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【机构策略】预计A股市场将呈现震荡修复格局
东莞证券认为,周四,市场三大指数集体回调。从技术分析角度看,沪指依然位于5日均线上方,技术 形态上显示企稳向上的态势。当前,随着稳增长政策持续发力,基建投资稳步推进、消费刺激政策成效 显现,宏观经济企稳回升的趋势进一步明朗。另一方面,维护资本市场平稳运行已成为政策目标之一, 政策性资金托底意愿增强,叠加流动性合理充裕,市场出现系统性大幅调整的可能性相对较低。在海外 主要经济体降息预期升温、国内经济基本面延续稳定以及市场风险偏好有所修复的多重因素共同作用 下,A股短期或仍显韧性。7月中报披露窗口临近,基本面信号将成为市场关注焦点,预计A股市场将呈 现震荡修复格局。 渤海证券认为,A股当前估值总体适中,流动性增量预期较强,令估值端有明显的支撑。因此,下半年 A股市场将延续下有底的特征,在增量流动性的推动下,市场将有较强的结构性空间,指数也将随着外 部风险的化解和成交的活跃,而具备震荡上行的条件。 中原证券认为,周四早盘股指低开后震荡上扬,盘中沪指在3461点附近遭遇阻力,午后股指维持震荡, 盘中通信设备、文化传媒、旅游酒店以及电子元件等行业表现较好;化学制药、半导体、美容护理以及 生物制品等行业表现较弱。长期资金 ...
稳健医疗收盘下跌1.17%,滚动市盈率30.45倍,总市值231.88亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 10:55
Company Overview - Company name is稳健医疗, which focuses on the research, production, and sales of cotton-based products [1] - Main products include high-end wound dressings, traditional wound care and bandaging products, surgical consumables, infection protection products, health personal care products, cotton towels, cotton sanitary napkins, cotton wet wipes, non-woven consumer products, baby products, and adult clothing [1] - The company has consistently ranked among the top three in China's medical dressing exports for several years [1] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.605 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.47% [2] - Net profit for the same period was 249 million yuan, also reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.26% [2] - The sales gross margin stood at 48.46% [2] Market Position - The company's current rolling price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 30.45, while the average PE ratio for the beauty and personal care industry is 39.12 [1][2] - The industry median PE ratio is 42.46, placing the company at 13th in the industry ranking [1] - The total market capitalization of the company is 23.188 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow - On June 26, the company experienced a net outflow of main funds amounting to 2.0955 million yuan, with a total outflow of 24.8019 million yuan over the past five days [1]
金融市场分析周报-20250625
AVIC Securities· 2025-06-25 14:24
Economic Indicators - In May, the industrial added value for large-scale industries grew by 5.8% year-on-year and 0.61% month-on-month, indicating resilience despite external tariff impacts[9] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in May reached 41,326 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, surpassing the previous value of 5.1%[11] - From January to May, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with real estate development investment declining by 10.7%[13] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,420.566, with a weekly decline of 0.51%[2][31] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.16%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.45%[31] - Daily average trading volume decreased to 12,150.34 billion yuan, down by 1,566.44 billion yuan from the previous week[31] Investment Trends - Equipment investment is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by long-term special government bonds aimed at equipment upgrades[5] - The manufacturing sector's investment growth is slowing, with a notable decline in electric equipment and real estate sectors[13] - The financial sector showed strength with a 1.37% increase, while consumer sectors faced a decline of 3.61%[31] Monetary Policy and Liquidity - The central bank conducted a total of 9,603 billion yuan in reverse repos this week, resulting in a net withdrawal of 799 billion yuan[6][19] - The upcoming seasonal transitions and government bond financing are expected to impact liquidity, with a focus on the central bank's monetary policy actions[20] Risks and Outlook - Potential risks include tighter monetary policy, unexpected economic recovery leading to rising bond yields, and deteriorating local fiscal conditions[35] - The market may continue to experience "high-low cuts," with a focus on dividend sectors and low-position technology stocks as rotation opportunities[34]
300059,A股“唯一+第一”!
新华网财经· 2025-06-25 04:52
Market Overview - A-shares continued to rebound, with the financial and defense sectors leading the gains [1][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.28%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.64%, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 1.34% [4] Financial Sector - The multi-financial, securities, and internet insurance sectors saw significant gains, with Dongfang Caifu (300059) up by 4.63% and achieving a trading volume of 12.245 billion yuan [1] - Hong Kong's brokerage sector experienced a surge, with Guotai Junan International rising by 68.55% after receiving approval to upgrade its securities trading license to include virtual asset trading services [3][4] Defense and Military Industry - The defense and military sectors, including military equipment and electronics, saw substantial increases [4] Earnings Reports - Recent earnings reports began to surface, with Tailin Micro announcing an expected revenue of approximately 503 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of about 37%, and a net profit of around 99 million yuan, representing a growth of approximately 267% [7][8] - Analysts noted that stocks with better-than-expected mid-year earnings forecasts have been leading the market in recent years [9] Solid-State Battery Sector - The solid-state battery sector showed strength, with companies like Qianxun Technology and Yintu Network experiencing significant gains, and leading stock Guoxuan High-Tech rising over 7% [12] - Recent developments included Quantumscape's announcement of a successful integration of its membrane technology, leading to a stock price increase of over 30% [14] - The solid-state battery market is projected to exceed 200 billion yuan globally by 2030, with rapid growth expected in the domestic market by 2027 [15] AI Sector - The AI sector demonstrated active performance, with leading stocks in the PCB sector, such as Shenghong Technology, rising over 5% and reaching historical highs [17] - The entire computing power industry chain is expected to benefit from policy support, market demand growth, and technological innovation, making the outlook for this sector promising [17]
6月24日17家公司获基金调研
Group 1 - A total of 30 companies were investigated by institutions on June 24, with 17 companies specifically targeted by funds [1][2] - The most popular company among funds was Steady Medical, which had 37 participating funds, followed by Obsidian Technology with 20 funds and Tianshan Electronics with 10 funds [1][2] - The companies investigated belong to 12 different industries, with the electronics and computer sectors having the highest representation, each with 3 stocks [1] Group 2 - Among the companies investigated, 9 had a total market capitalization of less than 10 billion yuan, including Aoya Co., Ltd., Weili Transmission, and Pengyao Environmental Protection [1] - In terms of market performance, 11 stocks among the investigated companies saw an increase in the last 5 days, with Tianshan Electronics, Obsidian Technology, and Honghua Digital Science leading with gains of 25.51%, 14.21%, and 6.00% respectively [1][2] - Conversely, 6 stocks experienced declines, with Mankalon, Aoya Co., Ltd., and Steady Medical showing the largest drops of 10.37%, 8.56%, and 6.61% respectively [1][2] Group 3 - In terms of net capital inflow over the last 5 days, 7 stocks saw positive inflows, with Obsidian Technology attracting the most at 105 million yuan, followed by Haixia Co., Ltd. and Robotech with inflows of 27.48 million yuan and 14.63 million yuan respectively [2]
11只创业板股最新股东户数降逾一成
209只创业板股公布截至6月20日最新股东户数,环比上期,股东户数下降的有126只,降幅超过一成的 有11只。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示,209只创业板股公布了6月20日股东户数,与上期(6月10日)比,股东户数 下降的有126只,其中股东户数降幅超一成的有11只。股东户数环比增长的有45只。 股东户数降幅最多的是洁雅股份,截至6月20日最新股东户数为8867户,较6月10日下降22.08%,筹码 集中以来该股累计下跌13.97%,累计换手率为74.02%,其间主力资金净流出2355.94万元。 其次是博苑股份,截至6月20日最新股东户数为14248户,较6月10日下降20.64%,筹码集中以来该股累 计上涨15.60%,累计换手率为161.22%。 奇德新材最新股东户数7823户,环比下降18.75%,筹码集中以来股价上涨0.32%,累计换手率为 85.89%。 进一步统计,有38只创业板股筹码呈连续集中的态势,相比之前各期,股东户数连续减少3期以上,股 东户数最多已连降15期。 中建环能最新股东户数为22849户,连续减少15期,累计降幅为20.86%;珂玛科技最新股东户数为 21254户,连续减少10期 ...
长城基金汪立:市场进攻仍需等待,哑铃策略优先
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-24 02:28
上周市场整体放量,震荡下行,周内日均成交额约12,150亿元,短期内震荡承压局面或延续。风格 上,整体价值优于成长,大盘跑赢小盘;行业上,银行、通信、电子等表现靠前,美容护理、纺织服 饰、医药生物等表现靠后。 宏观展望:海外风险犹有加剧 MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错! 责任编辑:江钰涵 另外,美联储6月议息会议决定不调整联邦基金利率的目标区间,维持在4.25%~4.50%,同时继续缩 表。当前美国关税政策、经济方向和通胀方向的不确定性都较强,美联储倾向于保持观望,如果短期内 通胀压力持续较大,可能对各类美元主导的风险资产形成明显压制。往后展望,全球权益资产的风险在 不断累积,不低的位置+滞胀风险的提升可能会带动美股迎来一轮Risk Off,后续美股调整的风险较 大。 市场展望:大盘方向或具更高性价比 今年市场的韧性明显比过去两年要强,虽然基本面存在压力,但市场并没有大幅调整。目前来看,国内 7月政策窗口期临近,海外地缘冲突有所升级,油价大幅上升,对国内市场影响更多偏情绪,对海外市 场造成的压力可能更大。展望后续,国内基本面压力仍存,但市场的定价逻辑也在逐渐从基本面向政策 预期过渡,待出现一些较好的政策 ...
朝闻国盛:中观数据与盈利预测指向哪些行业景气?
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-24 00:21
【策略】中观数据与盈利预测指向哪些行业景气?——20250623 【固定收益】高频工业品价格底部反弹——基本面高频数据跟踪—— 20250623 ◼ 研究视点 【环保】监测门槛抬高,科创板专层赋能——20250623 证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 06 24 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 中观数据与盈利预测指向哪些行业景气? 今日概览 ◼ 重磅研报 作者 | 分析师 杨义韬 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0680522080002 | | | | | 邮箱:yangyitao@gszq.com | | | | | 行业表现前五名 | | | | | 行业 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 1 年 | | 通信 | 7.9% | 0.3% | 28.0% | | 银行 | 6.0% | 11.2% | 33.4% | | 石油石化 | 4.9% | 2.6% | -2.0% | | 传媒 | 4.6% | 0.2% | 42.6% | | 国防军工 | 3.5% | 0.8% | 25.9% | | 行业表现后五名 | | | | | ...
宏信证券一周市场回顾(2025.06.16—2025.06.20)
Hongxin Security· 2025-06-23 08:47
2025 年 06 月 23 日 一周市场回顾 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 分析师:马遥识途 资格证书:S1330524050001 联系邮箱:mayst@hxzb.cn 联系电话:15201282186 相关研究 一周市场回顾 ( 2025.06.09 — 2025.06.13) 2025.06.16 一周市场回顾 ( 2025.06.03 — 2025.06.06) 2025.06.09 融资融券: 市 场 研 究 · 一 周 市 场 回 顾 · 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 1 / 7 一周市场回顾 (2025.06.16—2025.06.20) 一周市场回顾 ( 2025.05.26 — 2025.05.30) 2025.06.03 本周 A 股上证指数下跌 0.51%,收于 3359.90 点,深证成指下跌 1.16%,收于 10005.03 点,创业板指下跌 1.66%,收于 2009.89 点。 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别下跌 0.10%、下跌 0.68%、下跌 0.45%,成长风格类板块代表指数中小 100、中证 500、中证 1 ...
创金合信基金魏凤春:税收视角下的中国资产重估
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-23 03:22
Group 1: Market Overview - The market has seen adjustments in hot sectors, with cyclical commodities like coking coal, aluminum, and Brent crude oil performing well due to the Middle East crisis affecting global commodity supply [2] - The North China 50 index has adjusted, influenced by discussions around micro-cap stock trading congestion, with cautious investors taking action [2] - A weekly review of A-shares shows bank stocks leading in gains, while sectors like beauty care, pharmaceuticals, textiles, and social services have seen declines [2] Group 2: Middle East Risk - The Middle East crisis is currently limited to Iran, but concerns are growing about the potential for escalation following U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities [3] - Predictions suggest that if Iran expands its attacks and blocks the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could surge to $120-130 per barrel, leading to high global inflation and reduced manufacturing profits [3] - Analysis indicates that U.S. actions may be politically motivated to alleviate internal pressures, with a focus on avoiding ground troop deployment [3] Group 3: China Asset Revaluation - The recent Lujiazui Forum indicated a policy tone favoring openness, which could release policy dividends for the revaluation of Chinese assets [5] - Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in China has shown a decline, with actual foreign investment amounting to 358.19 billion yuan in the first five months of 2025, down 13.2% year-on-year [5][6] - The structure of FDI shows positive trends in high-tech industries, with significant growth in sectors like e-commerce services and aerospace manufacturing [6] Group 4: Tax Revenue Insights - National public budget revenue for January to May 2025 was 96,623 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, with land use rights revenue down 11.9% [7] - The probability of a real estate market resurgence is low, as indicated by declining property-related tax revenues [7] - Securities transaction stamp duty increased by 52.4% year-on-year, reflecting heightened market activity and the importance of the stock market in asset revaluation [8] Group 5: Non-Tax Revenue and Market Dynamics - Non-tax revenue grew by 6.2% year-on-year, indicating a shift in focus from external factors to internal reforms and adjustments in interests [9] - The government is increasingly normalizing its behavior in revenue collection, which is crucial for market vitality and asset revaluation [9] Group 6: Long-Term Asset Revaluation - While external risk premiums suggest a foundation for asset revaluation in China, internal conditions still require improvement for a complete revaluation [10] - The restructuring of international order and adjustments in China's leading industries present ongoing investment opportunities [11]