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【黄金期货收评】金价涨势未尽藏隐忧 沪金涨4.82%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-10 01:27
节日期间,COMEX期金涨势如虹、再创新高,现货金更是首度冲破每盎司4000美元关口。地缘与经济 风险攀升,叠加市场对美国降息的预期升温,驱动投资者蜂拥买入黄金避险。白银市场同样趋紧,租赁 利率走高,印度季节性需求旺盛助力涨势。多重利好共振助推金银上扬:美降息预期、经济前景不明、 央行大举扫货、ETF资金涌入及政府停摆引发的避险潮。 美国政府停摆持续至第八日,关键数据发布停滞,投资者转而依赖非官方渠道研判美联储政策动向。参 众两院围绕拨款法案激烈博弈却均告失败,共和党方案因未获60票支持而流产,民主党提案亦遭否决。 CME FedWatch工具显示,市场押注美联储10月降息25基点概率高达98%,12月再降25基点的概率达 90%。 【黄金期货最新行情】 | 10月9日 | 收盘价(元/克) | 当日涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 持仓量(手) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪金主力 | 914.32 | 4.82% | 196141 | 251137 | 打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 【基本面消息】 数据显示,10月9日上海黄金现货价格报价910.89元/克,相较 ...
美股齐跌,“中国金龙”下挫2%,金价也跌了
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-10 00:48
2025.10.10 人工智能相关板块此前推动美股强劲上涨,但市场对估值过高及泡沫风险的担忧升温。有分析人士表 示,这一波由AI驱动的行情或进入技术性休整阶段。 与此同时,美国政府关门进入第九天,仍未出现实质性进展,导致部分经济数据暂缓发布。投资者将目 光转向美联储官员的最新表态,以研判年底前是否再度降息。纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在接受采访时表 示,考虑到就业市场可能进一步走弱,他支持年内继续降息。期货市场数据显示,美联储10月会议降息 25个基点的概率高达94.6%。 本文字数:1187,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 胡弋杰 美国股市周四收盘走弱,投资者在缺乏新的经济数据和市场催化剂的情况下选择调整仓位。标普500指 数和纳斯达克指数自历史高位回落,道琼斯工业平均指数录得一个月来最大单日跌幅。 截至收盘,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌243.36点,报46358.42点,跌幅0.52%;标普500指数下跌18.61点, 收于6735.11点,跌幅0.28%;纳斯达克综合指数下跌18.75点,报23024.63点,跌幅0.08%。 标普500指数11个板块中,原材料板块跌幅居前,必需消费品板块是唯一上涨的板块。住 ...
分析人士:市场波动料加大
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-13 01:40
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing volatility due to recent developments, including the implementation of the "reciprocal tariff" policy by the U.S. and upcoming geopolitical meetings, particularly between U.S. and Russian leaders, which may impact market sentiment [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic and international gold prices have both declined recently, following a spike caused by concerns over high tariffs on gold imports [1]. - The COMEX gold price reached a high of $3534.1 per ounce due to fears of tariffs, but this was followed by a significant drop after the U.S. government clarified that gold bars would not be subject to tariffs [1][2]. - The price difference between COMEX gold and London gold surged over $100 per ounce before retreating to $50 per ounce after the clarification [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Actions - Following a disappointing U.S. non-farm payroll report, market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have increased, with pricing reflecting potential cuts in September and two cuts within the year [2]. - Inflationary pressures are rising, particularly due to the new tariff policy, which may limit the Federal Reserve's ability to cut rates [2]. - The internal divisions within the Federal Reserve are growing, with an increase in "dovish" members, which may further strengthen market expectations for rate cuts [2][4]. Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - The upcoming meeting between U.S. and Russian leaders on August 15 may lead to significant political developments regarding the Ukraine situation, which could influence gold prices [3]. - Market participants are already pricing in expectations of a ceasefire, leading to a decline in gold prices, although substantial agreements are considered unlikely [3][4]. - The Jackson Hole global central bank summit later in August is anticipated to impact long-term interest rates and monetary policy, with a focus on remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell [3]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that while short-term gold prices may remain weak, there is potential for a long-term upward trend if the Federal Reserve confirms rate cuts in September [5]. - The interplay of weakening fundamentals, U.S. fiscal expansion, and rate cut expectations will be key factors for market participants to monitor [4].
分析人士:黄金市场波动料加大
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-13 00:54
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by various factors, including U.S. monetary policy, inflation concerns, and geopolitical events, particularly the upcoming U.S.-Russia meeting regarding Ukraine [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Domestic and international gold prices have both declined recently, following a spike due to concerns over high tariffs on gold imports [1]. - The COMEX gold price reached a high of $3534.1 per ounce before retreating after the U.S. government clarified that gold bars would not be subject to tariffs [1]. - The price difference between COMEX and London gold surged over $100 per ounce due to tariff concerns but later fell back to $50 per ounce [1]. Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payroll report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, leading to increased market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]. - Inflationary pressures are rising, particularly after the implementation of the "reciprocal tariff" policy, which may limit the Fed's ability to cut rates [2]. - The internal divisions within the Federal Reserve are growing, with a shift towards a more dovish stance anticipated in upcoming meetings [2][4]. Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - The upcoming U.S.-Russia meeting on August 15 may influence market sentiment, particularly regarding the potential for a ceasefire in Ukraine [3]. - Market participants are already pricing in expectations of a ceasefire, which has contributed to the recent decline in gold prices [3]. - The Jackson Hole global central bank summit later this month could also impact monetary policy and gold prices, with a focus on Fed Chair Powell's speech [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts expect gold prices to experience short-term weakness but maintain a bullish outlook in the medium to long term, especially if the Fed confirms rate cuts [4][5]. - The anticipated normalization of U.S. monetary policy is expected to provide upward momentum for gold prices, with a key support level identified at $3360 per ounce for COMEX gold [4].
7月26日电,据美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC),截至7月22日当周,COMEX期金投机性净多头头寸增加27211手至170868手。
news flash· 2025-07-25 19:33
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that speculative net long positions in COMEX gold have increased significantly, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors [1] Group 2 - As of the week ending July 22, the speculative net long positions rose by 27,211 contracts to a total of 170,868 contracts [1]
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC):截至7月22日当周,COMEX期金投机性净多头头寸增加27211手至170868手。
news flash· 2025-07-25 19:32
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that as of the week ending July 22, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reported an increase in speculative net long positions in COMEX gold futures by 27,211 contracts, bringing the total to 170,868 contracts [1]
【真灼财经】中美谈判实质性进展;央行设5000亿元人民币额度服务消费与养老再贷款
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 02:16
Group 1 - The Geneva talks between China and the US have made substantial progress, with both sides agreeing to establish a trade negotiation mechanism, and a joint statement is expected to be released on Monday [2][8] - The US stock market showed mixed results, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices nearly flat as investors awaited clarity on US-China tariff negotiations [3] - The US Treasury yields remained stable, and trading volume decreased compared to usual levels, reflecting market uncertainty [3] Group 2 - The Trump administration has identified around 20 key trading partners for initial negotiations, including Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam, with Japan's Prime Minister aiming for a trade agreement before the July Senate elections [5] - The Federal Reserve officials have expressed concerns that tariffs could lead to rising inflation and unemployment, complicating monetary policy decisions [5] - The Chinese CPI data for April indicates that tariffs have caused deflation for the third consecutive month, prompting the People's Bank of China to focus on promoting reasonable price recovery in its monetary policy [8]