Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company [14]. Core Views - The company is a leader in ultrasonic equipment in China, gradually expanding its application fields and is optimistic about its platform-based layout and new business increments [2][8]. - The company has a comprehensive product matrix that covers various industry needs, with battery business as a cornerstone and rapid growth in harness, semiconductor, and consumable businesses [2][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2007, the company initially focused on ultrasonic cutting for rubber tires and has since expanded into the new energy battery sector, non-woven fabrics, harnesses, and semiconductors [2][8]. - The company has developed a complete ultrasonic technology platform, providing solutions across various industries, including new energy batteries, rubber tires, non-woven fabrics, automotive harnesses, and power semiconductors [25][31]. Financial Performance - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 585 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.30%, with significant growth in harness, semiconductor, and consumable businesses [8][41]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 is reported at 64.91%, an increase of 9.30 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Business Segments - **Battery Segment**: The ultrasonic welding technology is crucial for the ear welding stage in lithium batteries, with increasing demand driven by the growth of new energy vehicle sales [9][52]. - **Semiconductor Segment**: The company has secured bulk orders in the semiconductor field, particularly for advanced packaging and testing ultrasonic equipment, benefiting from the rapid growth of IGBT [10][41]. - **Harness Segment**: The demand for high-voltage harnesses in electric vehicles has opened up the welding market, with the company leading in market share and technology [11][41]. Research and Development - The company invests heavily in R&D, with a research expense ratio exceeding 20%, and has developed six core self-researched technologies that meet international standards [12][41]. - The high-margin consumable business is growing rapidly, providing stable cash flow for the company [12][41]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a market leader with strong customer resources and has established partnerships with major players in the industry [12][41]. - The competitive landscape shows the company gradually increasing its market share against domestic competitors [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [3] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of new equipment showcased in military parades since the 18th National Congress, which is expected to drive independent market trends in the sector [8] - The mid-term investment strategy for the defense and military industry in 2025 focuses on long-term profitability while also considering thematic investments [22] - The deep-sea technology sector, particularly Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (UUVs), is highlighted as a leading area for new equipment development, with the U.S. military market projected to exceed $50 billion over the next decade [56] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing intense competition for quality frequency resources, with domestic satellite constellations expected to accelerate deployment [84] Summary by Sections Military Parades and National Defense Achievements - Military parades since the 18th National Congress have showcased national defense achievements, with new equipment expected to drive independent market trends [10][13] - The 2019 National Day parade featured 580 pieces of equipment, 40% of which were making their debut [16] Investment Strategy for 2025 - The report outlines a mid-term investment strategy that emphasizes profitability and thematic investments, including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, deep-sea technology, and controlled nuclear fusion [22][26] Deep-Sea Technology - The report notes that deep-sea technology was first mentioned in the 2025 government work report, indicating its emerging importance as a new industry [63] - UUVs are highlighted for their cost-effectiveness and operational flexibility, with the U.S. military's UUV market projected to exceed $50 billion over the next decade based on demand for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) [74] Commercial Aerospace - The report discusses the growing demand for satellite constellations in the commercial aerospace sector, with over 20,000 satellites expected to be launched by 2030 [84]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the gaming industry [7]. Core Insights - The Chinese gaming market continues to grow at a high speed, with multiple new games contributing to incremental growth. The market size in May reached 28.051 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.86% and a month-on-month increase of 2.56% [4][10]. - Several self-developed games, such as "Kingshot," have performed well in overseas markets, indicating a strong outlook for game exports. The actual sales revenue of Chinese self-developed games in overseas markets was 1.577 billion USD in May, up 6.93% year-on-year [10]. - The issuance of game licenses has reached a recent high, with 158 licenses granted in June, including 147 domestic and 11 imported games, signaling positive policy support for the industry [10]. - The upcoming summer game release cycle is expected to sustain high industry prosperity, with several new titles from listed gaming companies showing strong performance [10]. - The combination of new game cycles, favorable policies, and advancements in AI technology is expected to enhance the valuation of the gaming sector, making it a focal point for investment opportunities [10]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The gaming market in China maintained a robust growth trajectory, with May's market size at 28.051 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.86% and a month-on-month growth of 2.56% [4][10]. - Mobile games contributed significantly, with a market size of 21.177 billion yuan in May, showing a year-on-year increase of 11.96% [10]. New Game Releases - Multiple new games have shown strong performance, with titles like "杖剑传说" and "超自然行动组" achieving significant revenue in their initial months [10]. - The summer release cycle is anticipated to further boost the gaming sector's fundamentals [10]. Policy Support - Recent policy initiatives have been introduced across various regions to support the gaming industry, including measures to enhance game exports and promote AI integration [10]. - The issuance of game licenses in June has set a new record since the resumption of approvals in 2022, indicating a stable and supportive regulatory environment [10]. AI Integration - Companies are making progress in integrating AI with gaming, with notable developments such as the upcoming launch of AI-driven gaming applications [10]. - The report highlights the potential for AI to catalyze growth within the gaming sector, enhancing both product offerings and operational efficiencies [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [13]. Core Views - The company has established itself as a leading player in the domestic energy storage market and is rapidly expanding into overseas markets. With improvements in domestic energy storage business models and sustained industry demand growth, the company's fundamentals exhibit high growth potential. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for energy storage installations is expected to exceed 30% from 2025 to 2030, indicating a strong demand environment [3][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2011, the company has grown into a domestic energy storage leader with a focus on large-scale, commercial, and residential storage applications. The company has shifted its focus from electric vehicle battery leasing to energy storage, achieving a shipment growth rate of 205% and a revenue growth rate of 117% from 2020 to 2024 [8][31]. Market Position and Performance - The company has maintained a gross margin above 18% despite significant price declines in the domestic energy storage market. The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 16.85% for domestic operations and 42.14% for overseas operations, indicating strong operational quality [9][40]. Growth Potential - The company is rapidly advancing its overseas energy storage business, with strategic partnerships established in Europe, North America, and Australia. The average gross margins for energy storage systems in these regions are significantly higher than in the domestic market, providing substantial profit potential as overseas sales increase [10][11]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 8.4 billion yuan in 2025 and 11.3 billion yuan in 2026, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of about 19 times and 14 times, respectively [11]. Industry Trends - The domestic energy storage market is experiencing a shift towards independent storage solutions, with a significant increase in installation and bidding volumes. The market is expected to maintain a favorable growth trajectory due to ongoing policy improvements and market dynamics [49][52].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The recent announcement of the stock swap merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation has been approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking a significant step towards the merger's completion. Post-merger, the company will become the largest publicly listed shipbuilding company globally, enhancing its influence while reducing competition within the shipbuilding sector [2][4] - The merger is expected to create synergies that will improve order efficiency and shipbuilding capacity, thereby enhancing profitability. Following the merger, the integration of other quality assets within the group is anticipated to commence [2][11] - The company is projected to see a continuous increase in the proportion of high-value ship orders delivered by 2025, leading to sustained performance growth. The advancement in deep-sea technology positions the company as a leader in marine engineering, which is expected to yield significant benefits [2][11] Summary by Sections Event Description - On July 4, the company announced that its application for a stock swap merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation has been approved by the M&A Review Committee of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, meeting the restructuring conditions and information disclosure requirements [4] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to maintain a leading position in global shipbuilding, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of 73.5 billion, 100.8 billion, and 128.0 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 20X, 15X, and 11X [11][15] - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow from 78.584 billion in 2024 to 109.957 billion in 2027, with gross profit margins increasing from 10% to 19% over the same period [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the real estate industry [11]. Core Insights - The policy goal of stabilizing the market has somewhat boosted market expectations, but marginal downward pressure has increased since April. The rapid decline in industry volume and price may have passed, with structural highlights in core areas and quality properties. The importance of real estate in the economic internal circulation cannot be overlooked, and attention should be paid to leading real estate companies with regional and product advantages, as well as those with stable cash flows [5][9]. - The rental-to-sale ratio, which is equivalent to the capitalization rate, is crucial for stabilizing housing prices. A rental-to-sale ratio below 2% is considered insufficient, and the actual interest rate is the key factor influencing this ratio. The current focus is more on housing consumption rather than investment [3][9]. Market Performance - The Yangtze River Real Estate Index increased by 0.32% this week, with a year-to-date decline of 4.64%. The sector has performed poorly relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, ranking 25th out of 32 this week and 30th out of 32 year-to-date [6][14]. - New housing transaction volumes in sample cities have dropped significantly, with new home transaction area down 13.7% year-on-year, while second-hand home transactions showed a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year [8][19]. Policy Updates - Recent policies include the Hubei province's plan to revitalize existing land resources and Guangzhou's new regulations for converting commercial loans to public housing fund loans. These policies aim to improve the efficiency of state-owned assets and support infrastructure projects through real estate investment trusts (REITs) [7][17]. Sales Data - The report indicates that new home sales in 37 cities have seen a year-on-year decline of 14.8% for the month of July, while second-hand home sales have decreased by 12.6% [8][19].

Core Insights - The banking sector is currently undergoing a trend of value reassessment, driven by expectations of fundamental stability, with banks' earnings resilience consistently exceeding expectations due to regulatory support and the establishment of risk bottom lines in key areas such as local government financing and real estate [4][8] - The current market rally is fundamentally a reflection of the stability of the banking sector rather than a reliance on macroeconomic recovery, marking a systematic value reassessment and correction of historically unreasonable low valuations [8][23] Summary by Sections Fundamental Outlook: Maintaining Earnings Stability - The net interest margin (NIM) is expected to stabilize as regulatory policies aim to maintain it by reducing banks' funding costs to offset the impact of loan interest rate cuts, with NIM currently at a low point [9][26] - Since 2022, multiple rounds of deposit rate cuts have been implemented, and as a significant amount of fixed-term deposits mature in 2025, the repricing of deposit costs will accelerate [9][26] - The overall non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of listed banks is expected to remain stable, supported by rapid asset expansion and write-offs, with a stable provision coverage ratio across most banks [9][37] Capital Market Dynamics: Increased Institutional Investment - Various capital entities, including state-owned enterprises and insurance companies, have been increasing their holdings in bank stocks, driven by the value reassessment of undervalued banks amid an asset scarcity environment [10][45] - The shift in investment strategy among active funds towards bank stocks is anticipated due to their significant index weight and long-standing underallocation, with a focus on quality banks with strong fundamentals [10][45] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality city commercial banks and dividend-paying banks, highlighting the investment value of state-owned banks listed in Hong Kong due to their lower valuations [11][10] - Specific banks recommended include Hangzhou Bank, Chengdu Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Qilu Bank, and Qingdao Bank, with a focus on their regional economic performance, asset quality, and growth rates [11][10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12]. Core Insights - The Yangtze Bank Index increased by 3.8% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.2% and the ChiNext Index by 2.3%. The bank index has accelerated its rise since July, indicating that the brief adjustment at the end of June was mainly due to institutional rebalancing, with solid fundamentals and core investment logic for bank stocks [2][6][18]. - The performance of city commercial banks exceeded expectations, primarily due to improved net interest margins and stable non-interest income amid bond market impacts. Overall, bank performance is expected to remain stable, with narrowing declines in net interest margins being a key highlight [8][36]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Yangtze Bank Index has shown a significant increase, reflecting a strong market sentiment towards bank stocks, particularly those with low price-to-book ratios such as Zheshang Bank, Minsheng Bank, and Pudong Development Bank [2][6][18]. - As of July 4, the average dividend yield of the five major state-owned banks' A-shares has decreased to 3.94%, with a spread of 229 basis points over the 10-year government bond yield. The average dividend yield for H-shares is 5.08%, indicating a more pronounced advantage for H-shares [20][23]. Earnings Outlook - The overall performance of banks is expected to remain stable, with city commercial banks maintaining their strong performance due to improved net interest margins and stable non-interest income. The decline in net interest margins is anticipated to narrow, supporting stable or improved interest income in the first half of the year [8][36][37]. - The asset quality of listed banks is expected to remain stable, with the overall non-performing loan ratio stabilizing due to rapid balance sheet expansion and write-offs. The retail loan non-performing pressure is expected to remain stable compared to last year [9][39][42]. Trading Dynamics - The trading congestion indicators for bank stocks have remained stable compared to the previous week, with a notable rotation towards low PB valuation stocks. The market's overall risk appetite has strengthened compared to previous quarters, indicating a recognition of the core investment logic [28][29].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [12]. Core Viewpoints - The recent market focus on the upper limit of bank stock valuations is less important than the investment logic, which suggests that 1x PB and a 4% dividend yield do not constitute valuation constraints [2][6]. - The core investment logic for bank stocks is based on policy support for maintaining major risk thresholds, which supports stable earnings and dividends [6][8]. - The report categorizes bank stocks into two types: state-owned banks, which are seen as bond-like assets with stable earnings, and high ROE city commercial banks, which are expected to have significant valuation upside [7][9]. Summary by Sections Valuation Discussion - The report argues that traditional frameworks using PB and dividend yield to discuss valuations are inadequate, as the absolute valuation levels for bank stocks have been very low historically [6]. - The average dividend yield for state-owned banks is approximately 3.94% in A-shares and 5.08% in H-shares, with the ten-year government bond yield at around 1.6% [8]. - If government bond yields decline further, it could lead to an increase in the valuations of state-owned banks and a decrease in dividend yields [8]. Performance of Different Bank Types - State-owned banks are characterized as bond-like assets where the dividend yield and government bond yield spread are key pricing factors [8]. - High ROE city commercial banks, such as Hangzhou Bank and Chengdu Bank, are expected to maintain a ROE of around 15% over the next three years, indicating significant undervaluation at 1x PB [9][10]. - The report highlights that the average ROE for stable industries is about 12.1%, with a PB valuation of around 2x, suggesting that banks with ROE above 10% have substantial room for valuation recovery [9]. Economic Context and Growth Potential - The macroeconomic environment is shifting, with major economic provinces showing credit growth that outpaces national averages, providing growth opportunities for leading city commercial banks [10]. - The report emphasizes that city commercial banks have better asset quality and resilience in earnings due to their client structure, which contributes to their high ROE [10][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [10]. Core Insights - The current profitability of the coal industry is better than that before the supply-side reform in 2016, but coking coal profitability is lower than thermal coal, indicating a stronger necessity for reform [7][8]. - The "anti-involution" measures in the coal industry are expected to primarily involve production limits and capacity exits, which could raise the price baseline in a favorable demand environment. However, the current demand pressure is greater than in 2016 [6][7]. - Short-term price elasticity may be limited due to high inventory and suppressed demand, but unexpected demand improvements could lead to price rebounds [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 1.67%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.13 percentage points, ranking 11th out of 32 industries [21]. - As of July 4, the market price for Qinhuangdao thermal coal was 623 RMB/ton, a weekly increase of 3 RMB/ton [21]. Thermal Coal Analysis - Daily coal consumption in 25 provinces reached 573.3 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.3% [22]. - The inventory of power plants was 125.22 million tons, with a usable days count of 21.8 days, a decrease of 0.4 days week-on-week [22]. Coking Coal Analysis - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was stable at 1230 RMB/ton as of July 4 [21]. - Coking coal inventory increased by 0.55% week-on-week, indicating a need to monitor supply recovery and seasonal demand [22][53]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include long-term stable profit leaders such as China Coal Energy, China Shenhua Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [8]. - Growth-oriented companies include Electric Power Investment and New Hope Liuhe, while flexible growth stocks include Yanzhou Coal Mining and Huayang Co [8].