证券研究报告 有色金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 07 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈婉妤 SAC：S1350524110006 chenwanyu@huayuanstock.com 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 宏观催化叠加国内大幅去库，铜价突破上行 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——有色金属 大宗金属周报（2025/12/1-2025/12/5） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜：宏观催化叠加国内大幅去库，铜价突破上行。本周伦铜/沪铜/美铜涨跌幅分别为 +5.74%/+6.12%/+3.33%。宏观方面，特朗普拟提名鸽派人选哈塞特任美联储主席，以及 ADP 就业数据低于预期等催化下，美联储 12 月降息预期升温，铜价突破上 ...

1、股东会届次：2025年第六次临时股东会 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 焦作万方铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"本公司"）于2025年11月27日在巨潮资讯网 （www.cninfo.com.cn）、《中国证券报》《证券时报》《证券日报》和《上海证券报》披露了《焦作 万方铝业股份有限公司关于召开公司2025年第六次临时股东会的通知》（公告编号：2025-092）。为保 护广大投资者的利益，提请各位股东正确行使股东会投票权，现披露关于召开2025年第六次临时股东会 的提示性公告。 一、召开会议的基本情况 2、股东会的召集人：董事会 3、本次会议的召集、召开符合《中华人民共和国公司法》《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》《深圳证 券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第1号一一主板上市公司规范运作》等法律、行政法规、部门规章、规 范性文件及《公司章程》的有关规定。 4、会议时间： （1）现场会议时间：2025年12月12日14:30 （2）网络投票时间：通过深圳证券交易所系统进行网络投票的具体时间为202 ...

| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | 2025-12-05 | 000807 | 云铝股份 | 25.00 | 8.00 | 200.00 国元证券股份有限 | 国元证券股份有限 | | | | | | | 公司深圳深南大道 | 公司深圳深南大道 | | | | | | | 中国凤凰大厦营业 | 中国凤凰大厦营业 | | | | | | | 部 | 司 | 12月5日，云铝股份大宗交易成交8万股，成交额200万元，占当日总成交额的0.11%，成交价25元，较 市场收盘价28.31元折价11.69%。 ...

. 贵金属有色金属产业日报 2025/12/05 咨询业务资格：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者：许亮 Z0002220 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明 】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制，但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和建议。 在不同时期，本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形下做出修 改， 交易者（您）应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正，但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，交易者（您）并不能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交 易者（您）依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果，本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可，任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用 或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的，需在允许的范围内使用，并注明出处为"东亚期货"，且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 本 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the Free Cash Flow ETF (159201), which has seen a 1.26% increase and a trading volume exceeding 4.4 billion yuan, leading its category [1] - The ETF has experienced continuous capital inflow for 20 consecutive trading days, totaling a net inflow of 2.106 billion yuan, indicating growing investor interest [1] - The current size of the Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) has reached 7.615 billion yuan with 6.405 billion shares, both marking all-time highs since its inception [1] Group 2 - According to Everbright Securities, the recent rise in the A-share market is driven by multiple favorable factors, including expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December and easing concerns over the AI bubble in the US stock market [1] - The market is expected to remain in a bull phase, but the duration of the bull market may be more significant than the magnitude of the increase, as guided by national policies promoting a "slow bull" [1] - In terms of asset allocation, short-term focus should be on defensive and consumer sectors, as previously lagging sectors may perform better during market fluctuations, particularly high dividend and consumer stocks [1][2]

每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 展望后市，信达证券指出，当期支撑流动性牛市的基础依然坚实，后续可能有盈利全面改善和资金 流入共振拉长牛市时间。战略上，业绩空窗期、经济数据偏弱和海外市场调整均可能带来市场宽幅震荡 过程中的波动。但年底到明年初仍可以布局政策或资金积极变化带来的上行机会。未来一年市场短期的 波动可能来自监管政策和供给放量速度，需要关注监管政策变化对市场的影响。流动性牛市的核心基础 是股市供需结构扭转，如果股权融资规模放量速度很快，股市供需格局再次转弱，那么市场也存在波动 加大的可能。 A500ETF基金（512050）助力投资者一键布局A股核心资产，把握A股估值抬升红利。该ETF具有 费率低（综合费率仅0.2%）、流动性好（近一月日均成交额超50亿元）、规模大（规模超200亿元）等 核心优势。其跟踪中证A500指数，采取行业均衡配置与龙头优 ...

（责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎 每日经济新闻 华创证券指出，今年以来铜矿山供应扰动不断，供应增速下降，而铜冶炼产能2025年预计增加超过 200万吨，2026年预计也在100万吨以上，矿冶矛盾愈发突出，TC价格自今年4月持续维持在-40美元/吨 以下，长单TC仅为21美元/吨，2026年TC价格预期也将维持在低位，国内铜冶炼减产概率大增。CSPT 小组提出的降低10%产能负荷或将涉及产能规模近100万吨，铜冶炼减产预期加大或也将进一步支撑铜 价走高。此外，美联 ...

Group 1 - Yonghe Intelligent Control plans to publicly transfer 100% equity and a debt of 114 million yuan of its subsidiary Chengdu Shanshuishang Hotel, with a minimum listing price of 185 million yuan [1] - Grinda intends to invest 79.9999 million yuan to subscribe for 764,400 shares of Muxi Integrated Circuit (Shanghai) Co., accounting for 0.19% of the total share capital after issuance [1] - Tianshan Aluminum's actual controllers plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1% of the company's shares starting from December 25, 2025 [1][2] Group 2 - Guang'an Aizhong plans to publicly issue bonds not exceeding 1 billion yuan to repay debts and supplement working capital [3] - Tengda Technology's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 0.8% of the company's shares starting from December 26, 2025 [4] - Tianwo Technology intends to invest in a 300,000-kilowatt "solar thermal + wind power integration" project with a total investment not exceeding 1.918 billion yuan [5][6] Group 3 - Yunnan Energy Investment announces that three wind power expansion projects have achieved full capacity grid connection, adding 596,250 kilowatts of wind power capacity [7] - Jinggong Technology wins a bid for a carbon fiber production base project worth 729 million yuan, accounting for 42.16% of its audited revenue for 2024 [8] - CITIC Bank's risk director's qualification has been approved by the regulatory authority [9][10] Group 4 - Electric Media plans to establish a joint venture with Mango Super Media and Zhangjiajie Tourism Group with a registered capital of 180 million yuan [11] - New Lai Ying Material's subsidiary plans to invest 157 million yuan to acquire a 51% stake in Anpu Intelligent Technology [13] - Kuaiji Elevator has been notified of the cancellation of its high-tech enterprise qualification for 2021-2023, which may impact its operating performance [15] Group 5 - Huakai Yibai's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 2.94% of the company's shares [16] - Del Shares' shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 2.98% of the company's shares [17] - Rifa Precision plans to sell idle assets for 155 million yuan to an affiliated party [19] Group 6 - Wanlong Optoelectronics is planning a major asset restructuring and has suspended trading of its shares [20] - Bangjie Co.'s shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 400,000 shares [22] - Nanhua Instrument's actual controller and related parties plan to reduce holdings by no more than 1.62% of the company's shares [24] Group 7 - Unisplendour has re-submitted its H-share listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [25] - Zhongshi Technology plans to acquire 51% of Zhongshi Xun Cold for 35.7 million yuan [26] - Pulutong is planning a major asset restructuring and has suspended trading of its shares [26]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints - The short - term trading opportunities for A - share index futures are limited due to low trading volume and volatility [2]. - The current interest rate is approaching the high level before the end of September, and the allocation value of bonds within 10 years is relatively improved. The 30 - year bonds may be oversold under emotional drive. It is recommended to wait and see for the unilateral strategy and focus on the Politburo meeting and the new regulations on bond fund redemption fees [2]. - Gold is in a consolidation phase near $4200, and it is advisable to be cautious about chasing long positions unilaterally. Silver is oscillating strongly and may reach $60. Investors are advised to lock in profits after accumulating floating profits [2]. - The container shipping index is expected to fluctuate in the short - term [2]. - For steel, it is recommended to focus on the long - rebar and short - iron ore arbitrage. Iron ore is in high - level consolidation, and coking coal and coke are also in a consolidation state [2]. - Copper prices are rising again, and aluminum prices are rising with increased positions. Different trading strategies are recommended for various non - ferrous metals [2][3]. - For new energy and chemical products, different products have different market trends and corresponding trading suggestions, such as PX having strong support in the medium - term, while PTA's rebound space is limited [3]. - In the energy and chemical industry, different products have different market situations, such as LLDPE's trading volume weakening significantly and PP's supply having an upward expectation [3]. - In the agricultural products market, different products have different trends, such as palm oil falling due to potential inventory growth and sugar oscillating weakly [3]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Financial Sector - **Stock Index Futures**: A - share index futures have low trading volume and volatility, and the short - term trading space is limited. The dividend sector is firm, and the index futures are trading weakly [2]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The current interest rate is approaching the high level before the end of September. The 30 - year bonds are relatively weak, and the short - term market driver may come from the policy expectation difference. It is recommended to wait and see for the unilateral strategy and focus on the Politburo meeting and the new regulations on bond fund redemption fees. The positive arbitrage strategy for the 2603 contract is recommended for the spot - futures strategy [2]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold is in a consolidation phase near $4200, and it is advisable to sell out - of - the - money put options to earn time value. Silver is oscillating strongly and may reach $60. Investors are advised to lock in profits after accumulating floating profits. Platinum and palladium should be traded with a short - term high - selling and low - buying strategy, and the long - platinum and short - palladium hedge should take profits at high levels [2]. Black Sector - **Steel**: Steel mills are reducing production. It is recommended to focus on the long - rebar and short - iron ore arbitrage and narrow the spread between hot - rolled coil and rebar [2]. - **Iron Ore**: The shipment is increasing, the arrival is decreasing, and the port inventory is increasing. It is in high - level consolidation, with the range from 750 to 820 [2]. - **Coking Coal**: The price reduction range of coal in the production area is expanding, and the price of Mongolian coal is stable. The futures price is falling again, with the range from 1050 to 1150, and the 1 - 5 reverse spread is recommended [2]. - **Coke**: The first round of price cuts in December has been implemented, and the port trading price is falling. It is in a consolidation state, with the range from 1550 to 1700, and the 1 - 5 reverse spread is recommended [2]. Non - Ferrous Sector - **Copper**: The LME cancelled warehouse receipts are increasing significantly, and copper prices are rising again. The short - term decline space is limited [2]. - **Aluminum**: Aluminum prices are rising with increased positions. Different trading strategies are recommended for aluminum, waste aluminum, and aluminum alloy, with corresponding price ranges [2][3]. - **Other Non - Ferrous Metals**: For zinc, supply reduction and interest - rate cut expectations provide support, but the spot trading is dull [4]. For other non - ferrous metals such as tin, nickel, and stainless steel, different market trends and trading suggestions are provided [3]. New Energy and Chemical Sector - **New Energy**: Different new energy products such as polysilicon and lithium carbonate have different market trends and corresponding trading suggestions, such as polysilicon futures rising while the spot price is stable [3]. - **Chemical Products**: Different chemical products have different market situations, such as PX having strong support in the medium - term, while PTA's rebound space is limited. Different trading strategies are recommended for each product [3]. Energy and Chemical Sector - Different energy and chemical products such as LLDPE, PP, and methanol have different market trends and corresponding trading suggestions, such as LLDPE's trading volume weakening significantly and PP's supply having an upward expectation [3]. Agricultural Products Sector - Different agricultural products such as palm oil, sugar, and cotton have different market trends and corresponding trading suggestions, such as palm oil falling due to potential inventory growth and sugar oscillating weakly [3].

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 有色金属类 铜： 隔夜内外铜价大幅拉升，均创历史新高，国内精铜现货进口亏损扩大。宏观方面，美国11月ADP就业人 数减少3.2万人，创2023年3月以来最大降幅，劳动力市场疲软迹象正在显现；但美国11月份ISM服务业 PMI指数升至52.6，创九个月来新高，预期52.0，服务业指数受到供应商交付时间延长以及商业活动进 一步改善的支撑。国内方面，关注即将召开的中央经济工作会议。库存方面，LME库存增加350吨至 162150吨；Comex库存增加2127吨至393979吨；SHFE铜仓单下降1599吨至28969吨；BC铜仓单维系 4879吨。昨晚LME铜注册仓单大量转为注销仓单，被市场认为即将大量被提货的表现，佐证投资者对 未来铜价的看好，也凸显了LME库存紧张和全球显性库存结构性问题，成为内外铜价联袂创新高的理 由。当前来看，短期的宏观和基本面问题已然被精矿短缺、长协高升水和库存流动性问题所取代，市场 情绪也逐渐朝着外盘挤仓演进，表现或持续偏强，关注持续性。 镍&不锈钢： 隔夜LME镍涨0.92%报14875美元/吨，沪镍跌0.02%报117 ...