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研报 | SiC衬底市场2024年营收年减9%,但长期需求乐观
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-12 07:12
Core Viewpoint - The global N-type SiC substrate industry is expected to see a revenue decline of 9% in 2024, reaching $1.04 billion, due to weakened automotive and industrial demand, increased market competition, and significant price drops [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Despite facing dual pressures of weak demand and oversupply in 2025, the long-term growth trend for SiC substrates remains intact, driven by decreasing costs and advancements in semiconductor technology [1] - The market competition is anticipated to accelerate corporate consolidation, reshaping the industry landscape [1] Group 2: Supplier Market Share - Wolfspeed maintains its position as the leading supplier with a market share of 33.7% in 2024, despite operational challenges [2] - Chinese companies TanKeBlue and SICC are rapidly developing, with market shares of 17.3% and 17.1%, respectively, ranking second and third [2] - The top four suppliers collectively hold an 82% market share, with Wolfspeed still leading [3] Group 3: Substrate Size Dynamics - The 6-inch SiC substrate is expected to continue dominating the market due to rapid price declines, while the 8-inch substrate is seen as essential for cost reduction and technology upgrades [4] - TrendForce predicts that the shipment share of 8-inch SiC substrates will exceed 20% by 2030 [4]
每周观察 | MLCC市场下半年旺季不确定风险增加;1Q25前五大OLED显示器品牌市占率;三菱携手鸿海拓展国际造车市场…
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-09 10:23
Group 1: MLCC Market Insights - The MLCC market faces increased uncertainty for the second half of 2025, with a growing risk of a "not-so-busy" peak season due to companies and end markets adopting a cautious and wait-and-see attitude [1] Group 2: OLED Display Growth - The OLED display market is experiencing rapid growth, with shipments expected to reach approximately 507,000 units in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 175% [3] - In Q2 2025, shipments are projected to benefit from a significant increase in 27-inch UHD models, potentially reaching 650,000 units [3] - The total shipment for 2025 is forecasted to reach 2.58 million units, with an annual growth rate of 81%, and the overall penetration rate of displays is expected to grow to 2% [3] Group 3: Company Collaborations - Mitsubishi Motors has signed a memorandum of understanding with Hon Hai's subsidiary, Honhua Advanced Technology, to supply electric vehicles to the Australian and New Zealand markets starting in 2026 [7] - This collaboration is a strategic move for Mitsubishi to implement its electrification blueprint and adapt to rapid market changes, while Hon Hai's CDMS model gains recognition from international automakers, which is crucial for future business expansion [7]
研报 | 三菱携手鸿海拓展国际造车市场,供应合作将实现双赢
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-09 05:57
TrendForce集邦咨询 TrendForce 汽车产业 May. 9, 2025 产业洞察 三菱汽车(Mitsubish Motors)近日宣布与鸿海子公司鸿华先进科技签订电动车供应备忘录,计划于2026年 向澳洲与新西兰市场销售电动车。TrendForce集邦咨询表示,此举不仅是三菱实现其电动化蓝图的具体行 动,也是面对市场快速变化所做的策略性布局。对鸿海而言,其建立的CDMS (contract design and manufacturing service)模式获得国际级车厂认可至关重要,对未来业务拓展具有指导性意义。 这款电动车将由鸿华先进开发,裕隆生产,挂三菱品牌销售。TrendForce集邦咨询分析,此合作案突显目 前汽车产业的两大趋势:首先,传统车厂在电动化浪潮与市场不确定性下,正积极寻求外部资源以加速转 型;其次,不同背景的制造服务商皆可能在未来的汽车产业链中扮演重要角色,展现出产业竞争与合作的 多元可能性。 根据三菱的电动化目标,公司计划推动油电混合车(HEV)、插电式混合动力车(PHEV)及纯电动车(BEV)在 2030年前成为主要销售车型,并于2035年达成以纯电动车为销售主力的 ...
光伏周价格 | 硅片电池价格略微下调,产业链普遍减产稳价
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-08 06:21
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent price trends and market dynamics in the photovoltaic (PV) industry, highlighting a downward pressure on prices across various segments including silicon materials, wafers, cells, and modules due to reduced demand and increased inventory levels [4][5][6][8][10][15][19]. Silicon Material Prices - The mainstream transaction prices for N-type silicon materials are reported as follows: N-type recycled material at 39 RMB/KG, N-type dense material at 37 RMB/KG, and N-type granular silicon at 35.5 RMB/KG [4][8]. - The trading volume for silicon materials remains low, with many manufacturers reluctant to accept prices below production costs [5]. - Silicon material output in May is estimated to be between 45.0-45.5 GW, with a rising inventory level leading to weakened production intentions among manufacturers [6][8]. Wafer Prices - The mainstream transaction prices for N-type wafers are: N-type M10 at 1.02 RMB/piece, N-type G12 at 1.32 RMB/piece, and N-type G12R at 1.15 RMB/piece [10]. - Wafer production is projected to be between 56-57 GW, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of approximately 9.0%, with manufacturers adopting a cautious approach due to reduced end-user demand [10][11]. Cell Prices - The mainstream transaction prices for N-type cells are: M10 at 0.265 RMB/W, G12 at 0.280 RMB/W, and G12R at 0.265 RMB/W [14]. - Monthly production is estimated at 60-61 GW, down about 7.0% from the previous month, with some manufacturers reducing output in response to declining demand [15][16]. Module Prices - The mainstream transaction prices for modules are: 182mm single-sided PERC at 0.69 RMB/W, 210mm single-sided PERC at 0.70 RMB/W, and 182mm double-sided TOPCon at 0.72 RMB/W [18]. - Module production is expected to be between 60-61 GW, down approximately 10.4% month-on-month, with low order continuity affecting the market [19][20].
研报 | 2025年第一季OLED显示器出货量年增175%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-08 06:21
Core Viewpoint - The OLED monitor market is experiencing rapid growth, with significant increases in shipment volumes expected through 2025, driven by new product launches and market demand [1]. Group 1: Market Overview - OLED monitor shipments are projected to reach approximately 507,000 units in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 175% [1]. - By the end of 2025, total shipments are expected to hit 2.58 million units, with an annual growth rate of 81%, and overall penetration in the display market will rise to 2% [1]. Group 2: Brand Performance - Samsung leads the OLED monitor market with over 22% market share in Q1 2025, with its 49-inch product accounting for 40% of its shipments [2]. - ASUS has climbed to the second position in market share, closely trailing Samsung by less than one percentage point, and achieved the highest monthly shipment volume in February and March [3]. - MSI holds the third position with a 14% market share, benefiting from a 63% year-on-year growth in overall monitor shipments and a staggering 36-fold increase in OLED shipments [4]. - LG Electronics (LGE) ranks fourth with a 13% market share, but is expected to fall behind due to a lack of strong product offerings in the 27-inch UHD segment [5]. - Dell is currently in fifth place with an 11% market share, anticipating an increase in its ranking due to new product launches aimed at the business market [6].
研报 | MLCC市场下半年旺季不确定风险增加
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-07 04:15
Core Insights - The MLCC supply-demand rhythm is disrupted in the first half of 2025, with increased risks of a "weak peak season" in the second half due to rising caution and wait-and-see attitudes among companies and end markets [1] - OEMs and ODMs have moved North American Chromebook and some consumer laptop orders to the first quarter, leading to unexpectedly weak stocking momentum for the traditional education laptop peak season starting in April [1] - The average forecast order volume for Dell and HP education laptops from MLCC suppliers is expected to decrease by 20% to 25% in the second quarter [1] Group 1: Market Demand and Supply Challenges - The decline in end-market demand and soaring sales costs present two major challenges for MLCC suppliers, including the risk of OEMs reducing orders and potential price reductions [2] - The Japanese yen has become a favored safe-haven currency, appreciating from 150 to 141 yen against the dollar since April, impacting MLCC pricing [2] - Current pricing for mid-capacity and automotive-grade MLCC products is below the levels seen in Q4 2019, indicating a significant market shift [2] Group 2: AI Server Segment - The order and material preparation momentum for AI servers remains robust, with ODMs in Mexico benefiting from the USMCA agreement, allowing for normal shipments [1] - However, future international situation changes could still pose risks to this segment [1] - High-end standard products commonly used in AI servers have seen significant profit declines due to competitive bidding in 2024, leading to low visibility in end-order demand [2]
面板价格观察 | 5月电视、笔电面板价格预计持平,显示器面板价格可望继续上涨
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-06 05:53
Core Viewpoint - The panel prices are expected to remain stable for TV panels, while monitor panel prices are anticipated to continue rising, and laptop panel prices are expected to stay flat [1][6][8]. Group 1: TV Panel Prices - The average price for a 65-inch TV panel is projected to be $177, with a minimum price of $173 and a maximum of $182 [4]. - The average price for a 55-inch TV panel is expected to be $127, with a minimum of $122 and a maximum of $130 [4]. - The average price for a 43-inch TV panel is estimated at $66, with a minimum of $64 and a maximum of $67 [4]. - The demand for TV panels is gradually weakening, leading some brands to request price concessions from manufacturers [6]. - Manufacturers are implementing production cuts, with an estimated average utilization rate adjustment of about 6-7% in May compared to April, aiming to alleviate downward price pressure [6]. Group 2: Monitor Panel Prices - The average price for a 27-inch IPS monitor panel is $63, reflecting an increase of $0.1 or 0.2% from the previous month [7]. - The average price for a 23.8-inch IPS monitor panel is $49.9, showing an increase of $0.2 or 0.4% from the previous month [7]. - The demand for monitor panels remains strong due to tariff issues, which supports the upward price trend [7]. - However, the weakening demand for TV panels may impact the price increase momentum for monitor panels [7]. Group 3: Laptop Panel Prices - The average price for a 17.3-inch TN laptop panel remains stable at $38.3, with a minimum of $37.7 and a maximum of $39.8 [8]. - The average price for a 15.6-inch Value IPS laptop panel is expected to be $40.3, unchanged from the previous month [8]. - The average price for a 14.0-inch TN laptop panel is stable at $26.9, with a minimum of $26.4 and a maximum of $28.1 [8]. - Despite ongoing tariff discussions, the demand for laptop panels has not surged significantly, maintaining a normal pace [9]. - Manufacturers are adopting flexible pricing strategies to secure customer orders and market share, leading to a stable price outlook for laptop panels in May [9].
光伏周价格 | 5月组件订单能见度下滑,中上游进入跌价区间
TrendForce集邦· 2025-04-30 14:33
周价格表 | 多昌硅 (Per KG) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | N型复投料(RMB) | 43.000 | 37.000 | 39.500 | -1.25% | | N型致密料(RMB) | 40.000 | 36.000 | 37.500 | -1.32% | | N型颗粒硅(RMB) | 37.000 | 35.000 | 36.000 | -2.70% | | 非中国区多昌硅(USD) | 22.000 | 13.100 | 18.500 | 0.00% | | 硅片 (Per pc) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | N型183单晶硅片-183mm/130µm (RMB) | 1.100 | 1.000 | 1.050 | -4.55% | | N型210单晶硅片-210mm/130µm (RMB) | 1.400 | 1.350 | 1.400 | -3.45% | | N型210R单晶硅片-210*182mm/130μm (RMB) | 1.200 | 1.100 | 1.150 | -11. ...
速来围观!TSS2025集邦咨询半导体产业高层论坛6大亮点
TrendForce集邦· 2025-04-30 03:55
TSS 2025 2025年 6月10日(周二) ,Tr endFor c e集邦咨询将在深圳举办" 2025集邦咨询半导体产业高层论坛 (Tr endFor c e Semi conduc tor Semina r 2025)"。 本次将特别邀请Tr endFor c e集邦咨询资深分析师团队等重要嘉宾发表主题演讲,全方位探讨半导体产 业现状与未来,并为业界高层提供前瞻性战略规划思考与现场深度交流平台。本次会议为主要面向产 业链高层的精品会议,行业精英云集,全程干货分享交流,敬请期待! 会议亮点 TSS2025 6+ 场嘉宾干货分享 Tr endFor c e集邦咨询资深专业分析师团队全方位探讨半导体产业现状与未来,全程干货满满! 25+年行业研究积累 AI关联领域趋势解析 深度剖析人工智能AI浪潮下,IC设计、制造、封测等半导体上下游产业链关键环节市场趋势与技术走 向。 分析师1v1交流(提前预约) 根据业务需求,与行业资深分析师进行1v1深入交流,获取针对性的解决方案和战略建议。(请联系工 作人员提前预约) 25年半导体产业沉淀积累,专注于存储市场及半导体全产业链市场研究,覆盖存储相关市场及上游晶 圆代 ...
研报 | 预估2025年电视品牌商出货量年减0.7%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-04-30 03:55
Apr. 30, 2025 产业洞察 根据Tr e n dFo r c e集邦咨询最新调查,受美国对等关税政策影响,电视品牌业者2 0 2 5年下半年可能间 接转嫁上涨的成本至零售价,从而抑制消费动能。此外,2 0 2 4年下半年中国市场的以旧换新政策提 前释放部分需求, 预估2 0 2 5年全球电视出货量将年减0 . 7%,仅剩1亿9 , 6 4 4万台。 品牌提前备货,1Q25电视出货量年增6.1% 观察三星电子、LG电子、TCL、海信等四大电视品牌出货动态,因应对美国计划提高商品进口关 税,且最初拟针对墨西哥提高至2 5%,品牌业者于2 0 2 4年底开始提高北美地区出货量, 进入2 0 2 5年 第一季淡季力道仍然强劲,出货量达4 , 5 5 9万台,年增6 . 1% ,四大品牌在美国渠道商的库存水位也 较平均增加三至四周。 关税带动1H25出货,下半年旺季面临不确定性 2 0 2 5年4月初美国宣布对等关税,但在墨西哥生产且符合美墨加协定(USMCA)的商品持续享有关税 豁免,这让在墨西哥有工厂的电视厂商如释重负。4月9日美国宣布暂缓实施对等关税9 0天,全球第 二大电视产地越南面临的税率从4 6% ...