Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [2][10]. Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its industrial internet platform and is successfully implementing its "going out" strategy, with AI application scenarios accelerating [3][10]. - The projected revenue for the company is expected to grow from 13.51 billion yuan in 2024 to 22.68 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16.5% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 927.43 million yuan in 2024 to 2.13 billion yuan in 2027, with a significant growth rate of 28.4% in 2027 [4][10]. - The company has successfully expanded its market presence, with over 120 mature AI application scenarios developed and contracts worth 256 million yuan signed in 2024 [10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections: 1,141 million yuan (2023), 1,351 million yuan (2024), 1,642 million yuan (2025), 1,947 million yuan (2026), and 2,268 million yuan (2027) [4][11]. - Net profit (attributable to shareholders): 62 million yuan (2023), 93 million yuan (2024), 126 million yuan (2025), 166 million yuan (2026), and 213 million yuan (2027) [4][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecast: 0.09 yuan (2023), 0.14 yuan (2024), 0.19 yuan (2025), 0.24 yuan (2026), and 0.31 yuan (2027) [4][11]. Market Data - The company's stock price has ranged between 7.01 yuan and 16.02 yuan over the past 52 weeks, with a total market capitalization of 7,749 million yuan [5][10]. - The company has a total share capital of 678 million shares, with 423 million shares in circulation [5][10]. Valuation Metrics - The report assigns a target price of 13.96 yuan based on a dynamic price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 75 times for 2025 [10][12]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 125.43 in 2023 to 36.41 in 2027 [4][11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the real estate sector [1] Core Insights - The real estate market in May continued to show stability, aligning with the government's efforts to stabilize the market and prevent further declines [3][60] - Key indicators such as sales area and sales amount showed narrow fluctuations compared to April, with sales area declining by 4.6% year-on-year and sales amount decreasing by 7.1% [5][60] - The report anticipates that urban renewal will be a significant focus, with an emphasis on "building good houses" as a consensus in the industry [61][62] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - In May, the real estate market maintained a steady state, with most data showing narrow fluctuations compared to April [5][60] - Year-on-year sales area decreased by 4.6%, while sales amount fell by 7.1% [5][60] - The report notes that the overall trend is expected to continue, with a focus on stabilizing the market [3][60] 2. Investment Trends - The cumulative real estate development investment from January to May 2025 was 36,234 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.7% [12] - New construction area saw a year-on-year decline of 22.8%, while completed area decreased by 17.3% [18][26] - The report suggests that the focus should shift from year-on-year growth rates to absolute levels, with a projected total real estate development investment of 10 trillion yuan for 2024 [61][62] 3. Sales Performance - From January to May 2025, the total sales area of commercial housing was 35.3 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 2.9% [26][28] - The sales amount for commercial housing was 34,091 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.8% [10][26] - The report highlights a mismatch in supply and demand in first-tier cities, with sales showing significant strength [33] 4. Funding Sources - Total funding sources for real estate reached 40,232 billion yuan from January to May 2025, down 5.3% year-on-year [45][47] - Domestic loans accounted for 16.6% of funding sources, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% [47][49] - The report indicates that self-raised funds decreased by 7.2%, while foreign investment saw a significant increase of 49% [47][56] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Vanke A, Poly Development, and China Overseas Development in the development category [62] - For commercial and residential sectors, companies like China Resources Land and Longfor Group are highlighted [62] - The report emphasizes that companies with lower burdens will have a more significant advantage in the current structural market [62]

股票研究/[Table_Date] 2025.06.19 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 股 票 研 究 全球局势不稳，国内稳定溢价 [Table_Industry] 公用事业 [table_Authors] 吴杰(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040109 本报告导读： 近期南方梅雨开始，预计水电出力或增加，下周水电或受益，可以关注。 投资要点： 行 业 双 周 报 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 [Table_Summary] 梅雨到来，需求增加，水电火电皆可看好。如我们上周所说"5 月 长源电力和龙源电力的发电数据均较前 5 月好转，近期南方梅雨或 开始，预计水电出力或增加，夏季的火电和煤炭需求仍需观察"。截 止 6 月 13 日 Q2 现货电价广东同比-1.4%，山东山西-15/-14%，预计 是广东梅雨用电需求大增。 要求分布式光伏自用高比例，实质是将消纳责任"内部化"：（1）浙 江、安徽、江苏、广东等地明确年自发自用电量占发电量的比例暂 不强制要求；山西、辽宁、山东、广西、海南等省（区）余电上网 模式的年自发自用比例需 50%以 ...

Financial System and Global Governance - The international monetary system is evolving towards a structure with a few dominant sovereign currencies competing and balancing each other[11] - The global cross-border payment system is developing towards greater efficiency, security, inclusiveness, and diversity[11] - New structural monetary policy tools are being innovated, including pilot programs for blockchain credit letters and cross-border trade financing[12] Financial Opening and Opportunities - China's financial high-level opening has vast prospects, focusing on expanding consumer demand and financial services[3] - Strong momentum in green finance, with foreign institutions introducing ESG rating systems and climate risk management tools[3] - Significant potential in pension finance, with plans to expand pension wealth management and insurance products[3] Capital Market and Innovation - The capital market is being enhanced to better support technology and industrial innovation, with new policies to facilitate the listing of unprofitable tech companies[6] - The introduction of a "1+6" policy framework aims to deepen reforms in the capital market, including the establishment of a growth tier on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board[23] - Emphasis on nurturing long-term capital and improving the service system for technology enterprises throughout their lifecycle[23] Foreign Exchange Management - A comprehensive foreign exchange management system is being established to enhance convenience, openness, safety, and intelligence[28] - Ten facilitation policies will be implemented in free trade pilot zones, including optimizing international trade settlement and expanding the Qualified Foreign Limited Partner (QFLP) pilot[28] - The RMB exchange rate is expected to remain stable, with a focus on managing risks associated with the weakening of the US dollar's dominance[28]

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Core Insights - The report emphasizes the optimistic outlook for China's stock market, termed as the "transformation bull market," driven by declining discount rates and favorable economic policies, which create a conducive environment for thematic investments [10][11]. Investment Themes Theme 1: Artificial Intelligence (AI) - AI is identified as a key investment trend with significant characteristics, including a clear industrial logic and vast market potential. The investment path is expected to follow the patterns of "information infrastructure construction," "basic software deployment," "online application explosion," and "restructuring of offline industries" [2][32]. - The AI industry is in an early stage, with the potential for substantial growth as it transitions from overseas mapping and speculative trading to self-sufficiency and industrial chain momentum [24][33]. Theme 2: Embodied Intelligence - The report highlights the rapid commercialization of humanoid robots, with applications expected to accelerate in various sectors such as education, healthcare, and industrial manufacturing. China has a robust manufacturing base and a complete supply chain for humanoid robots [38][39]. - The market for humanoid robots is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 200,000 units by 2035, driven by increasing demand in both B2B and B2C scenarios [47][48]. Theme 3: Biological Economy and Brain-Machine Interfaces - The biological economy is poised for growth, leveraging advancements in biotechnology, including synthetic biology and gene editing technologies. This sector is expected to meet health, safety, nutrition, and environmental needs [57][59]. - The brain-machine interface industry is still in the research phase, but several companies are making strides in hardware and application breakthroughs, indicating a promising future for this technology [4][62]. Theme 4: 6G Communication - The report anticipates significant advancements in communication technology with the development of 6G, which promises lower latency and higher connection density compared to 5G. This will drive upgrades across the entire industry chain, from materials to applications [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the decline in risk-free interest rates and improved investor sentiment are key drivers of market dynamics, facilitating increased market participation and investment opportunities [11][15]. - The government's focus on innovation and technology integration is expected to further stimulate the growth of emerging industries, creating a favorable investment landscape [17][23].

Group 1 - The report highlights ten investment themes focusing on advanced manufacturing, emerging technologies, and structural improvements, indicating a favorable environment for thematic investments in the second half of 2025 [1][4][10] - The report emphasizes the shift in investor perception towards a "transformation bull market" in China's stock market, driven by declining discount rates and a reduction in opportunity costs for equity investments [10][11] - The low-altitude economy is entering a "manned era," with the first operational certificates for manned civil unmanned aerial vehicles issued, indicating significant growth potential in this sector [2][34] Group 2 - The low-altitude economy market is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026, with a growth rate of 33.8% year-on-year in 2023, driven by the manufacturing of low-altitude aircraft and operational services [36][40] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to see a significant increase in satellite launch demand, with multiple satellite constellations entering a dense networking phase, highlighting a substantial gap in launch capacity [41][49] - The deep-sea technology sector is being prioritized under the "Marine Power" strategy, with a focus on developing key technologies and equipment, aiming to enhance China's capabilities in deep-sea resource exploration and utilization [55][64] Group 3 - The semiconductor industry is identified as a critical battleground in the technology competition, with a focus on domestic advancements in lithography technology and the promotion of mergers and acquisitions to strengthen the supply chain [3][64] - The report recommends investing in leading semiconductor equipment and materials companies, as well as domestic computing power industry chains, to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced semiconductor technologies [3][64] - The intelligent driving sector is experiencing accelerated penetration, with the report suggesting investments in key components such as intelligent driving chips, cameras, and lidar systems, as well as smart transportation software and hardware companies [3][64]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the low-altitude flight training industry Core Insights - The low-altitude market is thriving, with both manned and unmanned aircraft flourishing, highlighting the increasing importance of flight training as a critical infrastructure for development [7] - There is a significant supply-demand imbalance in both the general aviation and drone training markets, with the general aviation training market facing a contraction in demand while the drone training market is experiencing rapid supply expansion [54] Summary by Sections 1. Pilot License Requirements - General aviation licenses are more stringent than drone licenses, with a four-tier management system established by CAAC for various pilot licenses [2][8] - Drone licenses follow a tiered management structure based on weight and operational type, with a focus on safety and compliance costs [14][15] 2. Supply-Demand Dynamics in General Aviation and Drone Sectors - The general aviation training market is oversupplied, with a projected 3,650 pilots for 1,982 aircraft by the end of 2024, indicating no significant overall shortage [21][31] - The number of drone operator licenses has increased over five times from 2018 to 2024, with a CAGR of 35%, although the actual demand for drone pilots is overstated [47][49] 3. Market Challenges and Transformations - The general aviation training market is expected to face a clearing and transformation due to a mismatch between supply and demand, with a training vacancy rate rising to 18.2% by 2024 [55][66] - The rapid expansion of drone training institutions, from fewer than 500 in early 2024 to 2,690 by mid-2025, raises concerns about potential oversupply in the industry [66][67]

Semiconductor Sector - Qualcomm announced the acquisition of Alphawave for $2.4 billion, aiming to enhance its data center capabilities and meet the growing demand for high-performance computing[9] - Micron Technology plans to increase its investment in U.S. manufacturing to $200 billion, creating approximately 90,000 jobs and expanding its semiconductor production capacity[16] - AMD launched the Instinct MI350 series GPUs, featuring a 35x improvement in inference capability compared to the previous MI300 series, utilizing a 3nm process technology[15] Automotive Electronics Sector - GAC Group unveiled the GOVY AirCab flying car, designed for low-altitude travel, with a lightweight carbon fiber structure and a 25-minute quick recharge capability[18] - NIO successfully established a battery swap network across 38 districts in Chongqing, with over 75 battery swap stations operational, achieving over 1 million battery swaps[24] - Leap Motor's C10 and T03 models officially entered the Hong Kong market, showcasing advanced technology and design aimed at young consumers[26] AI Sector - Cambridge University introduced the MTLA attention mechanism, achieving a 5x acceleration in inference speed while reducing memory usage to 1/8 of traditional methods[28] - The Chinese Academy of Sciences launched the "Enlightenment" system for fully automated chip design, achieving performance levels comparable to human experts[31] Metaverse Sector - Snap announced plans to release AR smart glasses, Specs, in 2026, featuring improved design and AI capabilities for enhanced user interaction[39] - Saphlux released a 0.13-inch full-color MicroLED display for AR applications, promising lower manufacturing costs and improved performance[41]

Group 1 - The report highlights the increasing likelihood of a weaker dollar due to misaligned monetary policies and challenges in the dollar's external circulation system [2][4][69] - It reviews seven significant periods of dollar depreciation since 1970, emphasizing the impact on various asset classes, particularly commodities and non-US equities [3][9][62] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the foreign exchange market, commodities, and non-US equity markets as the dollar weakens [4][62][70] Group 2 - The historical analysis indicates that during periods of dollar weakness, commodities consistently outperform, driven by a shift in investment towards tangible assets [63][62] - Non-US equity markets, particularly in emerging economies, tend to benefit from capital inflows and improved economic conditions during dollar depreciation phases [63][62] - The report identifies specific periods where asset performance varied significantly, with Asian markets often outperforming European markets during dollar weakness [14][23][35] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the potential for a new trend of dollar depreciation, driven by factors such as the narrowing interest rate differentials between the US and other economies [69][70] - It notes that the eurozone is likely to benefit the most from the rebalancing of dollar-denominated assets, as fiscal expansion in the region is expected to enhance economic prospects [77][79] - The analysis suggests that as the dollar weakens, there will be an increase in hedging against dollar exposure, further supporting the appreciation of currencies from regions holding significant US assets [77][79]