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二十届四中全会公报要点解读:自主创新和科技自立自强是“十五五”期间的战略主轴
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2025-10-24 02:24
Economic Environment - The "15th Five-Year" period faces complex changes in the development environment, with both strategic opportunities and risks present[1] - External challenges include increased tariffs from the US and restrictions on high-tech imports, necessitating a focus on technological self-reliance[1][2] Strategic Planning - The core strategy for the "15th Five-Year" plan is to enhance independent innovation and technological self-reliance, supported by a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing[2][3] - The plan emphasizes the need to expand domestic demand, boost consumption, and reduce reliance on foreign markets[4] Economic Growth Targets - The focus will shift from high-speed growth to high-quality development, with no specific GDP growth targets set for the next five years[5] - The average GDP growth rate during the "14th Five-Year" period was 5.4%, with projections for the "15th Five-Year" period to be between 4.5% and 5.0%[5] Fiscal and Monetary Policy - The fiscal policy will prioritize funding for major national strategies, focusing on modern industrial systems and increasing technology spending[6][7] - Monetary policy will aim for stability and flexibility, with an emphasis on supporting technology-driven sectors and managing economic cycles[8] Immediate Policy Actions - There is an expectation for macroeconomic policies to intensify in the fourth quarter to stabilize growth, including new fiscal measures and potential interest rate cuts[9]
担当实干 奋楫争先 奋力谱写中原大地推进中国式现代化新篇章——党的二十届四中全会精神在全省党员干部群众中引发热烈反响
He Nan Ri Bao· 2025-10-24 02:02
"党的二十届四中全会对深入推进以人为本的新型城镇化作出了重要部署,为我们在新时代新征程推动 住房城乡建设工作指明了前进方向、提供了根本遵循。"省住房城乡建设厅党组书记、厅长高义表示, 将深入学习贯彻全会精神,贯彻落实中央和省委城市工作会议精神,聚焦"1+2+4+N"目标任务体系,认 真践行人民城市理念,持续优化现代化城市体系,深入实施城市更新行动,推动房地产高质量发展,统 筹推进以县城为重要载体的新型城镇化,加快构建"一主两副、一圈两带、四域多点"发展格局,走好符 合发展规律、具有河南特色的城市现代化新路子,为奋力谱写中原大地推进中国式现代化新篇章提供有 力支撑。 郑州海关主要负责同志表示,将认真学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神,更加注重统筹发展和安全,积 极融入中部地区崛起等区域协调发展战略,聚焦"空陆数海"丝绸之路建设,研究制定践行"两高四着 力"行动方案,支持河南全方位拓展开放通道,提升自贸试验区、综合保税区等开放平台能级,建设全 国统一大市场循环枢纽,打造国内国际市场双循环支点;巩固中匈海关关际合作成果,研究论证以构 建"空中丝绸之路"海关服务平台为抓手的一揽子海关合作框架和工作机制,深入参与共建"一带 ...
13股三季度获社保基金扎堆持有
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-24 01:41
Core Insights - The Social Security Fund has disclosed its stock holdings as of the end of the third quarter, appearing in the top ten shareholders of 71 stocks, with 18 new entries and 20 increases in holdings [1][2] - The total number of shares held by the Social Security Fund is 1.094 billion, with a total market value of 26.808 billion yuan [1] - The fund's major holdings are concentrated in the mechanical equipment, pharmaceutical, and basic chemical industries, with 10, 7, and 7 stocks respectively [2] Group 1: Stock Holdings - The Social Security Fund has maintained its holdings in 13 stocks, reduced its holdings in 20 stocks, and increased its holdings in 20 stocks [1] - The stock with the highest holding ratio is Iwu Biological, accounting for 5.39% of its circulating shares, followed by Beiding Co., with 4.60% [1][2] - The largest number of shares held by the Social Security Fund is in Poly Development, with 124 million shares, followed by China Jushi and CNOOC Development with 85.52 million and 55.16 million shares respectively [1][2] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Among the stocks held by the Social Security Fund, 51 companies reported year-on-year net profit growth, with the highest increase seen in Xin Qiang Lian at 1939.50% [2] - The average decline of the Social Security Fund's heavy stocks since October is 0.41%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - The best-performing stock is Xin Qiang Lian, with a cumulative increase of 22.33%, while the largest decline is seen in Xingwang Ruijie, with a drop of 14.40% [2]
港股异动 | 五矿地产(00230)复牌高开近92% 获五矿香港溢价约104.08%提私有化
智通财经网· 2025-10-24 01:29
智通财经APP获悉,五矿地产(00230)复牌高开近92%,截至发稿,涨91.84%,报0.94港元,成交额 187.06万港元。 消息面上,五矿地产发布公告称,大股东五矿香港建议以计划安排方式将公司私有化,每股现金价1港 元,较停牌前收报溢价104.08%。涉资最多12.76亿港元。目前,要约人持有公司股本61.88%。生效后, 公司将向联交所申请撤销股份的上市地位。 ...
机构风向标 | 卧龙新能(600173)2025年三季度已披露持仓机构仅6家
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 01:28
Core Viewpoint - Wolong New Energy (600173.SH) reported its Q3 2025 results, highlighting a significant institutional ownership increase, indicating strong investor confidence in the company [1] Institutional Ownership - As of October 23, 2025, six institutional investors disclosed holding a total of 429 million shares of Wolong New Energy, representing 61.31% of the company's total equity [1] - The institutional ownership increased by 0.57 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Public Fund Holdings - One public fund, the Southern CSI All Index Real Estate ETF, reported a slight decrease in holdings compared to the previous quarter [1] - Fourteen public funds that did not disclose holdings this quarter include notable names such as Huaxia CSI All Index Real Estate ETF and Xinhua Active Value Flexible Allocation Mixed A [1]
五矿地产复牌高开近92% 获五矿香港溢价约104.08%提私有化
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 01:27
消息面上,五矿地产发布公告称,大股东五矿香港建议以计划安排方式将公司私有化,每股现金价1港 元,较停牌前收报溢价104.08%。涉资最多12.76亿港元。目前,要约人持有公司股本61.88%。生效后, 公司将向联交所申请撤销股份的上市地位。 五矿地产(00230)复牌高开近92%,截至发稿,涨91.84%,报0.94港元,成交额187.06万港元。 ...
野村报告:中国第十五次五年计划展望
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-24 00:18
Group 1 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to be more important than the "14th Five-Year Plan," focusing on resilience, security, and inclusivity rather than specific growth targets [1][3][5] - China's five-year plans serve as a tool for the leadership to summarize challenges, set roadmaps, and guide progress, reflecting a blend of Soviet heritage and Confucian elitism [2][3] - The upcoming plan will need to address the consequences of the real estate market collapse, rising youth unemployment, and wealth restructuring due to housing price fluctuations [3][5] Group 2 - The potential growth target for 2026 is estimated at around 4.5%, gradually transitioning to approximately 4% by 2030, emphasizing resilience and inclusivity [5][13] - China is expected to continue investing heavily in technology self-sufficiency, particularly in semiconductors and artificial intelligence, while addressing the debt crisis in the real estate sector [5][23] - The "Second China Shock" refers to a new wave of Chinese exports in advanced technologies and green industries, driven by domestic economic strategies and industrial overcapacity [9][12] Group 3 - The geopolitical landscape is anticipated to be more complex from 2026 to 2030, with China's economic scale and manufacturing dominance increasing significantly [14][15] - China is moving up the value chain while maintaining its low-tech product advantages, posing competitive threats to various industries globally [15][17] - The military modernization efforts are rapidly advancing, with a focus on expanding naval capabilities and challenging U.S. dominance [18][19]
【数说经济】奋力跑好全年经济“最后一棒”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 23:37
四季度的经济表现不仅关系全年发展目标的实现程度,更关系"十四五"圆满收官和"十五五"良好开局。 现在到年底只剩下两个多月时间,我们要进一步增强信心决心,以只争朝夕的紧迫感全力跑好"最后一 棒",努力完成全年经济社会发展目标任务。 眼下,我们正站在全年经济发展的关键节点。今年是"十四五"规划收官之年,四季度又是一年的收官之 季,四季度的经济表现不仅关系全年发展目标的实现程度,更关系"十四五"圆满收官和"十五五"良好开 局。在这个承前启后的重要时刻,我们需要全力以赴,稳扎稳打,奋力交出令人满意的年度经济答卷。 技术改造和转型升级投入,稳定房地产市场,推动更多资金资源"投资于人"、服务于民生。着力打通经 济循环中的堵点卡点,形成消费和投资相互促进的良性循环。 回顾前三季度,我国经济呈现总体平稳、稳中有进的发展态势。5.2%的增速在全球主要经济体中名列 前茅,就业形势总体稳定,物价运行有所改善,国际收支保持总体平衡,支撑经济大盘的"宏观四角"运 行平稳。同时,高质量发展扎实推进,新质生产力不断催生经济新增长点,绿色低碳转型取得新进展, 城乡居民收入相对差距继续缩小。这些积极因素,为实现全年主要目标打下了比较坚实的基础 ...
A股市场大势研判:指数探底回升,全线收红
Dongguan Securities· 2025-10-23 23:31
Market Overview - The A-share market showed a rebound with all indices closing in the green, with the Shanghai Composite Index recovering above 3900 points [4] - The market experienced a bottoming out trend, with the three major indices all rising, indicating a preference for profit-making [5] Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3922.41, up by 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index also rose by 0.22% to 13025.45 [2] - The CSI 300 Index increased by 0.30% to 4606.34, while the ChiNext Index saw a slight increase of 0.09% to 3062.16 [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included coal (+1.75%), oil and petrochemicals (+1.52%), and social services (+1.07%) [3] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed included telecommunications (-1.51%), real estate (-0.99%), and construction materials (-0.91%) [3] Concept Index Performance - The Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprise Reform concept led the gains with an increase of 6.62%, followed by the horse racing concept (+2.45%) and MLOps concept (+2.41%) [3] - Underperforming concepts included cultivated diamonds (-2.94%) and co-packaged optics (CPO) (-1.32%) [3] Economic Indicators - In September, the total electricity consumption reached 888.6 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [4] - The unemployment rate for urban youth aged 16-24 was reported at 17.7%, while the rate for those aged 25-29 was 7.2% [5] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a phase of consolidation, with a potential for a mid-term upward trend [5] - It is recommended to maintain flexible positions and avoid blind chasing of high prices, focusing on optimizing allocation based on economic conditions and valuation [5] - Key sectors to watch include dividend assets, technology growth, new energy, and non-ferrous metals [5]
300520,垂直20%涨停!超级赛道,尾盘突发异动!什么情况?
中国基金报· 2025-10-23 15:25
Market Overview - The A-share market opened lower on October 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index maintaining above 3900 points and the Shenzhen Component regaining 13000 points in the afternoon. The market turnover fell to 1.66 trillion yuan, marking a new low in two and a half months [4]. Sector Performance - Energy, near-term new stocks, film and television, and quantum technology sectors saw significant gains, while cultivated diamonds, glass fiber, communication equipment, and engineering machinery sectors experienced declines. Quantum technology stocks surged in the last trading minutes, with Keda Guokuan (300520) hitting a 20% limit up [5]. Key Developments - On October 22, Google announced a new algorithm named "Quantum Echo" developed by its quantum computing research team, which can compute molecular structures 13,000 times faster than the best supercomputers [8]. - Major inflows of over 3.2 billion yuan were observed in non-ferrous metals, with coal, media, basic chemicals, and non-bank financials also receiving over 2 billion yuan each. However, the electronics sector saw a net outflow exceeding 6.7 billion yuan [8]. Future Outlook - According to Debon Securities, the reduced trading volume indicates cautious market sentiment, with financial and energy sectors providing support. The focus may shift to the "14th Five-Year Plan" policies, particularly in expanding domestic demand and consumer sectors [9]. - Huajin Securities anticipates that the implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" will strengthen the technology sector, benefiting industries such as electronics and robotics, as well as innovative pharmaceuticals and green energy sectors [9]. Company Earnings - Several new stocks reported strong growth in their Q3 earnings. Guangdong Jianke turned a profit in the first three quarters of 2025, while Aifenda reported a net profit of 96.41 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.71% [11]. - Jianfa Zhixin expects a net profit of 200 to 222 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a growth of 30% to 40%, with Q3 results to be disclosed on October 28 [11].