Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached HKD 105.3 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 14.39 billion, up 30.8% year-on-year [5][7] - The improvement in net profit is primarily attributed to better performance in thermal power and a significant reduction in asset impairment losses [7] - The company plans to add 10 GW of new renewable energy capacity in 2025, following the addition of 7.8 GW in 2024 [7] Financial Performance - In the second half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of HKD 54.16 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, with a net profit of HKD 5.03 billion, up 17.9% [5] - The operating net profit from thermal power was HKD 4.64 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.5%, driven by a 4.2% decrease in fuel costs due to falling coal prices [7] - The company reported a significant reduction in asset impairment losses, down HKD 2.17 billion to HKD 0.58 billion in 2024 [7] Renewable Energy Segment - The operating net profit from renewable energy was HKD 9.23 billion, a decrease of 5.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of HKD 3.67 billion in the second half of 2024, down 2.6% [7] - The company achieved a total of 13.6 GW in renewable energy development indicators, with wind and solar power accounting for 7.7 GW and 5.9 GW, respectively [7] Future Projections - The company expects revenues of HKD 107.1 billion, HKD 114.0 billion, and HKD 118.1 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits projected at HKD 14.44 billion, HKD 15.05 billion, and HKD 15.53 billion [9][10] - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 6.25, 6.00, and 5.81, indicating a stable outlook for earnings [10]

2025 年 03 月 27 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 50 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 财政支出前置促经济回升--宏观点评 商业航天行业报告：商业航天方兴未艾，低轨卫星星座建设加速--行业 PPT 报告 证券研究报告 1、最新报告摘要 1.1、财政支出前置促经济回升--宏观点评 分析师：夏磊 S0350521090004 事件： 3 月 24 日，财政部公布今年前两个月的财政收支数据：1-2 月，全国一般公共预算收入 43856 亿元，同比下 降 1.6%；全国一般公共预算支出 45096 亿元，同比增长 3.4%；全国政府性基金预算收入 6381 亿元，同比 下降 10.7%；全国政府性基金预算支出 11358 亿元，同比增长 1.2%。 投资要点： 财政收入总体平稳，主力税种收入有所上升 总体上，1-2 月全国一般公共预算收入同比小幅下降 1.6%，收入进度为 19.9%，略低于过去五年同期平均水 平；政府性基金预算收入同比下降 10.7%，收入进度为 10.2 ...

Revenue and Expenditure Overview - In the first two months of 2025, the national general public budget revenue was 43,856 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%[3] - National general public budget expenditure reached 45,096 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.4%[3] - Government fund budget revenue fell to 6,381 billion CNY, down 10.7% year-on-year, while expenditure was 11,358 billion CNY, up 1.2%[3] Tax Revenue Insights - Among the four major tax categories, three showed positive growth: domestic VAT increased by 1.1%, domestic consumption tax by 0.3%, and personal income tax surged by 26.7%[4] - Corporate income tax saw a decline of 10.4%, primarily due to reduced tax payments from certain central financial enterprises[4] - Export tax rebates increased by 16.9%, influenced by potential trade protectionism[4] Fiscal Policy and Spending - The expenditure growth rate of 3.4% significantly outpaced the revenue growth rate, with expenditure progress at 15.2%, exceeding the five-year average by 0.8 percentage points[5] - The government plans to enhance fiscal policies, focusing on consumption and technology innovation, with a budget of 3,000 billion CNY for consumer subsidies, doubling from the previous year[7][8] Support for Key Sectors - Fiscal spending on science and technology reached 11,505 billion CNY last year, growing by 5.7%, and increased by 10.6% in the first two months of 2025[8] - Social security, education, and health-related expenditures rose by 5.4%, outpacing general public fiscal spending growth[8] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include macroeconomic fluctuations, global economic downturns, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainties in policy and trade relations[8]

[Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 49 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 2024 年经营稳健，看好新业态推进--安踏体育/服装家纺(02020/213502) 点评报告（港股美股） 用户数高增，市场份额有望持续提升--途虎-W/汽车服务(09690/212803) 点评报告（港股美股） 鹏鼎控股(002938.SZ)深度报告：AI 端侧浪潮开启在即，PCB 龙头显著受益--鹏鼎控股/元件(002938/212702) 公司 PPT 报告 成本持续优化，出栏高速增长--巨星农牧/养殖业(603477/211107) 公司点评 哪些涨价细分领域可以重点关注--策略 PPT 超长债性价比究竟如何--债券研究周报 业绩增速亮眼，结构持续优化--金徽酒/白酒Ⅱ(603919/213405) 公司点评 盈利能力大幅提升，产品加速下沉&出海--布鲁可/文娱用品(00325/213605) 点评报告（港股美股） 大单品持续放量，电商渠道加速弯道超车--百亚股份/个护用品(003006/217701) 公司点评 腾势 N9、二代哈弗枭龙 MAX 上市，马斯克召开特斯拉全员大会--行业周报 2024 年业绩 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10][11] Core Insights - The company achieved a record high gross margin of 47.0% in Q4 2024, driven by its IP strategy and strong performance in the overseas direct sales market [6][7] - Total revenue for 2024 reached 169.9 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.8% in Q4 [6][10] - The company expects revenue growth in the second half of 2025 to outpace the first half, despite a slight decrease in the number of new store openings compared to 2024 [6][10] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a net profit of 7.9 billion RMB, a 20.0% increase year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 16.8% [6][7] - The company’s total number of stores reached 7,504 by the end of 2024, with significant growth in overseas locations [7][10] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was 12.3 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 23.3% [7] Revenue Breakdown - In Q4 2024, revenue from the Miniso brand was 44.3 billion RMB, up 21.3% year-on-year, with overseas revenue growing by 42.7% [7] - The TOPTOY brand contributed 2.8 billion RMB in revenue, marking a 50.3% increase year-on-year [7] Future Projections - Revenue is projected to grow to 208 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23% [10][11] - Adjusted net profit is expected to reach 32 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a 19% increase [10][11] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in gross margin, supported by the rising contribution from overseas and IP sales [7][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 61.54 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.89%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 17.93% to 5.33 billion yuan [7][9] - The company continues to leverage its phosphate resource advantages, with a focus on cost control and stable supply of raw materials [9][15] - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates revenues of 64 billion, 65 billion, and 65.8 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 5.48 billion, 5.76 billion, and 6.05 billion yuan, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [18][64] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 14.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.00%, but a net profit of 909 million yuan, up 11.15% year-on-year [8][13] - The average sales price for phosphate fertilizer was 3,388 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.28% year-on-year, while urea prices fell by 12.02% to 2,043 yuan/ton [9][10] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) was 26.21%, a slight increase from the previous year [7][12] Segment Analysis - The phosphate fertilizer segment generated revenue of 15.73 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 37.93%, while urea revenue was 5.63 billion yuan with a gross margin of 23.01% [10][12] - The company’s operational efficiency is highlighted by a decrease in financial expenses due to reduced interest-bearing debt, leading to a net cash flow from operating activities of 10.75 billion yuan, up 13.93% year-on-year [12][18] Resource and Development - The company holds phosphate reserves of nearly 800 million tons, with an annual mining capacity of 14.5 million tons, ensuring self-sufficiency [15][16] - The company has successfully obtained exploration rights for the Zhenxiong phosphate mine, enhancing its resource security [15][16] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 14 yuan per 10 shares, amounting to approximately 2.55 billion yuan, which is 47.86% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [17]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 3.254 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.77%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 288 million yuan, up 20.74% year-on-year [6][10] - The company continues to focus on its established development strategy, enhancing brand strength, optimizing product structure, and expanding its market presence through e-commerce and emerging channels [7][10] - The company has seen significant growth in its e-commerce channel, with online sales reaching 1.525 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 103.8% [7][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.254 billion yuan, with a net profit of 288 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 254 million yuan [6][10] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 929 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.10%, but a decline in net profit by 12.00% [6][10] Growth Drivers - The company's flagship product line, "Free Point," generated 3.036 billion yuan in revenue, marking a 60.6% increase year-on-year [7] - The health product series, particularly the probiotic range, has shown even faster growth [7] - The company is deepening its market presence in five core provinces while expanding into new regions, with significant revenue growth in peripheral provinces [7] E-commerce and Brand Development - The company is investing heavily in brand building and marketing, with sales expenses increasing by 83.2% to 1.226 billion yuan in 2024 [7] - Research and development expenses reached 72 million yuan, with 15 new patents filed [7] - The company launched new products in the probiotic series, enhancing its product offerings and market competitiveness [7] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.309 billion yuan, 5.358 billion yuan, and 6.459 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 375 million yuan, 474 million yuan, and 571 million yuan [10][11] - The company is expected to maintain a strong return on equity (ROE) of 24% in 2025, increasing to 31% by 2027 [10][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive industry [1] Core Views - The automotive sector is expected to enter a phase of sales prosperity, event catalysis, and industry trend resonance, with continued optimism for investment opportunities in the automotive sector [8][18] - The 2024 vehicle trade-in policy has boosted passenger vehicle sales beyond expectations, and the continuation of this policy in 2025 is expected to support upward consumer spending on automobiles [8][18] Summary by Sections Recent Developments - The Tengshi N9 SUV was launched on March 21, with a starting price of 389,800 yuan, featuring advanced specifications such as a power output of nearly 1,000 horsepower and a 0-100 km/h acceleration time of 3.9 seconds [5][15] - The second-generation Haval Xiaolong MAX began pre-sales on March 21, with a starting price of 138,800 yuan, showcasing a comprehensive power system and intelligent driving features [6][16] - Elon Musk held a Tesla all-hands meeting on March 20, discussing innovations in production lines and plans for mass production of autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots [7][17] Market Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index during the week of March 17-21, with the automotive index declining by 0.8% compared to the Shanghai Composite's decline of 1.6% [20] - The report highlights a significant increase in the penetration rate of advanced driving assistance systems, benefiting leading automakers and related component manufacturers [9][19] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities, including: 1. Domestic automakers entering a new phase of high-end development, with companies like Li Auto, JAC Motors, Geely, BYD, and Great Wall Motors expected to benefit [19] 2. The "affordability" of advanced driving technology is anticipated to significantly increase its market penetration, with recommendations for companies like XPeng Motors, Huayang Group, Desay SV, and Kobot [19] 3. The potential for mass production of robots, with recommendations for leading companies in the industry chain such as Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Beite Technology [19] 4. Favorable conditions for high-quality auto parts manufacturers amid a complex export environment, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., and Yinlun [19] 5. Recovery in the commercial vehicle sector, particularly for heavy trucks, with recommendations for leading companies like China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Yutong Bus [19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10] Core Insights - The company's profitability has significantly improved, with adjusted net profit increasing by 702.1% year-on-year [4] - The company reported a revenue of 2.24 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 155.6% [3][4] - The company is expanding its product offerings across all age groups and is focusing on penetrating lower-tier markets [5] - The company has established a strong presence in overseas markets, with overseas sales revenue growing by 518.1% [7] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 52.6%, an increase of 5.3 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The adjusted net profit margin reached 26.1%, up by 17.8 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company expects revenues of 3.89 billion RMB in 2025, with a projected adjusted net profit of 972 million RMB [9] Product and Market Strategy - The company has launched 682 SKUs covering various age groups, with a focus on popular IPs such as Ultraman and Transformers [5] - The revenue from building block toys decreased by 62.9% year-on-year, indicating a shift in consumer preference towards role-playing toys [5] - The company has introduced a 9.9 RMB Transformers SKU to expand its price range and target lower-tier markets [5] Sales Channels - Online sales accounted for 6.95% of total revenue, while offline sales made up 93.04%, showing a strong reliance on traditional retail channels [6][7] - The company has seen a significant increase in revenue from distribution sales, which reached 20.63 billion RMB, up by 181.5% year-on-year [7] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 5.17 billion RMB by 2026, with an adjusted net profit of 1.29 billion RMB [9][10] - The expected return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 101% in 2025, indicating strong profitability potential [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company has shown impressive revenue growth of 18.59% year-on-year, reaching 3.021 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 388 million yuan, also up 18.03% year-on-year [4][5] - The product structure continues to optimize, with over 70% of revenue coming from products priced above 100 yuan, reflecting a shift towards higher-end offerings [5][6] - The company is actively expanding its market presence, particularly in the Gansu province and surrounding areas, with revenue from Gansu reaching 2.231 billion yuan, up 16.14% year-on-year [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 693 million yuan, a significant increase of 31.11% year-on-year, although net profit slightly decreased by 2.05% [4][5] - The sales gross margin was recorded at 60.92%, a decrease of 1.52 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in the gross margin of other businesses [5][6] Product and Market Development - The company’s product lines, particularly those priced above 300 yuan, saw a revenue increase of 41.17%, indicating strong demand for premium products [5] - The company is focusing on market integration in Gansu and Qinghai, as well as expanding into the Shaanxi and Ningxia markets, which is expected to enhance market share [5] Future Projections - The company aims for a revenue target of 3.280 billion yuan and a net profit of 408 million yuan for 2025, representing growth rates of 8.90% and 5.15% respectively [6][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.77 yuan in 2024 to 0.80 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.45 for 2024 [7][8]