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名创优品(09896.HK):1Q25费用率压力较大;2025年聚焦同店增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-27 01:59
Core Viewpoint - The company's Q1 2025 performance fell short of expectations, with revenue increasing by 19% year-on-year to 4.4 billion yuan, but adjusted net profit declining by 5% to 587 million yuan due to increased sales and financial expenses from upfront investments in direct stores [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 4.4 billion yuan, a 19% year-on-year increase, while adjusted net profit decreased by 5% to 587 million yuan [1]. - Domestic business revenue grew by 9% to 2.5 billion yuan, with same-store sales declining in the mid-single digits, and a net reduction of 111 stores [1]. - Overseas business revenue increased by 30% to 1.6 billion yuan, with a total of 3,213 stores, but same-store sales also saw a mid-single-digit decline due to high base effects [1]. - TOPTOY business revenue surged by 59% to 340 million yuan, indicating strong growth [1]. Group 2: Cost and Margin Analysis - Gross margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 44.2%, driven by higher-margin overseas operations and increased revenue from TOPTOY [2]. - Sales expense ratio rose significantly by 4.4 percentage points to 23.1% due to increased upfront investments in direct stores [2]. - Financial expenses increased to 50 million yuan from a net income of 25 million yuan in the previous year, influenced by interest from stock-linked securities and loans [2]. - Adjusted net profit margin decreased by 3.3 percentage points to 13.3% due to rising tax rates and other expenses [2]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is committed to advancing its IP strategy, focusing on interest-based consumption, with several new product lines launched this year [2]. - Plans include expanding the breadth and depth of IP collaborations to create differentiated products [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company aims for positive same-store sales growth in domestic operations for the full year, particularly after improvements noted during the May Day holiday [3]. - Profit forecasts for 2025/26 have been revised down by 14% and 8% to 2.7 billion and 3.5 billion yuan, respectively [3]. - Target prices for Hong Kong and US stocks have been reduced by 8% to 42.28 HKD and 21.82 USD, respectively, reflecting a valuation adjustment [3].
名创优品(9896.HK):同店积极回暖
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-27 01:59
Core Viewpoint - Miniso has successfully implemented a global layout for lifestyle goods collection stores, leveraging mature IP operation capabilities and offline development experience, particularly in the U.S. market, which provides a guarantee for the company's continued growth [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.427 billion yuan (+18.9%), operating profit of 710 million yuan (-4.51%), and net profit attributable to shareholders of 416 million yuan (-28.5%) [1] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 587 million yuan (-4.81%) [1] Group 2: Domestic Store Performance - The same-store sales decline in domestic Miniso locations improved from a high single-digit decrease to a mid-single-digit decrease, with a positive same-store sales performance during the May Day holiday [2] - The number of domestic Miniso stores decreased by 111 to 4,275, with reductions in first, second, and third-tier cities of 18, 49, and 44 stores respectively [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company continues to execute a strategy of opening larger stores and encourages franchisees to exit smaller, less profitable locations, aiming for more IP-dominant stores and flagship stores [2] - In Q1 2025, the company added 95 overseas stores, reaching a total of 3,213, with overseas business revenue growth exceeding 30% [2] Group 4: Supply Chain and Cost Management - The U.S. direct sales system is expanding, focusing on densely populated states to enhance scale effects, although initial costs have pressured Q1 performance [2] - The company has increased its local sourcing in the U.S. to nearly 40%, minimizing the impact of tariffs [2] Group 5: Profitability and Future Outlook - The company's gross margin continued to rise, but net profit margin declined due to increased financial expenses from convertible bond issuance and bank loans for acquiring Yonghui Superstores [2] - The company maintains projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 3.074 billion, 3.645 billion, and 4.074 billion yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 16X, 13X, and 12X [2]
名创优品(9896.HK):Q1营收+19% 关注精细运营措施显效
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-27 01:59
Core Viewpoint - The company reported Q1 2025 earnings with revenue growth of 18.9% to 4.43 billion yuan, exceeding previous guidance of 15-18%, driven by domestic channel upgrades and inventory optimization [1] - Adjusted net profit decreased by 4.8% to 590 million yuan due to rapid expansion of direct stores and increased financial expenses [1] - The company is shifting its domestic strategy from aggressive expansion to refined operations while enhancing supply chain diversity and localization in overseas markets, which is expected to stabilize profitability and support global expansion [1] Revenue Performance - Domestic same-store sales showed improvement, with Miniso China revenue increasing by 9.1%, driven by offline and online growth of 7.3% and 32.7% respectively [1] - The company closed 111 stores in Q1, focusing on older stores under 200 square meters, while same-store sales decline narrowed to single digits [2] - Overseas revenue grew by 30.3%, with 95 new stores added, particularly in North America [1][2] - TopToy revenue surged by 58.9% to 340 million yuan, with self-developed products accounting for over 40% [1] Profitability and Cost Structure - Gross margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 44.2%, although it decreased by 2.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter due to seasonal effects [2] - Selling and administrative expense ratios increased by 4.4 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points to 23.1% and 5.5% respectively, primarily due to significant investments in direct stores [2] - Adjusted net profit margin decreased by 3.3 percentage points to 13.3% as a result of increased financial expenses related to convertible bonds and acquisitions [2] Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on high-quality growth, with domestic operations centered on same-store sales improvement and enhancing store competitiveness through upgrades [2] - In overseas markets, the company is emphasizing localization and efficiency, with nearly 40% of U.S. purchases sourced locally to mitigate tariff risks [2] - The company aims to improve profitability through refined operations and inventory turnover optimization [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been reduced by 7.1%, 9.0%, and 9.0% to 2.99 billion, 3.73 billion, and 4.57 billion yuan respectively [3] - The target price is set at 47.00 HKD, based on an 18x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting increased uncertainty in overseas expansion [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating despite the adjustments in profit forecasts [3]
天风证券晨会集萃-20250527
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-26 23:43
Group 1 - The overall industry sentiment shows an upward trend in sectors such as machinery, electronics, textiles, real estate, and retail, while coal, oil and petrochemicals, power equipment, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, home appliances, automotive, banking, public utilities, and environmental protection are on a downward trend [2][21] - The report predicts strong performance in specific sub-industries over the next four weeks, highlighting sectors like general equipment, semiconductors, medical devices, medical services, glass and fiberglass, packaging and printing, cement, decoration, personal care products, real estate services, refining and trading, textile manufacturing, and electricity [2][22] - The investment strategy focuses on three main directions: breakthroughs in technology AI+, valuation recovery in consumer stocks, and the rise of undervalued dividend assets [2][24] Group 2 - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from urban renewal policies, with support for underground pipeline and facility construction projects, favoring leading companies like Weixing New Materials [3][38] - Cement production is facing a rise in kiln shutdown rates, particularly in northern provinces, with price increases observed in Hubei despite a general downward trend [3][38] - The report recommends a focus on companies such as China National Materials, Weixing New Materials, and others in the construction materials sector [3][39] Group 3 - The report indicates that the relaxation of fiscal discipline in the U.S. and reduced tariffs between China and the U.S. have led to a recovery in global risk appetite, with U.S. stock indices showing gains [4][21] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI in driving growth, with major tech companies shifting focus from model capabilities to product experiences and development tools [6][21] - Investment opportunities in AI-related companies are highlighted, including Xiaomi, Alibaba, Tencent, Kuaishou, and Meituan [6][21] Group 4 - The pharmaceutical company Xinlitai is projected to achieve revenue of 4.012 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 19.22%, with a net profit of 602 million yuan, reflecting steady growth [9][34] - The company is focusing on optimizing its revenue structure through innovative products, with significant growth in its proprietary product sales [9][35] - The report anticipates revenue growth for Xinlitai from 4.538 billion yuan in 2025 to 6.246 billion yuan in 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating despite competitive pressures [9][37] Group 5 - Miniso's Q1 2025 revenue reached 4.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19%, with a focus on expanding its store network and enhancing its product offerings [14][30] - The company is implementing a channel upgrade strategy to improve store performance and is actively expanding its overseas presence [14][31] - The report projects adjusted net profits for Miniso to be 2.9 billion yuan in 2025 and 3.6 billion yuan in 2026, maintaining a "buy" rating [14][32]
名创优品(09896):2025 年一季报点评:门店质量持续优化,关注海外经营杠杆释放
EBSCN· 2025-05-26 15:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.427 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.9%, while net profit decreased by 28.9% to 417 million yuan [1]. - The adjusted net profit for Q1 2025 was 587 million yuan, a decline of 4.8% year-on-year [1]. - The overall gross margin increased by 0.8 percentage points to 44.2% in Q1 2025, driven by an increase in overseas market revenue and improvements in product mix [2]. - The MINISO brand revenue grew by 16.5% year-on-year, with overseas revenue increasing by 30.3% due to a 24.6% rise in average store count [2]. - The total number of stores reached 7,768 by the end of Q1 2025, with a net decrease of 12 stores, while domestic stores decreased by 111 and overseas stores increased by 95 [3]. - The company returned a total of 990 million yuan to shareholders, including 100 million USD in cash dividends and 260 million yuan in share buybacks [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenues of 20.415 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 20.1% [5]. - The projected profit attributable to equity shareholders for 2025 is 2.701 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 2.8% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 2.16 yuan [5]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 20.8% for 2025 [12]. Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on optimizing store quality and structure domestically while maintaining significant investments in overseas markets [4]. - The report highlights the importance of releasing operational leverage in overseas markets during peak seasons [4].
名创优品(09896):25Q1利润承压,期待同店回升及利润拐点
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-26 13:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.43 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19%, while adjusted net profit decreased by 4.8% to 587 million yuan [1] - The gross profit margin improved to 44%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased overseas revenue contribution and a higher proportion of profitable products [1] - The company is undergoing adjustments in its domestic operations while continuing to expand overseas, with a focus on enhancing store formats and optimizing its store network [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 4.43 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 2 billion yuan, marking a 21% increase year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit was 587 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 13%, down 3.3 percentage points [1] - Sales and distribution expenses increased to 23% of revenue, up 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising costs in rent, depreciation, and wages [1] Brand and Channel Analysis - The Miniso brand generated 4.1 billion yuan in revenue, a 17% increase year-on-year, with 7,488 stores at the end of Q1 2025 [2] - Domestic revenue for Miniso was 2.5 billion yuan, up 9% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 1.6 billion yuan, a 30% increase [2] - TOP TOY brand revenue surged by 59% to 340 million yuan, with a significant increase in store count [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on a channel upgrade strategy, emphasizing the opening of larger stores and enhancing the customer experience through flagship stores and themed locations [3] - Collaborations with popular IPs have led to significant sales growth in certain product categories, contributing to overall revenue [4] - The company aims for sustainable high-quality growth through strategic store network improvements and operational adjustments [4]
名创优品(09896) - 翌日披露报表

2025-05-26 11:03
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 名創優品集團控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年5月26日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09896 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | | 佔 ...
名创优品(09896):国内门店结构调优,海外直营淡季、开店费用前置拖累利润率
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-26 09:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.427 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.89%, slightly above the company's guidance. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 416 million yuan, down 28.9% year-on-year, primarily due to increased short-term financing costs related to the acquisition of Yonghui Superstores [7] - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 44.23%, up 0.82 percentage points year-on-year, while the adjusted net profit margin was 13.26%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year. This was mainly due to the higher revenue share from overseas direct sales, which typically has lower profit margins during the off-season [7] - Domestic MINISO revenue reached 2.49 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 9.15% year-on-year, with a net reduction of 111 stores to 4,275 stores as the company focused on optimizing store structure and upgrading the brand [7] - Overseas revenue for MINISO was 1.592 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.3%, with a net addition of 95 stores, bringing the total to 3,213 stores [7] - The TOP TOY brand achieved revenue of 340 million yuan in Q1 2025, up 58.9% year-on-year, with a net increase of 4 stores to 280 stores [7] - The company expects continued growth in both domestic and overseas markets, with adjustments made to profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 13.838 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 39.42%. For 2024A, the forecast is 16.994 billion yuan, representing a 22.80% increase, and for 2025E, it is 20.664 billion yuan, a 21.59% increase [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023A is forecasted at 2.253 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 111.48%. For 2024A, it is 2.618 billion yuan, a 16.17% increase, and for 2025E, it is 2.544 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.81% [1] - The Non-IFRS net profit for 2023A is projected at 2.357 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 109.65%. For 2024A, it is 2.721 billion yuan, a 15.44% increase, and for 2025E, it is 2.919 billion yuan, a 7.30% increase [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is 1.79 yuan per share, with a forecast of 2.09 yuan for 2024A and 2.04 yuan for 2025E [1] - The P/E ratio for the current price and latest diluted EPS is 18.51 for 2023A, 15.81 for 2024A, and 16.27 for 2025E [1]
名创优品:Q1营收+19%,关注精细运营措施显效-20250526
HTSC· 2025-05-26 08:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 47.00 [8] Core Insights - The company reported a Q1 revenue increase of 18.9% to RMB 4.43 billion, exceeding previous guidance of 15-18%, driven by domestic channel upgrades and inventory optimization [1] - Adjusted net profit decreased by 4.8% to RMB 590 million due to significant investments in direct stores and increased financial expenses [1] - The company is transitioning from an aggressive expansion strategy to a more refined operational approach, focusing on profitability stabilization and global business expansion [1][4] Revenue Performance - Domestic revenue for Miniso increased by 9.1%, with offline and online sales growing by 7.3% and 32.7% respectively [2] - Overseas revenue surged by 30.3%, with 95 new stores opened during the quarter, particularly in North America [2] - TopToy's revenue grew by 58.9% to RMB 340 million, with self-developed products accounting for over 40% of sales [2] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 44.2%, although it decreased by 2.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter due to seasonal effects [3] - Selling and administrative expense ratios increased by 4.4 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points to 23.1% and 5.5% respectively, primarily due to investments in direct stores [3] - Adjusted net profit margin fell by 3.3 percentage points to 13.3% [3] Strategic Focus - The company is emphasizing "high-quality growth" by enhancing store competitiveness and optimizing inventory turnover [4] - In the domestic market, the focus is on same-store sales improvement, while overseas operations are concentrating on localization and efficiency [4] - The local procurement ratio in the U.S. has reached nearly 40% to mitigate tariff risks [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down by 7.1%, 9.0%, and 9.0% to RMB 2.99 billion, RMB 3.73 billion, and RMB 4.57 billion respectively [5] - The target price is based on a 2025 PE ratio of 18x, reflecting increased uncertainty in overseas expansion [5] - The company is expected to maintain a competitive PE ratio compared to peers, with a projected PE of 29x for comparable companies [5][19]
港股收评:恒指水下震荡收跌1.35% 汽车整车板块表现疲软
news flash· 2025-05-26 08:13
金十数据5月26日讯,恒指今早低开低走,午后维持水下震荡态势持续下探,最低见23234.27点。恒生 科技指数午后一度跌逾2%。截至收盘,恒指收跌1.35%,报23282.33点,科指收跌1.7%,报5157.65点, 恒指大市成交额达2235.2亿港元(上一交易日为2036.71亿港元)。盘面上,美股核电板块大涨带动港股 核电板块表现突出,科网股走势分化,汽车股领跌大盘,医药股回调走弱。个股方面,中核国际 (02302.HK)收涨129.78%,同程旅行(00780.HK)收涨4.39%,名创优品(09896.HK)绩后收跌18.22%,比亚 迪股份(01211.HK)收跌8.6%,宁德时代(03750.HK)收跌2.61%,小米集团(01810.HK)收跌3.21%,恒瑞医 药(01276.HK)收跌2.63%。 港股收评:恒指水下震荡收跌1.35% 汽车整车板块表现疲软 ...