兴业基金权益投资部总经理邹慧表示，下半年的投资主线预计还是稳定类资产和成长类科技资产。看好 交运、消费、出版、游戏、有色等ROE高且分红率稳定的板块。成长类资产主要关注军工、医药、通 信、游戏等方向。 信澳领先增长基金经理齐兴方认为，当前市场流动性宽松，对科技、成长风格行情形成直接助力。推荐 具有核心技术壁垒及海外渠道建设能力的优势制造企业。 平安医药精选股票基金经理周思聪表示，下半年投资主线预计还是成长风格继续占优。优质的科技资 产、新兴消费行业都值得关注。在科技领域，AI算力、智能驾驶等细分领域或成为投资主线；在医药 领域，创新药有望成为核心主线。 A股上半年三大指数集体收涨。展望下半年行情，多数机构对A股后续走势较为乐观，预计A股下半年 将呈现"先震荡、后向上"格局，市场结构性机会突出。科技成长（如AI、创新药）与红利资产被集中看 好，有望成为下半年核心配置方向。 中信建投证券首席经济学家黄文涛判断，A股下半年预计将"先震荡，后向上"。下半年的弱美元趋势、 资本市场政策支持和流动性环境整体性改善有望推动A股震荡中枢持续上移，全球基本面超预期改善、 国内增量政策落地和新兴产业发展则有望成为市场向上的关键催 ...

美国防部暂停向乌克兰提供部分承诺的军火 智通财经7月2日电，据央视新闻报道，因担心美国武器库存过低，美国国防部已停止向乌克兰运送部分 防空导弹和其他精确制导武器。知情人士透露称，美国炮弹、防空导弹和精确制导武器的总量正在减 少。暂停向乌克兰提供部分援助的最初决定是在6月初做出的，但直到现在才生效。 ...

Group 1 - The Nordic telecom service sector is experiencing a decline [1] - Saab AB shares fell by 6.8%, leading the decline among component stocks [1] Group 2 - Saab AB latest price is 491.6, with a previous close of 527.6 [2] - Other notable companies in the defense sector include ThyssenKrupp, Thales, Leonardo, and Rheinmetall, with varying price movements [2]

内资何时挺起了自己的脊梁骨？ 是的，A股这一次突破3400真的不一样了。哪里不一样呢？以下几点： 7月1日，A股开门红，港股今天休市，等于说A股自己在盘中下跌，走出V型反转。 1、成交量上了一个台阶。从过去的1.2万亿上下，到如今的1.5万亿左右，今天缺少北向资金的情况下，依旧有1.49万亿，对比上个交易日仅仅少了207 亿。 增量资金来自三个方面； GJD，据不完全统计，今年截止到现在至少净流入3500亿。 2、板块效应。前有诺德7连板带动固态板块，今有长城jun工10天8板带动军工板块。调整三周的医药今天也开始动了，下一个是不是要轮到新消费了？科 技股近期也开始异动，尽管最近稳定币不稳定了，不代表行情结束。 板块里面无论是个股的高度，还是持续性，都比过去好的多。 3、美元指数继续新低当中 险资，2025年险资举牌了19次，涉及16家上市公司，其中举牌港股13次。 量化，5月份证券类私募基金新增备案880只，共计募集规模438.91亿。虽说近期百亿量化私募封盘，但是抵挡不住资金的热忱。 这意味着中美利差在进一步的缩小。这些潜在的利好，说实话A股其实并未完全定价。 7月份是中报公布的日子，一般前面阶段先公布的 ...

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth, with companies like Moer Thread and Muxi Integrated Circuit having their IPO applications accepted, indicating a strong focus on domestic substitution [3] - The National Big Fund has invested 114 billion in the semiconductor industry, and predictions suggest that by 2030, mainland China will become the largest wafer foundry center globally, highlighting a substantial industry upgrade [3] - Companies with high technical barriers and clear orders, such as Xuanji Information, which has produced AI inference chips supporting 130 billion parameters, are positioned well for long-term growth [3] Group 2: Nuclear Power Sector - Google has made a historic purchase of 200 megawatts of fusion power, marking a significant step towards commercializing fusion energy [4] - State-owned enterprises like China National Petroleum and China National Nuclear Corporation are heavily investing in this area, ensuring a high level of order certainty for components under the new infrastructure logic [4] - Companies like Great Wall Electric and Sichuan Electronics, which are core suppliers of nuclear power equipment, have secured substantial orders, with one Shanghai nuclear enterprise recently obtaining over 50 billion in orders [4] Group 3: Military Industry - The military sector is seeing increased activity, with companies like Great Wall Military experiencing significant stock price increases, driven by government support for strategic emerging industries [4] - The demand for marine engineering and underwater intelligent equipment is rising, as evidenced by the surge in orders for companies like China Shipbuilding [4] - A dual strategy of "event-driven + performance verification" is recommended for investing in military stocks, particularly those with expected asset injections [4] Group 4: Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is revitalizing, with companies like Anglikang and Shutaishen reaching historical highs following new policies from the Medical Insurance Bureau that support R&D and payment pathways [4] - Companies with significant clinical value, such as Frontline Bio's anti-HIV drug and Rongchang Bio's ADC drug, are highlighted as worthy of long-term tracking [4] - Caution is advised against companies that are merely concept-driven, emphasizing the importance of those with substantial pipelines entering Phase III clinical trials [4] Group 5: Market Trends and Strategies - Key investment themes include domestic substitution in semiconductors, commercialization breakthroughs in nuclear power, policy benefits in the military sector, and payment reforms in innovative pharmaceuticals [5] - The strategy emphasizes low-position entry over chasing high prices, the importance of technical barriers in determining holding periods, and the need for policy catalysts to align with performance verification [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant increase in defense spending by NATO countries, particularly Germany, which has committed to allocating 5% of its GDP to defense, up from the previous 2% agreed upon in 2014. This shift is seen as a response to changing regional security dynamics and ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and potential conflicts in the Middle East [1]. Group 1: Industry Outlook - The military trade sector is expected to become a second growth driver, with a positive outlook for the military industry as the "14th Five-Year Plan" approaches its conclusion. The demand for upstream components and key raw materials is anticipated to increase, benefiting from the demand amplification effect across various military equipment [2]. - Global geopolitical changes are likely to open new growth avenues for the military industry, with domestic demand and foreign trade expected to drive high levels of industry prosperity. Increased defense spending is viewed as a necessary option in the current era of great power competition [2]. - China's military exports are transitioning from low-end, low-cost sales to high-end weapon exports, with significant improvements in the competitiveness of domestic military products on the international stage. This shift is expected to enhance China's global market share in military trade as its international political status rises [2][3]. Group 2: Future Trends - By 2025, military trade and the conversion of military technology into new markets are projected to offer greater elasticity. China's military enterprises are showcasing technological advantages in areas such as drones and fighter jets, positioning the aerospace sector as a core beneficiary [3]. - Future investments in the military sector should focus on gaining "air superiority," reflecting the strategic importance of this capability in modern military operations [3].

分析师：王骅 登记编号：S0890522090001 分析师：宋逸菲 登记编号：S0890524080003 投资要点 权益市场回顾： 上周（2025.06.23-2025.06.27）上证指数上涨 1.91%，创业板指上涨 5.69%，恒生指数上涨 3.20%。银行板块在6月27日出现较大幅度回调，而科技股受海外映射及小米新品催化再度活跃。 权益市场观察： 银行调整背后：银行股回调主要受季末调表需求及获利回吐压力影响。年内银行板块涨幅显著，部分机构选择 季末止盈兑现收益。尽管市场此前关注保险资金在低利率环境下对稳定回报资产的配置需求，但银行低PB、高 股息特性对AMC等机构同样具备吸引力。 科技股再度活跃：科技产业指数在2月见到高点后，调整时间相对较长，上周科技板块相对活跃，除了"低位滞 涨"外，AI产业链催化频现。 军工热度提升：在近期"印巴"、"以伊"冲突的背景下，全球军贸需求持续深化我国军贸装备产的性能、性价比 优势。但是客观来说，军工出海仍面临多重挑战。 公募基金市场动态： 7月1日，信澳优势行业与华商致远回报将启动募集，至此全部26只浮动管理费基金开始募 集。 主动权益基金指数表现跟踪 主动股基优 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a small V-shaped recovery today, with various sectors showing strong performance, particularly in brain science, semiconductor, and innovative medicine [3][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index closed up by 0.39% and 0.11% respectively, while the ChiNext Index saw a slight decline of 0.24% [4] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor materials polishing liquid concept stocks saw significant gains, with companies like Feilu Co., Kangda New Materials, and San Chao New Materials hitting the daily limit [6][12] - A report indicated a supply disruption of CMP DSTI slurry due to Taiwanese export controls, which has led to a surge in related stocks [6][12] - The semiconductor sector initially rose over 1.5% but later retraced, ultimately closing up 0.59% [12] Innovative Medicine Sector - The innovative medicine sector experienced a notable increase, with companies such as Seli Medical, Guizhou Bailing, and Aonlikang reaching the daily limit [24] - A government document supporting the high-quality development of innovative drugs was released, which included measures to encourage investment and expedite drug approval processes [25] Microcrystalline Cellulose - Following an explosion at Sigachi Industries in India, a major producer of microcrystalline cellulose, stocks related to this sector saw a significant rise, with companies like Shanhe Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit [16][21] - The incident has sparked interest in potential substitutes, although the chemical structures of cellulose ether and microcrystalline cellulose differ significantly [20]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of the military industry in the A-share market, driven by various favorable events and long-term investment logic, particularly in the context of international conflicts and upcoming military exhibitions [2][4]. Group 1: Military Industry Insights - The military sector is experiencing a surge in interest due to significant international events and upcoming exhibitions, indicating a shift towards long-term investment strategies [2]. - The current valuation of the Chinese military sector is approximately 50 times, suggesting potential for growth compared to overseas defense technology giants [4]. - The military industry is expected to benefit from a "double hit" in performance and valuation as orders and results from the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" materialize [5]. Group 2: Key Investment Directions - Five main investment directions in the military sector are identified: military trade, military electronics, consumable ammunition, new quality combat capabilities, and military white horse stocks [6][29]. - Military trade is characterized by an increase in equipment completeness and self-sufficiency, leading to growth in export quantity and value [8]. - Military electronics are seen as a barometer for industry health, benefiting from accelerated "14th Five-Year Plan" completion and new product layouts for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [11]. Group 3: Specific Company Opportunities - Key companies in military trade include AVIC Chengfei, AVIC Shenyang, and others in radar detection and missile consumables [10]. - The consumable ammunition supply chain includes raw materials and components, with companies like Fushun Special Steel and China Weapon Industry Group playing significant roles [16]. - New quality combat capabilities are expected to emerge from policies promoting information technology and AI, with companies like AVIC and Huatai Technology leading in advanced platforms and materials [18][20]. Group 4: Long-term Growth Potential - Military white horse stocks are identified as having long cycles, high barriers, and irreplaceable advantages, with companies like AVIC Optical-Electrical showing consistent growth in both market value and performance [29][30]. - The article emphasizes that leading companies in the military sector are expected to outperform the overall industry growth rate, indicating strong investment potential [30].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - A military parade will be held on September 3, showcasing both traditional main battle forces and new domain capabilities, reflecting the modernization of the military [12][13] - The military industry is expected to see a turning point in orders in 2025, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [20] - Investment recommendations focus on two main lines: aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, and new technologies, products, and markets with greater elasticity [20] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the military industry is 1596.82, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [2] Market Performance - The military sector index increased by 6.23%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.91% [22] - The top ten performing stocks in the military sector this week include Changcheng Military Industry (+43.85%) and Zhongke Haixun (+34.89%) [24] Valuation Levels - As of June 27, 2025, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation is 110.98, with 81.19% of the time since January 1, 2014, the PE-TTM valuation has been lower than the current level [26][29] Investment Suggestions - Suggested stocks for the aerospace main line include Feilihua, Fenghuo Electronics, and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft [20] - New technology and market opportunities include companies like Aerospace Zhizao and Guangdong Hongda [20]