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二次布林线突破预警!港股牛味十足,如何布局?
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-10 02:23
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the Hang Seng Technology Index, is experiencing significant upward momentum, raising questions about the potential for a bull market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index has seen a year-to-date increase of over 21%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index has outperformed with a 27% rise, exceeding the Hang Seng Index by approximately 6% [3]. - The Southbound capital has continuously invested in Hong Kong stocks, with a net inflow exceeding 650 billion HKD by the end of May, representing 80% of last year's total [3]. - The Hong Kong Technology Index has shown a remarkable increase of 53% since September 2024, outperforming the Hang Seng Technology Index by about 7% [4]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The Hong Kong Technology Index includes a broader sector distribution, with an additional 10% allocation to pharmaceuticals compared to the Hang Seng Technology Index, which may explain its superior performance [4]. - The Hong Kong stock market is home to unique assets not available in the A-share market, particularly in the internet and AI sectors, making it more attractive for investment [6]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - Several international investment banks, including Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley, have raised their economic growth forecasts for China in 2025, which is expected to attract more capital back to the Chinese market [6]. - Nomura has increased its GDP growth forecast for China's second quarter from 3.7% to 4.8%, and has raised its full-year GDP growth prediction by 0.5 percentage points [6]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - The Hong Kong Technology Index currently has a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 22.04, placing it in the 5.36% percentile, indicating it is cheaper than 95% of historical periods [8]. - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility Index has a dividend yield of 7.91%, which is higher than that of the A-share dividend index, making it a more attractive option for investors [11]. - The ETF fund size has increased by 250 million this year, suggesting a growing interest in diversified investment strategies that combine both technology and dividend-focused ETFs [13].
涨嗨了!两个月涨超200%,两年涨十倍!今天再度20CM涨停!“吃药行情”回归!创新药板块集体狂欢!
雪球· 2025-06-09 07:36
A股三大指数今日高开高走,截至收盘,沪指涨0.43%,一度站上3400点,收3399.77点,深 成指涨0.65%,创业板指涨1.07%。全市场成交额13126亿元,较上日放量1355亿元。全市场 超4100只个股上涨。 今天盘面上生物医药板块"霸榜", A股概念板块涨幅榜前列被多个医药行业细分板块"占领", 减肥药、CRO概念、创新药、毛发医疗、阿尔茨海默概念等板块涨幅排在前列。车圈大佬周末 大打口水仗,今天汽车板块虽然表现平淡,但是仍有较高关注度。 一起来看今天的热点。 01 强势霸榜,生物医药领涨两市! 生物医药板块 今日表现强劲,创新药方向成为市场焦点。板块指数放量大涨逾4%,创下历史 新高。星昊医药冲击30%涨停,海辰药业、睿智医药等多股触及20cm涨停板,众生药业等近 20只个股强势涨停 或涨超10%。 此外, 常山药业自从4月9日最低点15.75元至今,两个月股价涨幅超过200%,2023年8月股 价最低4.3元,至今涨超十倍,强势领涨创新药板块。 常山药业近期大涨主要是受到其减肥药预期的推动。艾本那肽是常山药业以控股子公司常山凯 捷健为主体进行研发注册的1类创新药,作为一种长效胰高血糖素样肽- ...
国元证券晨会纪要-20250609
Guoyuan Securities2· 2025-06-09 06:42
证 券 研 究 报 告 2025 年 6 月 9 日星期一 2 年期美债收益率涨 11.02 个基点报 4.0345% 5 年期美债收益率涨 12.79 个基点报 4.1225% 10 年期美债收益率涨 11.11 个基点报 4.5056% 【实时热点】 【美国债市】 资料来源:BLOOMBERG、AASTOCKS、WIND、格隆汇、国元证券经纪(香港)整理 1 请务必阅读免责条款 美国 5 月非农就业人数增加 13.9 万人,高于市场预期 特朗普仍敦促美联储主席鲍威尔将利率下调一个百分点 美联储哈克:美联储今年晚些时候仍有可能降息 日本央行据悉考虑放缓削减购债规模的步伐 俄央行下调基准利率至 20% 印度央行降息 50 个基点,为今年连续第三次降息 哈佛报告称中国生物技术有望超美 中国 2024 年海洋生产总值首次突破 10 万亿元 崔东树:5 月新能源车促销降到 11%的中高位 雷军:小米 su7ultra 即将入驻《Gran Turismo 7》 【经济数据】 | 重要指数 | 收市价 | 涨跌(%) | 海外市场重要指数 | 收市价 | 涨跌(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
科创新能源ETF(588830)冲击4连阳,5月新能源车促销力度增加,有望带动销量上行
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 05:39
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive momentum in the new energy sector, particularly driven by advancements in solid-state battery technology and increased promotional efforts for new energy vehicles [1][2]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board New Energy Index (000692) saw significant gains, with stocks like Xinyu Ren (688573) up 15.43% and Liyuanheng (688499) up 10.71%, indicating strong market interest [1]. - The promotion intensity for new energy vehicles reached 11% in May 2025, a 1.6 percentage point increase from the previous month, reflecting a recovery in the market and reduced pressure from price wars [1]. Group 2 - Haitong International Securities anticipates that the automotive market will continue to experience "increased revenue without increased profit" in the second half of the year, with stricter regulations limiting mid-tier companies' ability to compete on price [2]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board New Energy Index account for 51.28% of the index, with companies like JinkoSolar (688223) and Trina Solar (688599) leading the list [2].
投资要眼里有光心中有数——访景顺长城基金经理张雪薇
在过去几年的震荡调整行情中,科技成长股遭遇深度调整,不少成长风格的基金经理,遭遇了所管基金 净值下跌和规模缩水的窘境。但也有少数基金经理,依靠乐观、勤奋以及对投资的深刻认知,历经震荡 行情,仍能实现基金业绩和规模的双重增长,备受业内瞩目。 景顺长城基金公司深耕科技投资领域的张雪薇,就是这样一位基金经理。近期,她向上证报记者分享了 她的投资之道。 眼里有光看好中国科技发展的未来 Wind数据显示,截至5月31日,张雪薇管理的景顺长城研究精选、电子信息产业的A份额近1年净值分别 增长20.47%、32.69%,同期业绩比较基准分别为7.37%、29.09%。根据基金季报,截至2025年一季度 末,这两只基金合计规模为110.85亿元。 在张雪薇看来,DeepSeek的出现告诉我们两件事情:一是中国的模型迭代与海外的差距已大大缩小; 二是大模型降本增效,大幅减少了对昂贵算力资源的依赖,打破了海外的生态垄断,也大大提升了市场 对中国人工智能发展的信心。 张雪薇认为,美国硅谷很多人工智能精英是华人,而中国国内其实也是人才济济,只要给这些优秀人才 以好的激励制度,同样可以做出漂亮的产品。DeepSeek就是很好的案例,这 ...
什么是“新消费”?年轻人想要的“情绪价值”到底是什么?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-06 09:46
有人说新消费是 "增长速度快",但新能源车从5%到50%的渗透率跃升、宠物食品年均 30% 的增速,似乎又不止于单纯数字上的狂欢;又有人认为新消费是 "颜值经济",可老铺黄金的传统纹样、泡泡玛特受到争议的IP形象,却在 "丑与美" 的争议中破圈而出。当传统消费逻辑在 "看不懂的市场" 前不再适用,我 们也需要重新审视,了解 "新消费" 这一标签背后,究竟藏着怎样的底层逻辑? 为了解答这些问题,观察者网邀请到东吴证券首席分析师吴劲草,为我们带来对新消费的系统性阐述,以及在新消费场景中,对年轻人"情绪价值"的内涵分 析。 吴劲草 以下是相关内容: 我们希望能够给各位讲述关于新消费是什么的话题,而不是简单的说"新消费"这个词,目前甚至会有人说增长速度快就是新消费这样的观点,而其实对新消 费,我们之前也一直缺乏系统性的阐述。那么我们今天就来做一个系统性的阐述。 新消费的指标 首先,新消费是有指标的,新消费的客观指标有三个,第一个是行业渗透率,第二个是百度搜索指数的破圈,第三个是快速增长,至少是25%以上的增速。 新消费的主观要素中,第一个是可交易,体现为上市公司股票可交易或是二手产品可交易,另一个则是易造梗,也就是品 ...
618大促高峰期渐行渐近!港股消费ETF(159735)跟踪指数午后强势翻红,实时成交额超3300万元排名同指数第一
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 06:55
Group 1 - The 618 shopping festival is recognized as a crucial event for boosting annual consumption, with calls for government support through subsidies and targeted consumption vouchers to stimulate spending in specific regions and demographics [1] - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a V-shaped rebound, with significant gains in sectors such as short videos, food and beverages, home appliances, and blind boxes, indicating strong market interest in consumer stocks [1] - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (159735) tracks the Hong Kong consumption index, which includes a higher proportion of new consumption categories compared to A-shares, reflecting the impact of consumption policies on market recovery [1] Group 2 - The government is actively promoting consumption through measures such as increasing personal and internet consumption loan limits, which is expected to release pent-up consumer demand [2] - The Ministry of Commerce plans to launch a "Healthy Consumption Special Action Plan" during the Consumer Expo, focusing on health-related sectors to expand consumption scenarios [2] - Local governments are also contributing, with initiatives like Hainan's health and wellness industry development plan aimed at enhancing the quality of consumption in the region [2]
6月6日|财经简报 中美贸易冲突升级 美股暴跌 马斯克与特朗普公开互怼
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 03:02
以下是2025年6月6日财经热点的综合分析,结合政策、市场、国际事件及行业动态: --- 1. 央行超预期流动性投放 中国人民银行宣布开展 1万亿元3个月期买断式逆回购操作,为历史单日最高规模,旨在维持市场流动性充裕,对冲6月到期的 1.2万亿元逆回购资金。这是央行首次在月初预告大规模逆回购操作,释放宽松信号,利好股市资金面。 2. 欧洲央行降息与政策转向 欧洲央行将三大关键利率下调25个基点,为连续第八次降息,但暗示宽松周期可能暂停。行长拉加德表示,通胀已接近目标 (1.6%),未来政策将依赖经济数据。市场预期7月或暂停降息。 3. 美联储政策预期 美联储6月维持利率不变概率达97.5%,但7月降息预期升温至32%。非农数据(今晚公布)将影响降息节奏,若超预期可能压制 成长股估值。 --- 1. A股表现 - 指数震荡收涨:上证指数涨0.23%报3378.82点,深成指涨0.58%,创业板指涨1.17%,成交额1.3万亿元,量能显著提升。 - 板块分化: - 科技成长:AI算力(生益电子20%涨停)、光模块(太辰光涨14%)受英伟达市值登顶及政策催化;机器人板块(绿的谐波) 受政策预期提振。 - 港股新消费 ...
创业板指重返60日线,指数仍可看高一线?
第一财经· 2025-06-06 02:23
解锁【第一财经智享会员】实时解读市场动态,把握投资先机。 【第一财经智享会员专属】 【 今 日 早 盘 】 6月6日,三大股指开盘涨跌不一,上证指数开盘报3 3 8 4 . 2 9点, 涨0 . 0 1% ,深成指开盘报 1 0 2 0 5 . 5 2点, 涨0 . 0 2% ,创业板指开盘报2 0 4 7 . 8 7点, 跌0 . 0 4% 。新能源车、小金属、半导 体、中航系概念股走强,一号文件、宠物经济、CPO、数字货币、机器人题材走弱。 今日嘉宾观点 东方证券首席财富顾问赖文靓认为,下半年市场预计将呈现* * * * * *与* * * * * *板块轮动上涨 的格局,当前点位具备较好的布局价值。短期需密切监测市场冲关后的量能持续性,若成交 能有效放大并站稳* * * * * *水平,则有望突破3 4 0 0点;否则,市场可能重回窄幅震荡。在此环 境下,操作上应避免* * * * * *,并灵活把握板块轮动中的* * * * * *机会。另外,6月作为财报真 空期,科技板块值得重点布局;而伴随后续新财报季开启,市场关注点将重回基本面业绩驱 动。 点击一键解锁 今日券商观点 ①中信建投:当前科技成长、整 ...
平安证券晨会纪要-20250606
Ping An Securities· 2025-06-06 01:11
其 他 报 告 2025年06月06日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | | 涨跌幅(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | 3384 | 0.23 | -0.03 | | 深证成份指数 | 10204 | 0.58 | -0.91 | | 沪深300指数 | 3878 | 0.23 | -1.08 | | 创业板指数 | 2049 | 1.17 | -1.40 | | 上证国债指数 | 225 | -0.01 | -0.04 | | 上证基金指数 | 6915 | 0.06 | -0.04 | | | | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | | 今日重点推荐: 【平安证券】债券月报*2025年4月机构行为思考:流动性环境转 好,新增专项债供给偏慢*20250605 研究分析师 : 刘璐 投资咨询资格编号 : S1060519060001 研究助理 : 王佳萌 一般证券从业资格编号 : S1060123070024 核心观点 : 25年4月债券托管规模保持较快增长。2025年4月,债券托管余额同比 增速为15.5%,较3月上升0 ...