Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The overall view of the report is that the short - term trend of SHFE zinc ZN2602 is expected to fluctuate strongly. The fundamentals show a supply shortage, the basis is positive, inventory is decreasing, the trading volume is increasing, and the long - position is dominant, all of which support the upward movement of zinc prices [2][17] Summary by Related Catalogs Zinc Fundamentals - In September 2025, global refined zinc production was 1.1935 million tons, consumption was 1.2292 million tons, with a supply shortage of 35,700 tons. From January to September, global zinc plate production was 10.3632 million tons, consumption was 10.7369 million tons, with a supply shortage of 373,700 tons. In September, global zinc ore production was 1.1633 million tons, and from January to September, it was 9.9647 million tons [2] Zinc Futures Market on January 6 - The trading volume of zinc futures on January 6 was 326,282 lots, and the total trading value was 3.94248076 billion yuan. The open interest was 230,243 lots, an increase of 22,571 lots [3] Domestic Spot Market on January 6 - The domestic spot price of 0 zinc in Shanghai was 24,440 - 24,540 yuan/ton, with an average price of 24,490 yuan/ton, up 340 yuan/ton; in Guangdong, it was 24,140 - 24,240 yuan/ton, with an average price of 24,190 yuan/ton, up 370 yuan/ton; in Tianjin, it was 24,280 - 24,380 yuan/ton, with an average price of 24,330 yuan/ton, up 365 yuan/ton; in Zhejiang, it was 24,460 - 24,560 yuan/ton, with an average price of 24,510 yuan/ton, up 365 yuan/ton [4] Zinc Ingot Inventory Statistics - From December 25, 2025, to January 5, 2026, the total social inventory of zinc ingots in major Chinese markets increased from 111,600 tons to 114,000 tons. Compared with December 29, it increased by 8,400 tons, and compared with December 31, it increased by 5,300 tons [5] Zinc Warehouse Receipt Report on January 6 - The total zinc warehouse receipts on January 6 were 40,845 tons, a decrease of 529 tons compared with the previous day. Among them, the warehouse receipts in Guangdong decreased by 302 tons, and in Tianjin decreased by 227 tons [6] LME Zinc Inventory on January 6 - The LME zinc inventory on January 6 was 105,775 tons, a decrease of 75 tons compared with the previous day. The cancellation ratio was 7.42% [7] Zinc Concentrate Price on January 6 - The prices of 50% - grade zinc concentrate in most regions were around 21,030 yuan/ton, with an increase of 270 yuan/ton. Only in Chifeng, it was 20,530 yuan/ton [8] Zinc Ingot Smelter Price on January 6 - The prices of 0 zinc ingots from various smelters increased by 370 yuan/ton. For example, the price of Hunan Xiuzhou Smelter was 24,620 yuan/ton, and that of "Xuewen World" was 25,050 yuan/ton [11] Zinc Concentrate Processing Fee on January 6 - The domestic processing fee for 50% - grade zinc concentrate was between 1,300 - 2,100 yuan/metal ton, and the import processing fee for 48% - grade zinc concentrate was 40 - 60 US dollars/kiloton [15] SHFE Member Zinc Trading and Position Ranking on January 6 - The total trading volume of SHFE members was 283,114 lots, an increase of 58,886 lots. The total long - position was 66,575 lots, an increase of 6,743 lots, and the total short - position was 67,932 lots, an increase of 3,560 lots [16]

Core Viewpoint - The spring market trend in A-shares is expected to continue, with a focus on growth sectors and cyclical industries benefiting from policy support and market dynamics [1][2]. Industry Configuration Insights 1) Energy and Basic Materials - Demand expectations for thermal coal have weakened, leading to a price drop of 17% in December, while coking coal and coke prices increased by 4% and 8% respectively [11]. - The supply-demand mismatch, combined with monetary easing, has resulted in significant price increases for precious metals and industrial metals, with copper, aluminum, and lithium carbonate prices rising by 12%, 5%, and 26% respectively [13]. 2) Industrial Products - Domestic demand is structurally differentiated, with strong performance in emerging markets for manufacturing exports. Excavator sales increased by 19% year-on-year in November, while electric grid investment rose by 6% [4]. 3) Consumer Products - Traditional consumer sectors are facing challenges, with home appliance sales declining significantly in November, including a 25% drop in air conditioner sales [5]. - The central economic work conference emphasized expanding domestic demand as a priority, with specific policies aimed at increasing income and optimizing supply [5]. 4) Technology - Innovations in AI applications are emerging, with the semiconductor industry showing strong performance, as global semiconductor sales grew by 25% year-on-year in October [6]. - The demand for consumer electronics remains mixed, with smartphone sales up by 5% but declines in laptop and computer hardware sales [6]. 5) Financial Sector - Banks are attracting long-term capital due to their high dividend yields and stable earnings, with insurance premiums increasing by 7.6% year-on-year in November [7]. - The stock market's sentiment is stabilizing, with an average daily trading volume of 1.88 trillion yuan in December [7]. 6) Real Estate - The real estate sector is under pressure, with a 27% year-on-year decline in sales area for commercial housing in December, despite a 45% month-on-month increase [7]. - The central economic work conference highlighted the need to stabilize the real estate market and manage local government debt risks [7].

格隆汇1月7日｜A股市场有色金属股继续走强，其中，入选了格隆汇2026年"下注中国"十大核心资产名 单的洛阳钼业(603993.SH)在昨日创出历史新高后，今日继续走强，盘中一度涨超2%至22.19元，再创历 史新高价。 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has achieved a 13-day consecutive rise, reaching a new 10-year high at 4083.67, with a gain of 1.50% [2][4] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 2.8 trillion, marking a significant increase in market activity [4][6] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors include Non-ferrous Metals (4.26%), Non-bank Financials (3.73%), and Basic Chemicals (3.12%), indicating strong investor interest in these areas [3][4] - Conversely, sectors such as Communication (-0.77%) and Beauty Care (0.20%) lagged behind, reflecting weaker market sentiment [3][4] Conceptual Indices - Conceptual indices such as Hyperbaric Oxygen Chamber (6.13%) and Brain-Machine Interface (5.74%) showed robust performance, while F5G Concept (-0.21%) and Family Doctor (0.04%) underperformed [3][4] Future Outlook - The report suggests that the market sentiment is optimistic, with expectations for continued upward momentum in the indices, particularly in sectors like Big Finance, Non-ferrous Metals, Robotics, AI applications, and Storage Chips [6] - The macroeconomic environment is improving, with indicators such as the manufacturing PMI returning to expansion territory, which may further support market growth [6] Policy and Regulatory Environment - The Chinese government is focusing on enhancing coordination among departments to improve service efficiency and optimize the business environment, which could positively impact market dynamics [5] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is intensifying efforts to combat financial fraud, which may enhance market integrity and investor confidence [5] Investment Recommendations - Analysts recommend a focus on sectors that are expected to outperform, including Big Finance and Non-ferrous Metals, as well as emerging technologies like AI and Robotics, given the current market conditions and policy support [6]

Group 1 - The small metals sector opened slightly higher on January 7, 2026, with the China Securities Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) rising by 0.72% [1] - Key stocks such as Jinli Permanent Magnet, Huayou Cobalt, and Northern Rare Earth saw significant increases, with gains of 3.80%, 3.55%, and 2.39% respectively [1] - The Industrial Nonferrous ETF (560860) increased by 1.06%, marking its fifth consecutive rise, and has accumulated a 12.65% increase over the past two weeks [1] Group 2 - As of January 6, 2026, the Industrial Nonferrous ETF reached a new high of 10.007 billion yuan, with continuous net inflows totaling 1.184 billion yuan over four days [1] - Institutional views suggest that the nonferrous metals sector, particularly copper, has strong investment logic due to supply constraints and recovering demand from major economies [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index as of December 31, 2025, include major players like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum, accounting for 56.18% of the index [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas: The US December S&P Global Services PMI was 52.5, lower than the expected and previous value of 52.9, indicating a marginal decline in the US economy. The overnight market no longer followed the rate - cut logic, but the concepts of risk and stagflation continued. The US Supreme Court will rule on the tariff issue this Friday [2]. - Domestic: On Tuesday, the domestic market continued a major rebound. The broader market rose 1.5%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.4%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.75%. The brokerage sector drove up sentiment, and themes remained active. The convening of the central bank's work meeting implies that interest - rate and reserve - requirement ratio cuts are approaching, which is the main reason for the sharp rise in the financial sector. Sectors such as non - ferrous metals, non - bank finance, chemicals, military industry, and petroleum and petrochemicals led the gains, while only the communication sector declined slightly. A total of 4,101 stocks rose and 1,218 stocks fell in the entire market. Nine departments issued a document to implement a green consumption promotion action [2]. - Overall: The overnight overseas market basically continued the trend of rising US stocks and commodities. Physical assets were more in focus under geopolitical uncertainties. The domestic A - share market continued to rise sharply, achieving a record 13 - day consecutive gain. It is unlikely that the index will continue to rise in the future. The spring market should focus more on individual stocks. After an inertial rise, the index is expected to experience fluctuations. Attention can be paid to the ChiNext Index [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Important Information - Venezuela: Venezuela is negotiating with the US on exporting oil to the US. In the early days of Maduro's administration, Venezuela shipped $5.2 billion worth of gold to Switzerland. Shipping data shows that in the past five days, Venezuela's main oil terminals have only transported crude oil to Chevron in the US and not to any other destinations for export [5]. - International Relations: The UK, France, and Ukraine signed an intention statement to send troops to Ukraine after the cease - fire in the Russia - Ukraine conflict. The US will provide support including intelligence and logistics and "commit to support the troops if Russia launches an attack." Trump is planning a scheme to acquire Greenland, and using the US military as a vanguard is a feasible option [5][6]. - Monetary Policy: Fed Governor Milan said that more than 100 basis points of interest - rate cuts are needed in 2026. The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy and strengthen supervision of various financial markets [7][10]. - Trade Policy: The G7 finance ministers will discuss key mineral issues such as the lower limit of rare - earth prices. China is considering tightening the export - license review of medium and heavy rare - earth related items listed on April 4, 2025, and the Ministry of Commerce has banned the export of all dual - use items to Japanese military users [8][9]. - A - share New Accounts: In December 2025, the number of new A - share accounts was 2.5967 million, and the cumulative number of new accounts in 2025 was 27.4369 million [11] 2. Futures Market Tracking - **Performance**: The report provides the closing prices, settlement prices, price changes, price - change percentages, basis, premium/discount rates, annualized premium/discount rates, contract delivery dates, and remaining times of various stock - index futures contracts such as the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 [13]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: It shows the trading volume, trading - volume changes, trading value, trading - value changes, open interest, open - interest changes, weekly position increases, net positions, net - position changes, short - position changes, and long - position changes of various stock - index futures contracts and their total data [14] 3. Spot Market Tracking - **Market Performance**: It presents the trading value, price - earnings ratio, year - to - date change, current points, daily change, weekly change, monthly change, average, percentile, etc. of various major indexes and sectors. For example, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.50%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.40%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.75% [38]. - **Market Style Impact**: It analyzes the impact of different market styles (cyclical, consumer, growth, financial, and stable) on major indexes such as the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 in terms of quantity, weight, daily contribution, weekly contribution, monthly contribution, and annual contribution [39][40]. - **Valuation**: It shows the current valuations and historical percentiles of major indexes and Shenwan sectors [42][45] - **Other Market Indicators**: It includes market Sunday - average trading volume, Sunday - average turnover rate, the ratio of rising to falling stocks in the two markets, index trading - value changes, stock - bond relative returns, Hong Kong Stock Connect, margin trading balance, and margin trading net purchase amount and its proportion in A - share trading value [47][49][51] 4. Liquidity Tracking - It presents data on the central bank's open - market operations (including currency injection, currency withdrawal, and net currency injection) and the Shibor interest - rate level [53][54][55]

Macro - The People's Bank of China plans to implement a moderately loose monetary policy by 2026, establishing a mechanism to provide liquidity to non-bank institutions under specific scenarios to support capital markets [1] Satellite Internet - The first commercial rocket company in China, Kegong Rocket, is set to change ownership with an overall valuation of approximately 11.2 billion yuan [2] Semiconductor - NVIDIA's BlueField-4 is expected to reconstruct the AI storage hierarchy, potentially opening up new demand for NAND [3] - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang announced at CES that the era of "physical AI" has arrived [7] Pricing Strategies - Seagate plans to increase product prices by 10% each quarter [4] Non-ferrous Metals - China has announced a ban on all dual-use items for military purposes to Japan, affecting critical metal materials such as rare earths, tungsten, molybdenum, indium, lithium, and titanium alloys [5] Artificial Intelligence - Market discussions regarding NVIDIA's next-generation Rubin platform specifications indicate no issues with downgrading [6] Robotics - Tesla's official recruitment platform has posted job openings related to "covering materials and soft products" for the Optimus robot [8] New Energy - A meeting for the power and energy storage battery industry is scheduled for January 7 [9] - Feedback from the industry indicates extremely low inventory levels of lithium carbonate and strong demand, with two listed companies in lithium iron phosphate confirming price increases [10] - Australia has significantly increased subsidies for home battery systems [11] - The organic silicon industry plans to intensify production cuts [12] Brain-Computer Interface - The brain-computer interface "unicorn" Qiangna Technology has completed a financing round of 2 billion yuan [13] Intelligent Driving - NVIDIA has released an open-source model family for autonomous driving, aimed at addressing long-tail issues and accelerating the implementation of intelligent driving [14] Market Dynamics - Guosheng Technology and Jiamei Packaging are under suspension for verification; Fenglong Co. has issued a warning about stock fluctuations; several commercial aerospace and brain-computer interface companies have released announcements regarding stock movements [15] - In December 2025, the number of new A-share accounts opened on the Shanghai Stock Exchange increased by approximately 9% month-on-month and surged by 30.55% year-on-year [15] Strategy Observation - On Tuesday, trading volume reached 2.81 trillion yuan, with a significant increase in market sentiment; however, rapid gains and the activation of financial sectors may raise concerns about the "healthy bull" rhythm [16] - The regulatory authorities have released signals of concern through suspensions and announcements, which may provide divergence opportunities for the market, but substantial cooling requires sustained measures [16] - Sectors such as non-ferrous metals, non-bank financials, and chemicals led the gains, indicating active institutional investment [16] - The thematic sectors, particularly those related to Musk's industries (intelligent driving and robotics), performed actively; while the semiconductor sector (e.g., storage) has solid logic, it has not yet become a focal point, with potential for future attention [16] - Currently, large funds tend to operate around mainline capacity varieties [16]

Core Insights - A total of 57 companies have announced their annual performance forecasts for 2025, with 47 companies expecting profit increases, representing 82.46% of the total [1] - The overall proportion of companies forecasting positive performance is 87.72%, with 3 companies expecting profits and 3 companies expecting losses [1] - Among the companies predicting profit increases, 10 are expected to see net profit growth exceeding 100%, while 12 companies anticipate growth between 50% and 100% [1] Company Performance Highlights - The company with the highest expected net profit growth is Zhongtai Co., with a median increase of 677.22% [2] - Chuanhua Zhihui and Bai'ao Saitu are projected to have median net profit growth of 308.82% and 303.57%, ranking second and third respectively [2] - Other notable companies with significant expected profit increases include Yinglian Co. (193.27%), Tianci Materials (178.97%), and Guangku Technology (162.00%) [2] Industry and Sector Analysis - Companies expecting to double their profits are primarily concentrated in the machinery, public utilities, and steel industries, with one representative from each sector [1] - The main board, ChiNext, and STAR Market have 7, 2, and 1 companies respectively among those forecasting profit increases [1] - The average increase in stock prices for companies expecting profit doubling this year is 6.27%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [1] Stock Performance - Nanjing Xingsheng has seen the highest stock price increase this year, with a cumulative rise of 21.01% [1] - Other companies with notable stock performance include Whirlpool (12.45%) and Chuanhua Zhihui (6.71%) [1]

Group 1 - As of January 6, the margin trading balance in A-shares reached 25,799 billion yuan, an increase of 192.52 billion yuan from the previous trading day, accounting for 2.53% of the A-share circulating market value [1] - The trading volume for margin transactions on the same day was 3,289.06 billion yuan, which is an increase of 373.81 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing 11.6% of the total A-share trading volume [1] - Among the 31 primary industries in the Shenwan index, 23 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the electronics industry leading at a net inflow of 4.398 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - A total of 74 individual stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Dongfang Caifu leading at a net inflow of 955 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net financing inflows include Aerospace Electronics, Xunwei Communication, Zhongji Xuchuang, Goldwind Technology, New China Insurance, China Merchants Bank, CATL, Shenghong Technology, and TCL Technology [1] - In 2026, the application of AI in terminal devices is expected to accelerate, integrating deeply into various hardware products and industrial scenarios [2] - AI technology is anticipated to enhance traditional consumer electronics such as computers, display devices, and home appliances, while new AI hardware categories like AI glasses and AI headphones are expected to see significant breakthroughs [2] - The ongoing development of physical AI is gradually being applied in industrial, robotics, and intelligent driving scenarios [2]

Group 1 - As of January 6, the A-share margin balance reached 25,799 billion yuan, an increase of 192.52 billion yuan from the previous trading day, accounting for 2.53% of the A-share circulating market value [1] - The margin trading volume on the same day was 3,289.06 billion yuan, up by 373.81 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing 11.6% of the total A-share trading volume [1] - Among the 31 primary industries, 23 experienced net financing inflows, with the electronics sector leading at a net inflow of 4.398 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - A total of 74 stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Dongfang Caifu leading at a net inflow of 955 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net financing inflows include Aerospace Electronics, Xinwei Communication, Zhongji Xuchuang, Goldwind Technology, New China Life Insurance, China Merchants Bank, CATL, Shenghong Technology, and TCL Technology [1][2] - In 2026, the application of AI in terminal devices is expected to accelerate, integrating deeply into various hardware products and industrial scenarios [2] - AI technology is anticipated to enhance traditional consumer electronics such as computers, display devices, and home appliances, while new AI hardware categories like AI glasses and AI headphones are expected to see significant breakthroughs [2]