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再次刷新纪录!黄金首破4500美元大关,金融市场将迎大洗牌?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 11:25
近期,受委内瑞拉紧张局势升级及美国进一步降息预期影响,黄金价格突破每盎司4500美元关口创历史 新高,白银、铂金同步攀升至历史峰值。 今年以来,黄金价格累计上涨约70%,白银价格实现翻倍,两者均有望创下1979年以来最佳年度表现。 贵金属价格的上涨还得益于各国央行加大购金力度以及资金流入交易所交易基金。 世界黄金协会数据显示,除5月外,黄金交易所交易基金持仓量今年每月均保持增长,其中全球最大贵 金属交易所交易基金——道富环球SPDR黄金信托持仓量年内增幅超五分之一。 此外,美国总统特朗普重塑全球贸易的激进举措及对美联储独立性的威胁,年初已为贵金属牛市添薪助 燃;而担忧债务膨胀导致主权债券及计价货币贬值的"货币贬值交易",也推动投资者撤离相关资产转向 贵金属。 具体品种表现上,白银涨势尤为迅猛,12月23日,首次突破每盎司70美元后,进一步上涨0.7%至每盎 司71.9175美元的历史高点,近期涨势受益于投机资金流入及10月历史性逼空后主要交易中心的供应紊 乱。 当前伦敦金库白银流入量显著增加,但全球多数可交易白银仍滞留纽约,交易员正等待美国商务部关于 关键矿产进口是否威胁国家安全的调查结果,该调查或导致白银面 ...
FPG财盛国际:金银再创历史新高 避险与数据博弈
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 10:54
12月24日,近期贵金属市场表现强劲,FPG财盛国际表示,金银价格在美盘午盘交易中持续走高,并在 今日早些时候双双刷新历史纪录。尽管强劲的美国GDP数据令金价从高位有所回落,但在因假期缩短的 交易周内,地缘政治局势的升温再次点燃了市场的避险需求。 与此同时,地缘局势的摩擦为金价提供了坚实的支撑底部。FPG财盛国际表示,美国近期加强了对相关 地区油轮的封锁行动,导致地区局势陷入僵局,这种不确定性极大地提振了避险资产的吸引力。虽然10 月耐用品订单环比下降2.2%反映出制造业的疲软,但在复杂的国际环境下,市场重心显然更偏向于安 全资产。 从技术层面看,FPG财盛国际认为,2月黄金期货的多头目标将指向4600美元的关键阻力位,而白银多 头则力求站稳75.00美元关口。目前美元指数走软及美债收益率的波动仍是左右短期走势的核心因素。 FPG财盛国际将持续关注地缘局势演变对大宗商品市场的深远影响。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑:陈平 12月24日,近期贵金属市场表现强劲,FPG财盛国际表示,金银价格在美盘午盘交易中持续走高,并在 今日早些时候双双刷新历史纪录。尽 ...
【IC Markets财经日历】金银涨势再创新高,标普500攀至历史顶峰
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 10:02
Core Insights - Precious metals are experiencing a strong bullish trend, with silver surpassing $70 per ounce for the first time and gold approaching the $4500 mark [1][3] - Strong GDP data has boosted demand expectations, leading the S&P 500 index to reach a record closing high [3] - The US dollar continues to weaken under the pressure of interest rate cut expectations [3][7] Market Overview - **Precious Metals**: Silver surged by 3%, breaking the psychological barrier of $70, reaching a historical high of $71.08 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of 145%. Gold rose by 0.8%, peaking at $4497.55 per ounce. The driving factors include safe-haven demand, interest rate cut expectations, and a weak dollar. Silver's performance is attributed to a tighter supply-demand balance and strong industrial demand, which has outpaced gold [4] - **Oil Market**: US crude oil increased by 0.64% to $58.38 per barrel, while Brent crude rose by 0.5% to $62.38 per barrel. The strong US GDP growth rate of 4.3% supports demand expectations, while geopolitical risks in Venezuela and Russia provide supply-side support [5] - **Stock Market**: The S&P 500 index rose by 0.46% to a record closing high of 6909.79 points. The Nasdaq increased by 0.57%, and the Dow Jones rose by 0.16%. The better-than-expected GDP data confirms the resilience of the US economy, boosting market sentiment. Nvidia led the tech sector, and growth stocks performed well as the market enters the seasonally bullish "Santa Claus rally" period [6] - **Currency Market**: The US dollar index fell by 0.2% to 98.02, reaching its lowest level since early October. Despite strong GDP data, the market remains convinced that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path in 2026 will not change, putting continued pressure on the dollar. The Japanese yen rebounded by 0.5% amid warnings of intervention from Japanese authorities [7]
金银铂钯齐涨 贵金属缘何连创新高?
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-12-24 09:50
(原标题:金银铂钯齐涨 贵金属缘何连创新高?) 12月24日早盘,伦敦现货黄金再度走高,历史首次突破每盎司4500美元。 贵金属缘何"牛气冲天"?业内人士普遍认为,金银铂钯的大幅上涨已不是由单一的避险和抗通胀等传统 因素推动,而是美元信用、市场情绪等多重因素"共振"的结果。 "2025年,影响黄金市场的最大因素可能还是投资者对美元信用和美国主权债务的担忧。"在世界黄金协 会中国区CEO王立新看来,这是驱动全球央行、机构和个人投资者涌入黄金市场的底层因素。 "美元债务的大幅扩张推动黄金等贵金属成为投资者眼中更安全的资产,其价格也'水涨船高'。"上海息 壤实业黄金圈首席分析师蒋舒表示,美联储降息预期提升、地缘政治持续紧张等因素也对金价构成支 撑。 为何今年以来白银、铂金等品种的涨幅更大?业内人士分析称,从需求侧来看,上述贵金属的工业需求 持续增加,支撑其价格走牛。 世界白银协会的报告认为,受益于在导电和导热方面的卓越性能,白银正成为全球经济转型不可或缺的 关键金属之一。其中,光伏和电动汽车产业的快速发展,数据中心和人工智能领域的爆发式扩张,对白 银需求构成支撑。 铂金的前景同样被看好。在工业领域,铂金主要用于生产 ...
美元续跌 金属近全线飘红 碳酸锂涨超5% 沪银涨逾8% 铂钯再涨停
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 09:08
Metal Market - Domestic base metals collectively rose, with nickel leading at a 4.68% increase, reaching a peak of 130,880 yuan/ton, a new high since April 2025 [1] - Copper rose by 2.33%, hitting a record high of 96,750 yuan/ton, while lead increased by 1.53% [1] - Lithium carbonate surged by 5.89%, reaching a peak of 127,880 yuan/ton, a new high since November 2023 [1] - In the black metal sector, stainless steel rose by 1.4%, and iron ore increased by 0.26% [1] - Internationally, base metals also saw gains, with tin up by 1.23% and copper reaching a historical high of $12,282/ton [1] Precious Metals - COMEX gold rose by 0.37%, reaching a historical high of $4,555.4/ounce [2] - COMEX silver increased by 1.83%, peaking at $72.75/ounce, also a historical high [2] - Domestic gold rose by 0.63%, hitting a new high of 1,022.88 yuan/gram, while silver surged by 8.12%, reaching 17,671 yuan/kilogram [2] - Platinum and palladium both saw significant increases, with platinum up by 7% and palladium by 6.99% [2] Macro Environment - In November, China's total electricity consumption increased by 6.2% year-on-year, totaling 835.6 billion kWh [5] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the need for strategic restructuring and high-quality mergers in state-owned enterprises [7] - The People's Bank of China conducted a net withdrawal of 208 billion yuan through reverse repos [7] - The US dollar index fell by 0.08% to 97.82, marking three consecutive declines [8]
圣诞假期金属集体狂飙,金银铜再创新高,超预期经济数据打击降息预期,全球股市走低
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-12-24 08:33
Core Viewpoint - Stronger-than-expected U.S. economic growth data has diminished market expectations for a recent Federal Reserve interest rate cut, leading to a general decline in global stock markets while commodities surge, particularly precious metals and agricultural products [1][2]. Economic Data and Market Reactions - U.S. stock index futures fell, with the Dow Jones futures down over 0.1%, S&P 500 futures down 0.13%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.12% [2]. - Asian stock indices also declined, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down 0.1% and South Korea's Seoul Composite Index down 0.2% [2]. Currency Movements - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.2%, while the Japanese yen strengthened for three consecutive days, trading at 155.67 against the dollar [3]. - The South Korean won also appreciated, nearing the psychologically significant 1500 won per dollar mark, which has only been breached during extreme market pressures [6]. Commodity Price Trends - Gold prices initially surpassed $4500 per ounce before slightly retreating to $4485, marking a significant increase of over two-thirds this year [3][8]. - Silver prices rose nearly 1% to $72.11 per ounce, driven by both investment and industrial demand [11]. - Platinum prices reached a historical high above $2300 per ounce, influenced by supply shortages from major producing countries [14]. - London copper prices hit a record high, surpassing $12224 per ton [17]. - Chicago wheat futures continued to rise for five consecutive trading days, driven by supply concerns due to geopolitical issues and adverse weather conditions in the U.S. [18].
收评:创业板指、深成指均涨近1% 商业航天板块集体爆发 上涨个股超4100只
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 08:12
Market Overview - The market experienced an upward trend with the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index both rising nearly 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.88 trillion, a decrease of 19.6 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Superjet and New Ray Energy hitting the daily limit of 20% [4] - The CPO sector also performed well, with multiple stocks including Huanxu Electronics and Shengyi Technology reaching their daily limit [4] - The paper industry saw a late surge, with Qingshan Paper hitting the daily limit [1] - Conversely, the precious metals sector opened high but closed lower, with Shanjin International leading the declines [1] - The insurance sector weakened, with Xinhua Insurance experiencing the largest drop [1] Key Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3940.95 points, up 0.53% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13486.42 points, up 0.88% [2] - The ChiNext Index closed at 3229.58 points, up 0.77% [2] Notable Sectors - The terahertz, other power supply equipment, and military electronics sectors had the highest gains [3] - The precious metals, insurance, and dairy sectors experienced the largest declines [3] CPO Market Insights - A report from LightCounting indicates that the CPO market is expected to reach a scale of 10 billion USD by 2030 [5]
截至2025年12月22日,伦敦现货黄金突破4400美元/盎司(年内涨68%)。
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 08:03
截至2025年12月22日,伦敦现货黄金突破4400美元/盎司(年内涨68%),白银首破69美元/盎司(年内涨139%),创历史新高。本轮行情呈现三大核心特 征: 短期:黄金ETF持仓回落0.8%,白银LOF溢价率57%创历史新高,获利盘抛压加剧波动 中期:美联储降息路径存变,若美国11月CPI反弹可能推迟宽松,金银比存在回调压力 技术:光伏银浆降银技术普及或削弱需求增速,白银缺乏央行购金支撑 黄金:技术面突破2011-2020年下降通道,高盛预测2026年或达4900美元,对应40%上行空间 白银:突破50美元关键阻力位,杯柄形态确认后理论目标86美元,工业属性支撑长期牛市 面对复杂市场,投资者需要的不是盲目追高的勇气,而是基于深刻理解的策略纪律。 明确资产定位,差异化配置: 一、驱动逻辑重构 二、风险暗礁显现 三、周期定位判断 黄金:货币信用重估驱动 美元信用体系受美国债务/GDP突破130%冲击,全球央行前三季度净购金634吨,中国连续13个月增持 地缘风险溢价持续,美委冲突、中东局势等事件频发,避险需求占比升至35% 白银:工业+金融双轮共振 光伏用银占比突破55%(2025年需求7560吨),AI服 ...
技术刘报告:国际现货黄金逼近枢轴点 美指宽幅震荡
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-12-24 07:57
Group 1 - The article discusses the updates on various international commodities, including gold and silver [2][4] - It highlights the performance of foreign exchange currency pairs, specifically the US Dollar Index and its comparisons with other currencies like Euro, British Pound, and Japanese Yen [6][8][10][12][14]
【A股收评】三大指数集体上攻,商业航天卷土重来
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 07:47
Market Performance - The three major indices strengthened again, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.53%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.88%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.77%. The STAR Market 50 Index rose by 0.9%. Over 3,900 stocks in the two markets were in the green, with a total trading volume reaching approximately 1.88 trillion yuan [2] AI and Liquid Cooling Sector - AI power and liquid cooling concept stocks led the gains, with Zhongheng Electric (002364.SZ) and Maigemeite (002851.SZ) both rising by 10%, and Oulutong (300870.SZ) increasing by over 9%. Haibosi Chuang (688411.SH) saw significant gains. According to a report from Western Securities, NVIDIA's GTC conference in 2025 revealed that orders for Blackwell and Rubin are estimated at around 14 million GPUs for the next five quarters, with the liquid cooling market size for NVIDIA projected to be conservatively/optimistically around $6.9 billion/$9.7 billion by 2026. The domestic liquid cooling market is expected to see high growth opportunities due to the rapid increase in the adoption of AI super node integrated systems [3] Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a resurgence, with Chaojie Co., Ltd. (301005.SZ) rising by 20%, Shenjian Co., Ltd. (002361.SZ) achieving five consecutive trading limits, and Aerospace Power (600343.SH) increasing by 10%. Aerospace Development (000547.SZ) rose by over 9% [4] IPO and Reusable Rockets - The China Securities Regulatory Commission disclosed that Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO counseling work has been officially completed, with China International Capital Corporation as the counseling institution. Open Source Securities stated that the large-scale application of commercial aerospace heavily relies on low-cost, high-frequency launch capabilities, with reusable rockets being key. China's recoverable rockets have entered the engineering verification stage, with multiple rocket types, including Blue Arrow's Zhuque-3 and Long March 12甲, undergoing intensive test flights. It is expected that the next three years will see a phase of simultaneous launching and iteration in commercialization [5] Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic sector showed strong fluctuations, with perovskite battery stocks leading the gains. Dongfang Risen (300118.SZ) rose by over 10%, Junda Co., Ltd. (002865.SZ) hit the daily limit of 10%, and Saiwu Technology (603212.SH) and Maiwei Co., Ltd. (300751.SZ) also saw increases. Analysts noted that perovskite batteries possess core advantages such as ultra-lightweight, low cost, high radiation resistance, and flexibility, making them a revolutionary solution to address energy bottlenecks in space and support the scaling of the space economy [5] Semiconductor Sector - Semiconductor concept stocks were active, with Huahai Chengke (688535.SH) rising by 12.88%, Demingli (001309.SZ) increasing by over 9%, and both SMIC (688981.SH) and Chipone (688521.SH) also seeing gains. Reports indicated that SMIC has implemented price increases on some production capacities, with an increase of about 10%. Additionally, NVIDIA has informed Chinese customers that it plans to deliver its second-ranked AI chip, H200, to them in mid-February next year [6] Declining Sectors - The precious metals, liquor, and insurance sectors weakened, with Western Gold (601069.SH), Kweichow Moutai (600519.SH), and New China Life Insurance (601336.SH) all experiencing declines [7]