Core Viewpoint - Despite intense industry competition, Geely Automobile (00175) has seen a recovery in per-vehicle profit in Q3, with expectations for steady growth in Q4, supported by increased high-end product releases and accelerated overseas expansion [1] Financial Performance - The group's net profit for Q3 reached 3.82 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 57.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.6%, aligning with the expectations of the research firm and exceeding the market consensus of approximately 3.34 billion RMB by about 14.3% [1] Investment Outlook - Geely remains the top pick in the automotive sector for the research firm, maintaining a target price of 32 HKD and an "overweight" investment rating, citing attractive current valuations [1] - Short-term stock price catalysts include the implementation of a share buyback plan [1]

Core Viewpoint - Despite intense industry competition, Geely Automobile (00175) has shown a recovery in single-vehicle profit in Q3, with expectations for steady growth in Q4, supported by increased high-end product volume and accelerated overseas expansion, which will drive company performance growth [1] Financial Performance - The group's net profit for Q3 reached 3.82 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 57.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.6%, aligning with the expectations of the brokerage and exceeding the market consensus of approximately 3.34 billion RMB by about 14.3% [1] Investment Rating - The company remains the top pick in the brokerage's automotive sector, maintaining a target price of 32 HKD and an "overweight" investment rating, citing attractive current valuations [1] Short-term Catalysts - Short-term stock price catalysts include the implementation of a share buyback plan [1]

Core Insights - Geely Holding Group and Renault Group have officially launched their joint venture, Renault Geely do Brasil, marking the start of their strategic cooperation in the Latin American market for new energy vehicles [1][2] - The joint venture plans to invest 3.8 billion Brazilian Reais (approximately 5.1 billion RMB) to focus on localizing new energy technology platforms and models in Brazil [1] - This investment aims to significantly enhance the capacity utilization of the Elton Sena Industrial Park and serves as a key initiative for Geely to accelerate its expansion in the Latin American new energy market [1] Investment and Product Development - The joint venture will implement a phased approach to product launch and technology deployment, with plans to localize production of two new models based on Geely's GEA new energy architecture, expected to be launched in the second half of 2026 [2] - For long-term development, the joint venture will create a new energy technology platform, with Renault brand new models projected to start production in 2027, further enriching the local new energy product matrix [2] - The collaboration will leverage existing resources, utilizing Renault's Brazilian factory for rapid production and its established distribution network to enhance market penetration [2] Strategic Collaboration - This joint venture represents a significant extension of the global strategic cooperation between Geely and Renault, following their previous projects in South Korea and the establishment of the global powertrain company HORSE Powertrain [2] - The partnership aims to create a global cooperation framework characterized by "technology sharing, capacity complementarity, and joint market expansion" [2] - Geely's CEO emphasized the importance of this collaboration as a milestone in their strategic partnership, aiming to explore new markets and opportunities while delivering high-quality products and services to global consumers [3]

Core Insights - Bank of America Securities reports that Geely Automobile's Q3 revenue increased by 27% year-on-year to 89.2 billion yuan, driven by a 43% year-on-year increase in delivery volume and higher average selling prices [1] - Gross margin improved by 1.2 percentage points to 16.6% due to enhanced economies of scale, improved operational efficiency, and optimized product mix [1] - Net profit for the period rose by 59% year-on-year to 3.8 billion yuan, with cumulative net profit for the first three quarters reaching 13.1 billion yuan [1] Forecast Adjustments - Sales forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been raised by 2%, 1%, and 2% respectively [1] - Total revenue forecasts have been adjusted upward by 1%, 2%, and 2% for the same years [1] - Earnings per share forecasts have been increased by 1%, 6%, and 5% for 2025 to 2027 [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price has been raised from 24 HKD to 25 HKD [1] - The "Buy" rating has been reaffirmed [1]

Group 1 - Geely Automobile has announced a share repurchase agreement with Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc, initiating a share repurchase plan with a maximum amount of HKD 2.3 billion [2] - The repurchase plan is linked to the privatization process of Zeekr Intelligent Technology Holdings Limited, with Geely planning to issue up to 1,098,059,328 new ordinary shares as consideration for the privatization [2] - The repurchase will commence on the first trading day after the deadline for Zeekr's eligible shareholders to choose cash or shares, expected around mid-December 2025, and will last for six months or until the total repurchase amount is reached [2] Group 2 - On July 15, Geely Holding Group announced that Geely Automobile has signed a merger agreement with Zeekr, where Geely will acquire all remaining shares of Zeekr, allowing shareholders to choose cash or Geely shares as consideration [3] - This merger marks a significant step in Geely Holding Group's strategy to return to a unified "One Geely" approach, in line with the principles of the "Taizhou Declaration" [3]

期内净利润同比增长59%至38亿元人民币，首三季累计净利润达131亿元人民币，占该行全年预期的 77%。计及外汇损失及特殊项目后，集团第三季经调整利润为40亿元人民币，按季增长25%;估算单车净 利润为5,200元人民币，同比及按季分别增长27%及17%。 美银证券发布研报称，吉利汽车(00175)第三季收入同比增长27%至892亿元人民币，主要受交付量同比 增长43%及平均售价提升所推动。得益于规模经济效益提升、营运效率改善及产品组合优化，毛利率同 比上升1.2个百分点至16.6%。该行将2025至27年销量预测分别上调2%、1%及2%，总收入预测上调 1%、2%及2%，每股盈利预测上调1%、6%及5%，目标价由24港元升至25港元，重申"买入"评级。 ...

期内净利润同比增长59%至38亿元人民币，首三季累计净利润达131亿元人民币，占该行全年预期的 77%。计及外汇损失及特殊项目后，集团第三季经调整利润为40亿元人民币，按季增长25%; 估算单车 净利润为5,200元人民币，同比及按季分别增长27%及17%。 智通财经APP获悉，美银证券发布研报称，吉利汽车(00175)第三季收入同比增长27%至892亿元人民 币，主要受交付量同比增长43%及平均售价提升所推动。得益于规模经济效益提升、营运效率改善及产 品组合优化，毛利率同比上升1.2个百分点至16.6%。该行将2025至27年销量预测分别上调2%、1%及 2%，总收入预测上调1%、2%及2%，每股盈利预测上调1%、6%及5%，目标价由24港元升至25港元， 重申"买入"评级。 ...

摩根士丹利发布研报称，吉利汽车(00175)股价在未来15天内绝对值将会上涨。这是因为该股份近期交 易走弱，使短期估值更具吸引力。大摩表示，公司第三季净利润达38亿元人民币，毛利率16.6%，优于 上半年的16.4%，且前三季核心盈利106亿元人民币，仍有望达成全年150亿元人民币目标。考虑到2026 年强劲的产品规划项目，大摩认为目前未来12个月共识市盈率9倍的估值(相较两年平均10至11倍)提供 具吸引力的风险回报比。大摩估计此情境实现概率约70%至80%(即"极有可能")，评级增持，目标价24 港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley predicts that Geely Automobile's stock price will rise in absolute terms over the next 15 days due to recent trading weakness making short-term valuations more attractive [1] Financial Performance - Geely's net profit for Q3 reached 3.8 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 16.6%, an improvement from 16.4% in the first half of the year [1] - The company's core earnings for the first three quarters totaled 10.6 billion RMB, with a target of achieving 15 billion RMB for the full year [1] Valuation and Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley considers the current consensus price-to-earnings ratio of 9 times for the next 12 months attractive compared to the two-year average of 10 to 11 times, indicating a favorable risk-reward ratio [1] - The probability of achieving this scenario is estimated at 70% to 80%, which is classified as "very likely" [1] - The firm maintains an "overweight" rating with a target price of 24 HKD [1]

Summary of Geely Automobile Holdings Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Geely Automobile Holdings - **Industry**: China Autos & Shared Mobility - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Current Price**: HK$17.00 (as of November 18, 2025) - **Price Target**: HK$24.00, representing a 41% upside potential Key Points Financial Performance and Projections - Geely aims for a **30% unit profit growth** in 2026, supported by a favorable overseas sales mix, scale benefits, and cost savings following the privatization of ZEEKR [1][2] - The company targets a **20% market share growth** in China by 2026, compared to approximately **9% year-to-date in 2025** [1] - Geely anticipates **50-80% growth in overseas sales** in 2026, with **300,000 units of NEV exports** expected, up from **110,000 in 2025** [1] Gross Profit Margin (GPM) Insights - Management expects **GPM expansion in Q4 2025** after a decline in Q3 due to product transitions and higher discounts from inventory destocking [3] - Lynk & Co's GPM is projected to return to **15-16%** in Q4, up from **11% in Q3 2025** [3] - ZEEKR's GPM is expected to improve with a higher sales mix of models 009 and 9X [3] Operational Efficiency - Geely has reduced its payable cycle by **24 days to 87 days** in Q3 2025, with most suppliers now on a **60-day payment cycle** and small-to-mid suppliers on a **30-day cycle** [4] - The management indicated that the impact on operating cash flow (OCF) from this change is manageable [4] Market Capitalization and Valuation Metrics - Current market capitalization stands at **Rmb156,470 million** [7] - Projected revenue for 2026 is **Rmb383,001 million**, with an EBITDA of **Rmb28,816 million** [7] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from **8.4 in 2024** to **6.3 in 2027** [7] Risks and Considerations - Upside risks include potential vehicle purchasing stimulus extensions and stronger-than-expected profitability from key products [13] - Downside risks involve a notable slowdown in domestic vehicle demand and expanding losses in NEV businesses due to price competition [13] Conclusion Geely Automobile Holdings is positioning itself for significant growth in both domestic and international markets, with a strong focus on profitability and operational efficiency. The company's strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions could provide substantial investment opportunities moving forward.