Core Viewpoint - The passage of three key bills by the U.S. House of Representatives marks a pivotal moment in the history of American digital finance, initiating a transformation of the global on-chain financial order [2][14]. Group 1: Legislative Developments - The U.S. House of Representatives approved the "GENIUS Act," "CLARITY Act," and "Anti-CBDC Act," which institutionalize the regulatory framework for digital assets in the U.S. and aim to protect consumer rights while reinforcing the dollar's status as the global reserve currency [2][3]. - The "GENIUS Act" mandates that stablecoin issuers must hold dollar-equivalent assets, ensuring a 1:1 redemption capability, and comply with "Know Your Customer" and anti-money laundering regulations [4][8]. - The "CLARITY Act" clarifies the regulatory roles of the SEC and CFTC, providing clear rules for the cryptocurrency market and establishing a legal basis for the classification of most cryptocurrencies as commodities rather than securities [5][6]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Implications - Following the passage of the "GENIUS Act," Circle's stock, viewed as the "on-chain dollar's first stock," rebounded from a low of $195.33 to $233.45, reflecting market optimism [12]. - However, Circle's stock experienced a decline of 4.8% to $223.78 due to profit-taking and concerns over future compliance costs and reserve disclosures [13]. - The financial market's cautious attitude is evident, as indicated by the mixed performance of major indices following the legislative developments [11]. Group 3: Global Context and Future Outlook - The introduction of these bills is seen as a response to the global competition in digital currencies, with over 130 countries researching central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and several already piloting them [14][15]. - The "Anti-CBDC Act" prohibits the issuance of retail CBDCs, reflecting concerns over government surveillance and privacy, while simultaneously paving the way for stablecoins [8][15]. - The legislation signifies a shift in the relationship between digital economy, sovereign currency, and personal privacy, with potential implications for the future of monetary policy and financial stability in the U.S. [15].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing subsidy war primarily highlights the competition between Alibaba and Meituan, but the instant retail market will not be a duopoly, maintaining a tripartite structure with JD.com also playing a significant role [25]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The subsidy battle has expanded beyond food delivery to include daily retail, with retailers like Hong Zhen experiencing a surge in orders due to aggressive promotions from platforms like Meituan and Ele.me [5][11]. - On July 18, the State Administration for Market Regulation held talks with Ele.me, Meituan, and JD.com, urging them to comply with various laws and regulations, which may lead to a more restrained competitive environment [8][11]. - The market has seen a significant increase in non-food delivery orders, with Meituan reporting over 200 million non-food orders in July, indicating a shift towards a broader range of instant retail products [11][12]. Group 2: Business Strategies - Meituan has been actively expanding its instant retail strategy, aiming to have over 100,000 flash warehouses by 2027, with a projected market size of 200 billion yuan [15]. - Retailers like Hong Zhen are adapting to the changing landscape by increasing their inventory and diversifying their product offerings to include a wide range of daily necessities [19][20]. - The competition among the three giants is intensifying, with each platform striving to capture a larger share of the instant retail market, which is expected to be more frequent and potentially more profitable than food delivery alone [11][26]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly using delivery platforms for a variety of products beyond food, such as personal care items and electronics, driven by substantial discounts and promotions [10][11]. - The average delivery time for all orders has improved, with Meituan reporting an average delivery time of 34 minutes, enhancing customer satisfaction and encouraging more frequent purchases [11].

Group 1 - The intensity of the Russia-Ukraine conflict remains relatively stable without significant escalation signs [1][3] - The U.S. President Trump announced a 50-day deadline for a peace agreement, coinciding with the EU's increased support for Ukraine [2][3] - The EU has officially taken over the task of aiding Ukraine from the U.S., indicating a potential increase in Ukraine's offensive capabilities [2] Group 2 - There is a prevailing belief among Western economists and media that the Russian economy is on the verge of collapse due to sanctions [4][5] - The EU approved the 18th round of sanctions against Russia, which includes significant measures such as banning the use of the "Nord Stream" pipeline and setting price caps on oil imports [5] - Russia's presidential press secretary stated that the country has become immune to sanctions, suggesting that each new round of sanctions negatively impacts the imposing countries [6] Group 3 - As of June 18, 2025, over 30,000 sanctions have been imposed on Russia, with more than 92% introduced after February 2022 [6] - The Eurasian Development Bank's report predicts a slowdown in Russia's GDP growth to 1.4% in Q1 2025, down from 4.3% in 2024 [8] - Inflation in Russia is projected to be 8.9% in Q1 2025, still above the central bank's target of 4% [9] - The Russian ruble has appreciated over 20% against the dollar compared to December 2024, reaching its highest level since the second half of 2023 [10] - Russia's defense spending is expected to rise significantly to 13.5 trillion rubles in 2025 [11] Group 4 - The cumulative effect of increasing sanctions is placing significant pressure on the Russian economy, but it remains uncertain whether this will lead to a complete economic collapse [12]

北京一名资深的中年护理员月薪通常在7000元/月左右，叠加 500元—1000元/月的政府补贴，综合收入高于养老护理专业 应届生和"高龄"护理员。 作者： 田进 封图：图虫创意 今年上半年，北京龙振养老服务中心理事长张玉在走访全国多地养老院时发现，一些农村养老院里 60岁左右的护理员比比皆是，乍看之下几乎分不清楚谁是护理员、谁是被服务者。 护理员"高龄化"的现象同样出现在经济发达地区。北京、上海的中低端养老机构中，50—60岁的 护理员占据了相当比例。 张玉说，眼下养老机构基本不愁招聘50岁以上的护理员，一线城市招到本、专科学历的年轻护理 员也比过去容易很多，但30—50岁的护理员（下称"30、40护理员"）正面临断档危机。 养老院机构管理者们对中年护理员的紧缺有着深刻体会。 近几年，寸草春晖人力资源负责人潘晓丽一直尝试招聘30岁、40岁护理员，但结果却不尽如人 意。好不容易入职的中年护理员，就业稳定性也非常差：要么短时间内辞职，要么频繁请假且假期 较长。现如今，集团下属的十余家机构中，30岁、40岁的一线护理员已寥寥无几。 潘晓丽表示，中年护理员体力充沛、护理专业、沟通顺畅，理想状态下，他们应该是养老机构的 ...

面对不会再有的大规模"进城"，我们设定在增长前提下的城市 规划、发展规划、产业政策、科教文卫……都必须做出系统性 调整，这要求我们祛除根深蒂固的增长主义价值观。 作者： 社论 封图：图虫创意 面对不会再有的大规模"进城"，我们设定在增长前提下的城市规划、发展规划、产业政策、科教 文卫…… 都必须做出系统性调整 ，这要求我们祛除根深蒂固的增长主义价值观 ——城市不应该 只是一味做加法，它必须引入更为精细的运算法则：集约高效、治理投入……当然也包括做减法， 做减法是促发展的一部分。 应该看到，在城市人口总量趋于稳定的前提下，人口加速向城市群和都市圈集聚，便意味着当有的 城市继续增长时，必然有一些城市在收缩。直面一些城市"人口越来越少"的发展困局，就此成为城 市主政者的"必答题"： 当房地产业繁荣不再，城市不可能再摊大饼之时，城市的未来当如何谋 划。 毋庸讳言，当下相当一部分城市的经济政策和人口政策，仍呈现出互为抵牾的价值取向——一方面 高举增长主义大旗，一方面则对户籍放开政策迟缓迁延：在9.4亿的城镇常住人口中，有相当一部 分人还没有城市户籍，难以享受同等的公共服务，身处于城与乡的夹角之中。我们认为，这是当前 城 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of a standardized debt collection business model among certain law firms in Beijing, leveraging social media platforms for marketing and client acquisition, while raising concerns about the ethical implications and potential exploitation of clients [1][12][60]. Group 1: Business Model and Marketing Strategies - Over 15 large law firms in Beijing are continuously promoting their services on platforms like Douyin, employing a "3210 fee model" (3% for filing, 2% for court, and 10% for recovery) [1][12]. - The marketing strategy includes low-cost initial consultations to attract clients, followed by upselling additional services, creating a funnel that maximizes client conversion [35][38]. - Law firms are increasingly relying on social media for client acquisition, with approximately 70% of some firms' revenue coming from platforms like Douyin [34][38]. Group 2: Client Experiences and Complaints - Clients, such as Zhao Shenghua, initially perceive these law firms as professional and efficient, but later face unexpected fees and challenges in debt recovery [23][26]. - Complaints against these law firms have surged, with daily reports of clients feeling misled after paying substantial fees without successful outcomes [11][12]. - A growing number of clients have formed support groups to share their experiences and seek recourse, indicating a widespread issue within this business model [28][30]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Ethical Concerns - The debt collection market in China is rapidly expanding, with a reported market size reaching hundreds of billions of RMB, leading to increased competition among law firms [57][58]. - The article highlights a concerning trend where the professional integrity of legal services is compromised, as firms prioritize profit over ethical standards, leading to a "disintegration" of traditional legal practices [60][65]. - Regulatory gaps exist regarding the charging of upfront fees and risk-sharing agreements, allowing some firms to exploit these loopholes for financial gain [67][68].

Core Viewpoint - The competition among banks to attract small and micro enterprises for business loans is intensifying due to a decline in loan demand from these enterprises, leading to aggressive pricing strategies to secure clients [1][5][6]. Loan Demand and Competition - There is a noticeable decrease in loan demand from small and micro enterprises, which has increased competition among banks to attract clients [1][5]. - Client managers are using interest rate coupons to lower the effective interest rates on business loans to below 3% as a strategy to meet loan growth and new client acquisition targets [1][5][11]. Interest Rate Trends - The effective interest rates for business loans have been declining, with some banks offering rates as low as 2.68% to attract clients [4][5][14]. - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was approximately 3.3% in the first half of the year, down about 45 basis points from the previous year [14]. Client Behavior - Many small and micro enterprise owners are now comparing rates across banks and waiting for lower offers before applying for loans [7][11]. - The trend of clients seeking better rates has led to a situation where banks are concerned about losing clients to competitors offering lower rates [9][11]. Bank Strategies - Some banks are adopting a strategy of providing additional value-added services, such as wealth management and foreign exchange risk management, to attract clients instead of solely competing on interest rates [7][19]. - Banks are also implementing a "one enterprise, one policy" approach to offer slightly lower rates to high-quality clients to prevent them from switching to competitors [12][19]. Financial Implications - The ongoing competition to lower interest rates is raising concerns about the sustainability of banks' profit margins, as the net interest margin has already decreased [15][18]. - The strategy of "price for volume" may pose risks to banks' long-term profitability and their ability to serve the real economy effectively [15][18]. Regulatory and Market Dynamics - There is a call for regulatory guidance to encourage rational pricing in the industry to avoid an escalation of the interest rate competition [20]. - Banks are exploring comprehensive financial services to transition from mere lenders to partners for enterprises, aiming to enhance overall revenue [20].

Core Viewpoint - The core change in the plug-in hybrid (PHEV) market is a return to rational growth, positioning PHEVs back as a "transitional technology" [1][3]. Market Performance - In the first half of this year, cumulative sales of PHEV models in China reached 2.521 million units, a year-on-year increase of 31.1% [2]. - From 2021 to 2024, the growth rates for PHEV models were 140%, 151.6%, 84.7%, and 84.5% respectively [2]. - In contrast, pure electric vehicle (EV) sales reached 4.415 million units in the same period, with a year-on-year growth of 46.2% [3]. Market Share Dynamics - In 2021, PHEV sales were 603,000 units, with a growth of 140%, while pure EV sales were 2.916 million units, growing by 161.5% [5]. - Despite the increase in PHEV sales, its market share decreased from 18.4% to 17.1% [5]. - By 2024, PHEV sales are projected to reach 5.146 million units, increasing its market share to 40%, while pure EV growth slows to 15.5% and its market share drops to 60% [5]. Recent Trends - In the first half of this year, the growth rate of PHEV sales sharply declined, dropping from 90.3% in February to 7.8% by June [6]. - Factors contributing to this decline include increased competition from pure EVs with ranges over 600 km priced between 150,000 to 200,000 yuan, improved charging infrastructure, and more favorable policies for pure EVs [6]. Future Outlook - Experts believe that while PHEVs are seen as a transitional technology, they still have significant growth potential in the next 3 to 5 years, with a market share possibly reaching 30% to 40% [9]. - Despite the slowdown in domestic growth, the overseas market presents new opportunities, with PHEV exports expected to reach 297,000 units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 190% [10]. Global Market Opportunities - The global automotive market is undergoing an "electrification reshuffle," and Chinese PHEVs are rapidly capturing various overseas markets due to their technological and cost advantages [10]. - Countries in Europe, such as Germany, have adjusted policies to include PHEVs in "environmentally friendly vehicle" subsidies, facilitating entry into high-end markets [10].

权威消息人士向经济观察报记者介绍，宣判之后，陈峰当庭表 示不服，提起上诉。余下两名被告人，一位表示服判不上诉， 一位表示将与律师商量后再行决定。 作者： 李微敖 封图：图虫创意 同样在2022年3月，海航原监事会主席孙明宇，以及也曾担任过海航董事长的包启发也被警方刑 拘。 2023年4月，海口市人民检察院就陈峰等人一案，向海口中院提起公诉。 海口市人民检察院指控陈峰犯有背信损害上市公司利益罪、骗取贷款罪、职务侵占罪；孙明宇以及 包启发，则被指控犯有背信损害上市公司利益罪。 在被海口市中级人民法院（下称"海口中院"）一审判处有期徒刑12年之后，海航集团有限公司 （下称"海航"）原董事长陈峰当庭表示不服，提起上诉。 2025年17日至18日，数位权威消息人士向经济观察报记者证实了上述消息。 熟悉陈峰的人士告诉经济观察报记者，陈峰祖籍山西临汾霍州，1953年6月生于太原，取名"陈太 生"，即"在太原出生"之意，后更名为陈峰。陈峰在2岁时，随父母到北京生活。 1974年，21岁的陈峰到当时的中国民用航空总局援外司工作，1982年获得公费出国留学机会，到 原联邦德国汉莎航空运输管理学院管理专业学习。1984年毕业回国， ...

Core Viewpoint - Capital flows are a vote of confidence in Hong Kong's institutional advantages and market potential, as well as a reinterpretation of the "China growth story" [1][9]. Group 1: Business Expansion in Hong Kong - Over the past two and a half years, 630 companies from mainland China have established or expanded their businesses in Hong Kong, compared to 113 from the US, 89 from the UK, 68 from Singapore, and 38 from Canada [3][15]. - The Deutsche Bank Group emphasizes Hong Kong's critical role as a business hub in North Asia, highlighting its market position [4][21]. - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission reported that by the end of 2024, the total assets under management in Hong Kong's asset and wealth management sector will reach HKD 35.1 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 13% [8]. Group 2: Wealth Management Trends - The net inflow of funds into asset management and fund advisory services surged by 571% year-on-year to HKD 321 billion, indicating a strong demand for wealth management services [8]. - The private banking and wealth management sector saw a 15% growth in assets under management, reaching HKD 10.4 trillion [8]. - The Hong Kong government plans to optimize tax incentives for funds and family offices, with proposals expected to be submitted for legislative review by 2026 [9][29]. Group 3: Foreign Investment and Family Offices - The influx of foreign investment has made Hong Kong a hotbed for investment opportunities, with over 1,300 overseas and mainland companies assisted in establishing or expanding their businesses in Hong Kong from January 2023 to mid-2025 [14]. - Family offices from the Middle East are increasingly interested in setting up branches in Hong Kong, attracted by the region's investment opportunities [16]. - The number of family offices in Hong Kong is on the rise, with over 190 family offices assisted in establishing or expanding their operations since the inception of the Hong Kong Investment Promotion Agency's family office team [16]. Group 4: Competitive Advantages of Hong Kong - Hong Kong's unique geographical position, independent judicial system, open financial market, and international talent pool are highlighted as key advantages in attracting high-net-worth individuals [3][24]. - Compared to other financial centers like Singapore and Dubai, Hong Kong offers greater flexibility for family offices in asset allocation, allowing for global asset configuration without the need to relocate all assets [26]. - The city is positioned to become the largest cross-border asset and wealth management center globally within the next two to three years, supported by a stable political environment and a mature financial system [28][29].