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蜜雪集团(02097):首次覆盖报告:长坡厚雪,缔造我国茶饮龙头标杆
China Post Securities· 2025-03-25 08:08
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Mijue Group (2097.HK) [1] Core Insights - Mijue Group has established itself as a leading player in the tea beverage industry in China, with over 45,000 stores across 11 countries as of Q3 2024, achieving a revenue of 18.66 billion yuan [2][11] - The ready-to-drink beverage market is experiencing rapid growth, with China's market expected to grow from 517.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 1,163.4 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.59% [2][37] - The company benefits from a strong supply chain and economies of scale, with a low entry barrier for franchisees and a robust support system for franchisees, leading to rapid store expansion [2][20] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1997, Mijue Group has evolved from a street vendor to a global beverage giant, with significant milestones including the establishment of a central factory and a logistics system [4][20] - The company operates two main brands: Mijue Ice City for tea beverages and Lucky Coffee for coffee, with a focus on affordable pricing [20][18] Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 10.35 billion yuan, 13.58 billion yuan, and 20.3 billion yuan for the years 2021, 2022, and 2023 respectively, with a continuous growth rate exceeding 20% [11] - For the forecasted years 2024 to 2026, revenues are expected to reach 24.82 billion yuan, 30.16 billion yuan, and 33.91 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 4.58 billion yuan, 5.63 billion yuan, and 6.40 billion yuan [2] Market Dynamics - The global ready-to-drink beverage market is projected to grow significantly, with the share of ready-to-drink beverages increasing due to their freshness and health benefits compared to bottled drinks [33][34] - The Chinese market, particularly in lower-tier cities, presents substantial growth opportunities, with a projected CAGR of 22.18% for affordable ready-to-drink beverages from 2023 to 2028 [37][40] Competitive Advantages - Mijue Group has established a comprehensive supply chain that includes procurement, production, logistics, and warehousing, which helps stabilize raw material prices and reduce costs [55][63] - The company employs a low-cost franchise model, allowing for rapid expansion and strong profitability for franchisees, with a focus on high-density locations in lower-tier cities [44][51]
乐鑫科技:营收稳健增长,盈利水平持续提升-20250325
China Post Securities· 2025-03-25 06:49
证券研究报告:电子 | 公司点评报告 个股表现 2024-03 2024-06 2024-08 2024-10 2025-01 2025-03 -12% 21% 54% 87% 120% 153% 186% 219% 252% 285% 318% 乐鑫科技 电子 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 215.00 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)1.12 | / 1.12 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)241 | / 241 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 287.00 / 72.29 | | 资产负债率(%) | 17.7% | | 市盈率 | 69.60 | | 第一大股东 | 樂鑫(香港)投資有限公 | | 司 | | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:万玮 SAC 登记编号:S1340525030001 Email:wanwei@cnpsec.com 乐鑫科技(688018) 营收稳健增长,盈利水平持续提升 股票投资评级 买入 |维持 l ...
湖南裕能:业绩符合预期,下游景气向好-20250324
China Post Securities· 2025-03-24 06:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price compared to the benchmark index of over 20% [6][11]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 22.599 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 45.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.594 billion yuan, down 62.45% year-on-year. The decline in revenue is attributed to falling prices of upstream raw materials like lithium carbonate, which affected the prices of cathodes [4][6]. - The company leads the industry in single-ton net profit, with an estimated net profit of approximately 0.08 million yuan per ton in 2024, indicating strong profitability despite industry pressures [4]. - The company’s sales volume of lithium iron phosphate cathodes reached 710,600 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 40%, maintaining the top market share for five consecutive years [4][5]. - The company is actively pursuing a global strategy, with its first overseas production base in Spain, planning a capacity of 50,000 tons of lithium battery cathode materials [5]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 32.373 billion yuan, 39.205 billion yuan, and 44.640 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 43.25%, 21.10%, and 13.86% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.849 billion yuan, 2.415 billion yuan, and 2.950 billion yuan for the same years, with significant growth rates of 211.49%, 30.63%, and 22.15% [6][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.78 yuan in 2024 to 3.90 yuan by 2027 [8].
宁德时代:24年业绩符合预期,创新产品巩固强护城河-20250324
China Post Securities· 2025-03-24 06:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the company [1][6]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 362.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.70%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 50.75 billion yuan, an increase of 15.01% year-on-year [4]. - The company continues to lead the global market in battery sales, with lithium battery sales reaching 475 GWh in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22% [4]. - The company has a robust production capacity, with a utilization rate of 76.33% in 2024 and plans for additional capacity of 219 GWh [5]. - The company is expected to see significant growth in revenue and net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 431.12 billion yuan, 514.89 billion yuan, and 612.93 billion yuan, respectively [6]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 256.00 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 112.73 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 69.3% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.71 [3]. - The largest shareholder is Xiamen Ruiting Investment Co., Ltd. [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 64.93 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.95% [6]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 14.74 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.36 [9].
中国巨石:Q4盈利改善显著,风电热塑结构景气-20250323
China Post Securities· 2025-03-23 15:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" and maintained [2] Core Insights - The company reported significant improvement in Q4 earnings, with a notable increase in net profit by 146.0% year-on-year [5][6] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 180 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.5% [7][10] - The gross profit margin for Q4 was 28.58%, an increase of 2.77 percentage points year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability [6] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 12.83 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 514 billion yuan [4] - The company achieved a record production and sales volume in 2024, with a total of 3.025 million tons of raw yarn and products sold, marking a 21.91% increase year-on-year [6] - The company’s first major shareholder is China National Building Material Group Corporation [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 158.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.7% to 24.4 billion yuan [5][10] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was 20.32 billion yuan, an increase of 11.65 billion yuan year-on-year, reflecting strong cash flow management [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.74 yuan, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.35 [10][12]
金海通:企稳复苏,高配置系列产品占比提升-20250323
China Post Securities· 2025-03-23 12:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting significant growth in stock price relative to the benchmark index over the next six months [10][16]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 407 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 78.48 million yuan, a decrease of 7.44% year-on-year, but adjusted net profit after excluding share-based payment effects was 87.21 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 2.85% [2][3]. - The semiconductor industry is showing signs of marginal recovery, particularly in the packaging and testing equipment sector. The company's EXCEED-9000 series products' revenue contribution increased to 25.80% in 2024 from 11.45% in 2023, driven by rising demand in specific market segments and enhanced product configurations [3][4]. - The company is actively pursuing product innovation and technology upgrades, with new testing functions added to its sorting machines. The establishment of a semiconductor testing equipment innovation and manufacturing center is expected to enhance its competitive edge [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 407 million yuan, with a growth rate of 17.12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 78.48 million yuan, down 7.44% year-on-year, while adjusted net profit was 87.21 million yuan, up 2.85% [2][12]. - Projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 indicate revenues of 700 million yuan, 930 million yuan, and 1.18 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 200 million yuan, 300 million yuan, and 400 million yuan [10][12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its global market presence and enhancing product offerings through continuous R&D investments. The establishment of a production center in Malaysia is aimed at better serving market demands [4][5]. - The company has made strategic investments in four firms related to semiconductor testing and packaging, indicating a proactive approach to technology and market positioning [5][9]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 60.01 for 2024, which is expected to decrease to 23.18, 15.70, and 11.72 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [12][10].
牧原股份:成本优势筑造最宽护城河,养殖龙头迈入新阶段-20250322
China Post Securities· 2025-03-21 20:27
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 137.95 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 17.88 billion yuan, which is a significant increase of 519.42% year-on-year [5] - The company has achieved notable cost reductions, with a per-kilogram breeding cost decreasing from 15.8 yuan at the beginning of the year to 13 yuan by the end of the year, and further down to 12.9 yuan in February 2025 [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 5.72 yuan per 10 shares for the 2024 fiscal year, amounting to a total of 30.83 billion yuan [7] - The company is expected to maintain substantial profits despite a projected decline in pig prices in 2025, with estimated earnings per share (EPS) of 3.09 yuan, 3.96 yuan, and 5.79 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 38.26 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 209 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 145.8 billion yuan [4] Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 137.95 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 17.88 billion yuan [5][9] - The company’s EBITDA for 2024 was approximately 37.99 billion yuan [9] Cost Management - The average breeding cost for the company was approximately 14 yuan/kg in 2024, with a target of 12 yuan/kg for 2025 [6] Shareholder Returns - The proposed cash dividend for 2024 is 5.72 yuan per 10 shares, leading to a dividend payout ratio of 42.44% [7] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to have EPS of 3.09 yuan, 3.96 yuan, and 5.79 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 12X, 10X, and 7X [8][9]
盛景微:拐点将至-20250322
China Post Securities· 2025-03-21 20:26
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2][7] Core Views - The civil explosives industry is experiencing a short-term downturn, but the market is expected to recover. In 2024, the overall situation of the civil explosives industry is projected to decline due to macroeconomic factors, with a significant drop in the cumulative output of industrial detonators in most of the top ten provinces. The company is adopting proactive market strategies to maintain its market share and expand its customer base, leading to a forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company of between 16 million and 23 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year decrease of 88.19% to 91.79% [6] - The company emphasizes research and development investment and accelerates product iteration to meet the evolving product and technology demands of customers. The future product iterations will depend on three main aspects: the new technical demands from applications like smart mining, adjustments in national policy standards, and differentiated demands from overseas markets [6] Financial Forecasts and Key Metrics - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 510 million, 560 million, and 700 million yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 20 million, 72 million, and 100 million yuan for the same years [7][9] - The projected growth rates for revenue are -37.82% in 2024, 10.18% in 2025, and 25.01% in 2026, while net profit growth rates are forecasted at -89.21% in 2024, 240.88% in 2025, and 39.25% in 2026 [9][11] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.21 yuan in 2024, 0.71 yuan in 2025, and 0.99 yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 195.89, 57.47, and 41.27 [9][11]
希荻微:诚芯微收购稳步推进-20250321
China Post Securities· 2025-03-21 12:39
希荻微(688173) 诚芯微收购稳步推进 l 事件 公司正在筹划以发行股份及支付现金的方式购买深圳市诚芯微 科技股份有限公司 100%股份并募集配套资金。 l 投资要点 诚芯微收购稳步推进,拓展"大众消费"市场。诚芯微主要产品 包括电源管理芯片、电机类芯片、电池管理芯片和 MOSFET 等多种集 成电路产品,积累了汽车电子、智能手机、智能家居、可穿戴设备、 安防监控、电动工具、小功率储能等众多领域的客户资源。收购完成 后,公司将"大众消费"市场纳入业务发展战略,与现有的手机、PC 及可穿戴设备市场积累的优势形成合力,为客户提供更丰富的产品品 类和解决方案。 Zinitix 整合顺利,壮大海外市场业务布局。Zinitix 主要产品 包括触摸控制器芯片、自动对焦芯片、触控驱动芯片、DC/DC 电源管 理芯片、触摸板模块以及音频放大器等。2024 年 8 月 29 日,希荻微 全资子公司已成功实现控股 Zinitix,目前业务整合顺利,进一步丰 富公司的产品矩阵,满足终端客户多样化的需求,壮大海外业务布局, 尤其是促进公司和三星电子等全球知名品牌客户的合作,实现全球化 发展。 证券研究报告:电子 | 公司点评报告 ...
盟科药业:康替唑胺稳健增长,针剂MRX-4上市进程快速推进-20250321
China Post Securities· 2025-03-21 12:33
证券研究报告:医药生物 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 3 月 21 日 股票投资评级 买入|首次覆盖 个股表现 2024-03 2024-06 2024-08 2024-10 2025-01 2025-03 -33% -28% -23% -18% -13% -8% -3% 2% 7% 盟科药业 医药生物 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 5.96 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)6.55 | / 3.66 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)39 | / 22 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 6.58 / 3.69 | | 资产负债率(%) | 48.3% | | 市盈率 | -8.90 | | 第一大股东 | Genie Pharma | 研究所 分析师:蔡明子 SAC 登记编号:S1340523110001 Email:caimingzi@cnpsec.com 分析师:陈成 SAC 登记编号:S1340524020001 Email:chencheng@cnpsec.com 盟科药业(688373) 康替唑胺稳健增长,针剂 MRX-4 上 ...