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江苏发布创新提升数字贸易政策措施
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-07-02 21:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Jiangsu Province aims to leverage digital trade to promote high-quality development of service trade, with a target of reaching a service trade scale of 600 billion yuan and digital delivery service trade of 300 billion yuan by 2030, accounting for approximately 50% of the service trade [1] - Jiangsu will focus on institutional openness in digital trade, creating a digital trade ecosystem, and aligning with high-standard economic and trade rules, including pilot cooperation in digital trade with Singapore [1] - The province plans to establish national service trade innovation development demonstration zones and national digital trade demonstration zones, enhancing infrastructure and public services in key areas like Nanjing Software Valley to facilitate domestic and international industrial chain collaboration [1] Group 2 - A significant highlight of the policy is industry empowerment, with Jiangsu focusing on developing digital product trade in the cultural industry, strengthening cultural trade bases in cities like Nanjing, Wuxi, and Suzhou, and promoting exports in sectors such as animation and film [2] - The province aims to expand digital technology trade in advantageous fields, advance high-end software development, and implement an "Artificial Intelligence+" action plan to upgrade service outsourcing and promote enterprise transformation [2] - Jiangsu will enhance international transportation service capabilities, optimize international route networks, and accelerate the development of smart ports and waterways, while also improving the international competitiveness of tourism services and supporting international education services [2]
热点思考 | 如果美国失业率升至4.6%?——关税“压力测试”系列之十三(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
赵伟宏观探索· 2025-06-29 13:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rising risks of unemployment in the U.S. labor market, driven by weakening labor supply and demand, and the potential impact of tariffs on employment [2][3][4] - The U.S. labor market is crucial for the economy, with consumer spending significantly contributing to GDP growth, primarily driven by labor income [2][6] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise, with estimates suggesting it could reach 4.5-4.6% by the end of the year, influenced by the new tariffs [3][89] Group 2 - The article discusses the employment impact of tariffs, indicating that a 1% decline in GDP could lead to a 0.3-0.7% increase in unemployment, based on Okun's Law [3][89] - The current tariff situation is expected to have a more significant impact on the manufacturing sector compared to previous tariff implementations, with a broader economic slowdown anticipated [65][77] - The article notes that the current economic environment is characterized by declining wage growth and increased precautionary savings among consumers, which could further exacerbate employment challenges [77][81] Group 3 - The "Sahm Rule" is mentioned as a potential indicator of recession, suggesting that if the unemployment rate rises to 4.6%, it could trigger recession signals [4][99] - Historical data shows that the Sahm Rule has a high success rate in predicting recessions, with the article indicating that the current labor market conditions could lead to its activation in the coming months [99][100] - The article emphasizes that the labor market is currently in a "loosened" state, with demand-side weaknesses likely driving the unemployment rate upward [100]
浦东新区构建出海企业支持体系 “走出去”服务生态圈磁吸效应日益增强
Jie Fang Ri Bao· 2025-06-21 01:53
记者 杜晨薇 "走出去"是中国企业发展成为全球企业的必由之路。昨天上午,浦东新区支持企业"走出去"工作推 进会在浦东城市规划和公共艺术中心举行。 大会聚焦企业出海核心需求,集中发布两项重磅举措。其中,区发改委发布《浦东新区支持出海企 业总部和出海先锋企业发展的若干措施》,构建全方位、多层次的出海企业支持体系。区委金融办发布 《浦东新区支持企业"走出去"进一步提升金融服务便利化行动方案》,为出海企业提供全周期的金融保 障。 浦东新区为大力吸引和集聚国内优质出海企业,加大空间载体供应支持力度,打造出海企业集聚 区。会上,浦东新区企业走出去综合服务中心与首批6家拟出海入驻企业代表签约。这些企业涵盖高端 制造、数字科技、专业服务等领域,标志着浦东精心打造的"走出去"服务生态圈磁吸效应日益增强,正 吸引全国优质企业汇聚于此,共享浦东高能级的国际化平台资源和专业服务网络。 大会还举行了"出海企业总部"和"出海先锋企业"颁证仪式,树立浦东企业"走出去"标杆。首批11 家"出海企业总部"均是各自行业领域的翘楚,不仅带动国内装备、技术、标准"走出去",促进贸易与投 资增长,更在国际合作中发挥桥梁作用。首批16家"出海先锋企业" ...
英国工业联合会称,英国服务业信心跌至两年半低点
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-06-17 17:39
CBI副首席经济学家阿尔佩什·帕雷贾(Alpesh Paleja)表示:"成本和价格压力的双重打击尤为令人 担忧,考虑到英国央行对国内通胀压力持续性的担忧,这一情况尤为重要。企业仍然普遍反映,雇主国 民保险缴款(NICs)的提高以及全国生活工资的上涨,一方面推高了自身成本,另一方面也削弱了客 户需求。" 英国工业联合会(CBI)周四表示,英国服务业企业的商业信心在截至5月的季度内降至两年半以 来的最低水平,部分原因是就业税上调导致成本压力加大。CBI数据显示,商业及专业服务公司情绪指 数从2月份的-28%降至5月份的-43%,为2022年11月以来的最低水平。CBI表示,面向消费者的服务企业 的情绪也出现恶化。在价格预期方面,商业及专业服务公司的涨价预期创下两年来的最快增速,尽管与 上一次调查相比,面向消费者的服务企业的涨价预 期略有缓和。CBI特别指出,企业对英国财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯去年10月宣布的社会保障缴款(雇 主支付部分)增加250亿英镑(约合337.8亿美元),以及最低工资上涨近7%表示担忧,这两项措施均 于4月生效。 (原标题:英国工业联合会称,英国服务业信心跌至两年半低点) 英国央行本月已下调 ...
“转型牛”格局越来越清晰,消费仍是经济修复的重要动能
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-13 05:36
国泰海通证券研报表示,中国股市"转型牛"的格局越来越清晰,战略看多2025年:遍历冲击和出清调整 后,投资人对经济形势的认识已然充分,其对估值收缩的边际影响减小;股票价格反应的是投资者对未 来的预期,而预期变动的主要矛盾,已经从经济周期的波动,转变为贴现率的下降,尤其是无风险利率 与风险认识的系统性降低;以化解债务、提振需求与稳定资产价格的中国政策"三支箭",以"投资者为 本"的资本市场改革,以新技术新消费的商业机会涌现,有助于重新提振投资者对长期的假设,中国股 市迈向"转型牛"。 光大证券认为,近期国内政策仍积极发力,预计后续政策仍将持续落地。随着中美两国为"对等关税"按 下90 天"暂停键",短期内出口或将保持高增,预计消费仍是经济修复的重要动能之一。内外因素交织 之下,预计指数6月整体将保持震荡。扩内需一直是近期国内政策的重点,未来有望持续迎来政策催 化,此外,消费行业业绩整体更具韧性,建议关注食品加工、专业服务、休闲食品等行业。 6月13日,A股开启调整模式,消费、科技题材尽数回调。 食品饮料ETF(515170)跟踪中证细分食品饮料产业主题指数,聚焦白酒、饮料乳品、调味发酵品等高 壁垒、强韧性板块, ...
泰坦科技(688133)每日收评(06-10)
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 09:43
Group 1 - The stock of Titan Technology (688133) has a comprehensive score of 49.17, indicating a weak performance [1] - The main cost analysis shows the following prices: current main cost at 22.40 CNY, 5-day main cost at 22.49 CNY, 20-day main cost at 22.15 CNY, and 60-day main cost at 23.18 CNY [1] - There have been no instances of the stock hitting the upper limit or lower limit in the past year [1] Group 2 - The short-term pressure level is at 22.64 CNY, while the short-term support level is at 22.26 CNY [2] - The stock is currently experiencing unclear short-term and mid-term trends, awaiting direction from main funds [2][3] - The financial data indicates earnings per share of 0.03 CNY, operating profit of 0.02 billion CNY, and a net profit of 1,855,610.93 CNY [2]
机构论后市丨预计指数整体维持震荡;关注银行等偏防守板块
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-08 09:58
Group 1 - The liquidity of the Hong Kong stock market continues to improve, presenting good opportunities for increasing positions during market fluctuations [1] - A-shares have shown strong performance, with the median increase in A-shares being the highest since 2022, particularly favoring smaller market capitalization stocks [2] - Consumer sectors are expected to remain a key driver of economic recovery, with domestic policies focusing on expanding domestic demand [3] Group 2 - Investment strategies should focus on traditional capacity reduction, the rise of new consumption, and sectors with high industry prosperity [2] - Defensive sectors such as banking are recommended for short-term stability, given the uncertain environment surrounding tariff negotiations [4] - The overall market index is expected to maintain a volatile trend, with external risks having potentially peaked [3]
聚焦高质量出海 多位专家为中企 “走出去”划重点
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-06-07 09:31
毕马威中国6月3日至6月6日在上海虹桥国际中央商务区举办出海系列活动,约40位毕马威海外成员所的 合伙人及行业专家参与活动,就企业完善出海战略管理、高效应对国际环境等话题建言献策。多名专家 表示,中企出海实践中,品牌与合规是两大关键要素。在发达市场,品牌认知度至关重要,企业可通过 与当地知名品牌合作提升影响力。合规管理是运营底线,任何违规行为轻则面临罚款,重则失去客户与 市场,导致投资失败。此外,中企不但要"走出去",还应从企业运营完整链条的角度,考虑将研发、生 产、销售等不同环节在全球范围内多点布局。 虹桥国际中央商务区管委会党组书记、常务副主任孔福安表示,虹桥国际中央商务区正围绕全力打造服 务企业"走出去"先行区,切实提升服务企业国际化能力。一是聚焦财务审计、法律合规、检验检测、风 险评估、跨境金融、国际化人才服务等领域,加快集聚各类专业服务机构,打造高能级的专业服务合作 生态;二是进一步深化长三角赋能,深入推进与金华、合肥、嘉兴、苏州、芜湖、温州等长三角城市的 合作对接;三是从政策端、服务端、活动端共同发力,搭建线上线下(300959)"一站式"综合服务平 台,打造服务企业出海的多维度支撑体系。 欧洲和 ...
深圳:支持国(境)外符合条件的一流高校来深依法合规开展高水平合作办学
news flash· 2025-06-04 01:47
近日,深圳市商务局、市发展改革委联合印发《深圳市推动服务贸易和数字贸易高质量发展实施方 案》。其中提出,引进短缺专业服务贸易。先行先试推动独资医院领域扩大开放,明确外商独资医院的 设立条件、审批流程和监督管理要求,引进国际高水平医疗资源。引进国际知名会计、法律、知识产 权、检验检测等专业服务机构在深设立总部或分支机构。支持国(境)外符合条件的一流高校来深依法 合规开展高水平合作办学,鼓励国(境)外一流科研机构来深开展联合科研。积极打造"留学深圳"品 牌,扩大在深留学生规模。 ...
2027年副中心绿色企业将超300家
Bei Jing Qing Nian Bao· 2025-06-03 18:11
Core Viewpoint - Beijing's urban sub-center aims to become an international benchmark for green economy development by focusing on ten green industries and implementing eight major tasks to promote the scale and specialization of green industries by 2027 [1][2]. Group 1: Green Industry Development - The urban sub-center plans to exceed 300 green enterprises and establish one green industry cluster by 2027, enhancing green innovation capabilities and increasing the number of effective green technology patents by approximately 20% annually [2][3]. - The focus will be on developing specialized green industries such as carbon professional services, ESG services, green finance, and synthetic biology manufacturing, while also consolidating existing green industries like renewable energy and smart connected vehicles [3][4]. Group 2: Infrastructure and Investment - The first green industry cluster, the Beijing Green Technology Innovation Service Industrial Park, is under construction and will utilize the old Beijing Optical Instrument Factory site, aiming for completion by the end of 2027 [4][5]. - The park will feature a 100% renewable energy supply system and is expected to reduce annual CO2 emissions by 1,000 tons through advanced energy management systems [4][5]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Key tasks include establishing the Beijing International Green Technology Concept Verification Center, enhancing the role of local industry funds in supporting green economy initiatives, and leveraging the urban sub-center's position as a leading green finance hub [4][5].