Core Insights - The report indicates an increase in IPO amounts in July, with significant net inflows from southbound funds and financing into the pharmaceutical sector [1][4][34]. Macro Liquidity - Domestic: During the week of July 21-25, the yields on 2-year and 10-year government bonds rose, with the 10-year and 2-year bond yield spread widening. The central bank's net injection in the open market was 109.5 billion yuan, and the MLF net injection was 100 billion yuan [2][12]. - International: The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield increased while the 10-year yield decreased, leading to a decline in the dollar index. As of July 25, the spread between Chinese and U.S. 10-year government bonds narrowed to -2.67% [2][16][17]. Market Liquidity Public Funds - In July 2025, 110 new funds were established, with 62 being equity funds, totaling approximately 28.3 billion units issued [3][22]. ETF Funds - 35 new ETF funds were established in July 2025, with 25 being equity ETFs, totaling 11 billion units issued [3][25]. Southbound Funds - Significant net inflows were observed in southbound funds, with a total net inflow of 765.4 billion yuan year-to-date as of July 25 [3][34]. Margin Financing - The average financing purchase amount was 190 billion yuan, a 27.7% increase from the previous week, with notable net inflows in the non-ferrous metals and pharmaceutical sectors [4][42]. Fundraising - In July, there were 6 IPOs raising approximately 23.3 billion yuan, with total equity financing of about 60.7 billion yuan [4][46]. Sector Analysis - The non-bank financial sector saw the largest net inflow of 10.42 billion yuan, followed by pharmaceuticals and computers, totaling approximately 17 billion yuan [3][36].

Group 1: Macro Liquidity - The US dollar index has declined again, and the degree of "inversion" in the China-US interest rate spread has narrowed, with inflation expectations continuing to rise [1][11][14] - Offshore dollar liquidity has marginally eased, while the domestic interbank funding situation has shown a pattern of first easing and then tightening [1][14] Group 2: Market Trading Activity - Overall market trading activity has continued to rise, with most industry trading heat above the 80th percentile [2][20] - The volatility of major indices has also increased, with most industry volatilities below the 40th historical percentile [2][26] Group 3: Institutional Research - The electronic, computer, retail, communication, and pharmaceutical sectors have seen high research activity, while real estate and non-bank sectors have also experienced a rise in research heat [3][36] Group 4: Analyst Forecasts - Analysts have simultaneously lowered the net profit forecasts for the entire A-share market for 2025/2026, while increasing forecasts for sectors such as non-ferrous metals, light industry, steel, and utilities [4][19] - The net profit forecasts for the CSI 500 index for 2025/2026 have been raised, while those for the CSI 300, SSE 50, and ChiNext have been lowered [4][23] Group 5: Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading activity has rebounded, with overall net purchases of A-shares, particularly in sectors like non-ferrous metals, pharmaceuticals, and chemicals [4][31] - The ratio of buy/sell amounts for the top 10 active stocks has increased in sectors such as non-ferrous metals and pharmaceuticals [4][32] Group 6: Margin Financing Activity - Margin financing activity has continued to rise, reaching a year-to-date high, with significant net purchases in sectors like machinery, non-ferrous metals, and pharmaceuticals [6][10] - The proportion of financing purchases in real estate, consumer services, and utilities has increased [6][38] Group 7: Fund Activity - Active equity funds have slightly reduced their positions, primarily increasing allocations in sectors like computers, electronics, and banks [5][45] - ETFs have seen overall net subscriptions, particularly in sectors such as construction, steel, and chemicals, while electronic, pharmaceutical, and banking sectors have experienced net redemptions [5][53]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, A-share market showed strong bullish sentiment, with significant trading volume increase. Cyclical stocks performed well, but funds shifted from high - risk themes to low - risk and high - certainty targets on Thursday and Friday. [2][11] - Active equity funds in the second - quarter adjusted their positions around prosperity and valuation repair, with a focus on the computing power chain, innovative drugs, military, and financial sectors. [12] - The "anti - involution" market is a theme - driven market under a capital - rich environment, and state - owned enterprises may see more marginal improvements. [13] - The technology wave is ongoing, with AI still having room for growth, and semiconductors are also worth attention due to potential low - level rebound. [4][13] Summary by Directory 1. Weekly Market Observation 1.1. Equity Market Review and Observation - **Market Performance**: From July 21 to 25, 2025, major A - share indices rose. The average daily trading volume was about 1.85 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 300 billion yuan compared to the previous week. Cyclical stocks led the rise, but funds shifted on Thursday and Friday. [11] - **Public Fund Q2 Report Adjustment**: Active equity funds increased their positions in the ChiNext and slightly raised their Hong Kong stock holdings. They concentrated less on heavy - position stocks. The top five industries for increased holdings were communication, medicine, non - bank finance, bank, and national defense and military industry, while the top five for reduced holdings were food and beverage, automobile, commerce and retail, power equipment and new energy, and machinery. [12] - **Re - discussion on "Anti - involution"**: The "anti - involution" theme stimulates traditional cyclical industries. It is a theme - driven market, and state - owned enterprises may have more marginal improvements. [13] - **Technology Sector Rebound**: The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference was held. The AI industry is booming, and semiconductors may benefit from low - level rebound. [13] 1.2. Public Fund Market Dynamics - On July 24, the second batch of 12 new floating - rate funds was approved, including industry - themed products. Some funds adjusted their management fee thresholds to strengthen performance constraints. [4][14] 2. Active Equity Fund Index Performance Tracking 2.1. Active Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 15 funds equally weighted, with core positions balanced according to the style distribution of the CSI Active Stock Fund Index. Its performance benchmark is the Active Stock Fund Index (930980.CSI). It rose 1.67% last week and has a cumulative excess return of 12.31% since its establishment. [15][16] 2.2. Value Stock Fund Selection - The index includes value - style funds, selecting 10 funds based on style classification. Its performance benchmark is the CSI 800 Value Index (H30356.CSI). It rose 2.49% last week and has a cumulative excess return of - 3.41% since its establishment. [15][19] 2.3. Balanced Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 10 balanced - style funds. Its performance benchmark is the CSI 800 (000906.SH). It rose 1.25% last week and has a cumulative excess return of 6.01% since its establishment. [15][20] 2.4. Growth Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 10 growth - style funds. Its performance benchmark is the 800 Growth Index (H30355.CSI). It rose 1.68% last week and has a cumulative excess return of 18.39% since its establishment. [15][24] 2.5. Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 15 pharmaceutical - themed funds based on the intersection of equity holdings and the representative index. Its performance benchmark is the pharmaceutical - themed fund index. It fell 0.95% last week and has a cumulative excess return of 22.21% since its establishment. [15][26] 2.6. Consumption Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 10 consumption - themed funds based on the intersection of equity holdings and the representative index. Its performance benchmark is the consumption - themed fund index. It rose 0.84% last week and has a cumulative excess return of 14.87% since its establishment. [15][28] 2.7. Technology Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 10 technology - themed funds based on the intersection of equity holdings and the representative index. Its performance benchmark is the technology - themed fund index. It rose 2.35% last week and has a cumulative excess return of 17.37% since its establishment. [15][32] 2.8. High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 10 high - end manufacturing - themed funds based on the intersection of equity holdings and the representative index. Its performance benchmark is the high - end manufacturing - themed fund index. It rose 1.67% last week and has a cumulative excess return of - 2.78% since its establishment. [15][32] 2.9. Cyclical Stock Fund Selection - The index selects 5 cyclical - themed funds based on the intersection of equity holdings and the representative index. Its performance benchmark is the cyclical - themed fund index. It rose 2.28% last week and has a cumulative excess return of - 0.40% since its establishment. [15][37]

Core Viewpoint - The non-bank financial sector in Hong Kong is experiencing significant growth, as evidenced by the strong performance of the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index and its associated ETF, which have seen substantial increases in both value and trading volume [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 28, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index rose by 2.06%, with key stocks such as Guotai Junan International and China Life Insurance showing notable gains [1]. - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF achieved a 93.14% increase in net value over the past year, ranking in the top 1.06% among 2,938 index stock funds [2]. - The ETF's trading volume reached a record high of 1.95 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 1.81 billion yuan over the past week [1][2]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Size - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past 18 days, totaling 5.4 billion yuan, with a single-day peak inflow of 820 million yuan [1]. - The ETF's total size reached 10.753 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception, with the number of shares also hitting a record of 6.477 billion [1]. Group 3: Index Composition and Changes - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index account for 77.92% of the index, with major players including China Ping An and AIA Group [3]. - Recent adjustments to the life insurance industry's preset interest rates are expected to impact various insurance products, potentially leading to a shift in business structure towards participating insurance [3][4]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The reduction in preset interest rates is anticipated to lower the cost of liabilities for life insurance companies, encouraging a transition towards participating insurance products, which are expected to become more attractive to customers [4]. - The non-bank financial sector, particularly insurance, is positioned to benefit from favorable market conditions, including stable long-term interest rates and a strong stock market [4].

主动权益基金情绪偏乐观， 证券研究报告 银行行业配置达到历史高位 —— 量化市场追踪周报（2025W30） 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 4 月 27 日 金工研究 [Table_ReportType] 金工定期报告 [Table_Author] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500521070001 联系电话：+86 18616021459 邮 箱：yumingming@cindasc.com 吴彦锦 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523090002 联系电话：+86 18616819227 邮 箱：wuyanjin@cindasc.com 周君睿 金融工程与金融产品 分析师 执业编号：S1500523110005 联系电话：+86 19821223545 邮 箱：zhoujunrui@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 量化市场追踪周报(2025W30)：主动权益基金情绪 偏乐观，银行行业配置达到历史高位 [Table_ReportDate] ...

Group 1 - Market sentiment has improved with an increase in margin trading balance, turnover rate, and transaction volume across major indices [2][19] - The average margin trading balance reached approximately 1.92 trillion yuan, up 1.48% from the previous week, with the financing purchase ratio rising to 11.13% of total A-share transaction volume [16][19] - The turnover rate for major indices increased, with the CSI 500 showing the largest growth in transaction volume at 18.30% [19][20] Group 2 - The PE valuation percentiles for major indices increased, with the Shenzhen Component Index leading with a rise of 5.1 percentage points [24][28] - Stable style sectors led the increase in PE valuation percentiles, rising by 2.6 percentage points, while the consumer style also saw a rise of 2.5 percentage points [36][39] - The construction industry led the sectoral PE valuation increases with a rise of 9.4 percentage points, while the banking sector saw a decline of 2.0 percentage points [53][54]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report analyzes the regular reports of active equity funds from multiple perspectives, including scale, quantity, position, concentration, industry and sector allocation, and individual stock allocation, aiming to provide an overview of fund trading behavior characteristics and asset allocation [6]. Group 2: Scale and Quantity Analysis - As of 2Q2025, there were 4,385 active equity funds in the market, an increase of 44 compared to the end of the previous quarter. The total scale of active equity funds was 3.17 trillion yuan, a decrease of 30.472 billion yuan or 0.95pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [8]. - In 2Q2025, 71 active equity funds were established in the market, with a combined issuance share of 3.6593 billion shares, a significant increase of 139.18pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [10]. - In terms of fund scale distribution, in 2Q2025, the proportion of active equity funds with a scale of less than 100 million yuan was as high as 80.55%. The proportion of large - scale funds continued to decline. The proportion of funds with a scale of less than 200 million yuan was 46.51%, a 0.12pct increase compared to the end of the previous quarter [14]. Group 3: Position Analysis - In 2Q2025, the equity positions of active equity funds increased slightly. The equity positions of common stock - type, partial - stock hybrid, and flexible - allocation funds were 90.20%, 87.50%, and 72.58% respectively, an increase of 0.86pct, 1.14pct, and 1.12pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [16]. - The Hong Kong stock positions of active equity funds increased significantly. The Hong Kong stock positions of common stock - type, partial - stock hybrid, and flexible - allocation funds were 12.85%, 17.09%, and 4.08% respectively, an increase of 0.84pct, 1.61pct, and 0.36pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [18]. Group 4: Concentration Analysis - In 2Q2025, the concentration of individual stocks and industries of active equity funds decreased slightly. The concentration of the top 3, top 5, and top 10 individual stocks was 20.92%, 31.25%, and 51.77% respectively, a decrease of 0.43pct, 0.87pct, and 1.17pct compared to the end of the previous quarter. The concentration of the first, top 3, and top 5 industries was 18.24%, 37.31%, and 46.53% respectively, a decrease of 0.33pct, 1.07pct, and 1.13pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [21]. Group 5: Heavy - Positioned Sector Analysis - In the A - share market, in 2Q2025, the top three sectors with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were technology, manufacturing, and consumption, accounting for 27.89%, 23.84%, and 14.84% respectively. The sectors with increased positions were technology, financial real estate, and medicine, with an increase of 2.82pct, 1.83pct, and 0.38pct compared to the previous quarter [25]. - In the Hong Kong stock market, the top three sectors with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were technology, consumption, and medicine, accounting for 46.82%, 14.40%, and 13.42% respectively. The sectors with increased positions were medicine and financial real estate, with an increase of 4.94pct and 2.39pct compared to the previous quarter [26]. Group 6: Heavy - Positioned Industry Analysis 6.1 Active Equity Funds - In A - share allocation, in 2Q2025, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds in terms of market value were electronics, medicine, and power equipment and new energy, accounting for 18.11%, 11.47%, and 8.85% respectively. The industries with the top three active increases in positions were communication, banking, and non - banking finance, with an increase of 2.51pct, 0.76pct, and 0.74pct respectively [30][32]. - In Hong Kong stock allocation, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds in terms of market value were media, electronics, and medicine, accounting for 25.69%, 13.48%, and 13.42% respectively. The industries with the top three active increases in positions were medicine, non - banking finance, and computer, with an increase of 3.88pct, 1.48pct, and 0.88pct respectively [36][37]. 6.2 Performance - Excellent and Hundred - Billion Funds - In A - share allocation, in 2Q2025, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of performance - excellent funds in terms of market value were medicine, national defense and military industry, and communication, accounting for 64.66%, 9.03%, and 8.41% respectively. The top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of hundred - billion funds were food and beverage, electronics, and medicine, accounting for 19.55%, 19.52%, and 19.35% respectively [40]. - In Hong Kong stock allocation, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of performance - excellent funds in terms of market value were medicine, media, and commerce and retail, accounting for 91.45%, 2.40%, and 1.51% respectively. The top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of hundred - billion funds were media, communication, and commerce and retail, accounting for 32.18%, 13.18%, and 12.03% respectively [41]. Group 7: Heavy - Positioned Individual Stock Analysis 7.1 Heavy - Positioned Individual Stock Market Value Analysis - In 2Q2025, the top three A - shares with the highest absolute market value of heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were CATL, Kweichow Moutai, and Midea Group, with market values of 46.6 billion yuan, 26.213 billion yuan, and 25.094 billion yuan respectively. The top three A - shares in terms of allocation market - value ratio were InnoCare Pharma - U, Weichai Heavy Machinery, and BeiGene - U, with the proportion of shares held in the floating shares being 31.99%, 24.84%, and 24.50% respectively [47]. - The top three Hong Kong stocks with the highest absolute market value of heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were Tencent Holdings, Xiaomi Group - W, and Alibaba - W, with market values of 55.608 billion yuan, 19.662 billion yuan, and 18.9 billion yuan respectively. The top three Hong Kong stocks in terms of allocation market - value ratio were 3SBio, Kelun Botai Biopharma - B, and Shanghai Fudan, with the proportion of shares held in the floating shares being 12.56%, 10.57%, and 8.95% respectively [49]. 7.2 Heavy - Positioned Individual Stock Active Position - Adjustment Analysis - In 2Q2025, the top three A - shares with the highest active increase in positions of active equity funds compared to the end of the previous quarter were Zhongji Innolight, Hudian Co., Ltd., and Sinnet Technology, with an increase of 12.953 billion yuan, 7.642 billion yuan, and 7.506 billion yuan respectively. The top three A - shares with the highest active decrease in positions were BYD, Kweichow Moutai, and Wuliangye Yibin, with a decrease of 11.04 billion yuan, 5.527 billion yuan, and 5.021 billion yuan respectively [51]. - The top three Hong Kong stocks with the highest active increase in positions of active equity funds compared to the end of the previous quarter were 3SBio, Innovent Biologics, and JD Health, with an increase of 4.919 billion yuan, 4.07 billion yuan, and 2.793 billion yuan respectively. The top three Hong Kong stocks with the highest active decrease in positions were Tencent Holdings, Alibaba - W, and SMIC, with a decrease of 10.71 billion yuan, 8.463 billion yuan, and 3.235 billion yuan respectively [53].

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Core Viewpoint - The non-bank financial sector in Hong Kong is experiencing significant growth, as evidenced by the strong performance of the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index and its associated ETF, which have seen substantial inflows and returns [1][2][4]. Market Performance - As of July 24, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index rose by 1.80%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Zhongzhou Securities (up 4.98%) and CITIC Financial Assets (up 4.84%) [1]. - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF recorded a 2.38% increase, marking its fifth consecutive day of gains [1]. - The ETF's trading volume was active, with a turnover rate of 11.92% and a half-day transaction value of 1.157 billion [1]. Fund Inflows and Performance - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF has seen continuous net inflows for 16 days, with a maximum single-day inflow of 820 million, totaling 4.334 billion in net inflows [1]. - Over the past month, the ETF has accumulated 5.725 billion in net inflows [1]. - The ETF's net asset value increased by 84.37% over the past year, ranking it 36th out of 2,936 index stock funds, placing it in the top 1.23% [2]. Investment Strategy and Outlook - The non-bank sector is viewed positively, with current valuations at historical midpoints, offering high cost-effectiveness and safety margins [4]. - Macroeconomic stability and liquidity release from interest rate cuts are expected to benefit the non-bank sector, which is a key participant in the capital market [4]. - The index tracks up to 50 listed companies in the non-bank financial theme, reflecting the overall performance of this sector within the Stock Connect framework [2][4]. Key Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 77.92%, with major holdings including China Ping An, AIA, and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing [3]. - The top three holdings, China Ping An, AIA, and Hong Kong Exchanges, each represent over 14% of the index [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant investment opportunities in the Hong Kong market driven by both capital inflows and technological advancements, particularly in AI, leading to a remarkable performance of Hong Kong stocks from 2025 onwards [1][2] - The article emphasizes the structural changes in the Hong Kong stock market, where traditional financial giants and new tech companies coexist, and a growing number of investors are turning to index-based investments to capture market trends [1][2] - The increasing consensus on the influx of new capital into the Hong Kong market suggests a strong demand for a broad-based index that can accommodate substantial capital needs, similar to the roles of the CSI 300 in A-shares and the S&P 500 in U.S. stocks [1][5] Group 2 - The article identifies the Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index as a potential core benchmark for the Hong Kong market, as it transcends single-industry limitations and reflects the current mainstream forces and economic transformation directions [2][3] - It discusses the importance of a representative broad-based index for investors, as it serves as a benchmark for measuring overall market performance and is often a core holding tool for institutional investors in mature markets [4][5] - The current structure of the Hong Kong ETF ecosystem shows a significant imbalance, with institutional holdings in broad-based index products at only 43%, compared to 58% in thematic indices and 61% in Smart Beta strategies, indicating untapped potential for allocation [4][5] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index is characterized by its broad coverage of key stocks, including both new economy giants and traditional industry leaders, making it highly representative of the market [6][7] - The index accounts for 51% of the total market capitalization, 44% of trading volume, and 57% of profit contributions in the Hong Kong market, showcasing its role as a core asset aggregator [8] - The index's composition reflects the evolution of China's economic dynamics, transitioning from a dominance of finance and real estate to a more diversified representation including technology, automotive, and retail sectors [9][10] Group 4 - The article notes that the market's recognition of the Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 Index is high, with significant allocations from southbound funds and a 40.6% share of active equity products in the Hong Kong holdings [12] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF has become a preferred choice for investors seeking to capture core assets in the Hong Kong market, with a scale of 2.357 billion yuan as of July 16, 2025, indicating its liquidity advantage [15] - The ETF benefits from the Hong Kong Stock Connect mechanism, providing high investment convenience and ample quotas, while also being supported by continuous inflows from southbound capital [15]