Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.978 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 8.48% year-on-year, and a net profit of 666 million yuan, up 5.64% year-on-year [1][7] - The growth is primarily driven by the communication gateway segment, which accounted for 34.77% of total revenue, benefiting from new power system construction and overseas market expansion [6] - The company's AI initiatives are showing significant results, contributing 737 million yuan to revenue, representing 24% of the main business income [6] - The company has a robust order backlog of 4.059 billion yuan, supporting future performance growth [6] - A new dividend mechanism has been introduced, with a total proposed dividend of approximately 268 million yuan for 2025, alongside a share buyback of 449 million yuan [6] Financial Performance - The company achieved an EPS of 1.36 yuan for 2025, with projected revenues of 3.702 billion yuan for 2026, reflecting a 24% year-on-year growth [7][14] - The operating profit for 2025 is expected to be 779 million yuan, with a net profit of 666 million yuan, indicating a 6% growth compared to 2025 [7][14] - The company maintains a healthy ROE of 18.8% and a debt-to-asset ratio of 37.8% [2][14] Product Segmentation - In 2025, revenue from the perception layer reached 1.16 billion yuan, up 9.13% year-on-year, while the application layer saw a significant increase of 89.28% to 280 million yuan [6] - The network layer revenue slightly decreased by 0.48% to 1.516 billion yuan, but maintained a gross margin of 45.85% [6] Research and Development - The company invested 232 million yuan in R&D in 2025, maintaining a high R&D intensity of over 9% of revenue over the past five years [6][14] - The company is actively involved in AI applications within the power industry, collaborating with national laboratories to enhance its technological capabilities [6]

Group 1: Overseas Macro Strategy - The joint military action by the US and Israel against Iran in late February 2026 is a core disturbance factor in the overseas macro market [2] - The situation in Iran may exhibit characteristics of "low-intensity long-termization," with high shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz, impacting global markets primarily through heightened risk aversion and increased energy prices and inflation expectations [2] - Short-term effects include rising risk aversion supporting the performance of safe-haven assets like the US dollar, precious metals, and US Treasuries, while global stock markets face pressure, with significant divergence among sectors [2] Group 2: Commodity Market Insights - Gold continues to show strength due to its dual role as a safe-haven and inflation hedge, while silver benefits from increased risk aversion and capital flow within the precious metals sector [2] - Concerns over shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz drive significant upward movement in oil prices, while copper prices receive short-term support due to limited Iranian export supplies [2] Group 3: Chinese Macro Strategy - The upcoming government work report post-two sessions will focus on whether economic growth targets will be adjusted, with local GDP growth targets down by 0.22 percentage points to 5.06% [4] - The report may introduce more quantitative indicators related to resident consumption to enhance strategic guidance for the year [4] - Fiscal policy is expected to remain moderately expansive, with key data on deficit rates and special bond issuance to be clarified [4] Group 4: A-share and Hong Kong Market Analysis - Rising oil prices may increase upstream costs, squeezing midstream and downstream profits, and weakening interest rate cut expectations, though limited impact is expected if oil price increases are less than those during the 2025 conflict [5] - Investment strategies should focus on cyclical sectors with anti-inflation and safe-haven attributes, particularly in strategic resources like oil, natural gas, precious metals, and military technology [5] - The Hong Kong market faces greater impact than the A-share market due to its higher sensitivity to interest rate cut expectations and cost pressures on technology and consumer sectors [5]

Core Viewpoint - Huawei showcased its latest supernode products, including Atlas 950 SuperPoD and TaiShan 950 SuperPoD, at the 2026 Mobile World Congress, emphasizing its commitment to technological innovation and an open-source development philosophy to build a collaborative computing ecosystem with global industry partners [1][4]. Group 1: AI and Computing Needs - The AI technology is entering a rapid iteration phase, with trillion-level large models becoming mainstream, which raises higher demands for computing power, latency, and other performance metrics [1]. - Traditional server architectures face challenges in matching the computing demands of the AI era, as they struggle with issues like low utilization rates and frequent interruptions during training processes [1]. Group 2: Product Innovations - The Atlas 950 SuperPoD supports up to 8192 cards interconnected via the Lingqu protocol, offering significant advantages such as high bandwidth, low latency, and unified memory addressing, enabling efficient performance in AI training and inference scenarios [2]. - The TaiShan 950 SuperPoD represents a breakthrough in general computing, alongside the introduction of new generation servers like TaiShan 500 and TaiShan 200, creating a comprehensive product system that meets diverse computing needs across various industries [4]. Group 3: Open Source and Ecosystem Development - Huawei adheres to an open-source development philosophy, contributing core technologies and resources to the openEuler operating system community, aiming to establish a stable software foundation for computing power [4][5]. - The CANN heterogeneous computing architecture has been fully open-sourced, allowing developers to flexibly use core software components, significantly lowering the barriers to independent innovation [5]. Group 4: Future Directions - The company aims to continue focusing on technological innovation and deepening research and development in foundational computing technologies and products, while enhancing open-source initiatives to connect with global industry partners [5].

执业证书：S1030522060001 电话：18065826333 邮箱：lisz@csco.com.cn 分析师：罗晴 执业证书：S1030524110001 电话：13603091122 邮箱：luoqing@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 TMT [Table_Title] 全球 AI 产业趋势加强 TMT 行业周报（2 月第 4 周） [Table_S 行业观点： ummary] [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 03 月 02 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：李时樟 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 4) 风险提示：AI 大模型进展不及预期。 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportType] [Table_BaseData] 1) 市场回顾。TMT 板块内一级行业 2/9-2/27 涨跌幅为：电子 （7.73%）、通信（7.71%）、计算机（4.99%）、传媒（- 1.77%），除传媒外均跑赢沪深 300（1.44%）。板块内涨幅 靠前的三级子行业分别为通信线缆及配套（25.80%）、被动 元件（18.63%）、 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the performance of the "brokerage golden stocks" and their ability to track the performance of mixed equity fund indices effectively, showcasing the analytical capabilities of brokerage firms [2][10]. - In February 2026, the top-performing stocks in the brokerage golden stock pool included Juguang Technology, Dongfang Tantalum, and Tianfu Communication, with significant monthly increases [1][3]. - The top three brokerages in terms of monthly returns were Caitong Securities, Dongwu Securities, and Guotou Securities, with returns of 14.54%, 10.54%, and 9.85% respectively, outperforming the mixed equity fund index and the CSI 300 index [6][8]. Group 2 - As of March 2, 2026, a total of 39 brokerages released their golden stocks, resulting in 273 unique A-shares after deduplication [21]. - The current allocation of golden stocks is heavily weighted in the electronics (12.50%), basic chemicals (8.85%), and non-ferrous metals (8.33%) sectors, with notable increases in the oil and petrochemical (+2.62%) and light manufacturing (+1.22%) sectors [27][21]. - The brokerage golden stock pool is characterized by a preference for mid-cap, high-valuation, and strong momentum styles [21][27]. Group 3 - The performance of the brokerage golden stock performance enhancement portfolio yielded an absolute return of 2.32% for the month and 14.06% year-to-date, with an excess return of 1.28% compared to the mixed equity fund index [35][31]. - The historical performance of the brokerage golden stock performance enhancement portfolio from 2018 to 2025 shows an annualized return of 21.71%, consistently ranking in the top 30% of active equity funds [33][35]. - The article highlights the importance of analyst recommendations, noting that stocks with multiple recommendations tend to gain higher market attention [22][24].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. **Model Name**: Kaiyuan Quantitative Preferred Golden Stock Portfolio - **Model Construction Idea**: The model is based on the observation that newly introduced golden stocks outperform repeated golden stocks. It incorporates the earnings surprise factor (SUE factor) to select stocks with superior performance expectations[23]. - **Model Construction Process**: - Use newly introduced golden stocks as the sample pool. - Select the top 30 stocks with the highest earnings surprise (SUE factor). - Weight the portfolio based on the number of recommendations by brokers[23]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates superior performance compared to the overall golden stock portfolio, with higher annualized returns and a better risk-return ratio[23]. Model Backtesting Results 1. **Kaiyuan Quantitative Preferred Golden Stock Portfolio** - February Return: 4.4% - 2026 YTD Return: 15.5% - Annualized Return: 24.4% - Annualized Volatility: 25.1% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.97 - Maximum Drawdown: 24.6%[26][27] 2. **Overall Golden Stock Portfolio** - February Return: 2.9% - 2026 YTD Return: 8.9% - Annualized Return: 14.7% - Annualized Volatility: 23.2% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.63 - Maximum Drawdown: 42.6%[21][26] 3. **Newly Introduced Golden Stock Portfolio** - February Return: 3.5% - 2026 YTD Return: 10.7% - Annualized Return: 17.5% - Annualized Volatility: 23.8% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.73 - Maximum Drawdown: 38.5%[21] 4. **Repeated Golden Stock Portfolio** - February Return: 2.4% - 2026 YTD Return: 7.4% - Annualized Return: 12.3% - Annualized Volatility: 23.4% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.52 - Maximum Drawdown: 45.0%[21] 5. **Benchmark Indices** - CSI 300 Index: February Return: 0.1%, 2026 YTD Return: 1.7%, Annualized Return: 3.7%, Annualized Volatility: 20.8%, Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.18, Maximum Drawdown: 40.6%[21][26] - CSI 500 Index: February Return: 3.4%, 2026 YTD Return: 16.0%, Annualized Return: 3.5%, Annualized Volatility: 23.8%, Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.15, Maximum Drawdown: 37.5%[21][26] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. **Factor Name**: Earnings Surprise Factor (SUE Factor) - **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor identifies stocks with earnings that significantly exceed market expectations, which are likely to outperform in the short term[23]. - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the earnings surprise for each stock as the difference between reported earnings and consensus estimates. - Rank stocks based on their earnings surprise values. - Select the top stocks with the highest earnings surprise for portfolio construction[23]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The SUE factor demonstrates strong stock selection ability, particularly within the newly introduced golden stock portfolio[23]. Factor Backtesting Results 1. **SUE Factor in Newly Introduced Golden Stock Portfolio** - Demonstrates superior stock selection ability, contributing to the outperformance of the preferred golden stock portfolio compared to the overall golden stock portfolio[23].

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is positioning itself as a leader in the upcoming 6G mobile network, integrating advanced AI technologies to support a new era of "physical AI" devices and services, amidst geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1][2][3]. Group 1: Nvidia's Role in 6G Development - Nvidia is collaborating with major telecom companies like Nokia, SoftBank, and T-Mobile to develop a next-generation 6G network architecture that leverages AI for efficient radio traffic management [2][5]. - The company aims to create an AI-native 6G platform, emphasizing the need for a network that can support a vast number of intelligent devices and complex demands, which current 5G networks cannot adequately address [2][4]. - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced a $1 billion investment in Nokia to co-develop AI-RAN products and a native 6G network platform, showcasing the potential of AI in transforming communication infrastructure [3][6]. Group 2: Transition from 5G to 6G - Unlike 5G, which primarily focused on enhancing bandwidth and reducing latency for traditional communication, 6G is designed from the ground up to be AI-native, requiring significant computational capabilities for real-time optimization and intelligent resource management [4][9]. - The integration of AI into the core architecture of 6G networks will enable self-optimizing capabilities, allowing the network to manage complex demands from billions of connected devices [9][10]. - Nvidia's AI platforms, such as the Aerial platform and AI-RAN architecture, are essential for building high-performance, programmable networks that meet the demands of future AI workloads [9][10]. Group 3: Future of AI and Telecom - The emergence of "physical AI" will necessitate seamless connectivity and advanced features like edge AI inference and distributed machine learning, which require a network with integrated AI computing capabilities [10]. - Nvidia's advancements in AI chip technology and its development tools are crucial for creating scalable, open, and AI-native wireless networks, positioning the company as a key player in the evolving telecom landscape [10]. - The telecom industry is expected to become more open to new suppliers, potentially leading to the rise of new telecom unicorns, as the demand for innovative solutions increases [7].

Core Insights - The main focus of the news is the significant inflow of capital into various stocks, indicating strong investor interest in specific sectors and companies. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflow - BYD saw a capital inflow of 1.427 billion, with a price increase of 3.55% [1][2] - China Satellite experienced a capital inflow of 0.797 billion, with a price increase of 7.71% [1][2] - Aerospace Rainbow had a capital inflow of 0.346 billion, with a price increase of 9.99% [1][2] - The stock with the highest capital inflow was BYD, followed by China Satellite and Raytheon Defense [1][2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The automotive sector, represented by BYD and Feilong Co., showed strong performance with inflows of 1.427 billion and 0.493 billion respectively [1][2] - The defense sector, including China Satellite and Raytheon Defense, also attracted significant capital, with inflows of 0.797 billion and 0.730 billion respectively [1][2] - The communication sector, represented by companies like Hengtong Optic-Electric and Tianfu Communication, saw inflows of 0.504 billion and 0.233 billion respectively [1][2][3]

Group 1 - The report indicates a transition from a volatile fourth quarter to a spring market rally, with February showing initial fluctuations followed by a recovery, attributed to pre-holiday trading slowdown and short-term policy impacts [3][5][11] - The spring market is expected to continue, with increased trading activity post-Chinese New Year, supported by upcoming economic data releases and the National People's Congress in March, which will set the policy tone for the year [3][46][50] - The report suggests focusing on growth and cyclical sectors, with small-cap stocks likely to outperform due to increased risk appetite and the influx of retail investors, highlighting sectors such as humanoid robots, computing, and AI as key areas of interest [3][88][90] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring external uncertainties, particularly geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which could impact market sentiment and performance [3][76][78] - It notes that historical patterns show small-cap stocks tend to perform better during spring rallies, with a significant focus on growth and cyclical sectors based on past performance trends [3][88][90] - The report outlines specific policy measures in Shanghai aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, which may influence investor sentiment and market dynamics [67]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the telecommunications industry and related companies, including specific recommendations for stocks such as China Telecom, Wolong Materials, and others [8][59]. Core Insights - Nvidia's acquisition of Groq for $20 billion highlights its commitment to the inference market and LPU products, indicating a potential shift in resource allocation towards these technologies [2][12][27]. - The LPU technology, designed for low-latency and high-efficiency real-time token generation, is expected to drive demand for copper cabling and liquid cooling solutions in the future [1][2][27]. - The report identifies a primary investment theme in the telecommunications sector focused on AI computing power, with recommended companies including Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and others [3][59]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The telecommunications index rose by 4.76% last week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.98%, and the Shenzhen Component Index, which rose by 2.80% [1][11]. Key Company Developments - Nvidia's integration plan for Groq's LPU technology aims to enhance its overall architecture, particularly in addressing low-latency decoding bottlenecks in AI applications [12][27]. - The LPU hardware is expected to be deployed in rack form, maintaining a focus on cost-effectiveness and energy efficiency, with copper connections being favored for short-distance interconnects [22][27]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - China Telecom (601728 CH) with a target price of 9.11 CNY - Wolong Materials (002130 CH) with a target price of 43.21 CNY - China Mobile (600941 CH) with a target price of 126.20 CNY - New Yisheng (300502 CH) with a target price of 476.71 CNY - StarNet Ruijie (002396 CH) with a target price of 39.16 CNY - Arista Networks (ANET US) with a target price of 166.30 USD - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 CH) with a target price of 626.68 CNY - Ruijie Networks (301165 CH) with a target price of 102.51 CNY - Guanghuan New Network (300383 CH) with a target price of 18.87 CNY [8][59].