Core Viewpoint - Norwegian defense companies are profiting significantly from the militarization of Europe, as stated by the Russian ambassador to Norway, Nikolai Korchunov [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - Norway has gained over $115 billion in excess revenue from high natural gas prices in 2022 and 2023 due to some European countries' refusal to purchase Russian energy [1] - The ambassador claims that the Norwegian government is willing to sacrifice the social and economic interests of its citizens for militarization [1] Group 2: Defense Industry - Norwegian defense companies are capitalizing on the so-called "rearmament," which is essentially the militarization of Europe [1]

Group 1 - The EU expresses frustration and strategic anxiety regarding China's rare earth export controls, highlighting its vulnerability in the supply chain [2][3] - The EU's automotive and renewable energy sectors are facing significant production challenges due to shortages of rare earth materials, with major companies like Volkswagen and BMW forced to reduce output [2] - The EU's contradictory stance of imposing restrictions on Chinese companies while demanding China to ease rare earth export controls reflects a strategic inconsistency [2][4] Group 2 - China's rare earth policy is framed as aligning with international norms, emphasizing national security and the prevention of military proliferation [3] - The core objectives of China's rare earth policy include maintaining national security, establishing new global supply chain governance rules, and differentiating its approach to various markets [3][4] - The EU's "stinking fish" metaphor reveals its short-sightedness in acknowledging its dependence on Chinese rare earths while attempting to pressure China instead of seeking cooperation [4][8] Group 3 - The upcoming China-EU summit will focus on the rare earth issue, with potential for dialogue if the EU shifts from a victim mentality to respecting China's core interests [5][7] - China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi is actively engaging in diplomacy with the EU, signaling a desire for cooperation to resolve differences [6][7] - The future of China-EU relations hinges on the EU's ability to adopt a respectful and equal approach in negotiations, as continued double standards may exacerbate tensions over rare earths [8]

Conflict Situation - The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that over the past week, Russian forces conducted six precision strikes using high-precision weapons and drones against Ukrainian military enterprises, energy and port infrastructure, radar stations, ammunition and weapon depots, drone production facilities, and military airports [1] - Ukrainian Armed Forces reported 187 combat incidents in the frontline areas within a day, with preliminary reports indicating that four aircraft, including Su-34s, were hit, and maintenance areas for aircraft were damaged [1] Negotiation Situation - Ukrainian officials stated that negotiations for prisoner exchanges between Ukraine and Russia are ongoing [2] - The Turkish Foreign Minister announced Turkey's readiness to host the third round of talks between Ukraine and Russia [2] - President Putin expressed readiness for a new round of negotiations with Ukraine, potentially in Istanbul, although the time and location have yet to be determined [2] Other Situations - The U.S. Treasury Department authorized civilian nuclear transactions with Russian financial entities [3] - The Ukrainian President signed an order to implement sanctions against Russia in line with the European Union and G7 [3] - Hungarian Prime Minister Orban stated that the EU's proposal to halt energy imports from Russia is unfavorable for Hungary, and they will not support it [3] - The Indian government discussed the supply of the S-400 system, upgrades for Su-30MKI fighter jets, and procurement of key military hardware with Russian defense officials [3] Additional Developments - Russian forces have taken control of one of Europe's largest lithium mines, the Shevchenko lithium mine [4] - The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russia launched 363 drones and 8 missiles during nighttime attacks [4] - Russian defense forces reportedly destroyed 39 Ukrainian drones during nighttime operations [4] - Local governors indicated that Russian attacks targeted electricity facilities in the Kherson region [4] - The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Russian troops have occupied Nova Kakhovka in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine [4]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector in Hong Kong and A-shares is experiencing significant growth, driven by the anticipation of a military parade on September 3, commemorating the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War, which is expected to enhance market attention and boost valuations in the military sector [6][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military sector in the Hong Kong stock market has seen substantial gains, with Aerospace Holdings rising over 6% and China Shipbuilding Defense increasing over 5% [2][3]. - In the A-share market, various sub-sectors such as military equipment, military information technology, and military electronics have also performed strongly, with companies like Zhongke Haixun and Guorui Technology hitting the daily limit up [3][4]. Group 2: Upcoming Events - The military parade on September 3 is expected to showcase all domestically produced main battle equipment, highlighting China's defense technology and weaponry development capabilities [6][7]. - Historical trends indicate that major military parades often act as catalysts for the military stock market, enhancing public awareness and reinforcing national defense security consensus [6][7]. Group 3: Global Military Trade and Demand - The global military trade market is projected to reach $111.6 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.2%, where the U.S. holds a 37.9% market share and China accounts for approximately $3.22 billion (around 220 billion RMB) [10]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions are accelerating global military trade demand, with expectations that China's military equipment market share could reach 15-20% by 2030, translating to a market demand of approximately 1500-2000 billion RMB annually [10][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The military industry is expected to maintain high growth due to robust order backlogs and accelerated production schedules, with the upcoming 14th Five-Year Plan likely to further stimulate development [7][11]. - Increased global military spending, driven by geopolitical uncertainties, is anticipated to sustain demand in the military sector, benefiting upstream materials such as titanium alloys and tungsten [11].

证券代码：688543 证券简称：国科军工 公告编号：2025-038 一、回购股份的基本情况 公司于 2024 年 2 月 7 日召开第三届董事会第六次会议，审议通过了《关于 以集中竞价交易方式回购股份方案的议案》。本次回购的股份将在未来适宜时机 全部用于员工持股计划或者股权激励，回购资金总额不低于人民币 7,000 万元 （含），不超过人民币 13,000 万元（含），回购价格拟不超过人民币 58 元/股（含）， 回购期限自公司董事会审议通过本次回购股份方案之日起 12 个月内。具体内容 详见公司分别于 2024 年 2 月 9 日、2024 年 2 月 27 日在上海证券交易所网站 （www.sse.com.cn）披露的《第三届董事会第六次会议决议公告》（公告编号： 司股份的回购报告书》（公告编号：2024-011）。 首次实施回购公司股份，2025 年 2 月 7 日，公司完成回购，已实际回购公司股 份 1,666,533 股，占公司总股本 175,701,557 股的比例为 0.9485%，回购成交的最 高价为 50.00 元/股，最低价为 36.31 元/股，支付的资金总额为人民币 76,125, ...

Group 1 - The macroeconomic landscape is expected to show resilience in the short term, with a shift from "grabbing transshipment" to "grabbing exports," indicating a potential improvement in external demand [1] - The top five sectors with net inflows include military industry, non-ferrous metals, copper, PCB boards, and charging piles, suggesting strong investor interest in these areas [1] - The A-share market is anticipated to maintain stability with the support of long-term capital inflows, driven by policies from the Central Huijin Investment Ltd [1] Group 2 - The humanoid robot industry is expected to drive significant growth in the bearing market, with domestic companies poised to benefit from the acceleration of domestic substitution [3] - The recent enactment of the stablecoin regulation in Hong Kong is drawing attention to related stocks, although the industry is still in its early stages and may face challenges in short-term performance [3] - The introduction of multiple economic stimulus policies is expected to stabilize expectations and enhance early effectiveness, particularly in the "two new" and "two heavy" sectors [5] Group 3 - The stock market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with significant inflows of new capital, although the overall market profitability remains weak [7] - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown a rebound without filling the gap, indicating a strong market sentiment influenced by external market performance [11] - The focus on sectors with low exposure to U.S. tariffs, such as engineering machinery and commercial vehicles, is recommended for investors [11]

Core Insights - The overall number of stocks hitting the daily limit rose to 54, with 9 stocks in consecutive limit-up status, a significant decrease in the advancement rate of consecutive limit-up stocks to 19.04% from the previous day [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The market saw over 3,300 stocks rise, but short-term sentiment continued to cool down, leading to a substantial drop in the advancement rate of consecutive limit-up stocks [1] - Notable stocks such as Quan Oil and New Tonglian experienced significant declines, impacting overall market sentiment [1] Group 2: Sector Trends - Recent popular sectors showed a pattern of rising and then falling, with significant losses for those who blindly chased high prices [1] - Specific sectors like solid-state batteries and stablecoins faced notable declines, with stocks such as Pulu Tong and Cangzhou Mingzhu dropping after initial surges [1] Group 3: Emerging Trends - Afternoon trading saw a resurgence in interest for stocks related to zodiac themes, with several stocks featuring the character "马" (horse) hitting the daily limit [1]

Market Performance - Major stock indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen opened higher on June 27, with initial gap filling followed by fluctuations, leading to a mixed performance by the end of the day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3424.23 points, down 0.70%, with a trading volume of approximately 605.7 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10378.55 points, up 0.34%, with a trading volume of about 935.4 billion yuan; the ChiNext Index closed at 2124.34 points, up 0.47%, with a trading volume of around 464.6 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The copper cable high-speed connection sector led the gains, while sectors such as new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, CPO concepts, non-ferrous metals, communication equipment, components, and storage chips also saw significant increases [1] - Conversely, the oil and gas, banking, and cross-border payment sectors experienced notable declines [1] Institutional Insights - The market is experiencing a divergence, with copper cable connections performing well; a weaker dollar is creating a favorable external environment for Chinese assets, particularly benefiting core assets in Hong Kong and A-shares [2] - Investment strategies suggest buying undervalued stocks with earnings certainty while monitoring policy directions and global liquidity changes [2] - Continuous optimism for precious and industrial metals is noted, with a focus on cost advantages and volume growth for companies in these sectors [2] Transportation Sector Developments - The Ministry of Transport is accelerating the green, low-carbon, and smart transformation of inland shipping, highlighting its advantages in capacity, cost, and environmental sustainability [3] - Over 1000 new energy inland vessels have been developed, and significant progress has been made in smart waterway construction and automated port projects [3] Agricultural Sector Initiatives - The All-China Federation of Supply and Marketing Cooperatives has launched an action plan to enhance the modern circulation service network for agricultural products, aiming to expand e-commerce sales [4] - The plan includes leveraging various e-commerce platforms and promoting quality agricultural products through live streaming and short videos to build strong e-commerce brands [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recent U.S. military intervention in the Iran conflict, including airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, and the debut of the J-35A fighter jet at the Paris Air Show [3][12] - The report suggests that China's military trade is expected to grow significantly, with current exports accounting for 5.9% of the global military trade market, compared to the U.S. at 43% and Russia at 9.6% [4][14] - The military industry is anticipated to see a turning point in orders as it enters the second half of the "Centenary Military Building Goals," with new technologies and products expected to drive market growth [5][15] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the defense industry is 1493.76, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [1] Market Performance - The military sector index has decreased by 2.03%, while the overall market indices have also shown declines, indicating a relative underperformance [16] - The top-performing stocks in the military sector this week include Changcheng Military Industry (+37.12%) and Xinguang Optoelectronics (+21.58%) [19] Investment Recommendations - Two main investment themes are suggested: 1. Aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, including companies like Feilihua and YF Electronics [5][15] 2. New technologies and products with greater elasticity, including companies like Aerospace Intelligence and Guangdong Hongda [5][15] Valuation Levels - As of June 20, 2025, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation is 105.09, with a PB valuation of 3.30, indicating that 80.21% of the time since January 1, 2014, the PE-TTM valuation has been lower than the current level [21][22] Data Tracking - The report tracks various data points, including private placements and stock incentive plans, highlighting significant fundraising and stock performance metrics for various companies in the sector [25][27]

Group 1 - The U.S. has implemented a "case-by-case approval" system for semiconductor equipment exports to China, which is seen as a strategy to slow down China's chip manufacturing capabilities [2][6] - This approach is compared to China's control over rare earth exports, highlighting the differences in resource dependency between the two nations [2][6] - The market reacted positively to the news of China's rare earth sector, with an 8% increase in the rare earth stocks within two days, while TSMC faced uncertainty due to the new approval process [2][6] Group 2 - China's rare earth management is described as a "textbook-level" strategy, effectively controlling military supply while allowing civilian use, showcasing a dual approach [6][10] - The establishment of a full-process traceability system for rare earths by China has made it difficult for U.S. companies to bypass controls, contrasting with the semiconductor equipment situation [6][10] - Chinese companies are advancing their capabilities, with SMIC moving into 28nm processes and Huawei's AI chips nearing NVIDIA's performance, which undermines the effectiveness of U.S. export restrictions [6][10] Group 3 - The ongoing supply chain competition between the U.S. and China has escalated, with both sides trying to outmaneuver each other in terms of technology and resources [8][11] - U.S. semiconductor equipment manufacturers are feeling the pressure, with losses reported at $2.8 billion due to the loss of the Chinese market [6][11] - China's strategy of allowing European car manufacturers to access rare earths while restricting U.S. companies has created a divide in the Western alliance and strengthened China's pricing power [10][11] Group 4 - The U.S. appears to be showing signs of fatigue in this ongoing trade battle, as evidenced by its eagerness to negotiate [11] - The competition is fundamentally about who can endure longer, with the U.S. relying on global collaboration and China leveraging resource monopolization [11] - The outcome of this trade conflict may hinge on who can effectively target the other's vulnerabilities, with China currently holding a strong position due to its control over rare earths [11]