8月22日，国务院常务会议明确指出，发展体育产业和体育消费是落实扩大内需战略的重要内容。要增 加体育产品供给，丰富体育赛事活动，推动体育用品升级。要激发体育消费需求，拓展体育消费场景， 鼓励各地举办体育消费活动，推动体育产业高质量发展。 在澳门，8月1日十五届全运会首家澳门特许店在塔石体育馆盛大开业，店内销售元隆雅图多款玩偶、徽 章、生活用品等多个品类。后期全运会特许店将逐步扩展至更多零售点和自助售卖机，让赛事氛围从赛 场走进日常生活。 让体育文化走进大众生活 7月12日，第十五届全运会香港赛区特许商品发布会在香港文化中心举行。香港特区政府文化体育及旅 游局局长罗淑佩表示："特许商品把体育盛事与香港独特城市文化相结合，为市民与游客提供了感受体 育魅力的重要载体。" 据介绍，赛事吉祥物"喜洋洋"和"乐融融"灵感源自中华白海豚，粉色造型寓意"运动后血管扩张呈现粉 色"，兼具科学巧思与文化温度。百余款商品不仅是观赛纪念品，更是温暖可爱的文化符号，让体育精 神以更亲近的方式融入生活。 当前，第十五届全国运动会（大湾区全运会）已进入倒计时阶段，赛事热度在香港、澳门两地全面升 温，这一盛事的筹备与推进，正积极呼应了此次国 ...

Core Insights - The secondary market for anime-related merchandise is experiencing extreme volatility, with items originally priced at a few dozen yuan being resold for as much as 30,000 yuan, indicating a speculative bubble in the market [1] - The market for figurines is described as resembling a roller coaster, with prices often halving upon resale, highlighting the risks associated with investing in this sector [1] Industry Summary - The anime merchandise market is characterized by significant price fluctuations, leading to concerns about whether investors are recovering their investments or getting trapped in losses [1]

Group 1 - The Chengdu Universiade is driving local economic growth through various promotional activities, including the "ticket root discount map" that offers benefits to visitors holding event tickets [1][2] - The event has led to a significant increase in tourism, with 218,200 visitors recorded in Longquanyi District in the first three days, and hotel occupancy rates rising by 50% year-on-year [1] - The local government is leveraging the Universiade to boost consumption, with initiatives like the "Wuhou Midsummer Consumption Month" offering discounts to ticket holders [1] Group 2 - The Chengdu High-tech Zone has launched the "ticket root economy" initiative, which aims to convert event traffic into economic growth for the city [2] - The local sports industry is projected to exceed 150 billion yuan in total scale, indicating strong momentum for economic development driven by the Universiade [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is leveraging popular anime IPs to innovate traditional stationery products, with ongoing expansion of derivative products and international markets [2][4]. - The company has launched various collaborative products with well-known IPs, enhancing product functionality and appeal [9]. - The internationalization strategy includes brand acquisitions and market expansion, aiming for a global presence [9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Recent Developments - The company has partnered with popular anime IPs to create events in 15 cities and 21 locations, with new products launched in 40 flagship stores, 2700 themed stores, and 20000 specialty stores [2][4]. Product Innovation - Since 2025, the company has enhanced its product offerings in traditional stationery through IP collaborations and functional improvements, introducing products like blind box pens and advanced stationery [9]. - Notable collaborations include products themed around "Nezha" and partnerships with Tencent Video for new anime IPs [9]. Derivative Products and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on derivative products through its independent brand "Qizhi Haowan," targeting the two-dimensional economy with various merchandise [9]. - The product range includes badges, acrylic keychains, and other stationery items, leveraging multiple sales channels to reach students [9]. Financial Projections - The company expects steady revenue growth, with projected net profits of 1.54 billion, 1.66 billion, and 1.79 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 19, 17, and 16 times [9].

Summary of Guangbo Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Guangbo Co., Ltd. has a domestic sales ratio of 70%, with office direct sales accounting for 60%, IP cultural and creative business at 7%, and foreign sales and cross-border e-commerce close to 30% [2][3]. Key Points and Arguments Business Structure and Focus - In 2024, Guangbo Co., Ltd. restructured its business by reducing its internet marketing operations and focusing on stationery and domestic office direct sales [3]. - The company is accelerating its transformation towards the IP cultural and creative business, emphasizing product development and channel expansion [3]. Profitability and Growth Expectations - The gross margin for the IP cultural and creative business exceeds 43%, significantly higher than other business segments [4]. - The company anticipates overall profit growth driven by the rapid expansion of the IP cultural and creative business, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% to 30% [5][4]. Market Potential - The Chinese IP derivative market is valued at nearly 200 billion yuan, expected to maintain steady growth due to the rise of domestic IP, expansion of retail channels, and low penetration rates [2][7]. - The primary consumer group for IP derivatives is the Z generation (ages 15-29), who show a strong inclination towards emotional consumption [8][9]. Competitive Advantages - Guangbo Co., Ltd. has established advantages in paper product printing and supply chain management, leveraging its experience in product design through proprietary brands and IP collaborations [6][14]. - The company has successfully created popular products, facilitating easier access to subsequent IPs [6]. Consumer Behavior - The target audience for Guangbo's products includes young women aged 18-22, who purchase items to express support for their favorite IP content and for social interaction [9]. - Emotional consumption is becoming a necessity for this demographic, driven by factors such as work pressure and changing social dynamics [9]. Industry Trends - The rise of domestic IP content, including films, animations, and mobile games, is positively impacting the demand for cultural and creative products [10]. - The number of cultural and creative stores in China has been steadily increasing since 2025, indicating a positive trend for the IP derivative industry [11]. Global Market Position - China's IP derivative market accounts for about 10% of the global market, with significant potential for domestic companies to expand internationally [11]. - There is a substantial growth potential for per capita spending on IP toys and cards in China compared to mature markets like North America and Japan [12]. Future Projections - Guangbo Co., Ltd. expects revenue growth of 10% to 15% and profit growth of 20% to 30% over the next three years, with a projected P/E ratio of 21 times in 2026, indicating room for valuation adjustments [17]. Additional Important Insights - The competitive landscape in the IP derivative market is fragmented, with opportunities for new entrants in various product categories [7][12]. - Guangbo Co., Ltd. has made significant progress in acquiring IP rights and expanding its product categories, including the introduction of new creative products [16].

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 484 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.12% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 29.91 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.24% [2] Group 2: Product Development and IP Expansion - The second quarter order meeting successfully introduced new IPs including "Jujutsu Kaisen," "Gintama," and "Detective Conan" [3] - In 2024, the company launched a series of unique secondary dimension products, including badges and plush toys, which gained market attention [3] - For 2025, the product line will expand to include lifestyle items such as cups and plush toys, integrating fashion and emotional value into the products [3] Group 3: Market Strategy and Risk Management - The company's revenue structure for 2024 shows that overseas income accounts for 28.07%, while domestic income is 71.93%, indicating a strong domestic market focus [5] - The company plans to enhance its creative product business and increase domestic supply to build a dual-circulation development model [5] - The overseas production bases in Vietnam and Cambodia generated 451 million RMB in revenue for 2024, accounting for 63.97% of the company's overseas income in the educational and office supplies sector [5] - The company will actively seek new customers through international exhibitions and enhance product value to mitigate tariff impacts [5] Group 4: M&A and Strategic Opportunities - The company is closely monitoring industry dynamics and potential opportunities for collaboration, with a cautious approach to any mergers or acquisitions [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid growth and challenges in the "Guzi Economy," particularly focusing on the two-dimensional peripheral industry, highlighting both the flourishing of stores and the recent wave of closures [4][7][54]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The "Guzi Economy" is gaining momentum, driven by strong IPs like "Nezha: The Devil's Child" and a solid foundation laid in previous years [4]. - A surge in the number of "Guzi" stores has been observed across the country, with major chains like Pop Mart and Card Game Center expanding into lower-tier cities [4][10]. - Despite the growth, a wave of store closures has occurred, with nearly a hundred stores shutting down in the first three months of the year, indicating an inevitable industry adjustment after rapid expansion [7][8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current market features around 50 active two-dimensional peripheral brands, with leading companies like Pop Mart, Card Game Center, TOPTOY, and Trendy Planet holding a strong market position due to their extensive store networks [12][13]. - The top four brands have opened over 100 stores each, with Pop Mart and Card Game Center also utilizing vending machines to increase consumer access [15][16]. - Newer brands like Guzi House and March Beast have quickly established themselves, with March Beast achieving over 220 million yuan in sales in its first month [20]. Group 3: Investment Landscape - The investment landscape for two-dimensional peripheral brands is currently sparse, with only two new brands emerging in 2024: HEYZAKKA and MUMULAND [40][45]. - Investment activity has been limited, with only two notable financing events in 2024, indicating a cautious approach from venture capitalists [46][49]. - The market shows a preference for AI toys over traditional two-dimensional products, with several AI toy companies successfully securing funding [52][53]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The two-dimensional peripheral market is characterized by both opportunities and challenges, with established companies dominating and internet giants seeking to enter the space [54]. - A market adjustment is anticipated, which may lead to a new wave of growth for two-dimensional peripheral brands once weaker players are filtered out [54].

Core Insights - The rise of "Guofeng" (national style) and "Guochao" (national trend) among the younger generation, particularly the "post-00s," reflects their desire for cultural identity and personal expression [1][2] - The sales of Guofeng products have shown remarkable growth across various categories, including clothing, home decor, and cultural education items, indicating a strong market trend [1][2] Clothing Sector - The sales volume of Tang suits has increased by 291% year-on-year, making it the fastest-growing item [1] - Men's vests and middle-aged women's clothing have also seen growth exceeding 200%, highlighting the diverse offerings in Guochao apparel [1] - The rural market contributed 56.2% of the total sales volume, indicating the penetration of Guochao clothing into lower-tier markets [1] Home Decor Sector - Sales of home decor items featuring Guofeng elements, such as paper-cut lamps, vases, and hangings, have increased by over 10 times year-on-year [1] - Guochao home decor has become a popular choice for young people, serving as a medium for personal expression [1] - The highest consumption of Guochao home decor is observed in Guangdong, Beijing, and Sichuan provinces [1] Cultural Education Products - The sales volume of cultural education items like badges, gel pens, and ink pads has also surged by over 10 times year-on-year, symbolizing the cultural confidence of the "post-00s" [1] - Practical and culturally resonant products such as pencil cases, diaries, and DIY paper-cutting kits are particularly favored by young consumers [1][2] Market Outlook - The preference for practical and culturally significant products among rural users suggests continued growth in the Guofeng and Guochao market, especially with the expansion of e-commerce and logistics networks [2] - The consumption of Guofeng and Guochao products is expected to evolve from traditional clothing to encompass a wider range of consumer goods, becoming an integral part of daily life for young people [2]

Group 1 - The topic of "dangerous trendy toys" has recently gained significant attention, highlighting health risks associated with various popular toys such as squishy toys, fidget spinners, and blind box figurines [1] - The existing toy safety standards are outdated, only specifying limits for 8 migratory elements and 6 plasticizers, while lacking clear limits for formaldehyde and volatile organic compounds, leading to compliance issues where toys may be technically compliant but not safe [1] - The rise of science-themed toys, which lack specific standards, allows many small manufacturers to evade regulations by marketing their products under different categories, resulting in unsafe and unhealthy toys flooding the market [1] Group 2 - Standards are crucial for product quality and regulatory enforcement, serving as a common language across the industry that promotes collaboration and quality improvement [2] - There is an urgent need for timely development of technical standards for new types of toys, including mandatory product certifications and clear production qualifications to prevent the emergence of "toxic toys" [2] - Implementing a blacklist system and a comprehensive reporting mechanism for dangerous toys can enhance regulatory effectiveness and encourage manufacturers to prioritize quality and safety standards [2]

Summary of the Conference Call for Morning Glory Co., Ltd. Company Overview - **Company**: Morning Glory Co., Ltd. (晨光股份) - **Industry**: Stationery and Office Supplies Key Points and Arguments Growth Strategy - Morning Glory is implementing an IP-driven and overseas expansion strategy, expecting a net profit of **1.69 billion** yuan in 2025, a **20%** year-on-year increase [2][5] - The target for IP-based stationery products has been raised from **7%-8%** to **15%-20%** to meet market demand and enhance retail business, aiming for double-digit growth [2][8] Market Potential - The IP stationery market is projected to reach approximately **5 billion** yuan in 2024, with a low penetration rate of **4%** but a growth rate exceeding **25%** [2][9] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the IP stationery market is expected to remain above **20%** over the next two to three years [2][9] Brand Performance - Morning Glory's sub-brand "Fun and Play" achieved over **200 million** yuan in revenue in 2024, a **150%** increase, with profits of **20 million** yuan, up **260%** [2][12] - The brand is testing entry into core Morning Glory stores, which could contribute an estimated **1 billion** yuan in revenue if it penetrates **50%** of the core stores [2][12] Overseas Expansion - The overseas distribution channel is rapidly growing, with a projected revenue of **600 million** yuan in 2024, a **50%** increase, primarily in Southeast Asia [2][13] - By 2025, the overseas distribution system is expected to reach **900 million** yuan, also a **50%** increase [2][13] - Morning Glory is actively expanding its headquarters lifestyle stores in Southeast Asia [2][13] Recent Changes and Collaborations - Morning Glory has launched new products for the summer marketing season and formed a strategic partnership with Tencent Video to introduce top anime IPs [3] - The new product launch exceeded market expectations, indicating the company's commitment to transformation [3] Inventory and Market Dynamics - Channel inventory is at a historical low of approximately **1.1 billion** yuan, down **20%-30%** from previous highs [4][16] - The stationery industry is transitioning to an information-based supply phase, with expectations for recovery in terminal sales [18] Challenges and Adjustments - The "Miscellaneous Store" business faced losses in 2024 due to misalignment with target demographics, but plans to refocus on high-margin products in 2025 [4][19] - The impact of the "Double Reduction" policy has led to a **15%-20%** decrease in demand for stationery among higher-grade students [17] Competitive Landscape - Traditional local brands are being phased out, while emerging brands are rapidly gaining market share by integrating popular IP elements [10][11] - Japanese brands are losing competitive edge due to high pricing, while domestic products are improving in quality and cost-effectiveness [11] Future Directions - Morning Glory plans to expand its IP matrix, focusing on domestic and Japanese anime, and aims to enhance its product offerings through strategic partnerships [21][22] - The company is also exploring the introduction of new IPs to diversify its product range and appeal to consumer preferences [21][25] Conclusion - Morning Glory is poised for growth through strategic IP integration, overseas expansion, and a focus on retail, with a strong outlook for profitability and market share increase in the stationery industry [2][8][15]