Group 1 - The core concept emphasizes the importance of foundational knowledge in investing and selecting the right funds, suggesting that solid fundamentals are essential for successful investment strategies [2] Group 2 - The article discusses fund turnover rates, explaining that a high or low turnover rate does not inherently indicate good or bad performance. A low turnover rate typically suggests a preference for long-term holdings by fund managers, while a high turnover rate may indicate frequent trading or sector rotation. Additionally, significant inflows or outflows can also artificially inflate turnover rates [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the impressive performance of the Zhongtai Tianze Stable 6-Month Holding Mixed Fund (FOF), which has achieved a net value growth rate of 7.40% since its establishment on March 21, 2023, outperforming its benchmark by 3.21% [2] Group 1: Asset Allocation Strategy - The fund manager, Tang Jun, emphasizes the importance of asset allocation over merely selecting outstanding fund managers, focusing on forming allocation views first and then selecting the best funds to implement those views [2] - Tang Jun utilizes a macro analysis framework for risk budgeting, similar to Bridgewater's risk parity model, but with a personalized approach that allows for differentiated risk allocation based on his views [3][5] - The strategic asset allocation is based on a "monetary-credit" analysis framework, which influences long-term configuration, while tactical asset allocation focuses on short-term opportunities based on market sentiment and funding conditions [5][9] Group 2: Return Streams and Risk Assessment - The concept of "return streams" is highlighted, where having 15-20 independent return streams can significantly reduce risk without compromising expected returns [6] - The manager assesses the correlation of asset classes with existing portfolios for risk evaluation, rather than relying solely on the inherent risk of asset classes [6] - The selection of funds involves a rigorous style decomposition process to evaluate the fund's alpha performance after removing style beta influences [7] Group 3: Gold and Market Outlook - Gold is maintained as a strategic core holding due to its recognition as a global currency amidst concerns over the credibility of the US dollar [8] - The article outlines potential strategies based on macroeconomic drivers, such as domestic credit expansion and overseas dollar liquidity, which will influence future asset allocation decisions [9] - The performance of US tech stocks, particularly in relation to AI technology trends, is identified as a key factor for future market movements [9]

Core Viewpoint - Enhancing investor experience in fund investments is a core task for fund investors and managers, increasingly emphasized by regulators [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Performance - Focusing solely on performance results is insufficient; absolute returns significantly impact investor experience, while relative returns are less critical in a positive return environment [4] - Historical performance can obscure the volatility experienced during the investment period, making the timing of investment crucial for the overall experience [4] Risk Assessment - Various risk indicators exist, such as volatility and maximum drawdown, which reflect the fluctuations in net value; different investors perceive risk differently [7] - For investors focused on retirement products, evaluating funds based on cost-effectiveness from a risk-return perspective is recommended [7] Dimensions Affecting Investor Experience - The overall investor experience, particularly for conservative investors, should encompass several dimensions, including: - **Return Dimension**: Performance over different time frames (1 year, 2 years, etc.) - **Risk Dimension**: Volatility, correlation with the market (Beta), maximum drawdown, recovery time from maximum drawdown, daily positive return rate - **Risk-Adjusted Return Dimension**: Sharpe ratio, Calmar ratio, information ratio - **Fund Manager Capability Dimension**: Strategic allocation, industry allocation, timing ability, security selection ability - **Manager Investment Service Dimension**: Responsiveness, coverage, satisfaction, companionship [9][10] Case Study: Focus on Investor Experience in Retirement FOF - The "Zhongtai Furu Stable Retirement One-Year Holding FOF" was analyzed to illustrate how a retirement-targeted FOF can prioritize investor experience while achieving investment results [12] - As of April 30, 2025, the fund's net value growth rate was 5.08%, outperforming its benchmark growth rate of 4.80% and the Wande Bond Mixed FOF Index return of 4.36% [13] - The fund's daily positive return probability was 64.04%, significantly higher than the average of 51.92% for similar products, enhancing investor experience [13][14] - The fund's maximum drawdown was -1.96%, compared to -2.91% for the Wande Bond Mixed FOF Index, indicating better risk management [13][14] - The Calmar ratio for the fund was 2.49, higher than the Wande Bond Mixed FOF Index's 1.36 and the CSI 300's 0.40, demonstrating superior returns per unit of drawdown risk [14]

扫码进入基本功专栏 持有人首次认证有礼啦！只要在4月30日前持有中泰资管产品并持有至今且的新朋友，长按识别下方 二维码前往认证，即可获得 影音会员月卡 一份 本材料不构成投资建议，观点具有时效性。本公司承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产，但不 保证基金一定盈利，也不保证最低收益。投资有风险，基金过往业绩不代表其未来表现。基金管理人管理的基金 的业绩不构成对其他基金业绩表现的保证。投资者投资基金时应认真阅读基金的基金合同、招募说明书、基金产 品资料概要等法律文件。基金管理人提醒投资者基金投资的"买者自负"原则，请投资者根据自身的风险承受能力 选择适合自己的基金产品。基金有风险，投资须谨慎。 基本功的基,就是基金的基。 做好投资、买对基金, 从夯实投资基金的基本功开始。 1分钟GET一个知识点, 起步更轻松。 为啥经济下行 债券更有吸引力? 与政策预期、资金面、避险 需求等多重因素有关。 市场普遍认为,当经济处于下行/衰退阶段,经济 表现疲软,为提振消费刺激经济,市场倾向于央 行会采取 降息、降准等宽松货币政策,市场利率下 降. 降低债券的融资成本,推动债券需求上升,讲 ...

一年前，小编和一位非金融从业人员的老同学（也是资深基民）有过一次面对面的长谈。期间老同学的一 个问题，让我至今记忆犹新。 她说，基金公司都说要做投资者陪伴，可什么是陪伴，总不会就是跌了继续定投的漫灌鸡汤吧？ 如果说信任是基金投资的基石，那么垒就基石的过程应该是彼此认可的互动，而不是单方面自以为是的输 出。唯有走近彼此的认知与情绪，知识的传递才会有情感的根基，陪伴才会真正走心。让知识共情，这就 是"有料三分钟"这档投资者陪伴视频的努力方向。 定位知识性的内容，首先要得有干货。 《有料三分钟》首先是一档聚焦在投资基本概念和名词解释的视频栏目，很多概念我们耳熟能详，但概念 究竟代表的是什么，其变化对我们投资生活的影响几何，都值得拆细了了解。 以美联储降息为例，经常听到、看到，但到底他们降的是什么息，为啥要降息，谁来决定降不降息，值得 抽丝剥茧。 又如，4月的关税冲击曾引起市场的轩然大波，但如果放在历史的纵轴中理解关税和贸易冲突的前世今 生，就不至于惊慌失措。 把概念拆细致只做事实陈述，不做观点解读，我们希望知识类的内容，能帮助大家了解概念和术语，至少 在投资路上少一些误会，多一些理解。 能共 情的内容，还得有烟火气 ...

扫码进入基本功专栏 基本功的基,就是基金的基。 做好投资、买对基金, 从夯实投资基金的基本功开始。 1分钟GET一个知识点, 起步更轻松。 基金的最大回撤数据 怎么算? 最大回撤,即一定时期内 基金发生的最大跌幅。 计算最大回撤,首先要在选定时间范围内,找到 基金净值的 最高点 (峰值),并记录出现的时点, 随后在峰值后找到净值最低点(谷底)。若存在 多个峰值,需分别计算每个峰值到谷底的跌幅, 持有人首次认证有礼啦！只要在4月30日前持有中泰资管产品并持有至今且的新朋友，长按识别下方 二维码前往认证，即可获得 影音会员月卡 一份 本材料不构成投资建议，观点具有时效性。本公司承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产，但不 保证基金一定盈利，也不保证最低收益。投资有风险，基金过往业绩不代表其未来表现。基金管理人管理的基金 的业绩不构成对其他基金业绩表现的保证。投资者投资基金时应认真阅读基金的基金合同、招募说明书、基金产 品资料概要等法律文件。基金管理人提醒投资者基金投资的"买者自负"原则，请投资者根据自身的风险承受能力 选择适合自己的基金产品。基金有风险，投资须谨慎。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of domestic潮玩 (trendy toys) in international markets is not a coincidence, but rather a significant transformation in the toy industry, driven by changes in consumer demographics and product offerings [2][5]. Group 1: Consumer Demographics - The consumer base for toys is shifting from primarily children to older age groups, particularly in overseas markets, with adult and teenage consumers increasingly contributing to sales [2][5]. - In the U.S. toy market, consumers aged 12 and above account for approximately 25% of sales, contributing over $9 billion, and have driven 60% of market growth from 2021 to 2022 [2]. - In 2023, adult toy sales in the U.S. increased by 8%, representing 7.3% of the total toy market, while in five EU countries, the same demographic saw a 2.5% increase in toy spending, making up 28.5% of the market [2]. Group 2: Product Evolution - The definition of "goods" in the toy industry is evolving, with潮玩 targeting consumers aged 15 to 40 who seek emotional value and personal expression through collectibles [5]. - Traditional toy brands are facing market share pressure, while collectible brands like LEGO are gaining traction, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards adult-oriented collectible toys [5]. Group 3: Market Trends - The blind box segment is experiencing significant growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 24.2% in China's market from 2019 to 2023, outpacing overall toy market growth [7]. - The rise of social media has transformed the marketing landscape for toys, with a shift from traditional media to platforms that promote interactive and visually appealing products [7]. - The average daily usage of social media globally increased from 90 minutes to 143 minutes between 2012 and 2024, facilitating the emergence of new toy brands that leverage original IP and social media engagement [7]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The global toy market is relatively fragmented, with the top five players holding only 26.5% of the market share, allowing for opportunities for new brands to establish differentiated positions [8]. - Chinese潮玩 brands are positioned at a lower price point compared to U.S. counterparts, focusing on unique IP and catering to niche markets, including female-oriented潮玩 [8]. Group 5: Market Volatility - While the potential for domestic潮玩 to succeed internationally is promising, the market remains volatile, as evidenced by the fluctuating popularity of certain IPs like Disney's Lina Bell, which saw a rapid rise and subsequent decline in interest [9].

Core Viewpoint - The recent reduction in deposit interest rates by major state-owned banks indicates a shift towards a low-interest-rate environment, prompting investors to seek alternative investment opportunities such as bond funds [2][4]. Group 1: Deposit Rate Changes - Major state-owned banks have lowered their one-year fixed deposit rates to between 0.95% and 0.98%, reflecting a broader trend of declining interest rates amid global economic pressures [2]. - The current environment marks a significant shift, with deposit rates entering a "zero" era, contrasting sharply with the past when rates above 5% were common [2]. Group 2: Investment Trends - In response to low deposit rates, many investors are turning to bond funds as a relatively stable investment option, with younger investors showing a trend of frequent adjustments to their bond fund positions, averaging 10 times a year [2]. - A report from Xiaohongshu and Ant Wealth highlights that the phrase "Did you collect eggs?" has become common among young investors, indicating a focus on small, consistent gains from bond funds [2]. Group 3: Bond Fund Variations - Different types of bond funds exist, and investors need to understand the characteristics of each to select the most suitable options for their needs [4]. - The "Zhongtai Asset Management Fixed Income Family" offers various products tailored to different investment scenarios, helping investors navigate their choices [4]. Group 4: Specific Bond Fund Products - Zhongtai Shuangli Bond Fund focuses on low volatility and aims to capture more yield opportunities while maintaining a stable investment approach, suitable for those willing to accept some fluctuations for higher returns [6]. - Zhongtai Anyi Interest Rate Bond Fund specializes in government and policy financial bonds, providing a low-risk investment option with a notable performance record since its inception [10][14]. - Zhongtai Anhui Bond Fund invests primarily in AAA-rated credit bonds and liquid interest rate bonds, utilizing futures for risk hedging, making it suitable for long-term stable return seekers [19][21]. - Zhongtai Wenggu 30-Day Holding Short-Duration Bond Fund and Zhongtai Wenggu Weekly Purchase 12-Week Rolling Bond Fund both emphasize steady returns and disciplined investment strategies, appealing to conservative investors [23][26].

Core Viewpoint - Value investment is understood as buying listed companies from the perspective of acquiring the business, focusing on the company's intrinsic value rather than market sentiment [1] Group 1: Investment Framework - The key factors in the investment framework are the difference between enterprise value and market price, which implies a long-term return rate [2] - The quality of the enterprise, referred to as "moat," is crucial in determining enterprise value [2] - The purchase price must be appropriate, ensuring that the implied return rate exceeds the required threshold [2] Group 2: Assessing Moat - A company's moat is established based on its specific business model, creating sustainable differences from competitors [3] - Cost advantages, such as economies of scale or production efficiency, are often the basis for a company's moat [3] - Evaluating a company's moat involves projecting its competitive advantages over a long-term horizon [3] Group 3: Monitoring Moat Changes - Changes in a company's moat can occur due to various factors, including procurement, production efficiency, and market conditions [4][5] - Tracking moat changes is a continuous process, not solely based on stock price fluctuations [6] - Observing industry events and regulatory changes can also impact the assessment of a company's moat [6] Group 4: Valuation and Pricing - A good purchase price is defined as one that offers value for money, where the implied return rate is high [8] - The assessment of enterprise value is inherently a range due to the variability in core assumptions [9] - When stock prices decline, if the enterprise value remains unchanged, it indicates a higher implied return rate, prompting further purchases [10] Group 5: Selling Logic - The selling strategy includes three scenarios: when the price rises and the implied return no longer meets expectations, when the assessment of enterprise value changes negatively, or when a better investment opportunity arises [13] Group 6: Expanding Capability Circle - Expanding the capability circle involves exploring unfamiliar businesses that may present interesting opportunities [14] - Researching companies that have been listed for a few years can provide comprehensive data for analysis [14] - Engaging with stocks recommended by internal and external analysts can also aid in expanding the capability circle [14] Group 7: Market Trends and Research Depth - Interest in sectors like smart driving, new energy vehicles, AI, and semiconductors is noted due to their potential impact on the economy and business operations [15] - A thorough understanding of new sectors should be prioritized over merely following market trends [15] Group 8: Communication with Stakeholders - The focus is on the quality of enterprises and the belief that prices will eventually align with value, although the timing of this alignment is uncertain [16]

Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes the importance of foundational knowledge in investment and fund selection, suggesting that solid fundamentals are essential for successful investing [2] - The article discusses why some bond funds invest in government bond futures, highlighting the use of these futures as a hedging tool against risks in the cash market due to the strong correlation between futures and spot prices [3] Group 2 - The article promotes a special column for readers to engage with, offering incentives such as a chance to win various reading-related prizes by participating in a voting activity [6]