东京烘焙职业人
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2025中国乳制品行业简析报告
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-29 08:33
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese dairy industry is undergoing structural adjustments, with an overall sales decline of 3.1% in 2024, contrasting with the general recovery in the fast-moving consumer goods market. The market is currently dominated by a duopoly of Yili and Mengniu, which together hold over 50% market share [5][23][59]. Industry Overview - The dairy industry connects agriculture and food processing, producing various dairy products such as liquid milk, milk powder, cheese, and butter [8][9][11]. - The industry has experienced rapid growth due to China's economic development and large population, evolving through six historical phases from scarcity to recovery [14][19]. Current Industry Status - The overall fast-moving consumer goods market is recovering, with a growth rate of 3.0%, while the dairy sector is projected to decline by 3.1% in 2024 [23]. - The retail scale of the dairy market is expected to reach approximately 5,216.70 billion yuan in 2024, with a projected increase to 5,966.60 billion yuan by 2026 [29]. Market Structure - The dairy industry is characterized by a strong bargaining power in the midstream processing segment, while upstream raw milk supply faces profit pressure. Approximately 10.5% of raw milk supply relies on imported milk powder [6][40]. - The consumption structure is primarily composed of liquid milk (44.0%) and milk powder (32.5%), with significant differences in per capita consumption between urban and rural areas [56]. Future Outlook - The industry faces both opportunities and challenges, including rising feed costs, technological bottlenecks in deep processing, and systemic overcapacity [7][67]. - The B-end market for cheese and butter is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 703 billion yuan by 2028, driven by demand in the catering and baking sectors [75]. - The digitalization of cold chain logistics is anticipated to enhance the low-temperature milk market, reducing waste and improving distribution efficiency [76]. Policy Environment - Recent policies have shifted focus from safety reconstruction to enhancing quality and competitiveness, with strict quality regulations and support for industry integration [33][35]. - Key policies include the "Dairy Quality Safety Enhancement Action Plan" and initiatives to improve milk source bases and promote digital management in dairy farming [35]. Competitive Landscape - The market is dominated by Yili and Mengniu, which together account for over 50% of the dairy market share, showcasing significant scale advantages and brand influence [59]. - Yili Group, established in 1993, is a leading player with a diverse product portfolio and substantial revenue from liquid milk and milk powder [63][64].
新中式烘焙十年,为什么再没出下一个肉松小贝?
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-29 08:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of the new Chinese baking industry over the past decade, highlighting the challenges in creating new "blockbuster" products like the "Meat Floss Little Cake" that once captivated the market. It emphasizes the need for a shift from short-lived trends to sustainable, long-term products that resonate with consumers' memories and experiences [5][38]. Group 1: Historical Context and Market Dynamics - The "Meat Floss Little Cake," developed by Bao Caisheng in 2004, became a nationwide sensation in 2014, marking a significant moment in the Chinese baking industry [3][4]. - This product represented a fusion of Chinese and Western flavors, breaking traditional boundaries and creating a new taste experience that appealed to consumers [6][11]. - The rapid expansion of bakery stores and the maturation of supply chain logistics in 2015 facilitated the widespread distribution of the "Meat Floss Little Cake," which was easy to standardize and replicate [8][9]. Group 2: Evolution of Product Categories - The new Chinese baking industry has undergone a transformation from "blockbuster" products to "evergreen" and "daily" products over the past decade [14]. - The "blockbuster phase" (2016-2018) was characterized by products that gained popularity through novelty and rapid social media sharing, such as salted egg yolk pastries and mochi [15]. - The "evergreen phase" saw products like egg yolk pastries become stable choices for consumers, focusing on long-term repeat purchases rather than short-term spikes in sales [17][20]. - The "daily phase" post-2020 integrated new Chinese baked goods into everyday consumer life, making them standard offerings in bakeries [22][23]. Group 3: Challenges and Market Saturation - The article notes that the market for new Chinese baked goods has become saturated, with the emergence of numerous similar products leading to intense competition and reduced profit margins [31][32]. - The rise of short video platforms has changed consumer behavior, making it difficult for any single product to achieve the same level of widespread attention as the "Meat Floss Little Cake" did in its heyday [26][29]. - Consumers are experiencing "taste fatigue," as the novelty of new flavors diminishes, leading to higher expectations for unique and memorable taste experiences [35][37]. Group 4: Future Directions - The industry must transition from a focus on one-time blockbusters to creating products that foster long-term consumer loyalty and repeat purchases [38]. - Emphasizing "scene economy" will be crucial, integrating baked goods into everyday life scenarios such as breakfast and celebrations to build consumer attachment [39]. - Establishing a "taste memory" rather than relying solely on trendy symbols will be essential for creating enduring products that resonate with consumers [42]. - A shift from "single product logic" to a "systematic logic" that combines product matrices and brand value is necessary for sustainable growth [44]. - Brands must develop self-sustaining cycles that focus on community engagement and long-term reputation rather than short-term viral marketing [45].
喜茶、上山喝茶都在推,这个“有毒”食材也能火?
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-28 08:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising trend of incorporating mushrooms into tea beverages, highlighting how brands are moving from aesthetic appeal to genuine flavor integration, thus creating unique and differentiated products in the competitive tea drink market [4][19]. Group 1: Product Innovation - The introduction of "Mushroom" elements in tea drinks is not limited to one brand; it reflects a broader trend where various brands are experimenting with real mushrooms in their products [7][19]. - The product "米其牛肝菌喜拉朵" by Heytea combines unique ingredients like porcini mushroom white sauce and Yunnan Pu'er tea, showcasing a successful blend of flavors that has garnered positive consumer feedback [4][19]. - Other brands, such as "吉茶阿布" and "四叶咖," have also introduced mushroom-infused products, demonstrating a shift from mere visual appeal to authentic flavor experiences [10][12][14]. Group 2: Consumer Demand - Consumers are willing to pay for mushroom-infused tea drinks due to the perceived value of the ingredients, which are often considered "mountain delicacies" and resonate with both local and external consumers [19][21]. - The health benefits associated with mushrooms, such as those found in lion's mane and reishi, align with modern consumer preferences for healthier beverage options [21][23]. - The trend indicates a growing consumer interest in unique, valuable, and personalized drink experiences, moving away from generic offerings [23]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The tea drink industry is experiencing a shift back to product-centric innovation, as brands seek to differentiate themselves in a saturated market [21][23]. - The incorporation of unexpected ingredients like mushrooms, edamame, and even liquor into tea drinks reflects a broader trend of creativity and experimentation within the industry [23]. - This movement suggests that the industry is gradually returning to its roots of focusing on quality and authenticity in product development, rather than solely chasing trends and marketing gimmicks [23].
一周上新!可言可颂 、ALDI奥乐齐、小白心里软...海内外新品资讯抢先看 | 全球职人情报站
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-28 08:33
Group 1 - The article highlights the latest trends and new product launches in the baking industry, showcasing various innovative baked goods from different brands [2][3][4][5][6][8] - Notable new products include the "Black Gold Matcha & Nut Napoleon Swiss Roll Cake" from ALDI and "Blueberry and Mulberry Multi-Grain Soft European Bread" from Xiaobai [16][18] - The article emphasizes the collaboration between brands, such as the partnership between Bawang Tea and Pop Mart in Southeast Asia, launching a new green grape milk tea [130] Group 2 - The article discusses the rise of supermarket baking and the competition among chain bakeries, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [153] - It mentions the challenges faced by the baking industry, including the closure of 100,000 bakeries and the strategies employed by successful shops to remain profitable [153] - The article also covers the introduction of new food safety standards by the National Health Commission, which may impact the baking industry [138] Group 3 - The article features various unique baked products, such as the "Scone with Glutinous Rice Cake" from Scoff Bake House and "Napoleon Roll Cake" from Napoleon Bakery, highlighting their distinct flavors and textures [139][141] - It notes the increasing popularity of health-conscious options, such as low-calorie teas and yogurt drinks, reflecting changing consumer demands [130][132] - The article concludes with insights from industry experts on baking techniques and innovations that can enhance efficiency and product quality [153]
【书籍专题 · 面包大全】咖啡丹麦
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-28 08:33
Core Points - The article provides a detailed recipe for making coffee Danish pastry, highlighting the ingredients and step-by-step preparation process. Ingredients Summary - Danish dough: 600 grams - Filling: - Coffee liqueur: appropriate amount - Coffee powder: 50 grams - Granulated sugar: 60 grams - Surface decoration: - White chocolate sauce: appropriate amount - Egg wash: appropriate amount [2][3] Preparation Process Summary - Roll out the Danish dough to a thickness of 0.4 cm, brush with coffee liqueur, and evenly sprinkle coffee powder and sugar [2]. - Roll the dough into a cylindrical shape and cut it into 5 cm long pieces [5][6]. - Place the pieces in paper trays and let them ferment for 60 minutes at a temperature of 28°C and humidity of 75% [7]. - After fermentation, brush the surface with egg wash [13]. - Bake in the oven at 210°C for the top and 200°C for the bottom for 16 minutes [14]. - Allow to cool after baking and then drizzle with white chocolate sauce to finish [15].
【书籍专题 · 面包大全】坚果丹麦
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-27 08:32
Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed recipe for making a Danish pastry with almond cream and nut filling, highlighting the ingredients and step-by-step preparation process. Ingredient Summary - Danish dough requires 700 grams - Almond cream consists of 80 grams of butter, 80 grams of powdered sugar, 40 grams of egg, 100 grams of almond powder, and 20 grams of low-gluten flour [2] - Nut filling includes 50 grams of walnut, 30 grams of peanut, 20 grams of granulated sugar, and 30 grams of fresh cream [3] Preparation Process Summary - Roll the Danish dough to a thickness of 1 cm and cut out circles with a diameter of 10 cm [6] - Place the dough circles on a baking tray and let them ferment for 50 minutes at 28°C and 75% humidity [6] - Brush the surface with egg wash and create a small indentation in the center [9] - Pipe the almond cream into the indentation [10] - Add the nut filling on top [11] - Bake in the oven at 210°C for the top and 200°C for the bottom for 18 minutes [14]
【日本探店】花30年时间让面包店成为当地人的最爱,这家日本特色面包店靠创新与细节打动顾客!
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-27 08:32
Core Viewpoint - Fournier is one of the earliest bakeries in Japan to explore soft European bread products, founded in 1994, and has successfully navigated the competitive market for 30 years, offering around 70 types of bread that cater to local tastes [1][6]. Group 1: Founder and Background - The founder, Takamitsu Sakata, is a renowned baking master in Japan and has been involved in the baking industry since childhood, initially aspiring to be a French cuisine chef before focusing on bread [4]. - Sakata faced challenges early in his career, including dissatisfaction with his initial job at a hotel, which led him to self-study and innovate in the baking process, ultimately establishing his own bakery at the age of 30 [4][6]. Group 2: Business Development - The first store was a gamble, requiring a 200 million yen loan (approximately 11 million RMB at the time), which has since been fully repaid due to the bakery's success [6]. - Initial sales were disappointing, with daily revenue around 10,000 yen (approximately 1,100 RMB), prompting Sakata to reassess the product offerings to better align with customer preferences [7]. Group 3: Product Innovation - Sakata adjusted the product mix by increasing the proportion of soft and sweet breads to 90%, while retaining only 10% of hard breads, which significantly improved sales [7]. - He has continued to innovate hard bread by creating varieties that combine soft interiors with hard exteriors, aiming to introduce customers to the appeal of hard bread gradually [9][10]. Group 4: Production Techniques - Fournier employs cold fermentation techniques to enhance production efficiency, allowing for better quality control and reduced labor time [10][12]. - The bakery's product range includes approximately 70 types of bread, such as French hard bread, sweet bread, and various sandwiches, catering to diverse consumer preferences [13].
打工人爆款奶茶出现!沪上阿姨热卖,主打“气血充足”
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-27 08:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising trend of "thick milk tea" in the beverage industry, highlighting the success of new products like "Salty Cheese Thai Milk Ice" and "Salty Cheese Rice Milk Tea" that cater to consumer preferences for rich flavors and unique ingredients [5][8][10]. Group 1: Product Innovation - The "Five Black Revitalizing Slow Nourishing Bottle" from Hushang Auntie has gained popularity, being referred to as the "energy drink for workers" due to its rich flavor and unique blend of ingredients [10][15]. - This product combines five black ingredients with a Da Hong Pao tea base, creating a drink that appeals to the taste preferences of Chinese consumers [13][19]. - Hushang Auntie has successfully launched multiple popular products under the "thick milk tea" trend, leveraging its expertise in grain-based beverages developed over 12 years [15][20][23]. Group 2: Market Trends - The beverage market is witnessing a shift towards "rice" as a key ingredient, with products like the "Five Black Revitalizing Slow Nourishing Bottle" capitalizing on this trend [19][27]. - The article notes that the demand for rich flavors in tea drinks is increasing, with consumers seeking products that offer a unique taste experience [16][17]. Group 3: Brand Strategy - Hushang Auntie has built a strong brand identity around grain-based drinks, which has allowed it to innovate successfully within the "thick milk tea" category [20][23]. - The company promotes a health-conscious lifestyle through its "Five Color Slow Nourishing Plan," which emphasizes a balanced and relaxed approach to consumption [31][41]. - The choice of brand ambassador, Zhu Zhu, aligns with the product's characteristics and the brand's narrative, enhancing its appeal to consumers [32][34]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Hushang Auntie plans to expand its product line with new offerings like the "Five Red Vitality Slow Nourishing Bottle" and "Five White Beauty Slow Nourishing Bottle," indicating a strategic move to establish a comprehensive "five-color" product range [39]. - The article suggests that the tea beverage industry is evolving beyond flavor innovation to encompass lifestyle aspirations and consumer well-being [40][41].
越来越觉得,“月饼”是一种形状的形容......
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-26 08:33
Core Viewpoint - The concept of "mooncake" has evolved beyond traditional flavors, becoming a versatile canvas for creative culinary expressions, reflecting modern consumer preferences and cultural significance [1][3][123]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The mooncake market in 2025 showcases a shift towards innovative products that blend traditional shapes with contemporary flavors, emphasizing creativity and cultural storytelling [1][3][44]. - Traditional players are moving away from outdated practices, focusing on deeper culinary understanding and quality [5][6]. - The trend of "value return" is evident as brands upgrade fillings with high-quality ingredients, moving away from traditional recipes [11][12]. Group 2: Product Innovations - Brands like Trueat and 麦熺BAKERY are introducing unique mooncake varieties, such as high-quality nut fillings and locally sourced ingredients, enhancing the perceived value [8][11][12]. - The introduction of regional flavors and ingredients, such as Sichuan pepper and local delicacies, is becoming a key strategy for brands to create a cultural connection [20][89]. - New formats like mini mooncakes and ice cream mooncakes are emerging, catering to health-conscious consumers and offering a modern twist on traditional products [37][76][92]. Group 3: Consumer Preferences - There is a growing demand for low-sugar and clean-label products, reflecting consumer health consciousness and preference for transparency in ingredients [123]. - Emotional connections are becoming crucial, with brands focusing on the sentimental value of mooncakes as symbols of reunion and cultural heritage [123]. - The market is seeing a rise in "social media-friendly" products that prioritize visual appeal and unique experiences over traditional flavors [73][74]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - Chain bakeries are adopting a different strategy, focusing on "micro-innovation" within a safe zone, enhancing classic flavors while ensuring broad appeal [79][107]. - The integration of international ingredients with local flavors is a growing trend, allowing brands to cater to diverse consumer tastes while maintaining familiarity [115][119]. - The mooncake market is characterized by a blend of traditional and modern elements, ensuring its relevance and vitality in contemporary society [123].
外卖补贴大战频现,乳企的日子是好过了还是更难了?
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-09-26 08:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the intense competition in the food delivery market, particularly focusing on the impact of this competition on the dairy industry, highlighting the challenges faced by traditional dairy companies due to the rise of ready-to-drink beverages and the ongoing subsidy wars among major platforms [1][4][27]. Group 1: Market Competition - Since February, the competition among major food delivery platforms like Meituan, JD, and Alibaba has intensified, leading to a surge in consumer demand for takeout [1][2]. - On peak subsidy days, Meituan's daily order volume exceeded 150 million, while Taobao's flash sales also broke records, indicating a significant increase in consumer engagement with food delivery services [1][2]. - The current competitive landscape is characterized by a three-way standoff among these platforms, suggesting that the subsidy wars have become a normalized aspect of the market [4]. Group 2: Impact on Dairy Companies - The growth of the food delivery market has negatively impacted traditional dairy companies, with liquid milk revenues showing declines in mid-2025 compared to the previous year [5][6]. - Major dairy companies like Yili and Mengniu reported revenue drops of 2.15% and 11.22%, respectively, indicating the financial strain caused by the competitive environment [6][8]. - The rise of ready-to-drink beverages, particularly tea and coffee, is expected to further erode the market share of packaged liquid milk, with estimates suggesting a potential 10% market share loss to these alternatives [9]. Group 3: Opportunities for Suppliers - The influx of orders in the food delivery sector has led to a significant increase in demand for dairy raw materials, benefiting suppliers in the B2B space [11][12]. - During promotional events, substantial subsidies were allocated to beverages, resulting in a 20% growth in the milk tea industry, which in turn increased the demand for dairy ingredients [11][12]. - Smaller beverage brands have also experienced rapid growth, with order volumes increasing by 70% compared to earlier in the year, allowing them to negotiate better terms with suppliers [12]. Group 4: Trends in Ready-to-Drink Beverages - The ready-to-drink beverage segment is gaining traction, with non-tea dairy products accounting for 15.1% of the market, becoming a significant category among beverage brands [13]. - Companies like Yiming Foods are shifting towards a franchise model, which has led to rapid revenue growth despite the competitive pricing environment [14][17]. - The profitability of companies with a strong supply chain focus, such as Yiming Foods, has remained stable, as they benefit from increased order volumes and economies of scale [17][18]. Group 5: Consumer Behavior Changes - The ongoing competition has shifted consumer preferences towards ready-to-drink beverages, diminishing reliance on packaged drinks [23][24]. - The proliferation of similar products in the market has led to a dilution of brand value, with price becoming a more significant factor in consumer purchasing decisions [24][25]. - Concerns are rising about the sustainability of current pricing strategies, as consumers may resist returning to higher prices once subsidies are reduced [25]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The article suggests that dairy companies need to adapt to the changing landscape by exploring opportunities in the ready-to-drink segment and leveraging the growth of food delivery services [27]. - Engaging in the ready-to-drink beverage market could provide a pathway for dairy companies to navigate the challenges posed by external competition and changing consumer habits [27].