Core Viewpoint - The Guangxi government has officially issued the "Action Plan for Strengthening and Extending Key Advantage Industries in Manufacturing," aiming to enhance the quality of industrial clusters through innovation, technology empowerment, and open integration [1] Group 1: Key Industries and Goals - Guangxi will focus on strengthening and extending industrial chains in key sectors such as machinery equipment, automotive and new energy vehicles, high-end green home furnishings, light industry textiles, and resource recycling [1] - The plan aims to add one industry worth 500 billion and one worth 400 billion by the end of 2027, while cultivating leading enterprises and enhancing the resilience and safety of industrial chains [1] Group 2: Action Plans - Six major actions will be implemented: industry extension, chain strengthening, technology enhancement, scenario exploration, market connection, and platform construction [2] - The plan includes developing a roadmap for traditional industries like sugar, aluminum, steel, and petrochemicals, emphasizing AI empowerment and green low-carbon development [2] Group 3: Organizational Support - Guangxi will establish a "chain leader + chain master" working mechanism, appointing a responsible leader for key industrial chains and forming specialized working groups [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the steady growth and development of China's green finance sector as it approaches the fourth anniversary of the national carbon market, emphasizing policy acceleration, market recovery, product innovation, and regional competition in green finance [2][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of the end of Q2 2025, the balance of domestic and foreign currency green loans reached 42.39 trillion yuan, marking a 14.4% increase from the beginning of the year and a 22.0% increase year-on-year [3][24]. - The national carbon market has seen a cumulative trading volume of 681 million tons of carbon emission allowances (CEA) and a total transaction value of 46.78 billion yuan, making it the largest carbon market globally in terms of emissions coverage [3][32]. - The total volume of green certificate transactions reached 348 million, a year-on-year increase of 118%, with the average transaction price for green certificates rising by 47% from April to June [3][34]. Group 2: Policy Developments - In July 2025, several key policies were introduced, including the "Green Finance Support Project Directory (2025 Edition)" and guidelines for green finance practitioners, enhancing the standardization and implementation of green finance [5][6]. - Local governments, including Tianjin and Henan, have launched tailored financial implementation opinions and green finance directories to promote localized exploration and standardization [6][12]. Group 3: Financial Product Innovation - New green financial products have emerged, such as the first "fixed + floating" green financial bond issued by China Construction Bank and the first carbon-neutral green perpetual corporate bond by Ningxia Electric Power Investment Group [7][38][39]. - Financial institutions in various regions have begun to implement transformation loans linked to carbon footprints, encouraging high-carbon industries to transition to low-carbon operations [7][41]. Group 4: Market Data - The green bond market remained active in July 2025, with 87 new green bonds issued, totaling approximately 120.18 billion yuan, indicating strong market engagement [28]. - The national carbon market's trading price fluctuated between 72.19 yuan and 74.30 yuan per ton in July, reflecting a dynamic trading environment [31]. Group 5: Corporate Dynamics - Companies are increasingly adopting innovative financial tools and mechanisms, transitioning from merely supporting green initiatives to actively guiding transformations in high-carbon sectors [37]. - The issuance of various loans and bonds aimed at supporting low-carbon transitions has been reported across multiple regions, showcasing a growing trend in corporate engagement with green finance [40][42][44]. Group 6: Focus Events - The 26th Qinghai Green Development Investment and Trade Fair attracted significant participation, highlighting the importance of international cooperation in green finance [46][47]. - The signing of a climate declaration between the EU and China emphasizes the commitment to green partnerships and cooperation in addressing climate change [57].

政策部署进一步要求央企依托供应链服务平台，以真实贸易数据为中小微企业赋能，助其拓宽融资渠 道、降低资金成本、减轻资金沉淀压力。更重要的一点是，《通知》强调央企作为产业链"核心"需要勇 于担当——积极配合上下游企业开展供应链融资，主动将自身信用向中小企业传导。当链上企业以央企 体系内应付款、商票或债务凭证寻求融资时，央企负有及时确权的法定义务，严令禁止利用优势地位进 行高息套利。 国务院国资委研究中心近期刊文高度肯定了中央企业在当前经济环境下的担当之举——通过低息贷款、 延期付款等多样手段，为资金链紧绷的市场主体注入流动性支持。文中特别点名鞍钢集团联合交通银行 创新推出的"脱核"供应链金融产品"鞍钢融信"，将其视为央企践行高质量发展、履行社会责任的有力举 措。 期货日报记者了解到，2024年1月，鞍钢集团与交通银行联手成功推出"鞍钢融信"，依托数字技术实现 订单融资全流程线上化，为下游中小钢厂提供低成本资金支持。鞍钢集团资本控股有限公司牵头，搭建 了产业金融服务平台，目前已上线鞍钢惠信、鞍钢融信、供应链票据等产品，成为帮助中小企业拓宽融 资通道的得力助手。 央企供应链金融平台的蓬勃发展离不开明确的政策指引。早在 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Indian government is considering trade concessions to the U.S. in response to newly imposed tariffs, aiming to avoid escalating trade tensions while maintaining strategic autonomy [1][4]. Trade Negotiations - India is evaluating potential trade concessions, particularly in agriculture and dairy sectors, to satisfy U.S. demands while minimizing domestic impact [3][6]. - The Indian government views the 21-day window before the tariffs take effect as a critical opportunity for negotiations with the Trump administration [4][7]. Economic Impact - The U.S. is India's largest export market, with exports projected to reach nearly $87 billion in 2024. A 50% tariff could significantly impact key sectors such as textiles, automotive parts, and steel [2][6]. - Indian exporters are concerned about the severe repercussions of the tariffs, with estimates suggesting that nearly 55% of goods exported to the U.S. could be affected [6][7]. Agricultural Concerns - Agriculture is a highly sensitive area for the Indian government, with farmers forming a powerful political lobbying group. The government is resistant to importing genetically modified products [6][7]. - Prime Minister Modi has expressed a firm stance on protecting farmers' interests, indicating a willingness to face personal and political costs for this commitment [6]. Strategic Autonomy - The Indian government aims to achieve a bilateral agreement that preserves its strategic autonomy while addressing U.S. trade concerns [4][5]. - Despite domestic calls for a strong response to U.S. actions, the Indian government is prioritizing diplomatic solutions over retaliatory measures [4][7].

Core Points - The article discusses India's response to the additional tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Indian goods, particularly in light of India's continued purchase of Russian oil [1][2][4] - India is considering trade concessions in agriculture and dairy sectors to negotiate a bilateral agreement with the U.S. instead of retaliating [3][4][6] - The potential impact of the U.S. tariffs on India's economy is significant, especially for industries like textiles, automotive parts, and steel [2][6][7] Group 1: Trade Negotiations - India is evaluating possible trade concessions to satisfy U.S. demands while minimizing the impact on domestic producers [3][4] - The Indian government views the 21-day window before the tariffs take effect as a critical opportunity for negotiations [4][7] - Officials are discussing limited imports of genetically modified corn for non-human consumption as part of the negotiations [3][6] Group 2: Economic Impact - The U.S. is India's largest export market, with exports projected to reach nearly $87 billion in 2024 [2] - If the 50% tariffs are implemented, it could severely impact Indian exports, particularly in textiles, apparel, and automotive sectors [2][6] - Indian exporters are concerned about the potential economic repercussions, with some industries likely to face significant challenges [6][7] Group 3: Domestic Political Considerations - Agriculture is a highly sensitive area for the Indian government, with farmers forming a powerful political lobbying group [6] - Prime Minister Modi has expressed a firm stance on protecting farmers' interests, indicating a reluctance to compromise on agricultural imports [6] - Despite domestic pressures, the Indian government is currently prioritizing diplomatic solutions over retaliatory measures [4][7]

Core Viewpoint - The Canadian government's decision to impose a 25% additional tax on steel products containing melted and cast iron from China has led to a swift and severe retaliation from China, highlighting strategic miscalculations by the Canadian Prime Minister [1][3][5]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - Canada announced a 25% additional tax on steel imports from countries outside the U.S., particularly targeting China, which has raised international concerns [1][3]. - In response, China quickly established a trade agreement with Australia for canola seed, with the first trial shipment reaching 250,000 tons, undermining Canadian farmers [1][5]. - The Australian Prime Minister's visit to Beijing coincided with Canada's tax announcement, allowing Australia to capitalize on the situation and reclaim market share previously held by Canada [3][5]. Group 2: Strategic Miscalculations - The Canadian government misjudged China's economic influence, as China is the world's largest importer of canola seeds, with an annual import volume exceeding 4 million tons [5]. - Canada’s approach to trade disputes has been criticized as lacking diplomatic wisdom, contrasting sharply with Australia's pragmatic stance that prioritizes economic interests [5][7]. - The reliance of 75% of Canadian exports on the U.S. market has left Canada with limited maneuverability in foreign policy, making it vulnerable to external pressures [5][7]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The trade conflict has exposed structural weaknesses in the Canadian economy, particularly its dependence on the U.S. market and the inability to effectively engage with China [5][7]. - Canada's attempt to shift domestic discontent onto China has backfired, resulting in a loss of both steel industry support and agricultural orders [7]. - The situation illustrates that Canada lacks the strength of the U.S. and the market appeal of China, leading to a precarious position in international trade [7].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed results with the Hang Seng Index up 0.03%, the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.2%, and the National Enterprises Index down 0.21, indicating a narrow range of fluctuations throughout the day [1][2]. Sector Performance - Large tech stocks had mixed performances, with Tencent rising 1.7%, while Meituan fell 1.46%. The paper industry saw significant gains, with both Chenming Paper and Nine Dragons Paper rising 10.75%, reaching new highs [2][4][6]. - Coal stocks experienced substantial increases, with Honghai High-tech Resources up over 18% and China Qinfa up over 9% [7][8]. - Steel stocks also performed well, with Aowei Holdings rising over 14% and other steel companies following suit [9][10]. - Gold stocks were active, with Shandong Gold and China Gold International both rising over 3% [11][12]. - New consumption concept stocks rebounded, with Pop Mart and Shangmei shares rising over 7% [13]. Individual Stock Movements - Times Angel saw a significant increase of 18.29% after announcing a profit increase, with expected net profits for the first half of the year between $13.4 million and $14.8 million, marking a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.38 to 6.05 times [16][17]. - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of 9.485 billion HKD, indicating strong investor interest [19]. Future Outlook - According to Zhongtai International, the Hong Kong market is expected to continue a gradual upward trend supported by domestic policy, improving corporate earnings, and positive capital flows. The Hang Seng Index is anticipated to find support around 24,500 points [21].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed a mixed performance with the Hang Seng Index slightly rising by 0.18%, briefly surpassing the 25,000-point mark, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell by 0.03% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.03% [1] Group 1: Technology Sector - Major technology stocks exhibited varied performance, with Alibaba rising by 2% and Tencent increasing by 1.79%, while Meituan and Baidu fell over 1% [1] - The upcoming Apple iPhone 17 series launch on September 9 has positively influenced Apple-related stocks, which mostly strengthened [1] Group 2: Commodity and Industrial Sectors - The "anti-involution" related sectors saw significant gains, with a price increase trend contributing to the rise of paper stocks, exemplified by Nine Dragons Paper surging over 11% [1] - Steel and coal stocks also performed well, with Maanshan Iron & Steel reaching a new high and China Shenhua hitting an all-time high price [1] Group 3: Other Sectors - The restaurant sector faced notable declines, with Yum China dropping over 4% post-earnings, and other restaurant stocks like Jiumaojiu and Haidilao also declining [1] - Innovative drug concept stocks experienced a volatile trading pattern, while brain-computer interface stocks, gaming stocks, domestic bank stocks, and semiconductor stocks all saw declines [1]

Market Performance - U.S. stock indices collectively fell over 2% this week, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq down 2.36%, 2.92%, and 2.17% respectively[11] - The German DAX, London FTSE 100, Nikkei 225, and Korea Composite Index also experienced declines of 3.27%, 0.57%, 1.58%, and 2.40% respectively[11] Economic Data - Non-farm payroll data was significantly below expectations, with a downward revision of 258,000 jobs in the previous two months, leading to increased concerns about economic momentum[5] - The unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, consistent with expectations, primarily influenced by immigration effects[5] Federal Reserve Insights - The FOMC meeting maintained interest rates, with a cautious stance on potential rate cuts in September, dropping the probability of a cut below 40% initially[29] - Following the disappointing non-farm data, market expectations for a 25 basis point cut in September surged to 80.3%, with predictions for three rate cuts in total this year[29] Currency and Bond Market - The U.S. dollar index rose by 1.04% over the week, while the euro and Chinese yuan fell by 1.32% and 0.11% respectively[11] - U.S. Treasury yields saw significant declines, with the 2-year yield down 22 basis points and the 10-year yield down 17 basis points by August 1[12] Commodity Market - Gold prices increased by 0.93% amid rising inflation concerns due to tariffs, while copper prices plummeted by 23.88% following a 50% tariff announcement on certain copper products[13] - WTI crude oil prices rose by 3.37% during the week[13] Trade and Tariff Developments - President Trump announced new tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on various imports, with a 40% transit tax on transshipped goods, effective August 7[34] - Tariff concerns have heightened market volatility and investor caution, impacting overall market sentiment[11]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas equity markets generally declined this week due to tariff concerns and economic data. Economic data showed potential slowdown risks, and the "disappointing" non - farm data on Friday intensified market concerns about economic momentum. Tariff policies also made investors cautious. The three major US stock indexes all fell by more than 2%. [1][10] - The market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cuts fluctuated greatly this week. After the FOMC meeting, the probability of a September rate cut dropped below 40% due to Powell's slightly hawkish stance, but soared above 80% after the "disappointing" non - farm data and the resignation of the hawkish Fed member Kugler. [2] - The US second - quarter GDP initial value showed an overall growth rate exceeding expectations, but the potential momentum weakened. Consumption was stable, while investment slowed down. [44] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Overseas Market One - Week Review - **Equity**: Overseas equities generally closed down. This was mainly affected by tariffs and economic data. The three major US stock indexes (S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq) fell by 2.36%, 2.92%, and 2.17% respectively. Other major overseas indexes also declined to varying degrees. [10] - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar first rose and then fell, with a slight weekly gain. The US dollar index rose by 1.04%. The euro and the RMB against the US dollar fell by 1.32% and 0.11% respectively, while the yen against the US dollar rose by 0.19%. [10] - **Interest Rates**: US Treasury yields declined significantly. The 2Y US Treasury yield dropped 22bp, and the 10Y US Treasury yield dropped 17bp. [11] - **Commodities**: Gold and crude oil rose, while New York copper prices tumbled. COMEX gold rose 0.93%, COMEX copper dropped 23.88%, and WTI crude oil rose 3.37%. [11] 3.2 Overseas Policies and Important News 3.2.1 Overseas Central Bank Dynamics - The FOMC meeting this week maintained the interest rate unchanged, which was in line with market expectations. It was the fifth consecutive time of keeping the rate unchanged since the December rate cut last year. The meeting statement was slightly dovish, while Fed Chairman Powell's stance was moderately hawkish. [26] - The market's expectation of the Fed's September rate cut first dropped and then soared. After the FOMC meeting, the probability of a September rate cut dropped below 40%, but after the "disappointing" non - farm data and Kugler's resignation, it rose above 80%. As of August 1, the market expected a 25bp rate cut in September with a probability of 80.3%, and three consecutive 25bp rate cuts in September, October, and December. [2][27] - The Bank of Japan's interest rate meeting this week also maintained the interest rate unchanged, in line with market expectations, but it raised the inflation forecast, causing the yen to rise against the US dollar. [27] 3.2.2 Trump Policy Tracking - **Trade Negotiations**: Sino - US economic and trade talks continued to postpone the 24% part of the US's reciprocal tariffs and China's counter - measures for 90 days. Trump signed an executive order to set the "new reciprocal tariff" rates ranging from 10% to 41%, and a 40% transit tax on transit goods. He also adjusted tariff policies for Canada, Mexico, and Brazil. [3][31] - **Personnel Changes**: Trump demanded the dismissal of the Bureau of Labor Statistics director and the Fed member Kugler announced her resignation on August 8. These two personnel changes on Friday increased traders' bets on a September rate cut by the Fed. [3][31] - Trump's net satisfaction rate increased. As of August 1, his net satisfaction rate was - 5.1%, compared with - 7.0% a week ago. [32] 3.3 Overseas Economic Fundamental High - Frequency Tracking 3.3.1 Overall Prosperity - The bet on a US economic recession in 2025 on the Polymarket website dropped to 16% from 17% a week ago. The US weekly economic activity index rose slightly, while Germany's continued to decline. [4][37] - The US second - quarter GDP initial value showed an overall growth rate exceeding expectations, but the potential momentum weakened. After excluding the impact of net exports and inventory, the growth rate was lower than the previous value. [44] 3.3.2 Employment - The number of unemployment benefit recipients continued to decline, but the non - farm data was "disappointing". The number of initial jobless claims continued to be lower than expected, but the non - farm data on Friday was far below expectations, with the previous two months' data revised down by 258,000 jobs. The unemployment rate was 4.2%, in line with expectations. [4][52] 3.3.3 Demand - US airport security checks and railway transportation were better than the same period last year. The Redbook commercial retail sales growth rate declined for three consecutive weeks. The real estate market remained sluggish. [54] 3.3.4 Production - The US production side remained prosperous, with crude steel production and refinery utilization rates continuing to be higher than the same period last year. [60] 3.3.5 Shipping - International freight rates declined. The Baltic Dry Index, Panamax Freight Index, and Cape - size Freight Index all dropped, and the container freight rates from Chinese ports also continued to fall. [63][64] 3.3.6 Price - US retail gasoline prices were stable. The inflation expectations in the US declined this week, with the 1 - year inflation swap rate dropping by 0.04 percentage points and the 2 - year inflation swap rate dropping by 0.06 percentage points. [65][68] 3.3.7 Financial Conditions - The US financial pressure declined this week, with the OFR US financial stress index dropping and the credit spread narrowing. [70] 3.4 Next Week's Overseas Important Event Reminders - Key events next week include the Bank of England's interest rate meeting (the market expects a 25bp rate cut), the US July ISM services PMI, and the US June factory orders monthly rate. Attention should also be paid to the implementation of Trump's "new reciprocal tariffs" on August 7. [74]