容量超5784万千瓦,累计并网容量5.8亿千瓦,占全国发电装机容量的15.7%,规模 以上企业风电发电量占全社会用电量的10.1%。 我国风能资源丰富,开发潜力巨大。据了解,"三北"地区陆上风能资源经济技术开发量超过75亿千瓦,通过本地消纳与跨区平 衡,可提供最低成本的电力供应;中东南部陆上风能资源经济技术开发量超过25亿千瓦,因地制宜集约发展空间广阔;离岸300公里 范围内海上风能资源经济技术开发量超过27亿千瓦,已进入大规模商业化开发阶段。同时,我国风电整机企业加快"走出去"步伐,已 实现对全球六大洲57个国家的机组出口,7家整机商已在海外建厂或正在推进建厂计划。 CCTN/4) 中文国际 COM Des ...
天顺风能亮相国际风能展 二十载深耕再启新程
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-21 03:38
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 International Wind Energy Exhibition serves as a significant platform for the industry, showcasing the achievements of TianShun Wind Power's dual-driven strategy of "new energy equipment manufacturing + zero-carbon industrial development" as it celebrates its 20th anniversary [1] Group 1: Dual-Driven Strategy Implementation - TianShun Wind Power has successfully transitioned from land to offshore equipment manufacturing, with an operational wind power capacity of 1.8 GW and an annual clean energy generation of 35.75 billion kWh, reducing CO2 emissions by 3.5 million tons [2] - The debut of TianShun Marine Engineering at the exhibition highlights a new development phase for the equipment manufacturing sector, supported by a global capacity layout that includes operational bases in Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Germany [2] - The company is enhancing its high-value marine engineering business through the Tongzhou Bay base, focusing on specialized shipbuilding and oil and gas modules, while promoting a standardized and modular high-end equipment manufacturing system [2] Group 2: Zero-Carbon Industrial Sector Achievements - In the first half of 2025, TianShun Wind Power made significant progress in acquiring wind power indicators in the Central China region, with plans to enhance project management and operational support through a newly designed integrated monitoring center [3] - The company is steadily advancing its ongoing projects and has seen notable success in exploring green electricity trading models, laying a solid foundation for the release of green asset value and long-term operational stability [3] - Future plans include expanding into East China, Central China, and Southwest regions to tap into renewable energy resources and enhance asset operation efficiency through light asset operation models [3] Group 3: Industry Collaboration and Future Outlook - The exhibition attracted significant attention, with over 100 domestic and international clients engaging in discussions, reflecting the industry's focus on wind energy [4] - The booth design effectively communicated the company's 20-year journey in wind energy and its future direction, fostering a dedicated atmosphere for industry exchanges [4] - Looking ahead, TianShun Wind Power aims to deepen its offshore strategic layout, enhance national presence, and invest in emerging fields such as hydrogen equipment manufacturing and composite materials to cultivate new growth drivers [4]
国家能源局:加快推进以沙戈荒地区为重点的大型风电光伏基地建设
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 03:13
潘慧敏谈到,国家能源局将重点推进以下几项工作:一是坚持本地消纳和外送消纳并重,加快推进以沙 戈荒地区为重点的大型风电光伏基地项目建设;二是规范有序推动省管海域的海上风电开发,积极稳妥 推进深远海海上风电有关工作;三是推动风电集成发展,不断拓展"风电+"模式;四是同上合组织其他 国家一道实施新增"千万千瓦光伏"和"千万千瓦风电"项目,依托"一带一路"、南南合作等平台,加强国 际交流与合作,深化风电产业链供应链国际合作。(刘丽丽)新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多 信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此 操作,风险自担。 责任编辑:宋雅芳 10月21日消息,2025北京国际风能大会暨展览会(CWP 2025)10月20日-22日在京举行。在大会开幕式 上,国家能源局新能源和可再生能源司副司长潘慧敏表示,今年是"十四五"的收官之年,也是谋划"十 五五"的关键之年,更是开启碳达峰的攻坚之年。下一步,国家能源局将准确把握新能源发展新形势、 新要求,积极配合全国人大做好可再生能源法修改工作,科学编制"十五五"可再生能源发展规划,加快 出台《可再生能源消费最低比重目标和 ...
风电股普涨 金风科技涨超6% 三季度风电项目开工步入旺季
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-21 03:11
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong wind power stocks experienced a general increase, driven by the opening of the 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference, which aims to enhance global consensus in the wind power industry and set ambitious installation targets for the coming years [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - Wind power stocks in Hong Kong saw significant gains, with Goldwind Technology rising over 6%, Dongfang Electric increasing by 4.4%, China High-Speed Transmission up nearly 3%, Xintian Green Energy rising by 1.6%, and Longyuan Power gaining 0.39% [2]. Group 2: Industry Developments - The 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference opened on October 20, where the "Beijing Wind Energy Declaration 2.0" was released, proposing an annual new installed capacity of no less than 120 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, doubling the annual installation target set in 2020 [1]. - Industry insiders indicated that with the offshore wind power entering the bidding season, the profitability of the industry is expected to improve continuously, particularly as the third quarter marks the peak season for wind power project commencement, suggesting an acceleration in industry prosperity [1].
港股风电股普遍上涨
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-21 03:10
每经AI快讯,10月21日,港股风电股普遍上涨,其中,金风科技涨超6%,东方电气涨4.4%,中国高速 传动涨近3%,新天绿色能源涨1.6%,龙源电力跟涨。 ...
港股异动丨风电股普涨 金风科技涨超6% 三季度风电项目开工步入旺季
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-21 03:04
Group 1 - The Hong Kong wind power stocks have generally risen, with Goldwind Technology up over 6%, Dongfang Electric up 4.4%, China High-Speed Transmission up nearly 3%, Xintian Green Energy up 1.6%, and Longyuan Power also increasing [1][2] - The 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition, regarded as a "barometer" for China's wind power industry, opened on October 20, where the "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" was officially released [1] - The declaration aims to unify global consensus in the wind power industry, proposing an annual new installed capacity of no less than 120 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, which is double the annual installation target set in 2020 [1] Group 2 - Industry insiders indicate that with the offshore wind power entering the bidding peak season, the profitability of the industry will continue to improve, especially as the third quarter sees a peak in wind power project commencements [1] - The industry is expected to enter a phase of accelerated prosperity, with performance improvements across the entire supply chain, including complete machines and components [1]
更大更轻更智能 中国风电15年领跑全球
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-10-21 03:04
今年以来 中国风电不断刷新新纪录 风电装备创新发展的速度日新月异,记者观察到,今年以来,国内风电主机厂家平均每三个月就会推出 一款新机型:叶片一次比一次长,塔筒一次比一次高,主机容量一次比一次大,仿佛按下"快进键"的中 国风电正在"更大、更轻、更智能"的三条赛道上不断刷新着新的纪录。 这是刚刚发布的业内首个适配全风速范围的风机模型,陆地风机从小到大机型全覆盖。超低风速是它一 大亮点,它的叶片比上代产品加长了6米,叶轮直径可达242米,旋转起来整个扫风范围多出4000多平方 米,相当于多出了10个篮球场的面积。目前,大部分主流风机到了每秒4.8米的弱风条件就不能发电 了,但是它即便是在每秒4.5米的超低风速下也能正常发电。 不只是低风速风机创新满满,在风力资源优良的高风速地区,采用12.5大兆瓦陆地风电机型,却能让一 个100万千瓦风场的风机数量减少20台,建设成本降低20%。 这是已投运的全球最大漂浮式海上风电平台,它有着非常独特的"Y"字双主机造型,单体容量达16.6兆 瓦。投运仅一年,又发布了最新的25兆瓦机型,不仅如此,50兆瓦的新机型也正在研制当中。可以看出 我国的风电装备快速迭代,迈向深远海的步伐不 ...
国元香港晨报-20251021
Guoyuan Securities2· 2025-10-21 03:02
Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the U.S. and global markets, including the signing of a key mineral agreement between the U.S. and Australia, which is expected to enhance the supply of rare earths and minerals [4] - The report notes that the European Union has not reached a new consensus on sanctions against Russia, indicating ongoing geopolitical tensions [4] - Japan's ruling party has signed a coalition governance document, and the Bank of Japan may slightly raise its economic growth forecast for the fiscal year 2025 [4] - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, reflecting a stable economic recovery [4] - The report mentions a mixed trend in housing prices across 70 cities in China, with only five cities experiencing an increase in new home prices [4] - The wind power industry aims for an annual increase of no less than 120 million kilowatts of newly installed capacity during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [4] - Notable corporate performance includes a more than 40% increase in net profit for CATL in the third quarter, and a significant rise in iPhone 17 standard model sales driven by strong demand in the Chinese market [4] Economic Data Summary - The Baltic Dry Index closed at 2069.00, up by 1.12% - The Nasdaq Index closed at 22990.54, up by 1.37% - CME Bitcoin futures reached 111365.00, increasing by 4.40% - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 46706.58, up by 1.12% - ICE Brent crude oil price was 60.94, down by 0.57% - The London gold spot price was 4251.45, down by 1.73% - The U.S. dollar index stood at 98.62, up by 0.07% - The exchange rate for USD to RMB (CFETS) was 7.12, down by 0.05% [5]
“数”里行间见证我国风电持续保持高速稳定发展 “AI+”引领新趋势
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-21 02:55
Core Insights - China's wind power installed capacity has ranked first in the world for 15 consecutive years, entering a new era of adding over 10 million kilowatts annually [1][3] - By 2035, non-fossil energy consumption in China is expected to exceed 30%, with total installed capacity of wind and solar power reaching over six times that of 2020, aiming to surpass 360 million kilowatts [1][3] Wind Power Development - As of now, the newly added wind power capacity in China exceeds 57.84 million kilowatts, with a cumulative installed capacity of 580 million kilowatts, accounting for 15.7% of the national power generation capacity [1] - Wind power generation from large-scale enterprises contributes to 10.1% of the total electricity consumption in society [1] Resource Potential - The "Three North" regions have an economic and technical development potential of over 750 million kilowatts for onshore wind energy, while the central and southeastern regions have over 250 million kilowatts [3] - Offshore wind energy resources within 300 kilometers have a development potential exceeding 270 million kilowatts, entering a phase of large-scale commercialization [3] International Expansion - Chinese wind turbine manufacturers are accelerating their international expansion, exporting to 57 countries across six continents, with seven manufacturers establishing or planning to establish overseas factories [5] Future Goals - The reasonable development target for China's wind power is to add no less than 12 million kilowatts annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan, aiming for a cumulative installed capacity of 1.3 billion kilowatts by 2030 and 5 billion kilowatts by 2060 [7] Technological Innovations - Wind power equipment companies are introducing AI-integrated innovations, enhancing the operational efficiency of wind turbines by allowing them to adjust output based on electricity price fluctuations, potentially increasing profitability by 2% to 2.5% [8][10] - The first AI-integrated wind and storage unit has been developed, which can significantly enhance the revenue of wind farms by over 20% [10] Market Reforms - A new policy mandates that all renewable energy projects must enter the electricity market, with prices determined through market transactions starting June 1, which presents new challenges for wind energy companies due to price volatility [12] Local Economic Impact - The rapid development of wind power has benefited regions like Fuxin in Liaoning, which is transitioning from a coal-based economy to a wind power industry hub, with significant investments in wind turbine manufacturing [16][18] - Fuxin has established itself as a key player in the wind power equipment industry, with a complete supply chain covering core components such as turbines, towers, motors, and electrical equipment [18]