Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by infrastructure and resource sectors, with significant gains in various stocks, particularly in the hydropower and coal industries [1][2][4][6][8]. Infrastructure Sector - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has been approved, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, which is six times the annual investment amount in Tibet. This project is expected to significantly boost infrastructure development in the western region and promote clean energy [6]. - Key companies benefiting from this project include China Energy Engineering, China Power Construction, and various construction and engineering firms, with many stocks hitting their daily limit [4][6]. Resource Sector - The coal sector has shown strong performance, with companies like Shanxi Coking Coal and Huahua Energy reaching their daily limit. The market is reacting to rumors of regulatory changes aimed at stabilizing coal supply [8][10]. - The overall coal market is characterized by strong seasonal demand and tightening supply, with expectations of continued price increases due to high temperatures and increased purchasing activity [10]. Steel Sector - The steel sector is also performing well, with companies like Fangda Special Steel and Xining Special Steel hitting their daily limit. The industry is undergoing supply-side reforms, which are expected to improve the supply-demand balance in the medium to long term [11][13]. - Despite current challenges, the steel demand is anticipated to remain stable, supported by infrastructure investment and manufacturing growth [13]. Alcohol Sector - The liquor sector has rebounded, with stocks like Shanxi Fenjiu and Yingjia Gongjiu rising over 5%. The sector is seeing a recovery in valuations as investor sentiment improves [15][17]. - Companies are focusing on market health and inventory reduction, while also planning for international expansion and targeting younger consumers [17].

Report Summary 1. Market Data - DR001 closed at 1.36 with a -9.56bp change, DR007 at 1.49 with a -1.66bp change, GC001 at 1.36 with a 4.00bp change, and GC007 at 1.47 with a -1.00bp change [3] - SHBOR 3M closed at 1.55 with a -0.20bp change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with a 0.00bp change [3] - 1 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year Chinese treasury bonds closed at 1.35, 1.52, and 1.68 respectively, with changes of 0.25bp, 1.65bp, and 1.10bp; 10 - year US treasury bonds closed at 4.44 with a -3.00bp change [3] - The central bank conducted 1707 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an interest rate of 1.40%, with 2262 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 555 billion yuan [3] - This week, 17268 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature, with 2000 billion yuan of MLF maturing on July 25 and 1200 billion yuan of treasury cash fixed - deposits maturing on July 22 [4] 2. Stock Index Data - The CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 closed at 4086, 2772, 6161.3, and 6612.3 respectively, with changes of 0.67%, 0.28%, 1.01%, and 0.92% [5] - IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts' closing prices and changes are presented, along with their volume and open interest changes [5] - The trading volume of the A - share market reached 1.7 trillion yuan, an increase of 1289 billion yuan from last Friday, with most sectors rising and the banking sector falling [5] 3. Core Views - With the end of the tax - payment period, inter - bank market funds are abundant [4] - The upcoming policies for ten key industries and the start of a major hydropower project are positive factors [6] - Domestic and overseas factors are generally positive, with A - share liquidity and market sentiment strong, and stock indices expected to be bullish [6] 4. Futures Premium and Discount - The premium and discount rates of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts for different delivery months are provided [7]

Group 1 - The core concept of the news revolves around the launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, which has led to a significant surge in related stocks and indices in the A-share market, with a notable increase of 12.52% in the concept index on the announcement day [2] - The project involves an investment of 1.2 trillion yuan and is expected to have an installed capacity exceeding 80 million kilowatts, three times that of the Three Gorges Dam, impacting national energy security and geopolitical dynamics in South Asia [2] - The Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project is characterized as a national-level super project with high technical difficulty, including high altitude, complex geology, and long-distance power transmission, which has attracted substantial market speculation [2] Group 2 - The capital market's reaction to the Yarlung Tsangpo concept is compared to previous speculative trends seen with other concepts like AI and Tesla, highlighting the typical behavior of investors chasing potential profits [3] - Similarities are drawn between the Yarlung Tsangpo project and the Xiong'an New Area concept, particularly in terms of policy-driven expectations and the initial market frenzy surrounding both projects [3] - The construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower station is expected to provide a clearer path for revenue generation through electricity production and sales, distinguishing it from other speculative themes [4] Group 3 - The core beneficiaries of the Yarlung Tsangpo project include state-owned enterprises like China Yarlung Group and suppliers of turbines, steel, cement, and engineering machinery, as well as construction companies involved in specific project segments [4] - The project aligns with China's long-term "dual carbon" strategy, emphasizing the shift towards clean energy and the sustained government support for large-scale clean energy initiatives [4] - The project is anticipated to generate stable cash flow and profits post-completion, providing a solid foundation for its valuation compared to other speculative stocks that may lack fundamental support [4]

Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that China's infrastructure sector is entering a "DeepSeek moment," driven by policy support and market demand, marking a significant opportunity for growth in the domestic infrastructure market [2][7]. - The report highlights the shift from traditional reliance on exports and investment to a focus on domestic demand, with infrastructure investment playing a crucial role in this structural adjustment [5][6]. Infrastructure Development Highlights - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is noted as a strategic mega-project that will enhance China's clean energy supply and stimulate investment across various industries, including explosives, engineering machinery, and power equipment [3]. - The construction of the Hainan Free Trade Port is identified as a model for regional development and infrastructure upgrades, attracting significant capital and talent, with a focus on enhancing infrastructure in tourism and high-tech industries [3]. - Urban renewal initiatives are shifting focus from "incremental expansion" to "stock quality improvement," emphasizing the optimization and upgrading of existing urban spaces, which will drive growth in related industries such as building materials and smart devices [4]. Economic Transition and Infrastructure Investment - The report discusses the impact of global trade uncertainties and the need for China to pivot from being an "export factory" to an "internal demand engine," with infrastructure investment becoming increasingly important in this transition [5]. - It outlines the "second curve" of domestic demand, where infrastructure investment is seen as a new driver of growth, complementing traditional consumer spending [6]. - The construction of a unified national market is highlighted as a means to facilitate the efficient flow of resources, with infrastructure investment serving as a key platform for this integration [6]. Investment Logic - The report suggests a shift in focus from the quantity of infrastructure investment to the quality of investment, prioritizing strategic projects and addressing gaps in urban infrastructure [9][10]. - It recommends focusing on leading companies with high dividend yields, strong policy protection, and technological advantages, particularly in sectors benefiting from urban renewal and green infrastructure [11]. - The report identifies opportunities in new infrastructure sectors such as 5G, big data centers, and renewable energy projects, which are expected to see accelerated growth [10][11].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project is expected to significantly boost investment opportunities in related sectors, particularly in construction materials and infrastructure [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project will involve the construction of five cascade power stations with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan (about 1.2 trillion) [1]. - This project is projected to account for 88.7% of China's total water conservancy investment in 2024, highlighting its scale and importance [1]. Group 2: Industry Impact - The project is anticipated to create substantial demand for construction materials, steel, and other related industries, benefiting companies involved in water conservancy, tunneling, and power equipment [1][2]. - The construction of large-scale hydropower stations is expected to enhance the demand for raw materials, leading to a dual benefit of supply and demand for steel and construction materials [2]. Group 3: Cement Industry Insights - The Yarlung Tsangpo project will directly stimulate cement demand in Tibet and surrounding areas, with expectations of price increases due to supply optimization and reduced competition within the cement industry [3]. - The cement industry is undergoing a "reverse involution" process, which is expected to improve the supply-demand balance and enhance profit margins for leading regional cement companies [3]. - New regulations aimed at controlling cement production capacity are expected to further stabilize the industry, promoting high-quality development [3].

Group 1 - The A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.62%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.84%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.61%, all reaching new highs for the year [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 19,286 billion yuan, an increase of 2,015 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 2,500 stocks rising and more than 100 stocks hitting the daily limit for the second consecutive day [1] Group 2 - The focus of the market remains on the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower station concept, which has continued to see strong reactions in the second trading day [2][4] - Stocks related to the Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project have experienced significant surges, particularly in sectors such as cement, civil explosives, water conservancy equipment, and engineering construction, leading to a wave of limit-up stocks [4] - China Power Construction Corporation also hit the daily limit, with a limit-up order volume reaching 12.34 million hands, the highest in A-shares [5] Group 3 - Zhonglian Heavy Industry's stock surged over 9% after the company indicated potential positive impacts on performance from the Yarlung Tsangpo project [7] - The Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project is the largest planned hydropower project globally, with an investment of 1.2 trillion yuan and a demand for equipment exceeding 100 billion yuan, expected to provide stable orders for the engineering machinery industry over its 10-year construction period [7] Group 4 - The liquor sector has shown volatility, with stocks like Shanxi Fenjiu and Yingjia Gongjiu rising over 5%, while Luzhou Laojiao increased by over 4% [9] - The liquor sector has faced challenges, with a year-to-date decline exceeding 10%, prompting fund managers to adjust their holdings, with some increasing positions in leading brands while reducing exposure to others [13] - Fund manager Zhang Kun emphasized that current valuations reflect pessimistic expectations, suggesting that long-term investors may find attractive opportunities [13] Group 5 - Coal stocks experienced a significant rally, with companies like Shanxi Coking Coal and Haohua Energy hitting the daily limit [15] - The surge in coal prices was anticipated, as the Dalian Commodity Exchange's coking coal futures showed strong activity, leading to a limit-up in the afternoon [15] - Analysts noted that the recent focus on stabilizing growth in key industries by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has boosted market confidence in coking coal [17]

Market Overview - On July 22, A-shares saw collective gains across major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.62%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.84%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.61%, all reaching new highs for the year [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was 1.9286 trillion yuan, an increase of 201.5 billion yuan from the previous day [1] - Over 2,500 stocks rose, with more than 100 stocks hitting the daily limit for the second consecutive day [1] Sector Performance Hydropower Sector - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower concept stocks experienced a surge, with multiple brokerages publishing reports on investment opportunities related to the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project [4] - The project is expected to become the world's largest hydropower station, generating approximately 300 billion kilowatt-hours annually, which will significantly boost demand for engineering machinery [4] - Key suppliers in China's hydropower equipment market include Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and Harbin Electric, with Dongfang Electric achieving a 100% localization rate for 1 million kilowatt generator sets [4] Cement Sector - The cement sector is gaining momentum due to the "anti-involution" news, with the Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project expected to provide a new boost [5] - Major players in the Tibet cement market include Tibet Tianlu, Huaxin Cement, and Conch Cement, with Tibet Tianlu accounting for about 30% of the region's total cement production [5] Liquor Sector - The liquor sector showed active performance, despite a decline of over 10% year-to-date as of July 21 [6][7] - Fund managers have mixed strategies regarding liquor stocks, with some reducing positions while others increase their allocations [8] - Many institutions believe that the current valuation of liquor stocks presents investment opportunities, especially for leading companies with strong management and risk resilience [9] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector saw gains amid fluctuating market conditions influenced by U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve speculation [10] - Despite short-term pressures, the long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact due to ongoing global uncertainties and central bank purchasing [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Dividend ETF for State-Owned Enterprises (530880) has shown strong performance, with a 2.80% increase as of July 22, 2025, marking three consecutive days of gains [3] - Key stocks within the ETF, such as Shanxi Coal International (600546), Lu'an Environmental Energy (601699), and Huaibei Mining (600985), have all experienced significant increases, with each rising over 10% [3] - The coal sector is experiencing a surge, supported by favorable policies and structural optimization in production capacity, alongside a second round of price increases for coke expected to be implemented soon [3] Group 2 - The Dividend ETF for State-Owned Enterprises tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange State-Owned Enterprise Dividend Index, which has a high dividend yield of 5.2%, making it one of the highest among similar A-share indices [4] - The ETF includes major state-owned enterprises from low-valuation, high-dividend sectors such as banking, coal, and transportation, which are significant contributors to A-share dividends [4] - The ETF has the lowest fee structure among similar index tracking products, enhancing its attractiveness for investors seeking stable dividend returns [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market continued to rise, with all three major indices reaching new highs for the year. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.62%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.84%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.61% [1][2] - The total trading volume for the day was 1.93 trillion yuan, an increase of 201.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 2,500 stocks rising and more than 100 stocks hitting the daily limit for the second consecutive day [1] Sector Performance Hydropower and Infrastructure - The hydropower concept stocks were notably active, with companies like Wuxin Tunnel Equipment and Jikang Technology both hitting the daily limit of 30% increase. Other companies such as Poly United, China Power Construction, and Jiangnan Chemical also saw significant gains [4][5] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, which is six times the annual investment amount in Tibet. This project is expected to significantly boost infrastructure development in the western region and promote clean energy construction [4] Coal Sector - Coal stocks performed well, with Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Haohua Energy all hitting the daily limit. Other companies like Pingmei Shenma and China Coal Energy saw increases of over 9% [6][7] - The current thermal coal market is characterized by strong seasonal demand and a tightening supply structure, driven by high temperatures across the country, leading to a steady increase in prices [6] Steel Sector - The steel sector saw widespread gains, with companies like Fangda Special Steel and Xining Special Steel hitting the daily limit. Other companies such as Liugang and Bayi Steel also experienced significant increases [8][9] Alcohol and Beverage Sector - The liquor stocks showed a mixed performance, with Shanxi Fenjiu and Yingjia Gongjiu rising over 5%, while other brands like Luzhou Laojiao and Guizhou Moutai also saw gains [10] Precious Metals - The precious metals sector strengthened, with West Mining rising nearly 7% and other companies like Hunan Silver and Zhongjin Gold increasing over 3% [11] State-Owned Enterprises - State-owned enterprises saw a rally in the afternoon, with companies like China Energy Engineering and China Railway Construction hitting the daily limit [12][13] Photovoltaic Equipment - The photovoltaic equipment sector experienced a broad increase, with Yijing Photovoltaic hitting the daily limit and other companies like Daqo New Energy and Tongwei Co. rising over 5% [14] AI and Technology - The AI sector faced a downturn, with companies like Yuke Technology dropping over 7% and others like Zhongke Jin Cai and Guangyun Technology declining over 3% [15] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector remained sluggish, with companies like Gigabit and Sheng Tian Network dropping over 3% [16] Banking Sector - The banking sector underperformed, with Minsheng Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank both declining over 2% [17] Market Outlook - According to China International Capital Corporation, the recent strength in the A-share market is not driven by significant macroeconomic catalysts, but rather by changes in the funding landscape. Key changes include a restructuring of monetary order, an increase in the proportion of individual investors, and a relative attractiveness of the stock market amid rising household savings [18]

今日A股市场全天震荡走高， 三大指数盘中均创年内新高 。沪深两市全天成交额1.89万亿，较上个 交易日放量1931亿。 板块方面，超级水电、工程机械、煤炭、水泥等板块涨幅居前，智谱AI、元件、软件开发、游戏等 板块跌幅居前。 截至收盘，沪指涨0.62%，深成指涨0.84%，创业板指涨0.61%。 盘面上，市场热点集中在大基建方向，个股跌多涨少， 全市场超2700只个股下跌，连续两日逾百股 涨停。 从板块来看，超级水电概念股持续爆发，中国电建等多股涨停。钢铁、煤炭、水泥等反内卷 方向集体走强，潞安环能等多股涨停。下跌方面，算力方向展开调整，优刻得等跌超5%。 ...