Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 14.73 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.77%, with a net profit of 1.62 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.34% [1]. - The recovery in urban rail and significant growth in overseas revenue are expected to drive future performance, alongside the demand for upgrades and renovations in the rail transit sector [1][3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing upgrades in high-speed rail communication systems and the opening of new growth avenues in overseas markets [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the gross margin was 28.76%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 12.70%, down 0.35 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 30.06%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.93 percentage points but an increase of 2.83 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Business Segments - The company’s revenue from the urban rail sector reached 3.92 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.85%, while overseas revenue surged by 55.92% to 944 million yuan [3]. - The total new contracts signed in H1 2025 amounted to 17.57 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.44% year-on-year, primarily due to a strategic reduction in low-margin engineering contracts [3]. Market Position - The company continues to lead in the high-speed rail and urban rail signal system integration markets, with significant contracts awarded for key projects [4]. - The company secured contracts worth 1.48 billion yuan for high-speed rail renovation projects, marking a year-on-year increase of 74.86% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 3.70 billion, 3.93 billion, and 4.24 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 0.35, 0.37, and 0.40 yuan [5]. - The target price for the company's A/H shares is set at 7.00 yuan and 4.02 HKD, reflecting a valuation of 20x and 10.5x PE respectively for 2025 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year decline in net profit of 19% for H1 2025, with revenue decreasing by 6% to 680 million RMB. The second quarter saw a revenue drop of 12% year-on-year [1]. - Despite the current challenges, the company is expected to benefit from the growth of various specialty gas products and the acceleration of domestic semiconductor production, indicating potential for a new growth phase [1]. - The report highlights that the company is successfully introducing its products to over 90% of domestic 8-12 inch chip manufacturers, with ongoing projects progressing smoothly [3]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the specialty gases segment revenue decreased by 9% to 420 million RMB, while the ordinary industrial gases segment saw a 15% increase to 150 million RMB. The overall gross margin improved by 1.9 percentage points to 33.5% [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 220 million RMB, 260 million RMB, and 350 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17%, 21%, and 32% [4][10]. Valuation - The target price for the company is set at 63.00 RMB, based on a 35x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting an increase from the previous target of 57.60 RMB [4][6]. - The report indicates that the company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.80 RMB, 2.18 RMB, and 2.87 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 9.11 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 470 million RMB, up 9% year-on-year. The revenue growth exceeded the previous full-year expectation of 7%, but the net profit growth was slightly below the 11% forecast due to lower gross margins from rapidly growing professional value-added services [1][2]. - The company continues to improve its basic property management profitability and maintain a competitive advantage in market expansion [1][3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue from basic property management increased by 8% to 6.85 billion RMB in H1 2025, with a gross margin improvement of 0.6 percentage points to 11.6%. The residential and non-residential revenue grew by 12% and 6% respectively [3]. - The professional value-added services segment saw a significant revenue increase of 87% to 1.72 billion RMB, primarily due to strategic collaboration with China Merchants Shekou, although this segment has a lower gross margin of 8% [2][3]. Cash Flow and Receivables - The company's accounts receivable decreased by 10% year-on-year, and the operating cash flow showed a narrowing net outflow compared to the same period last year, indicating strong cash flow management [2]. Asset Management - The asset management segment's revenue grew by 6% to 310 million RMB, but the gross margin declined by 4.1 percentage points to 48.6% due to increased personnel costs [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report projects EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 0.88, 0.98, and 1.08 RMB respectively. The target price is set at 14.96 RMB, based on a 25 PE ratio, reflecting the company's strong market expansion capabilities and improving profitability in basic property management [5][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 120 million RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 49.74%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -37.13 million RMB, up 13.72% year-over-year [1] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the recovery of military orders and the company's strong position in the precision-guided field, with a solid order backlog supporting high growth for the year [2] - The company is well-positioned in the civil aviation market, being the first in China to obtain triple certification from FAA/EASA/CAAC for satellite communication products, and is actively developing next-generation phased array products [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a comprehensive gross margin of 36.26%, a decrease of 13.09 percentage points year-over-year, and a net profit margin of -31.01%, an increase of 22.81 percentage points year-over-year [4] - The company expects to improve its profitability as capacity utilization increases and high-margin products are ramped up [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 62.26 million RMB, 159.28 million RMB, and 241.65 million RMB, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 122.92%, 155.83%, and 51.71% [5] - The anticipated growth is supported by strong demand in the military sector and new growth points in civil aviation and satellite internet terminals [5] Valuation - The target price for the company is set at 51.22 RMB, based on a target PE of 54 times for 2026, reflecting an increase from the previous target of 50 times [5]

新奥能源 (2688 HK) 港股通 业绩符合预期，私有化顺利推进 2025 年 8 月 28 日│中国香港 燃气及分销 证券研究报告 新奥能源公布上半年业绩：1H25 收入 557 亿元（yoy+2.0%），归母净利 24.29 亿元（yoy-5.6%），核心利润 32.23 亿元（yoy-1.2%）；核心利润基 本符合我们的预测（33.0 亿元）。1H25 公司国内基础业务核心利润 yoy+0.7%，泛能资本开支扩张用于光储业务，智家渗透率与客单价同比增 长。公司中期 DPS 同比持平于 0.65 港币、派息率 21%。参考私有化交易 方案，新奥能源当前股价隐含新奥股份在 H 股潜在折价比例为 36%，高于 公用事业 A+H 平均折价率（27%）。维持"买入"评级。 零售气量体现业务经营稳健，预计 2025 年毛利同比增长 4% 公司 1H25 实现零售气量 129.53 亿方（yoy+1.9%），增速好于全国天然气 表观消费量增速（yoy-0.9%），公司天然气业务经营稳健。其中工商业气 量 97.9 亿方（yoy+2.4%），得益于工业新开口气量和存量需求挖潜；居民 气量 30.4 亿方（yoy+1% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is experiencing a turning point in operations, supported by the resilience of the retail market and the rapid replication of new business models such as "Immediate Move-In" and "Beautiful Countryside" [1][2] - The overall price competition in the paint industry has temporarily subsided, leading to a steady growth in retail and an improvement in gross margins [2] - The demand for renovation in the paint sector has exceeded 50%, with the "Immediate Move-In" model aligning well with consumer needs in the existing housing market [3] - The company is actively participating in rural revitalization, maintaining the top market share in the imitation stone paint segment [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenues of 1.574 billion, 1.795 billion, 1.733 billion, and 460 million for home decoration wall paint, engineering wall paint, base materials, and waterproof membranes respectively, with year-on-year changes of +8.4%, -2.3%, +10.4%, and -28.6% [2] - The overall gross margin improved to 32.35%, a year-on-year increase of 3.7 percentage points, with specific margins for home decoration wall paint, engineering wall paint, base materials, and waterproof membranes at 49.4%, 35.4%, 20.6%, and 13.8% respectively [2] - The company forecasts net profits of 780 million, 980 million, and 1.21 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 54.0% [5] Market Position and Strategy - The company has over 2,300 "Immediate Move-In" community stores, reaching 420,000 households, with more than 15,000 professional service personnel [3] - The imitation stone paint market in China is projected to reach 22 billion by 2024, with the company holding a market share of 7.6% [4] - The company's revenue from the "Beautiful Countryside" business, primarily based on imitation stone paint, reached 940 million, growing over 50% year-on-year [4] Valuation - The target price for the company is set at 53.19 RMB, with a closing price of 47.71 RMB as of August 27 [11] - The report assigns a 40x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2026, reflecting the strong retail attributes of the paint sector and the potential for domestic brand replacement [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy" for the company [7]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in its power generation operations, with a focus on diversification proving effective [1]. - The company aims to reduce capital expenditures while increasing dividend levels and improving the quality of earnings [1]. - The report anticipates stable growth in cement investment returns amid a backdrop of reduced competition [1]. Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.09 billion CNY, a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in revenue from waste disposal construction [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.29 billion CNY, an increase of 9.3% year-on-year [1]. - The core net profit from the waste-to-energy business was 450 million CNY, a decrease of 6.0% year-on-year, impacted by a high base and losses in the new energy segment [1][2]. Waste Disposal Operations - The waste disposal segment generated revenue of 2.38 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, down 7.0% year-on-year, with construction revenue dropping significantly by 54.5% [2]. - The operational revenue increased by 7.6% year-on-year to 2.11 billion CNY, with 8.02 million tons of municipal waste processed, a 3% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company has improved its operational quality, with 87 waste-to-energy projects in operation by the end of the first half of 2025 [2]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The company reported a net cash inflow from operating activities of 910 million CNY, a slight decrease of 20 million CNY year-on-year [3]. - The company announced an interim dividend of 0.1 HKD per share, totaling 164 million CNY [3]. - The asset-liability ratio at the end of the first half of 2025 was 40.05%, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Joint Venture Investments - The share of profits from joint ventures was 840 million CNY, an increase of 19.7% year-on-year, benefiting from improved competition in the cement industry [4]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for joint venture earnings, particularly from the Conch Cement Group, which reported a net profit of 4.368 billion CNY, up 31.3% year-on-year [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.48 billion CNY, 2.76 billion CNY, and 3.03 billion CNY, respectively [5]. - The report assigns a valuation of 8.8x 2025 P/E for the environmental business and 9.3x 2025 P/E for the Conch Cement investment business [5]. - The target price has been raised by 16.6% to 12.12 HKD, based on the updated valuation metrics [5].

证券研究报告 中闽能源 (600163 CH) 业绩低于预期，海上风电新项目启动 2025 年 8 月 28 日│中国内地 发电 中闽能源发布半年报，1H25 实现营收 7.94 亿元（yoy-3%），归母净利 3.14 亿元（yoy-8%），扣非净利 3.02 亿元（yoy-7%）。其中 Q2 实现营收 2.80 亿元（yoy-21%，qoq-45%），归母净利 6,325 万元（yoy-51%，qoq-75%）， 归母净利低于我们的预测（1.05~1.16 亿元）、主要是电价下降导致毛利率 低于预期。长乐 B 区海上风电项目完成投决，我们预计有望于 26 年底前投 运、27 年贡献利润增量。维持"买入"评级。 并网装机同比持平，来风资源影响净利表现 截至 2025 年 6 月末公司并网装机合计 95.73 万千瓦，较年初无变化。1H25 福建海上风电净利 yoy-3.5%至 2.22 亿元、福建陆上风电净利 yoy+20%至 1.55 亿元。来风大小是影响公司业绩的核心变量，1H25 公司的福建陆上/ 海上风电利用小时分别为 1,356/2,037 小时（yoy+6.6%/-1.6%），均好于国 内风电均 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 21.42 [1][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 49.9 billion for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.92%, and a net profit of RMB 3.475 billion, up 159% year-on-year. However, Q2 showed a revenue of RMB 25.5 billion, which was a 1.20% increase year-on-year but a 26.39% decrease quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The company has seen a continuous decline in pig farming costs, with estimated Q2 costs dropping to approximately RMB 12.4 per kilogram, leading to a significant profit advantage per head. The balance sheet is improving, although the chicken farming segment is facing losses due to a depressed market [1][2][3]. - The report suggests that the pig farming industry is beginning to show signs of "anti-involution," indicating a shift towards higher quality competition, which could benefit low-cost, high-quality producers like the company [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved RMB 32.7 billion in revenue from pig farming, a 16% increase year-on-year, driven by a 16% rise in sales volume to 16.62 million heads. The average profit per head for the first half is estimated to be around RMB 300 [2]. - The chicken farming segment generated RMB 15.1 billion in revenue, a 9% decrease year-on-year, with a sales volume of 598 million birds, reflecting an 18% drop in average selling price due to a relaxed supply situation [2]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights that the Ministry of Agriculture's monitoring indicates a reduction in the number of breeding sows, suggesting a potential stabilization in pig prices and improved profitability for the industry in the long term [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from its cost advantages and improved balance sheet, which may enhance its dividend-paying capacity as capital expenditures decrease [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast remains unchanged, with expected net profits of RMB 9.4 billion for 2025, RMB 9.4 billion for 2026, and RMB 19.4 billion for 2027. The company is valued at a price-to-book ratio of 2.97x for 2025 [4][8].

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating was provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The relative value advantage of the domestic stock market over bonds has declined but remains relatively high compared to historical levels. Strategically, investors can continue to rely on the negative correlation between stocks and bonds for portfolio allocation, and tactically, the dynamic weight allocation still favors overweighting stocks [1][2][8]. - Since August, the increase in Hong Kong stocks has significantly lagged behind that of A - shares, possibly due to liquidity differences. There may be potential catch - up opportunities for Hong Kong stocks when the Fed turns dovish, and the indicative significance of the AH premium may be weakened [2][19]. - Globally, A - share valuations are still relatively low and may have significant room for improvement from perspectives such as the stock market capitalization/GDP ratio [2][27]. - In the US stock market, during the interest - rate cut cycle, small - and medium - cap and cyclical sectors, which are more sensitive to interest rates, may perform relatively well in the short term, while leading technology stocks with strong earnings may remain the long - term main theme [1][2][33]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Condition Assessment - Domestic: New and second - hand housing transactions have marginally stabilized, export throughput has maintained resilience, and price trends are differentiated. The central bank has continuously supported the liquidity, and the Fed's expected interest - rate cut provides room for subsequent incremental monetary policies. Fiscal policy may see a window of opportunity around the junction of the third and fourth quarters. Real estate policies continue to boost demand [3][45][47]. - Overseas: The US economy has maintained resilience. Powell's dovish speech signaled a possible interest - rate cut in September. The US 8 - month Markit composite PMI reached a 9 - month high [46]. Configuration Suggestions - **Large - scale assets**: The Fed's dovish stance steepens the US Treasury yield curve, benefiting global cyclical assets. It is advisable to use gold as a defensive position. A - shares are expected to be active in the short term and re - evaluated in the long term. The US Treasury yield curve is more likely to steepen, and short - end operations have higher certainty. The volatility of US stocks may increase in the short term, and it is recommended to hedge risks. Commodity sentiment has generally improved [4][39]. - **Domestic bond market**: The current bond market has weak coupon protection, high speculation, and strong sentiment - driven characteristics. Interest rates are likely to have an upper limit. It is recommended to look for opportunities after October and focus on curve steepening transactions. Avoid some volatile bond varieties [39]. - **Domestic stock market**: Near - term events may disrupt the market, but the overall environment remains favorable. Investors are advised to focus on the "hard technology" theme and explore "anti - involution" sub - themes. Increase trading flexibility if certain signals appear [40]. - **US Treasury bonds**: The market's expectation of an interest - rate cut has increased. It is expected that there will be at least two interest - rate cuts this year. Short - term trading may revolve around interest - rate cut expectations, and long - term, the probability of a steepening yield curve is higher. Band trading is recommended, with higher certainty at the short end [41]. - **US stocks**: After the Fed turns dovish, cyclical sectors may perform well in the short term, but there may be回调 risks. Technology stocks may remain the long - term main theme. It is recommended to hedge risks and wait for opportunities after Nvidia's earnings report [41]. - **Commodities**: The expectation of interest - rate cuts and the weakening of the US dollar have warmed commodity sentiment. Mineral stocks may have greater elasticity. Gold is expected to be strong, oil prices have bottomed out but are bearish in the long term, and copper prices may fluctuate in the short term [44]. Follow - up Concerns - **Domestic**: China's official and S&P Global manufacturing PMI for August, and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Tianjin Summit [61]. - **Overseas**: The US second - quarter real GDP annualized quarterly rate revision, July existing home sales index monthly rate, July core PCE price index annual and monthly rates, and other economic data from the US, Eurozone, UK, and Japan [61].