Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation sector [2]. Core Insights - The aviation sector is expected to see improvements in both volume and pricing, with optimistic expectations continuing to develop. High passenger load factors are anticipated to drive ticket prices upward, supported by regulatory measures from the Civil Aviation Administration [4][5]. - The shipping industry is poised for a dual increase in volume and pricing due to multiple catalysts, including replenishment demand and seasonal peaks. The report highlights the potential for significant price increases in the shipping sector [5][6]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Key companies recommended for investment include Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines, which are expected to show strong performance due to their operational resilience and market positioning [11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of infrastructure improvements and policy changes that could benefit the transportation sector, particularly in aviation and shipping [4][5]. Operational Tracking - Data from major airlines shows a positive trend in passenger traffic and load factors, with Southern Airlines reporting a 4.91% increase in available seat kilometers (ASK) in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [14]. - The report tracks significant increases in cargo volumes across various transportation modes, indicating a robust recovery in logistics and freight services [5][6]. Aviation Data Tracking - The report provides detailed metrics on airline performance, including ASK and revenue passenger kilometers (RPK), showing growth across major carriers. For instance, China Eastern Airlines reported a 10.89% increase in RPK in Q1 2025 [14]. - The average ticket price for economy class during the Dragon Boat Festival is projected to rise, reflecting a strong demand environment [4]. Shipping Data Tracking - The report notes a 9.98% week-on-week increase in the SCFI index, indicating a positive trend in shipping rates, despite a year-on-year decline of 41.31% [5]. - The report highlights the impact of tariff changes on shipping demand, particularly in the US-China trade context, which is expected to stimulate replenishment and seasonal demand [5]. Logistics Data Tracking - The report tracks significant growth in express delivery volumes, with a 15.83% year-on-year increase in the number of packages collected during early May 2025 [5]. - The logistics sector is benefiting from improved cross-border trade conditions, which are expected to enhance the performance of logistics companies [5].

Core Insights - White Rhino Technology, an L4 autonomous driving company, has completed a 200 million yuan Series B financing round led by SF Express, with participation from Xinyuan Automotive and existing shareholder Linear Capital [1][2] - The funding will be used for the development of new low-speed unmanned vehicle products, market promotion of existing products, and optimization of the supply chain [1] - White Rhino's unmanned delivery vehicles are currently operating hundreds of units daily within the SF Express system, significantly enhancing logistics efficiency [1] Company Overview - Founded in April 2019 by former Baidu autonomous driving team members, White Rhino focuses on autonomous driving products and services on urban public roads, starting with unmanned delivery [2] - The main product line is the R5 series unmanned vehicle, which has a cargo volume of 5.5 cubic meters, can carry over 500 packages, and has a range of over 120 kilometers on a full charge [2] - The unmanned vehicles are utilized in various scenarios, including traditional logistics, industrial logistics, retail, fresh food, takeaway, cold chain, supermarkets, and security patrols, with commercial operations in over 50 cities [2] Strategic Partnerships - White Rhino has established deep collaborations with companies such as Yonghui Supermarket, Dada Group, Hema Fresh, and Ele.me to further expand the application range of its unmanned vehicles [3] - SF Express's investment in White Rhino represents a significant strategic move in the unmanned delivery sector, aligning with its long-term commitment to technological innovation in logistics [3] - SF Express has been investing in drone logistics for over a decade, having established companies like Fengniao Technology and Fengyi Technology to explore drone logistics solutions [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation sector [7]. Core Views - The report recommends focusing on the improving supply-demand dynamics in the aviation, oil shipping, and highway sectors while advising caution in container shipping, cross-border logistics, express delivery, and railways [1]. Aviation - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from a slowdown in supply growth, with demand for domestic and international flights increasing by 1.7% and 26.9% respectively in March [2][14]. - The report highlights that the overall passenger load factor remains high at 83.3%, with a notable reduction in the year-on-year decline of ticket prices [14][17]. - Recommended stocks include China National Aviation, China Eastern Airlines, and Huaxia Airlines, which are expected to benefit from the improving market conditions [29]. Airports - Airports have seen a steady increase in passenger traffic, with Shanghai's two airports experiencing a 7.5% year-on-year increase in passenger throughput in Q1 2025 [30]. - The report emphasizes the need for airports to enhance their non-aeronautical revenue streams to improve profitability [30][34]. Shipping and Ports - The report notes that the international freight market has been volatile due to tariff policies, with expectations of a decline in container volumes in April and May [3][37]. - Oil shipping rates are projected to improve in May due to OPEC+ production increases, while refined oil shipping rates may remain stable [39]. Highways - The highway sector demonstrated strong performance in Q1 2025, with a notable increase in net profits, making it a favorable sector for dividend plays [4]. - The report suggests that the current low interest rates and risk-averse sentiment support the valuation of dividend-paying stocks in this sector [4]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is facing intensified price competition, with a significant year-on-year increase in parcel volume but a corresponding decline in average prices [5][61]. - The report advises caution regarding franchise-based express delivery companies while maintaining a positive long-term outlook for well-capitalized and service-oriented leaders in the sector [5][61].

Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes the importance of ideological output and brand belief in the Southeast Asian market, where Chinese companies must not only export products but also a widely recognized business philosophy [1] - Major Chinese companies like Alibaba, Tencent, and TikTok have successfully integrated local cultures into their business models, creating a unique ecosystem that resonates with consumers [1] - Successful ideological output requires blending Chinese commercial wisdom with local cultural elements, as seen in marketing strategies tailored to specific countries like Indonesia, Vietnam, and Thailand [1] Group 2 - The concept of a "New Five Absolutes Alliance" is proposed for businesses in Southeast Asia, focusing on building relationships with governments, local conglomerates, Chinese partners, consumer communities, and competitors [2] - Xiaomi's approach in overseas markets serves as a model for localization, establishing a manufacturing ecosystem and local decision-making structures while maintaining control over core technologies [2] Group 3 - The competition in modern business is likened to a martial arts contest, where control over supply chains, data flows, and payment systems is crucial for success [3] - Companies like CATL and SHEIN exemplify this by establishing significant barriers in the electric vehicle battery market and utilizing flexible supply chains to meet fragmented market demands [3] Group 4 - The long-term strategy for businesses in Southeast Asia involves creating "three fortresses": talent development, compliance systems, and innovation tailored to local markets [4] - The ultimate goal for Chinese enterprises is to establish a new business paradigm rather than merely competing for market share [5] Group 5 - Malaysia is positioned as a strategic hub for Chinese companies aiming for global expansion, benefiting from its unique cultural diversity and strategic location [8] - The "Business Chain Global · Malaysia" initiative aims to connect Chinese enterprises with local resources and opportunities, facilitating deeper engagement with the ASEAN market [8][11]

4月22日零点刚过，张坤在管基金纷纷披露2025年一季报，其持仓情况也随之浮出水面。截至2025年3月 末，或受益于旗下四只基金均大幅跑赢同期业绩基准，张坤在管总规模重回600亿元梯队，为608.22亿 元。但在申赎方面，四只基金则仍面临着持续净赎回的困境。调仓换股方面，四只基金均大幅度减持了 阿里巴巴、腾讯；洋河股份（002304）、美团也遭张坤明显减仓；与之相对的是，张坤调整了传统白酒 仓位，旗下三只基金都在一季度期间小幅度增持了山西汾酒（600809）、泸州老窖（000568）。值得一 提的是，顺丰或为张坤"新欢"。该股于一季度新进易方达优质精选持仓前十，增持比例高达226%；此 前在2024年下半年期间，易方达蓝筹精选、易方达优质精选均纷纷建仓顺丰。 ...

跨越和德邦对利润的贡献：该行预计，25Q1，跨越的收入增速可达双位数，对公司利润贡献较为稳 定。公司和德邦的业务融合仍在有序推进。 国际业务：公司预计至2025年底海外仓面积将实现超100%的增长，并持续布局国内保税仓、直邮仓， 提升高效的全球供应链服务能力，推动国内和海外商品高效互通。 快递业务：25Q1，该行预计公司的快递业务量增速高于行业水平。快递业务方面，公司将持续加强时 效能力建设，预计2025年将投入更多的一线快递人员，保障高效物流水平。高端时效件利润水平相对较 高，公司也将着重发展该业务板块。 智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，预计2025年京东物流(02618)总收入将达到2033亿 元/+11.2%，Non-IFRS净利润率达到4.0%.公司进入稳定盈利阶段后，该行对公司的估值方法由PS法转向 PE法。公司预计将在2025年加大投入，用以拓展客户和提升服务质量，该行认为其合理估值为15X，对 应目标价为19.79港币，维持"优于大市"评级。 报告指，2024年，京东物流总收入为1828亿元，同比增长9.7%。其中，来自外部客户的收入为1278亿 元，同比增长9.6%，占总收入的比例近7 ...

私募、基础设施基金上涨，黑石三季度业绩超预期。 今年第三季度黑石集团（BX.N）可分配给股东的收入同比增长 6% 至 13 亿美元。旗下私募股权基 金和基础设施基金表现强劲，分别上涨 6.3% 和 5.5%，推动基金价值上涨、幅度为三年来最高。盈 利指标超预期外，黑石资管规模创纪录、为 1.1 万亿美元。本季度，黑石还以 160 亿美元的企业价 值收购澳大利亚数据运营商 AirTrunk，是今年规模最大的一笔杠杆收购。 雀巢销量不及预期，正在精简组织架构。 雀巢（NESN.S）今年前三个季度销售额同比降 2.4% 至 671 亿瑞士法郎（约为 5521 亿元），各地 区销售额均同比降低。业绩不及预期的原因除了俄乌冲突后谷物、能源等成本变高之外，CEO 傅 乐宏还提到消费需求减弱，预期持续疲软，第四季度将进一步去库存。雀巢还在经历组织架构和执 行董事会的变动，为了 "提升集团绩效和加速转型"。 中国市场疲软，保乐力加季度表现低于预期。 烈酒公司保乐力加（PERP.PA）旗下有马爹利干邑和绝对伏特加等品牌。在截至 9 月底的财季里， 保乐力加销售额同比下降 5.9% 至 27.83 亿欧元。和 LVMH 集团一样 ...