2025年12月1日，众生药业（股票代码：002317）在公司会议室接待了机构调研，国泰海通证券股份有 限公司、上海睿郡资产管理有限公司分析师及研究员参与了现场交流。公司董事会秘书杨威、证券事务 代表陈子敏就核心产品进展、临床研发及商业化战略等问题与机构进行了深入沟通。 核心产品进展：昂拉地韦片全球首款优势显著，商业化路径清晰 研发战略升级：加码众生睿创持股，强化创新布局 调研中，公司明确表示将持续聚焦呼吸系统、代谢性疾病领域，通过增持控股子公司众生睿创股权强化 研发协同。众生睿创作为公司创新转型的核心平台，专注于上述领域创新药研发与商业化，此次持股比 例提升后，公司将进一步整合资金、资源与管理优势，加速推进在研项目落地。 早研管线方面，公司已布局多个差异化项目：呼吸系统领域，针对呼吸道合胞病毒（RSV）的小分子药 物已确定临床前候选化合物（PCC），国内尚无同类药物获批；代谢领域，超长效GLP-1/GIP/GCG三受 体激动剂RAY0221已进入临床前研究，同时探索Amylin类多肽、口服GLP-1RA小分子等前沿赛道，持 续丰富管线梯队。 公司强调，本次调研未涉及应披露重大信息，未来将继续以"高质量、加速 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Guotai Junan Zimeng team has achieved significant recognition in the food and beverage research sector, winning the title of "Best Analyst in the Food and Beverage Industry" at the 2025 Analyst Conference and the 7th Sina Finance "Golden Unicorn" Awards, reflecting their deep understanding of consumer trends and a mature research framework [1][2]. Group 1: Team Performance - The Guotai Junan Zimeng team moved from second place in the 2024 awards to first place in 2025, indicating a strong competitive potential and improvement in research capabilities [2]. - The competition landscape changed significantly, with the GF Securities team ranking second and Huachuang Securities team dropping to fourth place [2]. Group 2: Award Details - The Guotai Junan team members include Zimeng, Yan Huijing, Xu Yang, Yao Shijia, Li Yao, Cheng Biheng, Zhang Yuxuan, Chen Liyu, Li Meiyi, Pang Yuze, Miao Xin, Zhang Jiaying, Yang Liu, Yan Qinghui, and Li Yibing [1]. - The awards highlighted the top teams in the food and beverage sector, with Guotai Junan taking first place, GF Securities second, and Changjiang Securities third [3]. Group 3: Industry Insights - The Zimeng team believes that the liquor industry is currently undergoing a rapid clearing adjustment phase, with inventory levels decreasing and stock prices potentially rising amidst market pessimism [9]. - The beer industry is expected to clear earlier than the liquor sector, with increasing differentiation within the industry, suggesting investors should focus on regionally competitive beer leaders [9].

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry is rated "overweight" by Guotai Junan Securities, with an expectation of increased industry concentration and high-quality development as key trends for future growth [1] Group 1: Demand and Supply Dynamics - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.88 million tons, a decrease of 0.69% week-on-week but an increase of 1.2% year-on-year [1] - Total steel production was 8.557 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 5.8 thousand tons, while total inventory decreased to 14.01 million tons, down 320 thousand tons [1] - The operating rate of blast furnaces among 247 steel mills was 81.09%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from the previous week [1] - The report anticipates that steel demand will stabilize, with a notable reduction in the negative impact from the real estate sector, while demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is expected to grow steadily [3] Group 2: Profitability and Cost Trends - The average gross profit for rebar was 91 CNY/ton, an increase of 30 CNY/ton week-on-week, while hot-rolled coil showed a gross profit of -47 CNY/ton, an increase of 18.4 CNY/ton [2] - The profitability rate for 247 steel companies was 35.06%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points from the previous week [2] - The expectation is that iron ore production will accelerate, leading to a gradual easing of cost pressures in the steel industry, which may help restore the industry's profitability [2] Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has released a plan for the steel industry that emphasizes production reduction policies to support advanced enterprises and phase out inefficient capacities [3] - Approximately 65% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating a market-driven supply adjustment is beginning to take shape [3] Group 4: Recommended Companies - Companies recommended include Baosteel, Hualing Steel, Shougang, and low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [4] - Other recommendations include competitive advantage firms like CITIC Special Steel and Yongjin Co., as well as high-barrier material companies such as Jiuli Special Materials and Xianglou New Materials [4] - The report also highlights upstream resource companies like Hebei Steel Resources and Erdos as having long-term growth potential [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the limited impact of real estate on listed insurance companies, with signs of recovery in the liability side expected to lead to better performance in 2026 [1][2] - The insurance industry saw a cumulative premium income of 54,833 billion yuan from January to October 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.0%, while the life insurance sector reported a premium income of 39,924 billion yuan, growing by 9.6% [2][3] - The non-life insurance sector's premium income for the same period was 14,908 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, with auto insurance contributing 7,612 billion yuan and non-auto insurance 7,297 billion yuan [3][4] Group 2 - The life insurance sector is expected to see a significant increase in new business value (NBV) growth in 2026, driven by the transformation of dividend insurance products and stable investment returns [4] - The non-life insurance combined ratio (COR) is anticipated to improve further due to enhanced management practices, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4] - The brokerage business reported an average daily trading volume of 19,404 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 67.05% [5][6]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In the period from January to November 2025, a total of 98 companies were listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, and Beijing Stock Exchange, raising a total of 100.36 billion yuan in funds [1][2]. Group 1: Listing Companies and Fundraising - Among the 98 listed companies, 33 were on the main board, 30 on the ChiNext board, 12 on the Sci-Tech Innovation board, and 23 on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]. - Huadian New Energy was the top fundraiser, raising 18.17 billion yuan, followed by Xi'an Yicai and Zhongce Rubber, which raised 4.64 billion yuan and 4.07 billion yuan respectively [1]. Group 2: Underwriting and Sponsorship Fees - A total of 34 securities firms participated in the underwriting and sponsorship of the newly listed companies, earning a combined fee of 4.95 billion yuan [2]. - Guotai Junan Securities ranked first in underwriting fees, earning approximately 743.32 million yuan, having sponsored 11 companies [2][3]. - CITIC Securities and CITIC Jianan followed in the ranking, earning 618.01 million yuan and 555.78 million yuan respectively [2][3]. Group 3: Detailed Underwriting Participation - CITIC Jianan sponsored 8 companies, including Daosheng Tianhe and Zhongce Rubber, and participated in joint underwriting for Huadian New Energy [2][3]. - Huatai United Securities and China International Capital Corporation ranked fourth and fifth in underwriting fees, earning 424.02 million yuan and 231.62 million yuan respectively [3][4]. - Other notable firms included Orient Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan, which ranked sixth and seventh, earning 194.91 million yuan and 171.31 million yuan respectively [4][5].

报告导读： 从技术面来看， Wind 全 A 指数依旧处于 SAR 反转点位之下；均线强弱指数 在指数绝对点位上升幅度并不大的情况下出现上行，表明市场依旧存在下行可能；情绪模 型继续显示市场情绪较弱。我们认为，市场下周维持震荡可能性较大。 下周（20251201-20251205，后文同）市场观点：市场下周维持震荡可能性较大。 从量化指标上看，基于沪深300指数的流动性冲击指标周五为0.50，高 于前一周（0.15），意味着当前市场的流动性高于过去一年平均水平0.50倍标准差。上证50ETF期权成交量的PUT-CALL比率震荡，周五为1.02，持平于前 一周（1.02），投资者对上证50ETF短期走势相对谨慎。上证综指和Wind全A五日平均换手率分别为0.98%和1.59%，处于2005年以来的65.67%和 73.47%分位点，交易活跃度有所下降。从宏观因子上看，上周人民币汇率震荡，在岸和离岸汇率周涨幅分别为0.43%、0.48%。日历效应上，2005年以 来，上证综指、沪深300、中证500、创业板指在12月上半月上涨概率分别为 70% 、 65% 、 55% 、 60% ，涨幅均值分别为 1.81% 、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is experiencing a marginal decline in premium growth for life insurance as of October 2025, with a shift in focus towards business preparations for 2026, particularly in new business value (NBV) growth for life insurance [1][2][4]. Life Insurance Summary - From January to October 2025, the cumulative premium income for the life insurance sector reached 39,924 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.6%. The breakdown includes life insurance at 32,748 billion yuan (up 12.0%), health insurance at 6,850 billion yuan (up 0.1%), and accident insurance at 326 billion yuan (down 9.2%) [2]. - In October 2025, the monthly premium income for life insurance was 1,040 billion yuan, showing a decline of 5.1% year-on-year [2]. - The decline in premium growth is attributed to insurance companies shifting their operational focus towards 2026 due to the satisfactory achievement of business goals for 2025 [2]. Non-Life Insurance Summary - The cumulative premium income for the non-life insurance sector from January to October 2025 was 14,908 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0%. This includes motor insurance at 7,612 billion yuan (up 3.2%) and non-motor insurance at 7,297 billion yuan (up 4.9%) [3]. - In October 2025, the monthly premium income for non-life insurance was 1,196 billion yuan, down 5.5% year-on-year, with motor insurance premiums at 776 billion yuan (down 6.6%) and non-motor insurance premiums at 420 billion yuan (down 3.4%) [3]. - The slowdown in motor insurance growth is expected due to a marginal decline in the number of insured vehicles, while non-motor insurance growth is facing pressure from seasonal underwriting factors and the implementation of policy changes [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that the life insurance sector will see a positive growth in NBV for the 2026 opening, driven by the transformation of participating insurance products and improved investment returns from leading insurers [4]. - For non-life insurance, the comprehensive governance of non-motor insurance is expected to further improve the combined operating ratio (COR) [4]. - The overall investment recommendation remains "overweight" for the insurance sector, with expectations of good growth in NBV for listed insurance companies in 2026 [5].

Core Conclusions - The financial industry experienced a weekly increase of +0.68% in the non-bank financial index, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.96 percentage points [1] - The banking sector saw a decline of -0.59%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 2.23 percentage points, with state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks showing varied performance [1][9] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance sector's index rose by +0.20%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.44 percentage points, driven by strong demand for dividend insurance products that align with residents' needs for stable returns and value appreciation [2][12] - Major insurance companies are focusing on dividend insurance as a strategic core, with product offerings expanding significantly ahead of the 2026 "opening red" period [2][12] - The growth of new single premiums is expected to be strong in 2026, supported by improved net present value margins (NBVM) and a favorable regulatory environment for dividend insurance [2][17] Brokerage Sector Insights - The brokerage sector index increased by +0.74%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.90 percentage points, with recent developments in refinancing for two brokerages indicating a cautious approach to capital raising [2][18] - The current environment presents a mismatch between profitability and valuation in the brokerage sector, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [2][19] - Recommendations include strong mid-to-large brokerages with low valuations and those involved in mergers or restructuring [2][19] Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector's index decreased by -0.59%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.23 percentage points, with a focus on high dividend strategies remaining viable [3][20] - The average dividend yield for banks is approximately 4.1%, which is attractive compared to other sectors, particularly in the context of a stable earnings outlook [3][21] - Recommendations include state-owned banks and resilient city commercial banks, with specific attention to banks with strong fundamentals and low volatility [3][22]

Core Insights - The financial industry has a high demand for specialized talent who understand both business and technology, which is currently hard to find [1] - Guotai Junan Securities aims to develop a self-cultivation system for talent, encouraging business personnel to actively participate in AI application implementation [1] - The company believes that composite talent will play a crucial role in the large-scale application of future model products [1] Group 1 - The financial sector requires professionals who are proficient in both business and technology, highlighting a gap in traditional educational models [1] - Guotai Junan is exploring a "Finance + AI" talent cultivation model to better align with industry needs [1] - The firm has designed a "business personnel participation mechanism" to lower the technical barriers for employees [1] Group 2 - The initiative aims to empower business personnel to independently address practical issues in their work through AI [1] - Guotai Junan seeks to continuously expand its talent pool by fostering internal practices and innovative mechanisms [1] - The emphasis on composite talent is seen as vital for the future scalability of AI applications within the company [1]

Core Insights - In the 2025 Sina Finance Golden Unicorn Best Analyst Awards, Guotai Junan Securities Research Institute won a total of 29 awards, ranking as the "Best Research Institution" and "Most Honorable Research Institution" in the top three [1] - Seventeen research teams received the "Best Analyst" award, with the Food & Beverage and Non-Bank Financial sectors ranking first [1] - Eight research teams were awarded the "Elite Analyst" title, with Macroeconomics, Computer Science, and Military Industry sectors also ranking first [1] Awards Summary - **Best Research Institution**: Guotai Junan Securities ranked first in "Best Research Institution" and third in "Most Honorable Research Institution" [4] - **Best Analysts**: - **1st Place**: Food & Beverage, Non-Bank Financial [5] - **3rd Place**: Innovative Drugs, Medical Devices, Retail and Social Services [5] - **4th Place**: Construction and Building Materials, Environmental Protection [5] - **5th Place**: Communication, Robotics and High-End Manufacturing [5] - **6th Place**: Real Estate, New Metal Materials, Home Appliances, Transportation and Logistics, Light Industry and Textile [5] - **7th Place**: Media [5] - **8th Place**: Oil and Chemical [5] - **Elite Analysts**: - **1st Place**: Macroeconomics [6] - **1st Place**: Computer Science [6] - **1st Place**: Military Industry [6] - **2nd Place**: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery [6] - **4th Place**: Strategy, Fixed Income [6] - **5th Place**: Electronics, Automotive and Parts [6]