Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a projected decline in revenue for 2025, with an estimated revenue of 6,195 million RMB, representing a decrease of 4.33% compared to 2024 [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease significantly to 1,513 million RMB in 2025, down 21.26% from 2024 [5] - The report anticipates a recovery in net profit growth in 2027, with a projected increase of 1.62% [5] Financial Data Summary - As of March 25, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 3.05 RMB, with a one-year high of 4.11 RMB and a low of 2.73 RMB [3] - The total market capitalization is approximately 14,645.66 million RMB, with a circulating market value equal to the total market value [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 15.08% and a net asset value per share of 2.25 RMB [3] - The forecasted operating income for 2024 is 6,475 million RMB, with a growth rate of 4.50% [5] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.32 RMB, reflecting a decrease from 0.40 RMB in 2024 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline to 12.26% in 2025 from 17.75% in 2024 [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 9.68 for 2025 [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a projected decline in revenue for 2025, with an estimated revenue of 6,195 million RMB, representing a decrease of 4.33% compared to 2024 [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease to 1,513 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 21.26% [5] - The report anticipates a recovery in net profit growth in 2027, with an estimated net profit of 1,463 million RMB, indicating a slight increase of 1.62% from 2026 [5] Financial Data Summary - As of March 25, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 3.05 RMB, with a one-year high of 4.11 RMB and a low of 2.73 RMB [3] - The total market capitalization is approximately 14,645.66 million RMB, with a circulating market capitalization also at 14,645.66 million RMB [3] - The company has a total share capital of 4,801.86 million shares and a debt-to-asset ratio of 15.08% [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.32 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.68 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decrease to 12.26% in 2025, down from 17.75% in 2024 [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's revenue is forecasted to be 6,475 million RMB in 2024, with a growth rate of 4.50% compared to 2023 [5] - The operating profit is projected to decline to 1,765 million RMB in 2025, down from 2,244 million RMB in 2024, indicating a significant drop of 21.31% [7] - The report provides a detailed financial forecast, including operating income, costs, and net profit for the years 2024 to 2027, highlighting the expected trends in profitability and revenue growth [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed recovery in passenger traffic, with international flights increasing while domestic flights are decreasing, leading to an overall reduction in total flights [5][6] - Domestic flights are seeing significant growth in regional routes due to infrastructure development, while international flights have recovered to 85% of pre-pandemic levels, with improvements in the market share of foreign carriers [4][14] - Major airlines such as Huaxia, Spring Airlines, and Air China have shown notable increases in market share [23][24] - Airport expansions and renovations are facilitating the release of mainline resources, although the overall flight volume is decreasing compared to last year [33][35] - Cargo flights have decreased both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, despite an increase in international flights [44][45] Summary by Sections Passenger Traffic - Total weekly passenger flights for the summer of 2025 are projected at 130,000, reflecting a 15% increase compared to summer 2019 but a 3.3% decrease compared to summer 2024 [6][7] - Domestic flights account for 113,000 weekly flights, up 22.4% from summer 2019 but down 3.8% from summer 2024 [6][7] - International flights are at 15,000 weekly, down 16.4% from summer 2019 but up 4% from summer 2024 [6][7] Domestic Market - The domestic market is experiencing a clear increase in regional flights due to infrastructure investments, with a notable rise in the number of regional flights [9][13] - The distribution of domestic flights shows a significant share for mainline flights, with a 57.1% share for mainline to mainline routes [13] International Market - The international market has seen a recovery rate of 85%, with foreign carriers' market share improving to 42%, recovering to 81% of the levels seen in summer 2019 [19][21] - Regional recovery rates vary, with East Asia at 90% and North America at only 27% [21][22] Airline Performance - Among listed airlines, Huaxia, Spring Airlines, and Air China have significantly increased their flight volumes compared to 2019, with growth rates of 48%, 39%, and 17% respectively [24][29] - Conversely, airlines like Hainan and China Southern have seen declines in their flight volumes [24][29] Airport Developments - Major airports such as Guangzhou and Shanghai have seen flight volume increases exceeding 10% due to renovations and expansions [35] - However, only a few airports maintained positive growth compared to summer 2024, indicating a trend towards capacity saturation at major hubs [35] Cargo Operations - The total weekly cargo flights for summer 2025 are projected at 7,561, reflecting a 66.7% increase compared to summer 2019 but a 4.8% decrease compared to summer 2024 [45][46]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is entering a sustainable profit phase, with positive earnings guidance for 2025 [5] - The company reported a net profit of $37.7 million for 2024, slightly exceeding expectations, indicating financial self-sufficiency [7] - The core product, Furmonertinib, has exceeded market expectations in global sales, and the company is expanding its pipeline with tangible progress [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at $694 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.17% [6][11] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be $393 million, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 942.79% [6][11] - The company expects comprehensive revenue from its oncology/immunology business to be between $350 million and $450 million in 2025 [7] Future Catalysts - Continued overseas sales growth for Furmonertinib in Europe and Japan is anticipated to drive new growth [7] - The company plans to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) for Savolitinib for NSCLC in 2025 [7] - The antibody-drug conjugate ATTC platform is expected to start clinical trials in the second half of 2025 [7] Pipeline Overview - The company has a diversified and validated late-stage product pipeline, including several drugs with positive clinical data and upcoming NDA submissions [8]

林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 证券研究报告 建筑材料 | 水泥 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 25 日 证券分析师 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报，实现收入 910.30 亿元，同比下降 35.51%，归母净利 润 76.96 亿元，同比下降 26.19%；其中单四季度实现收入 228.79 亿元，同比下滑 45.53%，归母净利润 24.98 亿元，同比增长 42.27%。业绩符合预期。公司 2024 年 年度权益分配预案拟每 10 股派发现金红利人民币 7.10 元，合计派发现金红利人民 币 37.47 亿元，对应股息率 2.86%。 联系人 市场表现： 行业低景气致使 ...

证券研究报告 建筑材料 | 水泥 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 25 日 证券分析师 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | | 2025 | 年 | | 24 | 月 | 03 | | | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | 24.75 | | | | | | | / 最 低 | 最 | 高 | | | | | | | 内 | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市 ...

债市可能阶段性震荡 ——MLF 招标方式改革点评 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 证券研究报告 固收点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 03 月 25 日 证券分析师 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 第 2页/ 共 5页 25Q1 债市明显调整，Q2 可能震荡。由于 25Q1 债市明显调整，债市单边快速调整 的阶段可能接近尾声了，10Y 国债到 1.9%之后我们对债市的看法由看空转为看阶段 性震荡。目前，1Y 左右的债券定价已经反映 0 降息预期，安全边际较高。10Y 国债 收益率到 1.9%以上亦有配置价值。10Y 国债收益率年内虽可能到 2.0%，但到 1.9% 以上，银行有动力扩大配置。10Y 国债收益率 1.9%以上建议逐步配置，1.8%以下建 议大幅减仓；5Y 国股二级资本债 2.3%以上建议配置，2.1%以下则建议减仓，做小 波段。我们依然认为，2025 年债市没有趋势性机会，但也没有大熊市。债牛不再， 每涨卖机。 风险提示：政府债券增发规模大幅 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with an attractive dividend yield of 60% [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 54.213 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.48%, but the profit attributable to equity holders was 3.862 billion RMB, a growth of 25.2%, which was below market expectations due to higher-than-expected depreciation in renewable energy and an impairment loss of approximately 500 million RMB [7] - The company aims to become a leading global clean energy supplier and is currently valued at a historically low level, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.63 [7] - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is approximately 3.87 billion, 4.20 billion, and 4.57 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - Closing price as of March 24, 2025, was 3.00 HKD with a market capitalization of 37,110.45 million HKD [3] Financial Data - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 44.262 billion, 54.213 billion, 57.498 billion, 61.614 billion, and 68.380 billion RMB, with respective growth rates of 1.3%, 22.5%, 6.1%, 7.2%, and 11.0% [6][8] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 5.7% in 2023 to 8.1% in 2027 [6] Operational Highlights - The company’s installed capacity reached 49.39 million kilowatts by the end of 2024, with a clean energy share of 80% [7] - The total electricity sold in 2024 was 1280 billion kilowatt-hours, with significant year-on-year increases in hydropower and coal power sales [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The Shenzhen Municipal Development and Reform Commission announced a public hearing on water price adjustments scheduled for April 11, 2025, proposing an increase from 3.449 CNY/m³ to 3.8991 CNY/m³, representing a 13.05% increase [5] - The adjustment is expected to enhance profitability for local water supply companies, as it is the first price adjustment in eight years [5][6] - Other cities in Guangdong province, such as Foshan and Zhongshan, which have not adjusted water prices for 8-14 years, may follow suit, potentially improving their profitability as well [5] - The report suggests monitoring several state-owned water companies in Guangdong, including Hanlan Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities, as they may benefit from upcoming price adjustments [5] Summary by Sections Water Price Adjustment - Shenzhen's water price adjustment is part of a broader trend across the country, with multiple cities having initiated price hearings since 2021 [5] - The proposed price increase is structured to ensure that residential and non-residential users experience manageable increases, with specific adjustments detailed for different usage tiers [6] Company Valuation - The report includes a valuation table for key environmental companies, highlighting their earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the years 2023 to 2026 [7] - Companies such as China Water Affairs and North Control Water Group are listed with their respective ratings and financial metrics, indicating potential investment opportunities [7][8]