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公开市场短期利率走低,资金宽松,债市回暖
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-06-09 12:55
| 品种 | 加权利率(%) | 最新利率(%) | 平均回购期限(天) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DR001 | 1.3770 | 1.3466 | 1 | | DR007 | 1.5126 | 1.4500 | 6.91 | | DR014 | 1.5393 | 1.5500 | 12.75 | | DR021 | 1.5707 | 1.5800 | 18.04 | | DR1M | 1.6822 | 1.7000 | 29.69 | 银行间市场短期利率走低 不仅是DR007变动明显,6月9日,银行间市场七天期质押式回购加权利率(即R007)跌3.85基点至1.4938%,创2024年10月12日以来新低。银行间市场隔夜 质押式回购加权利率早盘跌4.19基点至1.3705%,创2024年12月30日以来新低。 北京商报记者了解到,银行间市场七天期质押式回购加权利率,即R007,是全市场机构(包括银行、券商、基金等)以各类债券(含信用债)为抵押的7天 期回购利率,该数据反映了市场整体流动性水平,受信用风险、抵押品质量影响较大。 与之相关的七天期存款类金融机构质押式回购利率, ...
【笔记20250609— 债市重新关注弱现实】
债券笔记· 2025-06-09 12:39
回踩入场,最怕的就是真反转;突破入场,最怕的就是假突破。 在顺大势下,这些担心的"真反 转"和"假突破",都已经变为小概率事件。我们不能为小概率事件缩手缩脚,而要为大概率系统严格执 行。 | | | | 银行间资金 | | (2025.06.09) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 回购代码 | 加权利率 | 变化 | 利率走势 | 量高利率 | 变化 | 成义中 (亿 | 变化量 | 成交量占 | | | (%) | (bp) | (近30天) | (%) | (bp) | 元) | (亿元) | 比 (%) | | R001 | 1.42 | 8 | 11/2 | 2. 00 | 115 | 67710. 16 | 213. 67 | 91.51 | | R007 | 1.54 | -1 | Non/ 1 | 2. 05 | 0 | 5248. 91 | -894. 45 | 7.09 | | R014 | 1.59 | -1 | 1 /VI | 2. 00 | 218 | 759. 37 | 115. 90 ...
40万亿+,创纪录!
和讯· 2025-06-09 10:40
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the continuous deepening of China's green finance system, with local pilot projects accelerating, market scale steadily expanding, and innovative products emerging, providing strong financial support for the "dual carbon" goals [1]. Group 1: Policy Dynamics - In the first five months of 2025, numerous green finance policies were introduced, with central and local efforts working in tandem to accelerate the formation of a multi-level green finance system [2]. - Shanghai has established a "1+N+X" green finance organizational structure, while Jiangsu has launched a "1+N+N" transformation financial support directory targeting eight high-carbon industries [2]. - The National Development and Reform Commission released a new version of the "Green Technology Promotion Directory," covering 112 low-carbon technologies [2]. - China successfully issued 6 billion yuan in green sovereign bonds on the London Stock Exchange, indicating strong international market recognition of Chinese green assets [2]. Group 2: Market Data - In the first five months of 2025, China's green finance market maintained high activity levels, with 236 new green bonds issued, totaling 411.03 billion yuan [3]. - The balance of green loans reached 40.61 trillion yuan by the end of March 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.2% [3]. - The national carbon market saw a trading volume of 22.74 million tons and a transaction value of 1.751 billion yuan from January to May [4]. Group 3: Innovation and Product Diversification - In May 2025, several innovative green finance products were launched, including the first "green + rural revitalization + dual basin" labeled bond [5]. - Agricultural Development Bank introduced the "twin green bond" mechanism, exploring market comparisons between green and ordinary bonds [5]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank launched a multi-currency carbon-neutral offshore bond, focusing on clean transportation and renewable energy projects [5]. Group 4: Outlook - Green finance is becoming a key engine for high-quality economic development, with expectations for further advancements in climate investment and financing trials, unified ESG standards, and continuous industrialization of green technologies [6][7].
流动性与机构行为跟踪:大行买短债
Tebon Securities· 2025-06-09 09:44
证券研究报告 | 固定收益点评 2025 年 6 月 9 日 固定收益点评 证券分析师 吕品 [Table_Main] 资格编号:S0120524050005 邮箱:lvpin@tebon.com.cn 严伶怡 资格编号:S0120524110003 邮箱:yanly@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 苏鸿婷 邮箱:suht@tebon.com.cn 相关研究 大行买短债 流动性与机构行为跟踪 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 本周(6.03-6.06)关注要点:本周资金利率下行,大行融出日均环比上行,基金杠 杆小幅上行;存单净融资减少,各期限存单到期收益率表现分化;现券成交来看, 买盘主力来自其他产品类,主要增持存单,农商行转为增持存单,保险增持 15-30Y 超长利率债,基金各期限利率债均有增持,大行买入 1-3Y 利率债。 货币资金面 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 固定收益点评 本周(6.3-6.6,下同)共有 16026 亿元逆回购到期。周二至周五央行分别投放逆 回购 4545、2149、1265 和 1350 亿元,期间累计投放 9309 亿元逆回购,全周净 回笼流动性 671 ...
信用债供给特征
HTSC· 2025-06-09 09:01
证券研究报告 固收 信用债供给特征 华泰研究 2025 年 6 月 09 日│中国内地 信用周报 信用热点:信用债供给特征 24 年以来信用债市场供给格局重塑,产业债与二永债接力城投债成为主力, 结构性特征显著。去年资产荒演绎,债券收益率降至低位,直融优势明显, 产业债央国企需求旺盛持续放量,超长债是亮点,今年产业债供给仍较多, 但由于长久期需求不稳定,超长债供给同比下降。二永债发行主体集中在国 股行,今年受大行注资落地影响,股份行成净供给主力。城投债严监管持续, 后续关注主体转型情况。地产融资仍偏低迷,与市场风险偏好等有关。今年 供给亮点在科创债,扩容至金融主体,发行提速。后续关注科创债主体扩容、 多元化增信、政策支持等带来的投资机会。 市场回顾:央行公告万亿级逆回购操作,二永债走势相对更强 上周央行月初公告万亿级逆回购操作,叠加周四周五大行大量买入短久期利 率,二永债跟随利率债收益率全面下行,公司类信用债则涨跌互现。2025 年 5 月 30 日至 6 月 6 日,央行首次在月初宣布买断式逆回购操作 1 万亿,资金 面宽松,利率债走强,公司类信用债涨跌互现,短端收益率小幅上行,中低 等级中长端走势相对较好 ...
2025下半年资产配置展望:从对美脱锚到中国重估
HTSC· 2025-06-09 08:56
证券研究报告 从对美脱锚到中国重估 ——2025 下半年资产配置展望 华泰研究 | 中期策略 | | --- | | 2025 年 6 月 09 日│中国内地 | 核心观点 今年是"非典型"宏观大年,核心变量是特朗普 2.0 对全球贸易、金融、地 缘等秩序的冲击,事件驱动明显。新秩序的重构改变了大类资产的定价规律, 也颠覆了传统的配置框架。在市场对美国资产脱锚的同时,中国资产有望迎 来估值的重估。不确定环境下,建议采取"重赔率+重左侧+重交易"的应 对策略,并寻找区域与产业逻辑等结构性机会。美元趋势性走弱,非美资产 或有相对表现,欧洲资产胜率更高,港股等新兴市场赔率更优。AI 科技主 线有待现象级应用落地催化,各国大内需板块有望在财政扩张周期下受益, 而地缘局势不确定性加大,可尝试博弈军工、自主可控以及稀缺资源品。 市场环境:非典型的宏观大年 过去几年里,大类资产价格表现背后的深刻逻辑。2023 年,全球周期错位 +AI 科技革命+全球资金再配置是三条主线。2024 年,美国"例外论"+国 内物价偏弱+时代背景强化。2025 年上半年,全球秩序重构+美国例外论动 摇+反转交易频现。具体资产表现上,黄金>港股+ ...
美债流动性系列之一:美债市场脆弱性来源
Ping An Securities· 2025-06-09 07:17
债券 2025 年 6 月 9 日 美债流动性系列之一 美债市场脆弱性来源 证券分析师 刘璐 投资咨询资格编号 S1060519060001 LIULU979@pingan.com.cn 研究助理 王佳萌 一般证券从业资格编号 S1060123070024 WANGJIAMENG709@pingan.com.cn 平安观点: 过去十余年,美债多次发生流动性事件,如 14 年 10 月、19 年 9 月、20 年 3 月。 本文主要分析了最近十几年美债流动性事件发生的原因,并分析美债脆弱 性的来 源。 债 券 报 告 债 券 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 一是市场中介制度发生变化,具备市场"稳定器"作用的做市商制度有所削 弱。美债二级市场采用做市商制度。做市商通过为证券提供买卖报价,分别 充当买家和卖家的对手方,为市场提供流动性。08 年金融危机以来海外监管 趋严,一级交易商多附属于银行控股公司,其做市能力受到资本要求限制。 特别是 2014 年对全球系统重要性银行的补充杠杆率要求(eSLR,一级资本 /表内外资产比例高于 5%),限制了交易商扩表意愿。相对于美国存量 国债 的快速扩张,一级交易商的国债中介业 ...
宝城期货资讯早班车-20250609
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 03:05
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 资讯早班车 资讯早班车-2025-06-09 二、商品投资参考 综合 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 20250416 | 2025/03 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 5.40 | 5.40 | 5.30 | | 20250531 | 2025/05 | 制造业 PMI | % | 49.50 | 49.00 | 49.50 | | 20250531 | 2025/05 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活 | % | 50.30 | 50.40 | 51.10 | | | | 动 | | | | | | 20250603 | 2025/05 | 财新 PMI:制造业 | % | 48.30 | 50.40 | 51.70 | | 20250605 | 2025/05 | 财新 PMI:服务业经营 活动指数 | % | 51.10 | 50.70 | 54.00 | | | | ...
同业存单迎到期高峰,央行万亿操作缓解资金压力
第一财经· 2025-06-09 02:20
2025.06. 09 本文字数:2760,阅读时长大约5分钟 6月5日,央行发布消息称,为保持银行体系流动性充裕,自6月6日开始,将以固定数量、利率招 标、多重价位中标方式开展1万亿元买断式逆回购操作,期限为3个月(91天)。考虑到当月共有 1.2万亿元买断式逆回购到期,截至6月6日全月实现买断式逆回购2000亿元净回笼。 自2024年10月推出至今,央行已连续8个月开展买断式逆回购操作,即央行主动借出资金,从一级 交易商处购买债券,以此向市场投放流动性,可增强一年以内的流动性跨期调节能力。但此前,央行 惯例是在每月最后一个交易日发布相关公告。 不少分析认为,在当前资金面及债市处于平稳运行状态的情况下,央行月初打破惯例公告大规模买断 式逆回购操作,主要与当月银行同业存单到期规模较大有关。"本次提前公告打破惯例,或意在缓解 存单大额到期给市场带来的心理压力,防止资金面预防式紧张。"华西证券宏观联席首席分析师肖金 川称。 "(这)对市场信心稳定起到了关键作用。"光大证券金融业首席分析师王一峰分析,央行本次操作 释放出三重意义:一是向市场释放清晰信号,将维持货币市场价格稳定;二是当市场价格出现偏离 时,可能进一步 ...
内地企业掀起赴港上市热潮 银行业为企业开拓新市场提供全流程服务
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-06-09 01:55
Group 1: Recent Trends in Hong Kong Listings - A surge in mainland companies seeking to list in Hong Kong has been observed, with 8 A-share companies completing IPOs since September last year, raising a total of 981.1 billion HKD [1] - Nearly 50 A-share companies are planning to list in Hong Kong, with over 20 already having submitted materials or received approval [1] - Policy support has been identified as a key factor driving this trend, particularly for technology companies [1][2] Group 2: Regulatory Support and Market Conditions - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is committed to promoting high-level capital market openness and supporting technology companies in utilizing both domestic and international markets [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has optimized its listing system, lowering barriers and introducing mechanisms like "dual-class shares" to facilitate listings for new economy enterprises [2] - The implementation of new regulations for overseas listings has seen 242 mainland companies complete their registration, with 83 being technology firms [3] Group 3: Benefits of Listing in Hong Kong - Listing in Hong Kong allows companies to access global investors, broaden financing channels, and enhance international visibility and brand value [4] - The presence of more mainland companies in Hong Kong is expected to strengthen Hong Kong's position as an international financial center [5] - Hong Kong serves as a gateway for global investors to enter mainland China, benefiting from a diverse product and client ecosystem [6] Group 4: Banking Sector Support - Financial institutions are playing a crucial role in supporting mainland companies in their Hong Kong listing endeavors, providing comprehensive financial consulting and information services [7] - The introduction of the "18C" listing rules has lowered the entry barriers for technology companies, creating dedicated financing channels [7] - Banks are also offering various financial products post-listing to support companies in their growth and strategic initiatives [8]