新华财经上海10月10日电（张天源） 第三季度中资离岸债市场呈现一级市场发行整体平稳、二级市场表现出色的特点。据中经社企业外 债风险监测系统显示，2025年前三季度，中资离岸债实际新发债券1108只，新发规模合计1454.59亿美元。 一级市场稳中有升三季度离岸债净融资规模回升 一级市场方面，今年三季度发行情况整体良好，规模稳中有升。据中经社企业外债风险监测系统数据显示，2025年第三季度，离岸债发 行总规模为774亿美元，剔除地产板块涉及违约重组而发行的规模后，2025年第三季度实际新发行离岸债券639亿美元，共发行债券502只 债券。尽管三季度存量债券到期额为年内高峰，但因整体发行规模继续保持增长，2025年三季度净融资为45.77亿美元，较二季度 的-314.82亿美元显著回升。 按发债类型来看，三季度离岸城投债共发行96只，合计143亿美元；离岸金融债共发行285只，合计165亿美元，其他类型离岸债共121 只。其中，离岸地产债新增融资规模依旧低迷，新发规模仅8只，总额约10亿美元，值得注意的是新城控股境外融资成功破冰，在9月23 日成功发行了1.6亿美元境外债。 按币种来看，今年三季度共发行502笔 ...

Core Viewpoint - The demand for refinancing of urban investment bonds is expected to be concentrated before the third quarter of 2025, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in September providing a loose liquidity environment, which together drives a rebound in the issuance scale of Chinese offshore bonds in the primary market. However, there is a clear differentiation in risk appetite, with some low-quality enterprises still facing refinancing challenges [2]. Group 1: Overall Market Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, a total of 1,108 Chinese offshore bonds were newly underwritten, amounting to $145.46 billion. Among these, urban investment bonds accounted for 235 bonds totaling $22.87 billion, while financial bonds accounted for 590 bonds totaling $55.54 billion [2]. - The underwriting performance of various institutions in the Chinese offshore bond market is highlighted, with a focus on the leading underwriters [2]. Group 2: Underwriting Rankings - The top three institutions in terms of underwriting scale for Chinese offshore bonds are: 1. Bank of China with 209 bonds totaling $9.85 billion 2. HSBC with 169 bonds totaling $8.01 billion 3. Guotai Junan International with 243 bonds totaling $6.33 billion [4][5]. - In terms of the number of projects underwritten, CITIC Securities led with 380 bonds, followed by Haitong International with 271 bonds and Minsheng Bank with 264 bonds [9][10]. Group 3: Institutional Distribution - HSBC ranked first in total underwriting amount with $8.01 billion, followed by Guotai Junan International with $6.33 billion, and Bank of China (Hong Kong) with $4.61 billion [13]. - The ranking of banks in underwriting scale shows Bank of China at the top with $9.85 billion, followed by HSBC and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China with $4.78 billion [17][18]. Group 4: Specific Bond Types - For US dollar bonds, Guotai Junan International led with 157 bonds totaling $5.04 billion, followed by Bank of China with 100 bonds totaling $4.75 billion [25]. - In the urban investment bond category, Guotai Junan International also ranked first with 92 bonds totaling $2.12 billion, followed by Dongfang Securities with 61 bonds totaling $1.47 billion [30]. - In the financial bond category, Bank of China led with 110 bonds totaling $5.45 billion, followed by HSBC with 95 bonds totaling $3.85 billion [35]. - For green bonds, Bank of China ranked first with 32 bonds totaling $1.23 billion, followed by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China with 33 bonds totaling $1.12 billion [39].

| TOP | 债券简称 | 主体名称 | 现价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | SINHLD 10.5% 6/18/22 | 新力控股(集团)有限公司 | 0.37 | | 2 | CHTREE 10.25% 11/17/15 | 中国森林控股有限公司 | 1.43 | | 3 | ZHPRHK 9.15% 5/6/23 | 正荣地产集团有限公司 | 0.71 | | 4 | RONXIN 8.75% 10/25/22 | 融信中国控股有限公司 | 1.80 | | 5 | AGILE 7% 11/24/26 | 富丰投资有限公司 | 1.80 | | 6 | YIHUGR 8.5% 10/23/20 | 宣华企业(集团)有限公司 | 1.45 | | 7 | MSCNTF 5.75% 12/19/28 | 微创医疗科学有限公司 | 126.15 | | 8 | ZHPRHK 7.875% 4/14/24 | 正荣地产集团有限公司 | 0.54 | | 9 | EVERRE 11.5% 1/22/23 | 恒大地产集团有限公司 | 1.69 | | 10 | SKYFAM ...

Group 1 - The bond market has shown strong performance in the first half of the year, with total issuance amounting to 44.68 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.59% [1] - Securities firms have actively engaged in various bond underwriting activities, achieving a total underwriting amount of 7.34 trillion yuan, which represents a year-on-year growth of 20.75% [1] - Mid-sized securities firms have improved their rankings in bond underwriting, with notable advancements such as Guotai Junan moving up to third place in the industry [1] Group 2 - Leading securities firms dominate the underwriting of various types of bonds, with CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Construction Investment leading in credit bond underwriting [2] - In the asset-backed securities (ABS) segment, CITIC Securities also ranks first, followed by Guotai Junan and Ping An Securities [2] - The internationalization strategy of securities firms has led to increased participation in offshore bond underwriting, with Guotai Junan International leading in this area [2] Group 3 - The issuance of Sci-Tech bonds has emerged as a highlight in the bond underwriting performance of securities firms, with a total of 328.28 billion yuan underwritten by 54 firms since May [3] - CITIC Securities has taken the lead in underwriting Sci-Tech bonds, with a total of 480.3 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Construction Investment and Guotai Junan [3] - Several securities firms are focusing on Sci-Tech bonds as a key area for business development, aiming to enhance their service offerings and align with national strategic directions [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the diversification of currency structures in offshore bond issuance by Chinese enterprises, with a notable increase in non-US dollar bonds such as offshore RMB, Euro, and Hong Kong Dollar bonds. The total issuance in the first half of 2025 reached 399.04 billion USD, marking a 12.74% increase year-on-year, despite significant refinancing pressures in the market [1]. Group 1: Offshore Bond Market Overview - The offshore bond market for Chinese enterprises saw a total of 837 new bonds issued in the first half of 2025, amounting to 3990.44 billion USD, reflecting a 12.74% growth compared to the same period last year [1]. - The market continues to experience a significant net financing gap, indicating ongoing refinancing pressures from existing debt [1]. Group 2: Underwriting Rankings - In the underwriting rankings for offshore bonds, Bank of China led with 56.3 billion USD from 115 bonds, followed by HSBC with 51.8 billion USD from 83 bonds, and Guotai Junan International with 43.1 billion USD from 155 bonds [3][4]. - The total underwriting amount for the top three institutions reflects the competitive landscape in the offshore bond market [3][4]. Group 3: Project Count Rankings - CITIC Securities topped the project count rankings with 227 bonds underwritten, followed by Haitong International with 180 bonds, and CITIC Jianan with 165 bonds [8][9]. - This indicates a strong performance in terms of the number of projects handled by these institutions in the offshore bond market [8][9]. Group 4: Bank Underwriting Rankings - The bank underwriting rankings show Bank of China at the top with 56.3 billion USD from 115 bonds, followed by HSBC with 51.8 billion USD from 83 bonds, and CITIC Bank with 35.5 billion USD from 151 bonds [17][18]. - This highlights the dominance of these banks in the offshore bond underwriting space [17][18]. Group 5: Securities Firm Underwriting Rankings - Guotai Junan International led the securities firm rankings with 43.1 billion USD from 155 bonds, followed by CICC with 27.1 billion USD from 127 bonds, and CITIC Lyon with 26.7 billion USD from 170 bonds [20][21]. - This showcases the competitive positioning of securities firms in the offshore bond market [20][21]. Group 6: Specific Bond Type Rankings - For offshore municipal bonds, Guotai Junan International ranked first with 14.9 billion USD from 57 bonds, followed by Dongfang Securities with 9.8 billion USD from 39 bonds, and CITIC Bank with 9.5 billion USD from 55 bonds [30]. - In the offshore financial bond category, Bank of China led with 34.4 billion USD from 62 bonds, followed by HSBC with 20.6 billion USD from 41 bonds [34]. - For green bonds, Bank of China also ranked first with 6.2 billion USD from 17 bonds, closely followed by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China with 6.1 billion USD from 17 bonds [38].

Group 1 - The iBoxx China USD bond investment-grade index rose by 0.59% and the speculative-grade index increased by 1.25% [2] - The People's Bank of China and six departments issued guidelines to support consumption and stabilize economic expectations, emphasizing the importance of monetary policy and fiscal policy coordination [2] - The manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.7%, while the non-manufacturing PMI was at 50.5%, indicating a slight recovery in economic activity [3] Group 2 - The issuance scale of offshore bonds decreased in the primary market, while the secondary market saw slight increases in investment-grade and high-yield bond indices [3] - The energy futures prices dropped due to easing tensions in the Middle East, affecting related bonds in the petrochemical sector [4] - The real estate high-yield bond index showed a slight increase, with companies like Vanke completing significant bond repayments [4] Group 3 - Zhongjun Group signed a restructuring support agreement to restructure $2.271 billion in debt [5] - Shenzhen Longguang Holdings sent a restructuring proposal to creditors for 21 company bonds and asset-backed securities [5] - CIFI Holdings announced that its offshore debt restructuring plan was approved by the court [5] Group 4 - The U.S. core PCE price index rose by 2.7% year-on-year, slightly above market expectations, while personal consumption expenditures fell by 0.3% month-on-month [6] - The Hong Kong government reopened existing 3-year and 5-year government bonds, with issuance sizes of HKD 1.25 billion each [9] - The National Development Bank successfully issued dual-currency bonds in the international market, achieving a high subscription rate [9] Group 5 - S&P restored the credit rating of China Great Wall Asset Management to "BBB" with a stable outlook after a capital injection [15] - Moody's upgraded Shanghai Electric's rating to "Baa2" with a positive outlook, expecting improved leverage ratios [16] - New World Development secured written commitments from all banks for a HKD 87.5 billion refinancing [29]

Group 1 - iBoxx China USD bond investment-grade index rose by 0.05% while speculative-grade index fell by 0.04% [2] - The People's Bank of China announced a decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for the first time since October 2024, with the one-year LPR at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, both down by 10 basis points [2] - In April, China's industrial added value increased by 6.1% year-on-year, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.1% year-on-year [3] Group 2 - TPG plans to establish a 50 billion yuan fund to acquire 48 Wanda Plaza properties [24] - New City Development is planning to issue onshore bonds to raise 1.5 to 2 billion yuan [25] - Vanke Enterprises signed a loan agreement with Shenzhen Metro Group for 4.2 billion yuan [25] Group 3 - CIFI Holdings announced a debt restructuring plan involving seven bonds with a total principal of 10.06 billion yuan [25] - Kaisa Group reported that all conditions for its restructuring plan have been met [25] - Yuzhou Group announced a default event regarding its bonds due on May 27, 2025 [25]

Core Insights - The offshore bond market for Chinese entities has seen a significant recovery in Q1 2025, with issuance increasing by nearly 70% compared to the end of last year [1][2] - The net financing gap has narrowed dramatically from -21.385 billion USD in Q1 2024 to -5.363 billion USD in Q1 2025 [2] Group 1: Issuance and Financing - In Q1 2025, a total of 301 offshore bonds were issued, amounting to approximately 72.669 billion USD, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.14% in quantity and 67.50% in scale [2] - By bond type, government bonds accounted for about 20.4 billion USD (38%), local government bonds for about 15.4 billion USD (24%), financial bonds for about 7.5 billion USD (12%), real estate bonds for about 4.169 billion USD (6%), and industrial bonds for about 12.6 billion USD (20%) [2] Group 2: Currency and Issuance Methods - The issuance included 87 offshore RMB bonds, 141 USD bonds, 68 HKD bonds, 3 EUR bonds, 1 AUD bond, and 1 JPY bond [3] - The majority of bonds were directly issued (202), with 46 being guaranteed issues, and various combinations of issuance methods were also utilized [3] Group 3: Market Conditions and Costs - Despite the recovery in issuance, financing costs in the offshore market remain higher than in the domestic market, with USD bond issuance rates approximately 3 percentage points higher than domestic credit bonds [4] - The average issuance rate for domestic credit bonds is around 2.2%, while the cost for Chinese USD bonds ranges from 3.6% to 8.5%, with an average of 5.1% [4] Group 4: Market Performance - The overall return rate for Chinese USD bonds in Q1 2025 was 2.49%, with investment-grade and high-yield bonds returning 2.70% and 3.85% respectively [5] - The real estate sector showed the highest return rate at 6.51%, followed by financial and local government bonds at 1.85% and 1.74% respectively [5] Group 5: Future Outlook and Debt Pressure - There remains significant debt repayment pressure in the coming year, particularly in Q3 2025, with repayment needs of 13.193 billion, 11.904 billion, and 24.046 billion USD [11] - The total repayment demand for Chinese offshore bonds in 2025 is projected to be at a three-year high, with 199.2 billion and 163.7 billion USD maturing in 2025 and 2026 respectively [14]