Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - Coal prices have rebounded above 700 RMB, with a current price of 704 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 24 RMB/ton (3.53%) [3][4] - The demand for non-electric coal is expected to be a highlight in the upcoming months, particularly during the "golden September and silver October" period [4] - The report predicts that the current rebound in coal prices is at a turning point, with potential further increases expected as the market stabilizes [4][5] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The prices of thermal coal and coking coal are at a turning point, with thermal coal prices expected to recover to long-term contract prices, currently above the second target price of around 700 RMB [4][13] - Future expectations indicate that thermal coal prices could reach a third target price of approximately 750 RMB, with a potential peak at around 860 RMB [4][13] Market Performance - The coal index increased by 3.51% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.96 percentage points [8][25] - The average PE ratio for the coal sector is 13.59, and the PB ratio is 1.28, ranking low among all A-share industries [25][31] Coal Price Indicators - As of September 19, the Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal price is 704 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 24 RMB [20] - The price of coking coal at the Jingtang port has risen to 1670 RMB/ton, reflecting a significant increase from earlier months [21][23] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a dual logic for investment in coal stocks, focusing on both cyclical recovery and stable dividends, with specific stocks recommended for investment [5][14] - Key stocks identified for investment include: - Cyclical logic: Jinko Coal Industry, Yanzhou Coal Mining - Dividend logic: China Shenhua, Zhongmei Energy - Diversified aluminum elasticity: Shenhua Holdings, Electric Power Investment Energy - Growth logic: Xinjie Energy, Guanghui Energy [5][14][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The building materials sector is driven by dual forces of policy and demand, with a focus on high-performance new materials supporting green construction and renovation [3] - The new materials industry in China is expected to grow from a value of 6.8 trillion yuan in 2022 to 10 trillion yuan by 2025, with 30 sub-industries transitioning to high value-added products [3] - The report highlights specific companies to invest in, including Sankeshu (channel expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproofing leader), Weixing New Materials (high-quality operations), and Jianlang Hardware [3] - The cement sector is expected to benefit from energy-saving and carbon reduction initiatives, with a target to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025 [3] Market Performance - The building materials index increased by 0.43% in the week from September 15 to September 19, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.88 percentage points [4][13] - Over the past three months, the building materials index has risen by 19.82%, while the CSI 300 index has increased by 14.18%, indicating a 5.64 percentage point outperformance [4][13] - In the past year, the building materials index has grown by 43.00%, compared to a 34.31% increase in the CSI 300 index, resulting in an 8.69 percentage point outperformance [4][13] Cement Sector Insights - As of September 19, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement in China was 279.00 yuan/ton, reflecting a 1.44% increase from the previous period [6][24] - The clinker inventory ratio reached 65.11%, up by 2.52 percentage points [6][24] - Regional price variations were noted, with increases in East China (+2.04%) and South China (+1.72%), while North China saw a decrease of 1.01% [24] Glass Sector Insights - The average price of float glass as of September 19 was 1208.98 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.55% [6][76] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 29,000 weight boxes, a decline of 0.53% [6][78] - The price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 125.00 yuan/weight box [6][80] Fiberglass Sector Insights - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4000 yuan/ton, with variations based on specific product types [6][5] - The market for fiberglass is showing stability, with flexible pricing strategies being employed by some manufacturers [6][5] Consumer Building Materials Insights - As of September 19, the price of asphalt was stable at 4570 yuan/ton, while the price of titanium dioxide decreased by 0.38% to 13000 yuan/ton [6][5] - The report indicates that raw material prices for consumer building materials are experiencing slight fluctuations [6][5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The retail industry is experiencing a shift towards emotional consumption, with brands that possess differentiated product capabilities and deep consumer insights gaining traction [31] - The report highlights the strong performance of the jewelry sector, particularly in high-end and fashion segments, driven by consumer preferences and innovative marketing strategies [31][39] Summary by Sections Retail Market Overview - The retail index closed at 2384.72 points, down 0.51% for the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell 1.30% [6][13] - Year-to-date, the retail index has increased by 6.51%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index's 13.97% rise [13][15] Key Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the successful autumn ordering meeting of Chao Hong Ji, showcasing strong demand for new products rooted in traditional craftsmanship and innovative designs [25][26] - The jewelry sector, particularly the high-end and fashion categories, is benefiting from emotional consumption trends, with brands like Lao Pu Gold and Chao Hong Ji recommended for investment [31][39] Company Performance Highlights - Lao Pu Gold reported a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan for H1 2025, a 250.9% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.268 billion yuan, up 285.8% [33][36] - Chao Hong Ji achieved a revenue of 4.102 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a 19.5% increase, with a net profit of 331 million yuan, up 44.3% [39][40] - The report also highlights the performance of other companies such as Mao Ge Ping and Ru Ben, which are experiencing significant growth in the cosmetics sector [32][42] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality companies in the emotional consumption theme, particularly in the jewelry and cosmetics sectors, with specific recommendations for Lao Pu Gold, Chao Hong Ji, and Mao Ge Ping [7][31][32]

Group 1: Smart Firefighting - The global smart firefighting system market is rapidly expanding, driven by the integration of IoT, big data, cloud computing, AI, and 5G technologies[14] - Key trends include remote monitoring acting as the "cloud brain" for 24/7 intelligent alerts and firefighting robots serving as "ground troops" for high-risk scenarios[3] - Qingniao Firefighting is entering the remote monitoring and firefighting robot sectors, establishing a new growth curve with its integrated service model[3][17] Group 2: AI in Grassroots Healthcare - The national health strategy prioritizes enhancing grassroots healthcare service capabilities, aiming for full coverage of basic medical services by 2027[19] - AI technology is increasingly seen as a solution to address issues like staff shortages and low technical levels in grassroots healthcare institutions[20] - Kangzhong Medical is actively investing in AI+ grassroots healthcare, forming strategic partnerships and launching community health service initiatives[21][22] Group 3: Market Performance - This week, the small-cap indices such as CSI 1000 and CSI 500 outperformed large-cap indices like SSE 50, with Qingdao Firefighting and Xinquan Co. leading in stock performance[5][24] - The average discount rate for new share placements was 14.2%, with an average yield of 17.1% this week[5][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media industry [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing investment opportunities in gaming, AI applications, and content innovation, highlighting the potential for significant revenue growth in these sectors [3][4] Industry Data Overview - The game "元气唤灵师" ranks first in the iOS free game chart, while "三角洲行动" tops the iOS revenue chart as of September 20, 2025 [10][14] - The film "731" achieved the highest box office revenue of 9.98 billion CNY for the week [25] Industry News Summary - Continuous advancements in AI applications and content innovation are expected to enhance the entertainment consumption landscape [29] - OpenAI is reportedly expanding its AI hardware initiatives, which may accelerate the commercialization of AI applications across various sectors [3][4] Company Highlights - Heartbeat Company is set to launch its self-developed RPG game "伊瑟" on September 25, 2025, with over one million pre-registrations, indicating strong market interest [3] - The collaboration between Heartbeat Company and the "黄油小熊" IP has led to a significant rise in the rankings of "心动小镇" in the iPhone game sales chart [3] Recommendations - The report suggests continued investment in the gaming sector, particularly in companies like Heartbeat Company, Giant Network, and Tencent, due to their promising new releases and established franchises [3][4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The new housing transaction area has shown a month-on-month increase, while the year-on-year decline in second-hand housing prices has narrowed. The overall real estate market is moving towards stabilization due to various supportive policies [5][61] - In the first eight months of the year, national real estate development investment reached 60,309 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.9%, with residential investment at 46,382 billion yuan, down 11.9% [5][61] Summary by Sections 1. Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate industry [1] 2. Sales Performance - In the 38th week of 2025, the transaction area of residential properties in 68 major cities reached 1.88 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 12% and a month-on-month increase of 9%. However, the cumulative transaction area from the beginning of the year to date is 85.96 million square meters, showing a year-on-year decline of 10% [19][30] - The transaction area of second-hand houses in 20 cities was 1.81 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth rate of 66% [37] 3. Investment Performance - The land transaction area in 100 major cities decreased by 43% year-on-year, with a transaction premium rate of 2.2% [41][44] - In the 38th week of 2025, the land planning area launched in 100 major cities was 2,361 million square meters, with 1,771 million square meters successfully transacted [41] 4. Financing Conditions - The issuance scale of domestic credit bonds decreased by 54% month-on-month, totaling 3.04 billion yuan, while the cumulative issuance scale was 2,940.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4% [50][54] 5. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that with more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, the existing housing supply-demand relationship is expected to improve, accelerating the stabilization process of the real estate market [5][61]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The investment logic for the pig industry continues to strengthen due to dual catalysts from policies and diseases, with a recommendation for long-term positioning despite current price lows [3][5] - The pet food export volume continues to grow year-on-year, indicating a sustained positive trend in the pet food market [4][28] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The pig price is running at a low level, with the national average price at 12.71 yuan/kg as of September 21, 2025, down 0.50 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 5.73 yuan/kg year-on-year [3][13] - The average weight of pigs sold is 128.45 kg, showing a slight increase week-on-week and year-on-year [3][13] - The pig industry is expected to see a strong execution of policies aimed at capacity reduction, which will enhance the expectations for substantial capacity reduction [3][13] Weekly Viewpoint - The investment logic for the pig industry is marginally improving, with a recommendation for companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [5][24] - The domestic feed market is benefiting from the post-cycle of poultry and livestock, with strong overseas demand supporting prices [5][25] - The pet food sector is experiencing a rise in domestic brands due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers [5][28] Market Performance (September 15-19) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 1.40 percentage points, with the agricultural index down 2.70% [6][29] - Leading stocks included Shennong Biotechnology (+9.36%), Xuelong Biotechnology (+7.64%), and Tianma Technology (+3.90%) [6][29] Price Tracking (September 15-19) - The average price of pigs was 12.68 yuan/kg, down 0.66 yuan/kg from the previous week [7][37] - The average price of piglets was 22.38 yuan/kg, down 1.57 yuan/kg week-on-week [7][37] - The average price of beef was 65.60 yuan/kg, showing a slight increase [44][37] Key News (September 15-19) - Notification regarding the central reserve frozen pork storage auction scheduled for September 23, 2025, with 15,000 tons available for auction [35]

北交所策略专题报告 2025 年 09 月 21 日 北交所打新策略：上市提速与资金涌入下的供需博弈与投资机遇 ——北交所策略专题报告 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 北交所新股呈现供给加速、资金踊跃、中签率低、收益率高的四重特征 从发审会节奏上来看，从 2025 年 2 季度开始，随着申报企业补充 2024 年报数据 的结束，北交所上市节奏出现提升，从 2024 年上市时间点看，3/4 季度是新股上 市的集中时间。截至 2025 年 9 月 19 日，2025 年 1-9 月北交所合计过会 23 家企 业，合计上市 14 家企业。从 2025 年三季度末开始，北交所网上发行有效申购户 数+冻结资金中枢进一步提高，2025 年 1-9 月北交所网上发行有效申购户数均值 达 56.54 万户，网上冻结资金均值达 5905.46 亿元；其中 2025 年 7-9 月网上发行 有效申购户数和网上冻结资金均值分别达 63.72 万户和 6673.86 亿元。从 2025 年北交所新股申购中签率来看，中签率整体处于低位，北交所 2025 年 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the encouragement of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) by policies, with two significant M&A events occurring in the past two weeks [3][11] - The report emphasizes the trend of M&A in the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE), focusing on resource integration within the same group, external acquisitions in new productivity industries, and "strong chain and supplement chain" expansion [3][19] - As of September 21, 2025, a total of 35 significant investment and M&A events have been disclosed on the BSE [21] Group 2 - Chuangyuan Xinke plans to acquire 100% of Weiyu Tiandao's equity through a combination of issuing shares and cash payments, with the transaction expected to be completed by September 30, 2025 [4][24] - Weiyu Tiandao, fully controlling Hunan Weidao, specializes in satellite navigation technology and has received a silver award for its patent technology in 2025 [4][35] - Chuangyuan Xinke focuses on enhancing wireless testing instruments, primarily in 5G/6G communication, vehicle networking testing, and satellite internet testing [5][36] Group 3 - The report notes that the recent M&A activities are part of a broader trend where companies are increasingly engaging in strategic collaborations and M&A to enhance their competitive edge and market presence [12][18] - The report identifies that the characteristics of current M&A activities on the BSE include a focus on synergistic relationships with core business operations and a preference for cash acquisitions [19][39] - The report indicates that the integration of advanced manufacturing and modern service industries is a key area of focus for the BSE, aiming to promote high-quality economic development [18][39]

Group 1 - The amino acid industry is experiencing a multi-field demand resonance, driven by technological upgrades and high-end transformation, with domestic companies like Wuxi Jinghai accelerating breakthroughs in high-end pharmaceutical raw materials [3][11][23] - The global amino acid production scale surpassed 10 million tons in 2021 and is expected to reach 13.8 million tons by 2027, while the global market size was $26.19 billion in 2021 and is projected to grow to $49.42 billion by 2030 [17][19][22] - Amino acids are widely used in pharmaceuticals, agriculture, health care, food feed, and cosmetics, with applications expanding due to increasing public awareness of health and nutrition [3][20][21] Group 2 - The North Exchange chemical new materials industry experienced a decline of 1.62% in the week from September 15 to September 19, 2025, with various sub-industries showing different levels of decrease [4][25][26] - Key stocks in the North Exchange chemical new materials sector that performed well during the week included Sanwei Equipment (+22.53%), Hanwei Technology (+15.26%), and Huitong New Materials (+5.68%) [33][35] - The overall performance of the North Exchange chemical new materials industry was weak, with all sub-industries experiencing declines, including battery materials (-3.93%) and non-metal materials (-4.36%) [26][30][32]