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株冶集团:依托五矿,具有黄金属性的铅锌冶炼龙头-20250509
Guoxin Securities· 2025-05-09 01:20
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a reasonable valuation range of 15.41 to 18.49 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 47% to 77% from the current price of 10.24 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the domestic zinc smelting industry, with a comprehensive business model that includes mining, smelting, and sales of non-ferrous metals, particularly lead, zinc, gold, and silver [1][27]. - The company has a robust production capacity, with an annual output of over 40,000 tons of lead and zinc metals, along with 1.8 to 2 tons of gold and approximately 60 tons of silver [1][38]. - The company has recently completed a significant asset restructuring, acquiring core lead and zinc assets, which has enhanced its operational capabilities and resource base [16][47]. Summary by Sections Business Overview - The company primarily engages in the mining and smelting of lead, zinc, and precious metals, with nearly half of its gross profit derived from precious metals [1]. - It operates three mines and has a total mining capacity of 860,000 tons per year, with significant resources in lead, zinc, gold, and silver [2][32]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a substantial increase in net profit, projecting 1.1 billion CNY for 2025, representing a 40% growth from the previous year [4]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 19.4 billion CNY in 2023 to 20.9 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% [4][28]. Resource and Production Capacity - The company has a total lead and zinc metal resource of approximately 870,000 tons, with gold and silver resources of 43 tons and 1,259 tons, respectively [35]. - The mining rights include the Water Mouth Mountain lead-zinc mine and the Bafang copper mine, which contribute to the company's strong resource base [2][19]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights an improving market for zinc processing fees, with domestic zinc concentrate processing fees showing an upward trend, which is expected to enhance smelting profits [2]. - The company benefits from a favorable resource endowment, with high-grade ore and a well-structured supply chain that supports its production needs [32][35].
新能源及有色金属日报:市场观望情绪较重,整体成交一般-20250508
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-08 02:50
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-05-08 市场观望情绪较重 整体成交一般 市场要闻与重要数据 现货方面:2025-05-07,LME铅现货升水为-17.64美元/吨。SMM1#铅锭现货价较前一交易日变化-50元/吨至16550 元/吨,SMM上海铅现货升贴水较前一交易日变化 -25元/吨至0.00元/吨,SMM广东铅现货较前一交易日变化-25元/ 吨至16600元/吨,SMM河南铅现货较前一交易日变化-50元/吨至16525元/吨,SMM天津铅现货升贴水较前一交易日 变化-25元/吨至16600元/吨。铅精废价差较前一交易日变化0元/吨至0元/吨,废电动车电池较前一交易日变化-25元/ 吨至10275元/吨,废白壳较前一交易日变化0元/吨至10150元/吨,废黑壳较前一交易日变化-25元/吨至10500元/吨。 期货方面:2025-05-07,沪铅主力合约开于16740元/吨,收于16700元/吨,较前一交易日变化0元/吨,全天交易日 成交44962手,较前一交易日变化8816手,全天交易日持仓36929手,手较前一交易日变化-1525手,日内价格震荡, 最高点达到16875元/吨,最低点达到16650 ...
铅锌日评:原料不足引发炼厂减产,铅价下方支撑较强,基本面偏弱,锌价或偏弱整理-20250508
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-05-08 02:22
2025/5/8 单位 今值 变动 近期趋势 SMM1#铅锭平均价格 元/吨 16,550.00 -0.30% 期货主力合约收盘价 元/吨 0.00% 16,700.00 沪铅基差 元/吨 -150.00 -50.00 升贴水-上海 元/吨 - - 升贴水-LME 0-3 美元/吨 -17.64 -2.43 升贴水-LME 3-15 美元/吨 -65.80 -0.70 沪铅近月-沪铅连一 元/吨 -50.00 30.00 沪铅连一-沪铅连二 元/吨 10.00 20.00 沪铅连二-沪铅连三 元/吨 5.00 15.00 期货活跃合约成交量 手 44,962.00 24.39% 期货活跃合约持仓量 手 36,929.00 -3.97% 成交持仓比 / 1.22 29.53% LME库存 吨 0.00% 256,700.00 沪铅仓单库存 吨 39,981.00 -0.06% LME3个月铅期货收盘价(电子盘) 美元/吨 0.00% 1,923.00 沪伦铅价比值 / 0.00% 8.68 SMM1#锌锭平均价格 元/吨 22,700.00 -0.39% 期货主力合约收盘价 元/吨 22,210.00 -0.6 ...
黄金:中美谈判略有进展,白银:震荡回落
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-08 01:37
2025年05月08日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报 观点与策略 | 黄金:中美谈判略有进展 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 白银:震荡回落 | 3 | | 铜:库存持续下降,限制价格回落 | 5 | | 铝:价格承压 | 7 | | 氧化铝:继续磨底 | 7 | | 锌:承压运行 | 9 | | 铅:供需双弱,区间震荡 | 10 | | 镍:上下方空间收敛,镍价重回窄幅震荡 | 11 | | 不锈钢:现货补跌修复基差,盘面下方仍有支撑 | 11 | | 锡:假期间价格走弱 | 13 | | 工业硅:需求疲软,盘面弱势 | 15 | | 多晶硅:盘面再创上市新低 | 15 | | 碳酸锂:成本重心延续下移,累库格局制约反弹 | 17 | | 铁矿石:预期反复,宽幅震荡 | 19 | | 螺纹钢:需求预期不佳,低位反复 | 20 | | 热轧卷板:需求预期不佳,低位反复 | 20 | | 硅铁:宏观因素影响,硅铁宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 锰硅:宏观因素影响,锰硅宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 焦炭:震荡偏弱 | 24 | | 焦煤:电煤疏港情绪影响,震荡偏弱 | 24 | | 动力煤:强制疏港情绪影响,震 ...
新能源及有色金属日报:铅价下单询价增多,但实际成交有限-20250507
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-07 05:28
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Cautiously bearish [4] - Arbitrage: Suspended [4] Group 2: Core View of the Report - In the off - season of consumption, the supply and demand of lead may show a weak pattern, and macro uncertainties will continuously interfere with the trend of non - ferrous metals. It is recommended to conduct sell - hedging operations around 17,200 yuan/ton [4] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Market News and Important Data Spot - On May 6, 2025, the LME lead spot premium was -$10.29/ton. The SMM1 lead ingot spot price changed by -100 yuan/ton to 16,600 yuan/ton compared with the previous trading day. SMM Shanghai lead spot premium changed by 0 yuan/ton to 0.00 yuan/ton, SMM Guangdong lead spot changed by -75 yuan/ton to 16,625 yuan/ton, SMM Henan lead spot changed by -100 yuan/ton to 16,575 yuan/ton, and SMM Tianjin lead spot premium changed by -125 yuan/ton to 16,625 yuan/ton. The lead refined - scrap price difference remained unchanged at 0 yuan/ton, the price of waste electric vehicle batteries remained unchanged at 10,300 yuan/ton, the price of waste white shells remained unchanged at 10,150 yuan/ton, and the price of waste black shells changed by 50 yuan/ton to 10,525 yuan/ton [2] Futures - On May 6, 2025, the main contract of SHFE lead opened at 16,755 yuan/ton, closed at 16,700 yuan/ton, a change of -140 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 36,146 lots, a change of 1,712 lots from the previous trading day, and the position was 38,454 lots, a change of 2,348 lots from the previous trading day. The intraday price fluctuated, with the highest point reaching 16,780 yuan/ton and the lowest point reaching 16,625 yuan/ton. In the night session, the main contract of SHFE lead opened at 16,740 yuan/ton, closed at 16,675 yuan/ton, a 0.05% decrease from the afternoon close [3] Inventory - On May 6, 2025, the total SMM lead ingot inventory was 46,000 tons, a change of 600 tons from the same period last week. As of November 28, the LME lead inventory was 261,500 tons, a change of -100 tons from the previous trading day [3]
铅锌日评:原料偏紧与需求不佳博弈,铅价区间整理,沪锌宽幅整理-20250507
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-05-07 02:43
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 铅锌日评20250507:原料偏紧与需求不佳博弈,铅价区间整理;沪锌宽幅整理 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/5/7 | 指标 | 单位 | | | 今值 | | 变动 近期趋势 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | SMM1#铅锭平均价格 元/吨 | | 16,600.00 | | | -0.60% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 沪铅期现价格 | | 期货主力合约收盘价 ...
有色早报-20250506
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-05-06 11:17
| 日期 | 沪锌现货进口盈利 | 沪锌期货进口盈利 | 锌保税库premium | LME C-3M | LME锌库存 | LME锌注销仓单 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/04/24 | -217.88 | -833.44 | 140 | -33 | 182300 | 31700 | | 2025/04/25 | -150.12 | -851.44 | 140 | -35 | 180050 | 29575 | | 2025/04/28 | -52.89 | -707.36 | 140 | -36 | 179325 | 29525 | | 2025/04/29 | -65.03 | -746.91 | 140 | -35 | 177550 | 31125 | | 2025/04/30 | -4.26 | -777.42 | 140 | -35 | 175275 | 31000 | | 变化 | 60.77 | -30.51 | 0 | 0 | -2275 | -125 | 本周锌价格重心反弹后宽幅震荡,关税情绪改善。供应端,本周国内T ...
五矿期货文字早评-20250506
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-05-06 02:10
文字早评 2025/05/06 星期二 宏观金融类 股指 前一交易日沪指-0.23%,创指+0.83%,科创 50+0.85%,北证 50+2.96%,上证 50-0.47%,沪深 300-0.12%, 中证 500+0.48%,中证 1000+0.79%,中证 2000+1.29%,万得微盘+1.41%。两市合计成交 11693 亿,较上 一日+1472 亿。 宏观消息面: 1、商务部:美方主动向中方传递信息希望谈起来,对此,中方正在评估。节日期间离岸人民币大涨。 2、据新华社,"五一"假期全国重点零售和餐饮企业销售额同比增长 6.3%。 3、美国 4 月非农就业人口增长 17.7 万人,大幅好于预期。 资金面:融资额-13.51 亿;隔夜 Shibor 利率+21.90bp 至 1.7600%,流动性较为宽松;3 年期企业债 AA- 级别利率-1.54bp 至 3.0966%,十年期国债利率+0.03bp 至 1.6279%,信用利差-1.57bp 至 147bp;美国 10 年期利率+8.00bp 至 4.33%,中美利差-7.97bp 至-270bp。 市盈率:沪深 300:12.21,中证 500: ...
铅:需求偏弱,上方承压
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-04-30 04:36
2025 年 04 月 30 日 铅:需求偏弱,上方承压 莫骁雄 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0019413 moxiaoxiong@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 | | 昨日值 | 较前日变动/涨跌幅 | | 昨日值 | 较前日变动/涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪铅主力收盘价 | 16895 | -0.65% | 伦铅 3M 电子盘收 | 1977 | 1.65% | | (元/吨) | | | 盘(美元/吨) | | | | 沪铅主力成交量 | 31780 | -8769 | 伦铅成交量(手) | 3551 | 1373 | | (手) | | | | | | | 沪铅主力持仓量 | 36543 | -2276 | 伦铅持仓量(手) | 145978 | -1359 | | (手) | | | | | | | 上海 1# 铅升贴水 | 15 | -10 | LME CASH-3M 升 | -15.86 | 2.05 | | (元/吨) | | | 贴水(美元/吨) | | | | PB00-PB01(元/吨) | -10 | 5 | 进口升贴水 ...
河南豫光金铅股份有限公司 2025年第一季度报告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-04-29 23:29
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 第一季度财务报表是否经审计 □是 √否 一、 主要财务数据 (一) 主要会计数据和财务指标 证券代码:600531 证券简称:豫光金铅 债券代码:110096 债券简称:豫光转债 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示 公司董事会、监事会及董事、监事、高级管理人员保证季度报告内容的真实、准确、完整,不存在虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并承担个别和连带的法律责任。 公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人(会计主管人员)保证季度报告中财务信息的真 实、准确、完整。 单位:元 币种:人民币 (二) 非经常性损益项目和金额 √适用 □不适用 单位:元 币种:人民币 对公司将《公开发行证券的公司信息披露解释性公告第1号——非经常性损益》未列举的项目认定为非 经常性损益项目且金额重大的,以及将《公开发行证券的公司信息披露解释性公告第1号——非经常性 损益》中列举的非经常性损益项目界定为经常性损益的项目,应说明原因。 □适用 √不适用 (三) 主要会计数据、 ...