Market Performance - On September 17, 2025, the market opened low and closed high, with the ChiNext Index reaching a new high for the period. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.16%, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.95%[3] - The total market turnover was 24,029.16 billion CNY, an increase of 358.68 billion CNY compared to the previous trading day[3] Sector and Style Analysis - Among the 30 CITIC first-level industries, most sectors saw gains, with the top performers being Comprehensive Finance (3.93%), Electric Equipment and New Energy (2.90%), and Automotive (2.13%). The laggards included Consumer Services (-1.07%), Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (-0.98%), and Retail (-0.95%)[21] - In terms of investment style, growth stocks outperformed value stocks, with large-cap growth leading small-cap value, and fund-heavy stocks performing better than the CSI All Share Index[21] Capital Flow - On September 17, 2025, the net outflow of main funds was 383.06 billion CNY, with large orders contributing to the outflow of 212.53 billion CNY and super large orders accounting for 170.53 billion CNY. Small orders saw a continuous net inflow of 473.14 billion CNY[26] - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of 94.41 billion HKD, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 21.56 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 72.85 billion HKD[5] Global Market Overview - On September 17, 2025, major Asia-Pacific indices showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.78% to 26,388.16 points and the Nikkei 225 Index declining by 0.25% to 44,790.38 points[33] - European indices generally fell on September 16, 2025, with the DAX Index down 1.77% and the FTSE 100 Index down 0.88%[34]

Market Liquidity Overview - R007 increased from 1.4566% to 1.4651%, a rise of 0.85 basis points, while DR007 rose from 1.4372% to 1.4575%, an increase of 2.03 basis points. The spread between R007 and DR007 narrowed by 1.18 basis points [1][9] - The net inflow of funds this week was 2.997 billion, a decrease of 64.904 billion from the previous week. Fund supply was 110.177 billion, and fund demand was 107.180 billion. Fund supply increased by 15.540 billion, with net financing purchases rising by 37.822 billion [1][13] Industry Sector Liquidity Tracking - Most sectors in the CITIC first-level industry index rose this week, with the real estate sector showing the most significant increase at 6.99%. Other sectors like electronics and agriculture also saw slight gains. Conversely, the banking and comprehensive finance sectors led the declines, falling by 0.64% and 0.58%, respectively [2][18] - The electronic industry received the highest net inflow of leveraged funds, totaling 16.839 billion, while the transportation sector experienced a net outflow of 1.031 billion, marking the most significant reduction [21][22] Style Sector Liquidity Tracking - Growth and cyclical styles led the performance this week, with increases of 3.56% and 1.87%, respectively. The growth style accounted for 58.61% of the average daily trading volume, indicating it was the most active sector [3][19] - The average turnover rate for the growth style was the highest at 3.45%, while financial and stable styles had relatively low turnover rates [3][19]

- The report does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors for analysis[1][2][3] - The report primarily focuses on market trends, style performance, valuation metrics, and fund flows without detailing any quantitative model construction or factor definitions[26][37][122] - Style performance metrics such as "growth vs dividend," "small-cap vs large-cap," and "momentum vs reversal" are discussed, but no explicit quantitative factor construction or formulas are provided[26][37][123] - The report includes historical valuation and performance metrics for indices and sectors, but these are descriptive statistics rather than outputs of specific quantitative models[62][70][80] - The methodology for calculating style crowding and cumulative excess returns is briefly mentioned in the appendix, but no detailed quantitative model or factor construction process is elaborated[122][123]

Market Overview - The market continues to operate in an upward trend, with the core observation variable being whether the market's profit-making effect can be sustained. As long as the profit-making effect remains positive, mid-term incremental capital is expected to continue entering the market [1][4][7] - The current WIND All A trend line is around 6106 points, with a profit-making effect of approximately 1.9%, still positive. It is advised to hold patiently until the profit-making effect turns negative [2][4][7] - The market is entering a significant event window, and volatility is expected to increase significantly. A more balanced allocation is recommended in response to this volatility [2][4][7] Industry Allocation - From a mid-term perspective, the industry allocation continues to recommend sectors that are experiencing a turnaround, particularly innovative pharmaceuticals in Hong Kong, which are still in an upward trend. Additionally, sectors benefiting from policy-driven growth, such as chemicals and innovative new energy, are expected to maintain upward momentum [2][4][7] - The TWO BETA model continues to recommend the technology sector, focusing on computing power and batteries. In the short term, if the military sector shows significant volume reduction, it may present a good short-term buying opportunity [2][4][7] Performance Metrics - The Davis Double strategy achieved an absolute return of 1.68% this month and a cumulative absolute return of 48.70% for the year. The net profit gap strategy outperformed the benchmark by 1.34% this week, with a cumulative absolute return of 53.50% for the year [1][8][11]

Core Insights - The report highlights the current industry allocation of the Bank of China’s multi-strategy system, with significant positions in non-ferrous metals (15.3%), non-bank financials (12.9%), and comprehensive sectors (7.3%) [1] - The average weekly return for the CITIC primary industries was -3.0%, while the average return over the past month was 3.1% [3][10] - The report identifies the top-performing industries for the week as electric equipment and new energy (2.4%), food and beverage (0.8%), and pharmaceuticals (0.5%), while the worst performers were defense and military (-11.9%), computers (-9.8%), and electronics (-9.7%) [3][10] Industry Performance Review - The report provides a detailed performance review of CITIC primary industries, indicating that the average weekly return was -3.0% and the average monthly return was 3.1% [10] - The top three industries by weekly performance were electric equipment and new energy (2.4%), food and beverage (0.8%), and pharmaceuticals (0.5%) [11] - The bottom three industries were defense and military (-11.9%), computers (-9.8%), and electronics (-9.7%) [11] Valuation Risk Warning - The report employs a valuation warning system based on the PB ratio over the past six years, identifying industries with a PB ratio above the 95th percentile as overvalued [14][15] - Currently, the industries triggering high valuation warnings include retail, media, computers, and defense and military, all exceeding the 95th percentile in PB valuation [15][16] Strategy Performance - The report outlines the performance of various strategies, with the composite strategy yielding a cumulative return of 20.2% year-to-date, outperforming the CITIC primary industry benchmark by 2.3% [3] - The highest excess return strategy was the industry profitability tracking strategy (S1), with an excess return of 5.1% compared to the benchmark [3] - The report indicates a shift in strategy allocations, increasing positions in upstream cyclical and pharmaceutical sectors while reducing exposure to TMT, consumer, and midstream cyclical sectors [3] Current Industry Rankings - The report ranks industries based on profitability expectations, with non-ferrous metals, non-bank financials, and agriculture being the top three [18] - The implied sentiment momentum strategy ranks communication, non-ferrous metals, and electronics as the top three industries based on market sentiment indicators [22] - The macroeconomic style rotation strategy identifies comprehensive finance, computers, communication, defense and military, electronics, and media as the top six industries based on macroeconomic indicators [25]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has issued an opinion to promote the deep integration of artificial intelligence (AI) across various industries, with the financial sector being one of the most proactive in adopting AI technologies [1] Group 1: AI Integration in Financial Sector - China Ping An, one of the three major comprehensive financial groups in China, has committed to an "All in AI" strategy, focusing on five areas: intelligent marketing, intelligent services, intelligent operations, intelligent management, and intelligent business [1] - AI is expected to significantly enhance efficiency, effectiveness, and user experience while reducing costs and risks across various industries [2] - The evolution of AI has progressed through three stages: small models for single problems, large models with cross-domain capabilities, and the current "strong thinking" stage represented by models like DeepSeek [2] Group 2: AI Applications and Challenges - AI-assisted diagnostic systems have achieved over 99% accuracy in guiding patients and over 95% accuracy in auxiliary diagnosis, showcasing the potential of AI in healthcare [3] - Despite the advancements, challenges remain in applying large models in serious scenarios like finance and healthcare, where smaller models may provide more certainty [3] - The development of AI tools and platforms is aimed at enhancing the efficiency of financial advisors rather than directly replacing them for individual investors [4] Group 3: Institutional vs. Individual Investors - For institutional investors with substantial trading platforms, AI can unlock greater potential, as evidenced by Ping An's new investment management platform that supports thousands of financial products [5] - The platform integrates product management, investment strategies, and risk control, significantly improving operational efficiency [5] Group 4: Conditions for Technological Narratives - The narrative around technology in China's capital market is becoming clearer, with traditional financial companies focusing on the practical business value generated by technology [6] - Companies must meet three conditions to create incremental value: a solid digital foundation, sufficient industry scale, and high profit levels [6] - The Chinese market has advantages in data, talent, policy environment, and innovation, which enhance the conditions for technological narratives [6]

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with a notable rebound in the ChiNext Index, driven by gains in computing power and new energy stocks, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.16% and the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.65% [2][11] - The market turnover reached 2.40 trillion yuan, with 4,558 stocks declining across the board [11][25] Market Performance - The ChiNext Index rose by 0.95%, while the Shanghai 50 Index dropped by 1.07%, and the CSI 300 Index fell by 0.68% [11] - In terms of sector performance, telecommunications (+1.68%) and electric power & new energy equipment (+1.29%) sectors saw gains, while defense and military (-5.84%) and comprehensive finance (-3.57%) sectors led the declines [11] Industry Trends - The rebound in the ChiNext Index was supported by a resurgence in computing hardware stocks, particularly in optical modules and optical communication [11] - The new energy supply chain, including photovoltaic inverters and energy storage, showed strong performance, likely influenced by surging overseas demand for energy storage [11] - Battery concepts, such as solid-state batteries and sodium-ion batteries, also saw upward movement due to industry advancements [11] Future Outlook - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the Chinese stock market, anticipating continued monetary and fiscal support, which historically has helped the market withstand external risks and volatility [11] - Investment strategies should focus on non-bank sectors in a "slow bull" market, with an emphasis on AI computing, innovative pharmaceuticals in Hong Kong, and military sectors [11] - Additionally, sectors benefiting from improved supply-demand dynamics, such as metals, transportation, chemicals, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and pig farming, are recommended for attention [11]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Bullish**: Gold, Silver, Copper [4] - **Bearish**: Carbonate Lithium, Thread Steel, Hot Rolled Coil, Soda Ash, Float Glass [4][6][8] - **Cautiously Bearish**: Coking Coal, Coke [6][8] - **Cautiously Bullish**: Rubber [10] - **Sideways**: Treasury Bonds, Alumina, Aluminum, Nickel, Polysilicon, Iron Ore, Crude Oil, Methanol, Polyolefin, Zhengzhou Cotton [1][4][6][8][10] Core Views - The A - share market is in a stage of shock consolidation, but the upward trend remains unchanged due to abundant liquidity and high allocation value of Chinese equity assets [1] - The bond market is in a sideways pattern with cautious sentiment and limited directional drivers [1] - Precious metals are in a bullish pattern due to increased short - term risk - aversion sentiment and the Fed's likely shift to easing [4] - Some industrial metals have different trends. Copper is bullish due to supply tightness, while nickel is in a sideways pattern with supply - demand contradictions [4] - Energy and chemical products show various trends. Lithium carbonate is bearish due to supply pressure, and polyolefin may rebound with increased supply and demand [4][10] - Building materials like steel and glass are under pressure. Steel has supply - demand contradictions, and glass may face price pressure if demand is weak [6][8] Summary by Variety Stock Index - The two - margin balance has reached a record high of 2.91 trillion yuan. The stock index has entered a shock consolidation stage, but the upward trend remains due to abundant liquidity [1] Treasury Bonds - The bond market is in a sideways pattern. The stock - bond seesaw effect has weakened, and market sentiment is cautious [1] Precious Metals - Gold and silver are in a bullish pattern. The Fed's shift to easing and risk - aversion sentiment have strengthened their financial and monetary attributes [4] Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Bullish. Supply is tight, and the mid - term upward trend is clear [4] - **Aluminum and Alumina**: Alumina is in a sideways pattern with limited downside. Aluminum has strong support, and long positions can be held [4] - **Nickel**: Sideways. Supply is abundant, and the price is under pressure from the long - term surplus [4] Carbonate Lithium - Bearish. Supply remains high, and short - term prices are under pressure [4][6] Polysilicon - Sideways. Supply pressure has increased significantly, and the price increase space is limited [6] Steel and Iron Ore - **Thread Steel**: Bearish. Inventory is increasing seasonally, and prices are expected to be weak [6] - **Hot Rolled Coil**: Bearish. Supply - demand contradictions are accumulating, and prices may continue to be weak [6] - **Iron Ore**: Sideways. High iron - water production eases supply - demand contradictions, and prices will range between 760 - 820 [6] Coking Coal and Coke - Bearish. Demand is weak, and prices are under pressure, but the decline of coking coal may slow down [6][8] Soda Ash and Glass - **Soda Ash**: Bearish. Supply is greater than demand, and prices are under downward pressure [8] - **Float Glass**: Bearish. Demand is hard to digest supply, and prices are under pressure [8] Crude Oil - Sideways. Geopolitical factors may cause short - term price increases, but long - term supply pressure is large [8] Methanol - Sideways. High imports and expected production increases will keep prices under pressure [8] Polyolefin - Sideways. Supply and demand are both increasing, and prices are expected to stop falling and rebound [10] Cotton - Sideways. New cotton production is expected to increase, and the peak - season expectation is weak [10] Rubber - Bullish. Supply - demand structure is improving, and prices are supported [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [4] Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by AI and digital finance, with projected revenue increasing from 1,965.39 million RMB in 2023 to 4,723.75 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.71% [11] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise significantly from 190.72 million RMB in 2023 to 1,568.04 million RMB in 2027, indicating a substantial recovery and growth trajectory [11] - The company is focusing on building a comprehensive product system to enhance user engagement and diversify revenue streams, with nearly 50 lightweight products launched to cater to diverse customer needs [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 1,965.39 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.23%, expected to increase to 2,305.99 million RMB in 2024, representing a growth rate of 17.33% [11] - The net profit for 2023 is 190.72 million RMB, with a significant decline of 58.59% year-on-year, but is projected to rebound to 1,215.91 million RMB by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 346.43% [11] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 12.59% in 2023 to 44.30% by 2027, indicating improved profitability and efficiency [11] Product and Technology Development - The company is advancing its AI capabilities and digital transformation, aiming to enhance its service offerings in the securities sector through AI integration in research, education, compliance, and customer service [2][3] - The establishment of a dedicated technology subsidiary, Jiufang Zhiying, is part of the strategy to develop a native service technology system in the AI field [2] Market Position and Strategy - The company is committed to a buy-side advisory model, with a strong emphasis on research capabilities and a well-structured team of experts to support its investment strategies [3] - The report highlights the company's efforts to enhance its online presence and user engagement, with a significant increase in social media followers and account operations [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing reforms in the capital market, which are anticipated to bolster market confidence and support its growth strategy [9] - The report suggests that the company is well-positioned to leverage advancements in AI and digital finance to diversify its revenue streams and enhance customer retention [9]

Core Viewpoint - Fosun International emphasizes a clear strategic focus on core businesses, deepening global layout, and increasing innovation investment to establish a solid foundation for future development [1] Group 1: Strategic Developments - The management has reiterated the strategy of "progress and retreat," with the completion of the sale of 99.743% of the German private bank HAL by June 30, 2025, while retaining the asset service business HAFS [2] - Citigroup and Industrial Securities have expressed confidence in Fosun's strategy and asset optimization progress, with Citigroup raising the target price from HKD 5.86 to HKD 6.50 after the earnings conference [1][2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Fosun's overseas revenue accounted for 53%, an increase of 6.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant effectiveness in global business layout [3] - The Club Med Mediterranean club achieved record global performance with revenue reaching RMB 9.25 billion [3] - The insurance segment reported revenue of RMB 20.89 billion in the first half of the year, with the Portuguese insurance overseas gross premium reaching EUR 924 million, receiving a Standard & Poor's "A" rating [3] Group 3: Innovation and Product Development - The biopharmaceutical sector has shown remarkable performance, with the innovative drug H achieving global sales revenue of RMB 597.7 million and approvals in nearly 40 countries [3] - The innovative drug HLX43 is the first PD-L1 targeted ADC drug to enter Phase II clinical trials, while HLX22 has received orphan drug designation in the EU for gastric cancer treatment [3] - Fosun is advancing innovation in fintech with the launch of the FinRWA Platform and progressing in asset tokenization projects [4]