贵金属市场出现史诗级下跌。截至31日收盘，现货黄金盘中一度跌破每盎司4700美元，收盘下跌了 9.6%，回到4860美元附近。现货白银价格盘中更是一度暴跌超过30%，收盘则回到每盎司85美元附近。 受到影响，国内金饰价格31日大幅下调，部分品牌金饰克价较前一日跌超100元。其中，周大福足金饰 品报1625元／克，较前一日跌60元，老庙黄金报1546元／克，较前一日跌144元。 从极速拉升到高位跳水 最近一周，国际黄金市场呈现剧烈波动。数据显示，1月26日早盘，现货黄金率先突破5000美元整数关 口，午后再度攀升至5100美元；1月28日黄金持续爆发，早盘突破5200美元，午后冲上5300美元，尾盘 则升至5400美元，单日连破三道关口；1月29日早盘涨势不减，突破5500美元并逼近5600美元这一重要 整数位，4天内完成6道整百关口的突破，创下全球黄金市场短期上涨新纪录。 不过，这一轮上涨势头在巅峰时刻戛然而止。1月29日当天，金价在创下历史新高后急转直下，现货黄 金价格从每盎司5530美元附近跌至每盎司5105.83美元，日内最大跌幅达5.7%，一度跌超400美元。1月 30日，金价呈现单边急速下行，盘中一 ...

2026年1月30日晚夜盘，豆粕、玉米系列期权正式在大连商品交易所（以下简称"大商所"）挂牌交易， 首批挂牌以M2607、C2607期货合约为标的的系列期权合约。作为国内农产品期权市场的重要创新举 措，系列期权为豆粕、玉米产业链企业提供更灵活高效的套保选择，标志着我国商品期权市场在农产品 领域的期限覆盖与功能适配迈上新台阶。 上海源耀农业公司相关负责人表示，系列期权推出后，能更好地匹配企业偏短期的现货头寸，在期限灵 活性与成本控制方面的优势更为突出。希望交易所未来能研发推出更多短周期期权产品，更好满足产业 企业精细化套保需求。 精准匹配产业短期套保需求 诸城兴贸玉米开发有限公司期货部蒋雷也表达了类似的观点，玉米贸易具有连续性，系列期权能更好匹 配企业月度风险管理节奏，助力稳定生产经营。 据了解，作为大商所首批短周期期权产品，此次挂牌的豆粕、玉米系列期权，是在现有常规期权合约的 基础上增挂的月度期权合约，标的期货合约与常规期权相同，通过新增"MS"专属标识区分交易代码， 形成"常规期权+系列期权"的互补格局，有效满足产业在部分月份上套保工具的空白。 期权市场"量质齐增" 工具持续创新 与常规期权相比，系列期权的 ...

早上好！ 昨夜今晨，黄金、白银价格继续大幅下跌。纽约黄金期价一度跌破4800美元/盎司关口，跌幅超过 10%；白银期价一度跌破80美元/盎司关口，跌幅超过30%。截至收盘，纽约黄金下跌8.35%，报4907.5 美元/盎司；现货黄金重挫9%，报4891.43美元/盎司；纽约白银下跌25.5%，报85.25美元/盎司。国内夜 盘方面，沪金收跌9.83%，沪银收跌17%。 衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨0.73%，在汇市尾市收于96.989。 数据方面，据美国商品期货交易委员会最新消息披露，截至1月27日当周，纽约商品交易所黄金投机客 将净多头头寸削减17742份合约，至121421份合约；白银投机客将净多头头寸削减4032份合约，至7294 份合约。 MKS普安普贵金属公司金属策略主管尼基・希尔斯在一份报告中称：2026年1月的交易已收官，这一月 将成为贵金属市场历史上波动最剧烈的一个月。 火爆的市场为何突然降温？有何突发原因？渣打银行大宗商品研究全球主管苏琪・库珀表示，市场本就 存在回调需求，触发因素或为多重因素叠加，既包括美联储主席人选的公布，也涉及更宏观的资金流动 层面。 弘业期货有色金属研究员 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - Gold and silver prices have experienced significant declines, with New York gold futures dropping over 10% to below $4800 per ounce, and silver futures falling over 30% to below $80 per ounce [1] - As of the close, New York gold was down 8.35% at $4907.5 per ounce, while spot gold fell 9% to $4891.43 per ounce; New York silver decreased by 25.5% to $85.25 per ounce [1][2] - Domestic night trading saw Shanghai gold drop by 9.83% and Shanghai silver by 17% [1] Group 2: Speculative Positions - According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, as of January 27, speculators reduced their net long positions in gold by 17,742 contracts to 121,421 contracts, and in silver by 4,032 contracts to 7,294 contracts [3] Group 3: Market Analysis - The volatility in the precious metals market is attributed to multiple factors, including the announcement of the new Federal Reserve Chair and macro-level capital flows [4] - Analysts suggest that the recent price drops were triggered by a decrease in market panic due to easing tensions in Iran, a strong rebound in the dollar, and profit-taking by long positions [4][5] - Geopolitical tensions, such as the instability in Venezuela and Iran, as well as ongoing conflicts in various regions, have previously driven up precious metal prices due to increased demand for safe-haven assets [5][6] Group 4: Consumer Impact - The rapid fluctuations in gold prices have led to significant daily price changes in retail gold jewelry, with prices increasing by nearly 100 yuan per gram within a day [7][9] - Despite rising prices, consumer demand remains strong, with many buyers motivated by the "buy high, sell higher" mentality [9] Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts believe that while the long-term trend for gold remains upward, there are short-term risks of further corrections [11] - The expectation of continued central bank demand for gold and the potential for increased allocations in a "de-dollarization" context are seen as supportive factors for gold prices in the medium to long term [11]

昨夜今晨，黄金、白银价格继续大幅下跌。纽约黄金期价一度跌破4800美元/盎司关口，跌幅超过 10%；白银期价一度跌破80美元/盎司关口，跌幅超过30%。截至收盘，纽约黄金下跌8.35%，报4907.5 美元/盎司；现货黄金重挫9%，报4891.43美元/盎司；纽约白银下跌25.5%，报85.25美元/盎司。国内夜 盘方面，沪金收跌9.83%，沪银收跌17%。 | 脂自选 总览 | 国内 | 星际 | 今日解读 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 能源化工 | 贵金属 | 有色金属 | | | 名称 | ◀ 最新: | 涨幅%; | 涨跌 # | | 微型COMEX黄金主连 MGCW0 | 4914.9 | -8.22% | -439.9 | | 微型COMEX白银主连 SILWO | 85.16 | -25.58% | -29.27 | | COMEX黄金主连 GCW0 | 4907.5 | -8.35% | -447.3 | | COMEX白银主连 SIWO | 85.250 | -25.50% | -29.179 | | 铂金主连 PLWO | 2178.2 | -16.81 ...

Group 1 - The recent surge in precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver, has led to increased market investment activity, prompting two gold and silver-themed LOF products to announce purchase limits [1] - As of January 28, the international spot gold price reached a new high of $5,300 per ounce, with a daily increase exceeding 2% and a cumulative rise of over 21% since early 2026 [1] - The silver market also experienced a historic surge, with international spot silver prices surpassing $100 per ounce and silver futures rising over 60% since early 2026 [1] Group 2 - Regulatory bodies have taken swift action to curb market overheating and prevent violations, with the Shanghai Futures Exchange adjusting margin requirements and trading limits for nickel and other futures contracts [2] - On January 28, the Shanghai Gold Exchange announced adjustments to the margin levels and price fluctuation limits for silver deferred contracts, effective January 30 [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange also implemented measures against clients who exceeded trading limits in silver and tin futures, indicating heightened regulatory scrutiny in the precious metals market [3] Group 3 - Analysts suggest that the current high investment sentiment in the precious metals market, while supported by macroeconomic narratives, may lead to irrational trading behaviors due to rapid price increases [3] - The manager of the Bosera Gold ETF highlighted gold's role as a strategic investment during periods of economic and political uncertainty, especially as equity market valuations are high and cryptocurrency volatility is declining [4] - Silver's long-term outlook is expected to remain strong due to significant supply growth and increasing demand from sectors like photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and AI data centers, alongside declining inventories [4]

CHIll Andrews 2026年1月30日 中信期货研究所 宏观研究组 投资咨询业务资格: 正监许可 2012 669号 【贵金属】异动点评 1月30日金银价格自高位回落。伦敦金现盘中一度下探至5067美元/盎司附近:伦敦银同步走弱,价格回落至100美元/盎司附 近。在前期连续快速拉升并刷新历史高位后,贵金属整体进入高位震荡并伴随回落,短期价格波动明显放大。 美联储主席提名预期持续扰动市场,美元走强压制贵金属价格。特朗普表示将很快公布下一任美联储主席候选人,市场对 凯文 · 沃什获提名的预期进一步升温,并将其解读为相对更偏鹰的政策情景之一,美元阶段性走强,对金银形成持续压力。 从交易层面看,当前回落仍主要由预期变化与仓位调整驱动,尚未演变为系统性风险出清。 在风险偏好阶段性回落背景下,贵金属出现一定"流动性出清"特征。前期快速上涨积累了较高的短线多头与杠杆头寸, 在美元反弹与政策预期扰动下,获利了结与被动减仓共振,放大了回撤幅度,但并未伴随实际金融条件的系统性收紧。 展望后市,金银预计整体维持高位震荡格局。若沃什提名预期继续强化,美元与政策立场交易或对贵金属形成阶段性压 制,但美联储独立性争议,财政扩张 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The report maintains a bullish view on the precious metals market, expecting an optimistic path for interest rate cuts. However, it suggests short - term investors to wait and watch due to uncertainties in US platinum tariffs and the actual nomination of the Fed Chairman, and to look for buying opportunities after price stabilization [5] Group 3: Summary of Each Section Latest Dynamics and Reasons - On January 30, 2026, due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the decline of market sentiment, platinum and palladium futures contracts on GFEX tumbled. The platinum main contract dropped 8.79% to 657 yuan per gram, and the palladium main contract dropped 7.25% to 48.85 yuan per gram. The change in market expectations due to the possible appointment of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman led to a short - term strengthening of the US dollar, suppressing precious metal prices. Also, OME's increase in margin requirements cooled market sentiment [3] Fundamental Situation - Supply: In 2026, major platinum and palladium mining companies are expected to maintain stable production with output recovery, but overall production is limited due to few new project launches. Global platinum mine and refined production are expected to rise 2.8% and 4.8% to 173.6 tons and 228.2 tons respectively, and palladium mine and refined production are expected to rise 0.3% and 2.2% to 198.9 tons and 209.4 tons respectively. Attention should be paid to short - term supply risks caused by bad weather, labor disputes, and power shortages [4] - Demand: In 2026, global economic recovery will drive the continued recovery of platinum industrial demand and an upward trend in jewelry demand, offsetting the decline in automotive catalyst demand. Platinum investment demand may be stimulated by price fluctuations and domestic futures listing, with an expected 0.7% increase to 266.1 tons. Palladium demand is under significant downward pressure, with an expected 1.7% decline to 282.4 tons [4] - Supply - demand balance: In 2026, there will be a 37.9 - ton shortage in the global platinum market and a 16.9 - ton surplus in the palladium market [4] Summary and Strategy - The short - term geopolitical tension remains unresolved, and the market expects Trump's influence on the Fed to increase. The report maintains a bullish view but suggests short - term investors to wait and watch due to uncertainties and look for buying opportunities after price stabilization [5]

Report Information - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Data Daily Report [1] - Report Date: January 30, 2026 [2] IM Futures Market Overview - The closing price of CSI 1000 was 8,254.86 points, down 0.93%. The main contract of IM fell 0.84% to close at 8,260.6 points. The total trading volume of the four IM contracts was 275,842 lots, an increase of 27,861 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 408,840 lots, a decrease of 2,755 lots from the previous day [4]. - The main contract of IM had a premium of 5.74 points, up 8.95 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was 0.51%. The dividend impacts of the four IM contracts were 0.29 points, 0.29 points, 0.29 points, and 68.05 points respectively [5]. Position Analysis - The trading volume, open interest, and changes of major seats in IM2602, IM2603, IM2606, and IM2609 contracts were detailed, including information on top 5, top 10, and top 20 seats [15][17][19] IF Futures Market Overview - The closing price of CSI 300 was 4,706.34 points, down 1.00%. The main contract of IF fell 1.32% to close at 4,711 points. The total trading volume of the four IF contracts was 179,201 lots, an increase of 19,397 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 332,644 lots, an increase of 9,087 lots from the previous day [20][21]. - The main contract of IF had a premium of 4.66 points, down 25.47 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was 0.72%. The dividend impacts of the four IF contracts were 3.69 points, 3.72 points, 3.72 points, and 89.63 points respectively [21]. Position Analysis - The trading volume, open interest, and changes of major seats in IF2602, IF2603, IF2606, and IF2609 contracts were detailed, including information on top 5, top 10, and top 20 seats [34][36][38] IC Futures Market Overview - The closing price of CSI 500 was 8,370.52 points, down 1.73%. The main contract of IC fell 2.07% to close at 8,362.4 points. The total trading volume of the four IC contracts was 248,185 lots, an increase of 43,907 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 349,459 lots, a decrease of 4,373 lots from the previous day [40][41]. - The main contract of IC had a discount of 8.12 points, down 7.88 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was -0.71%. The dividend impacts of the four IC contracts were 0.44 points, 0.44 points, 0.44 points, and 98.36 points respectively [41]. Position Analysis - The trading volume, open interest, and changes of major seats in IC2602, IC2603, IC2606, and IC2609 contracts were detailed, including information on top 5, top 10, and top 20 seats [53][55][57] IH Futures Market Overview - The closing price of SSE 50 was 3,066.50 points, down 1.43%. The main contract of IH fell 1.64% to close at 3,074 points. The total trading volume of the four IH contracts was 77,049 lots, a decrease of 8,823 lots from the previous day, and the total open interest was 122,366 lots, a decrease of 5,863 lots from the previous day [59]. - The main contract of IH had a premium of 7.5 points, down 11.99 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was 1.78%. The dividend impacts of the four IH contracts were 4.95 points, 4.95 points, 4.95 points, and 71.63 points respectively [60]. Position Analysis - The trading volume, open interest, and changes of major seats in IH2602, IH2603, and IH2606 contracts were detailed, including information on top 5, top 10, and top 20 seats [73][76][78]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analyses, the report predicts the trends of various futures contracts on January 30, 2026, and the overall trends of futures main (continuous) contracts in January 2026 [2][3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Outlook - **January 30, 2026 Futures Main Contract Outlook**: - Index futures (IF2603, IH2603, IC2603, IM2603) will fluctuate and consolidate, with specific resistance and support levels provided [2]. - Gold (AU2604), silver (AG2604), copper (CU2603), aluminum (AL2603), nickel (NI2603), tin (SN2603), and lithium carbonate (LC2605) futures will have a weak and wide - range fluctuation, and silver, copper, aluminum, and tin will reach new highs [2]. - Coking coal (JM2605) futures will fluctuate strongly [2]. - Crude oil (SC2603) and fuel oil (FU2603) futures will have a strong and wide - range fluctuation [2]. - **January 2026 Futures Main (Continuous) Contract Outlook**: - Index futures (IF, IH, IC, IM) will generally show a strong or strong - fluctuating trend, and IM will reach a new high [5]. - Gold (AU), silver (AG), copper (CU), aluminum (AL), tin (SN), and lithium carbonate (LC) futures main continuous contracts will be strongly fluctuating and reach new highs [5]. - Nickel (NI) futures main continuous contract will be strongly fluctuating [5]. - Crude oil (SC) futures main continuous contract will have a strong and wide - range fluctuation [5]. - Coking coal (JM2605) will have a wide - range fluctuation [5]. 3.2 Macro News and Trading Tips - **Domestic News**: - Sino - British leaders met, reaching a series of positive results, including promoting bilateral comprehensive strategic partnership, establishing a financial working group, and China considering visa - free policies for British citizens. China also reduced the import tariff on whisky from 10% to 5% [6]. - The State Council issued a work plan to cultivate new growth points in service consumption, targeting key service consumption areas such as transportation, housekeeping, and online audio - visual [6]. - The Spring Festival travel rush in 2026 is expected to see 9.5 billion cross - regional trips, a record high. Highways will be free for small cars during the Spring Festival, and the railway group introduced new refund policies [6]. - The 2026 National Spring Festival Cultural and Tourism Consumption Month was launched, with about 30,000 cultural and tourism consumption activities, over 360 million yuan in consumption vouchers, and various preferential measures [7]. - The Ministry of Civil Affairs and the Ministry of Finance advanced the central government's subsidy funds for assisting people in difficulty in 2026, amounting to 141 billion yuan, and implemented "small - scale and rapid relief" [7]. - **International News**: - The U.S. Congress Senate failed to advance a government funding bill, and the U.S. federal government is at risk of a partial shutdown [7]. - U.S. President Trump said that Russian President Putin agreed to suspend air strikes on Ukraine for a week due to cold weather. Trump also plans to announce the nomination for the next Fed chair next week and reopen the Venezuelan airspace [8]. - The U.S. trade deficit in November 2025 was $56.8 billion, a 95% increase from the previous month. Exports decreased by 3.6% to $292.1 billion, and imports increased by 5% to $348.9 billion [8]. - Iran will hold a military exercise in the Strait of Hormuz from February 1 to 2, including live - fire shooting [8]. - South Africa is considering imposing a maximum 50% tariff on imported vehicles from China and India [8]. 3.3 Commodity Futures - Related Information - On January 29, the CME Group raised the margin for COMEX copper futures by 20% and the initial margin for COMEX 100 gold futures from 5% to 6%, effective after the close on January 30 [8]. - In 2025, global gold demand reached 5,002 tons, a record high, with a total demand value of $555 billion. Gold investment demand reached 2,175 tons, and gold ETFs increased by 801 tons [9]. - On January 29, international precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.32% to $5,410.80 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 1.98% to $115.78 per ounce [9]. - On January 29, U.S. and Brent crude oil futures rose, with geopolitical risks driving up supply - disruption expectations [9]. - Venezuela's National Assembly passed a bill to reform the oil law, allowing private and foreign investment in the oil industry [9]. - On January 29, London base metals showed mixed results, with LME copper up 4.73%, LME zinc up 2.65%, and LME nickel up 1.37%, while LME tin fell 2.6% [10]. - On January 29, the on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 6.946, down 7 basis points, and the night - session closed at 6.9506. The central parity rate was 6.9771, down 16 basis points [10]. - The U.S. Treasury added 10 economies to the foreign - exchange monitoring list [10]. - On January 29, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.20% to 96.16, and most non - U.S. currencies rose [11]. 3.4 Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Index Futures**: - On January 29, IF2603, IH2603, and IM2603 showed different trends, with short - term upward or downward pressures [11][12][13]. - IC2603 had a short - term decline, with reduced upward momentum and increased downward pressure [13]. - A - shares had a narrow - range consolidation on January 29, with different performances among major indices [14]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose on January 29, reaching a nearly 4 - year high [14]. - U.S. and European stock markets had mixed performance on January 29 [15]. - **Gold Futures**: - On January 29, AU2604 had a significant increase, reaching a new high. During the night - session on January 29 - 30, it declined, with increased short - term downward pressure [34][35]. - The precious metal market had large fluctuations on January 29 [36]. - **Silver Futures**: - On January 29, AG2604 rose significantly, reaching a new high. During the night - session on January 29 - 30, it had a wide - range decline, with increased short - term downward pressure [39][40]. - **Copper Futures**: - On January 29, CU2603 rose significantly, reaching a new high. During the night - session on January 29 - 30, it continued to rise, with increased short - term downward pressure [47]. - **Aluminum Futures**: - On January 29, AL2603 had a weak rise, reaching a new high. During the night - session on January 29 - 30, it continued to rise, with increased short - term downward pressure [51]. - **Nickel Futures**: - On January 29, NI2603 rose slightly, with short - term upward momentum [59]. - **Tin Futures**: - On January 29, SN2603 rose slightly, with short - term upward momentum [62]. - **Lithium Carbonate Futures**: - On January 29, LC2605 declined slightly, with increased short - term downward pressure [68]. - **Coking Coal Futures**: - On January 29, JM2605 rose, with short - term upward momentum [72]. - **Crude Oil Futures**: - On January 29, SC2603 rose, with short - term upward momentum [79]. - **Fuel Oil Futures**: - On January 29, FU2603 rose, with short - term upward momentum [84].