Summary of the Conference Call on the China Bus Industry Industry Overview - The China bus sector is transitioning from a domestic demand-driven market to an export-driven growth sector, with expectations for bus exports to double by 2026 compared to 2023 [2][15] - In 2023, China's bus exports reached a record high of over 30,000 units, marking a 45% year-over-year increase [14] - The global bus market is recovering post-COVID, with demand expected to stabilize between 310,000 to 350,000 units in 2023-2024, still below pre-COVID levels [24] Key Insights on Yutong Bus - Yutong Bus is the largest bus manufacturer in China, holding a 30% market share as of 2024, with 40% of its revenue and 50% of gross profit derived from exports [4][46] - The company has a price target of Rmb38.00 based on discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis and a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 5.5% [4][46] - Yutong's sales volume is projected to grow by 5-15% year-over-year from 2025 to 2027 [47] Electric Bus Market - As of 2024, 55% of new buses sold in China are electric, with over 90% of city buses being electric [38] - Chinese bus manufacturers are leading in electric vehicle (EV) technologies, with their products being over 30% cheaper than competitors [3][39] - By 2024, 26% of China's bus exports are expected to be electric buses, targeting markets in the EU, South America, and others [39] Export Dynamics - The main target markets for Chinese e-buses include the EU, South America, and several Asian countries [39] - In H125, China’s bus export volume grew by 17% year-over-year to 25,000 units, while domestic sales declined by 9% [10] - The total addressable market for Chinese buses, excluding high-entry barrier markets, is estimated at 140,000 units annually, indicating a potential doubling of market share for Chinese OEMs by 2026 [15] Competitive Landscape - In emerging markets, Chinese manufacturers face competition from Japanese and Korean brands, while in developed markets, they compete with European and US brands [30][31] - Yutong has a significant presence in the European electric bus market, holding a 16% market share in H125 [37] Risks and Challenges - Upside risks for the bus industry include strong government subsidies for new city buses and faster-than-expected EV penetration in overseas markets [63] - Downside risks include potential tariff increases from the EU on Chinese bus exports and weak domestic demand due to increased adoption of subways and personal vehicles [63][64] Financial Performance Expectations - Yutong's gross profit margin (GPM) and net profit margin (NPM) are expected to expand from 2025 to 2027, with export margins being approximately 10 percentage points higher than domestic margins [50][52] - The company is anticipated to benefit from a better product mix, leading to faster revenue growth compared to sales volume growth [48] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the China bus industry and Yutong Bus, highlighting the transition towards exports, the growth of electric buses, competitive dynamics, and financial performance expectations.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, suggesting an increase in investment weight towards automotive dividend style configurations for the second half of 2025 [2][3]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a recovery, with a 5.0% week-on-week increase in compulsory insurance for passenger vehicles, totaling 462,000 units in the last week of July [2][50]. - The report highlights significant developments in the industry, including the launch of new models from major players like Xiaopeng and Li Auto, which are expected to enhance market competitiveness [2][3]. - The report anticipates a structural market opportunity as the industry transitions towards electric and intelligent vehicles, with a recommendation to focus on companies leading in AI and robotics innovation [3][54]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The automotive sector ranked 6th in A-shares and 21st in Hong Kong stocks for the week, with motorcycles showing the best performance [7][15]. - The report notes that the SW motorcycle and other segments increased by 9.6%, while the SW passenger vehicle segment decreased by 0.7% [2][16]. Industry Changes - Key changes include the unveiling of Xiaopeng's new P7 model and pricing adjustments for Li Auto's i8, which aims to enhance customer appeal [2][3]. - The report discusses the introduction of new policies to support vehicle scrappage and replacement, which are expected to boost domestic consumption [51][59]. Sales and Forecasts - The report projects a total of 23.69 million passenger vehicles to be sold in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [51][52]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to reach 60.6% by 2025, with significant growth in both domestic and export markets [52][59]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests increasing allocations in sectors benefiting from the automotive dividend, including buses, heavy trucks, and two-wheelers, while also focusing on AI and robotics components [3][54]. - Specific stocks recommended include Spring Power, Yutong Bus, and major players in the electric vehicle market such as Xiaopeng and Li Auto [3][64].

Core Viewpoint - The bus industry is experiencing a growth phase driven by both export increases and domestic demand recovery, with leading companies expected to continue releasing performance elasticity [1][2] Export Growth - In 2024, China's medium and large bus exports are projected to reach 45,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 38%, benefiting from demand in the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America, as well as an increase in market share for Chinese brands [2][3] - The top five export markets for Chinese buses in 2024 will be the Middle East, Asia, the Commonwealth of Independent States, Latin America, and Africa, accounting for approximately 90% of total exports [4][5] Domestic Market Recovery - Domestic sales of medium and large buses are expected to reach 71,000 units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27%, driven by public transport subsidies and the recovery of the tourism market [2][6] - The new round of public transport subsidies will increase the single vehicle subsidy from 60,000 to 80,000, further stimulating domestic demand [2][6] Industry Structure - The bus industry has a high concentration, with the top three companies accounting for over 70% of exports and over 60% of domestic sales [2][5] - The gross profit margin for leading companies, especially in the new energy sector, is significantly higher than that of domestic sales, which will help improve profitability [2][4] New Energy Bus Market - In 2024, global sales of new energy medium and large buses are expected to reach approximately 62,000 units, with a penetration rate of 18%, and domestic penetration reaching 56% [3][4] - The average selling price (ASP) for new energy buses exported from China is around 1.2 to 1.8 million yuan per vehicle, which is 2 to 4 times that of fuel buses [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - In the 31st week of 2025 (July 28 - August 3), domestic passenger car and new energy passenger car sales increased week - on - week. Passenger car retail sales were 465,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 2.8%; new energy passenger car retail sales were 247,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 10.4%, with a penetration rate of 53.1%. Since the beginning of the year, cumulative passenger car retail sales were 12.563 million units, a year - on - year increase of 7.0%; cumulative new energy passenger car retail sales were 6.407 million units, a year - on - year increase of 26.9%, with a cumulative penetration rate of 51.0% [2][110][118]. - The China Passenger Car Association slightly raised the full - year forecast for 2025. It is expected that passenger car retail sales will reach 24.35 million units, a 6% increase, with the forecast volume 300,000 units more than the June forecast; passenger car exports will be 5.46 million units, a 14% increase, with the forecast volume 160,000 units higher than the initial forecast; new energy passenger car wholesale will be 15.48 million units, a 27% increase, with the forecast volume slightly down from the June forecast, and the new energy wholesale penetration rate will reach 56%; automobile wholesale will be 34.04 million units, an 8% increase, with the forecast volume 5 percentage points higher than the initial forecast [2][108][118]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1. Key Target Tracking - The report presents the weekly price changes of relevant sectors and listed companies. For example, among listed companies, Great Wall Motor (601633.SH) had a weekly increase of 3.00%, while BYD (002594.SZ) had a weekly decrease of 1.77% [16]. 3.2. Industrial Chain Data Tracking 3.2.1. China New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Sales and Exports**: Charts show the sales (seasonal), penetration rate, domestic sales (seasonal), exports (seasonal), and sales of EV and PHV in the Chinese new energy vehicle market [17][22][24]. - **Inventory Changes**: Charts display the monthly new inventory of new energy passenger vehicle channels and manufacturers [26]. - **Delivery Volume of New Energy Vehicle Manufacturers**: Charts present the monthly delivery volumes of several new energy vehicle manufacturers such as Leapmotor, Li Auto, XPeng, etc. [29][33][35]. 3.2.2. Global and Overseas New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Global Market**: Charts show the sales (by region), penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in the global new energy vehicle market [41][44]. - **European Market**: Charts present the sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in the European new energy vehicle market, as well as the sales of EV and PHV in the UK, Germany, and France [46][49][50]. - **North American Market**: Charts show the sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in the North American new energy vehicle market [59][60]. - **Other Regions**: Charts display the sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in other regions, including Japan, South Korea, and Thailand [62][63][67]. 3.2.3. Power Battery Industry Chain - Charts show the power battery loading volume (by material), export volume (by material), weekly average price of battery cells, cell material cost, and the operating rates and prices of various battery materials such as ternary materials, precursors, lithium iron phosphate, etc. [78][82][83]. 3.2.4. Other Upstream Raw Materials - Charts present the daily prices of rubber, glass, steel, and aluminum [102][104]. 3.3. Hot News Summary 3.3.1. China: Policy Dynamics - The State Administration for Market Regulation plans to build a number of national carbon measurement centers by 2030, with priority given to the carbon measurement needs of key industries such as power batteries [108]. 3.3.2. China: Industry Dynamics - The China Passenger Car Association slightly raised the full - year forecast for 2025, including the increase in passenger car retail, exports, and automobile wholesale, and a slight decrease in new energy passenger car wholesale forecast [108]. - In July, the new energy wholesale sales were 1.18 million units, a year - on - year increase of 25%, and the cumulative wholesale from January to July was 7.63 million units, a year - on - year increase of 35% [109]. - From July 1 - 31, new energy retail sales increased by 14% year - on - year, and the cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year increased by 30% year - on - year [110]. - From January to June, the domestic charging infrastructure increment was 3.282 million units, a year - on - year increase of 99.2%, and the vehicle - to - charging - pile increment ratio was 1.8:1 [111]. 3.3.3. China: Enterprise Dynamics - Sunwoda plans to list in Hong Kong and build a new production base in Vietnam with a total investment of no more than RMB 2 billion [113]. - Leapmotor's first batch of electric SUVs arrived in Brazil [114]. 3.3.4. Overseas: Policy Dynamics - Russia will allocate 5.7 billion rubles from 2025 - 2027 to develop electric vehicle charging infrastructure, aiming to have 28,000 DC charging stations with an output power over 149kW in operation by 2030 [114]. 3.3.5. Overseas: Industry Dynamics - In the UK, July passenger car sales decreased by 5.0% to 140,000 units, while pure - electric and plug - in hybrid vehicles increased by 9.1% and 33.0% respectively [115]. - In Germany, July passenger car sales increased by 11.1% to 265,000 units, with pure - electric and plug - in hybrid vehicles increasing by 58.0% and 83.6% respectively [116]. - In Brazil, July new car sales increased by 0.8% to 243,000 units, with pure - electric and plug - in hybrid vehicles increasing by 48.2% and 22.3% respectively [116]. 3.4. Industry Views - Similar to the core views, it emphasizes the sales situation in the 31st week of 2025 and the adjustment of the full - year forecast by the China Passenger Car Association [118]. 3.5. Investment Suggestions - The penetration rate of the Chinese new energy vehicle market exceeded 30% in 2023 and 50% since 2024. In 2025, high - competitiveness new car products continue to be launched, and price wars are gradually halted. Overseas, due to strong trade protectionism in Europe and the US, there are risks in exports. Attention should be paid to new growth points such as countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East. In terms of the competitive landscape, domestic independent brands' market share continues to expand, and attention should be paid to companies with strong product capabilities, smooth overseas expansion, and stable supply [3][119].

Core Insights - The report highlights that in 2024, the total salary of A-share listed company secretaries reached 4.086 billion yuan, with an average annual salary of 754,300 yuan [1] - Among the commercial vehicle industry, the total salary for secretaries in the A-share and New Third Board reached 11.4552 million yuan, with an average salary of 954,600 yuan [1] - Yutong Bus experienced a revenue growth of 37.63% in 2024, with a net profit of 4.116 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 126.53% year-on-year [1] Industry Summary - The commercial vehicle sector includes 12 listed companies, with the following notable salary changes for their secretaries: - CIMC Vehicles: 230.35 thousand yuan, an increase of 39.30 thousand yuan (20.57%) [2] - Jiangling Motors: 164.00 thousand yuan, an increase of 19.00 thousand yuan (13.10%) [2] - FAW Jiefang: 136.94 thousand yuan, a decrease of 38.37 thousand yuan (-21.89%) [2] - Foton Motor: 112.07 thousand yuan, an increase of 23.44 thousand yuan (26.45%) [2] - Yutong Bus: 76.55 thousand yuan, a decrease of 25.78 thousand yuan (-25.19%) [2] - The average salary for secretaries in the commercial vehicle industry is 95.46 thousand yuan, which is higher than the overall average for A-share listed companies [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The current market for new energy heavy trucks is facing intense competition, but Yutong Heavy Trucks is adopting a differentiated strategy to overcome industry challenges [1][19]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The market penetration of new energy heavy trucks has increased, but it remains uneven across regions and scenarios, particularly in long-distance logistics where penetration is still low [3][6]. - Three main challenges hinder further penetration: lack of supporting infrastructure, insufficient product offerings for long-distance logistics, and existing technology limitations in battery performance [3][4][6]. Group 2: Yutong's Strategy - Yutong is focusing on technological innovation to fill market gaps and address industry pain points, as demonstrated in their recent product launch [8][19]. - The company introduced the T400RE range-extended tractor, featuring a modular design that enhances efficiency and addresses range anxiety, with a total energy capacity equivalent to 1000 kWh [9][19]. - Yutong's new cargo vehicle, the Tianxing series, boasts a 331 kWh battery and a weight of 9 tons, achieving over 400 km of range while ensuring safety and stability [11][19]. Group 3: Customer-Centric Approach - Yutong emphasizes understanding user needs and market trends to create value, utilizing a "three direct" model to maintain close ties with customers [17][19]. - The company aims to continuously innovate by aligning product development with real user demands, ensuring that innovations are practical and commercially viable [15][19].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Yutong Bus Co., Ltd. has disclosed its monthly guarantee progress for July 2025, detailing the amounts and types of guarantees provided to its subsidiaries and related enterprises, indicating a stable operational environment and controlled risk exposure. Group 1: Guarantee Overview - The total guarantee amount for July 2025 reached 476.55 million yuan, which includes guarantees to subsidiaries and related enterprises [1][2]. - The guarantees provided are within the previously estimated limits, and no additional approval procedures are required [1][2]. - The company has established strict credit review and corresponding security measures to ensure that these guarantees do not adversely affect its normal operations or financial status [2]. Group 2: Specific Guarantee Details - The guarantees include various types such as performance bonds and advance payment guarantees, with specific amounts detailed for each entity involved [2]. - Notable guarantees include 371.16 million yuan for Hong Kong Yutong and 3.59 million yuan for the joint bidding entity Yutong&TVI [2]. - As of July 31, 2025, the total balance of guarantees provided to subsidiaries and related enterprises is reported, with no overdue guarantees noted [2]. Group 3: Subsidiary Information - Hong Kong Yutong, France Yutong, Tianjin Shunjie, and Spain Yutong are among the subsidiaries receiving guarantees, with their respective registration details and business operations outlined [2]. - The subsidiaries are engaged in various activities including import-export trade, manufacturing, and sales of commercial vehicles, indicating a diversified operational portfolio [2]. Group 4: Financial Metrics - The guarantees provided do not exceed 100% of the latest audited net assets of the company, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements [1][2]. - The company maintains a healthy financial position with no guarantees provided to controlling shareholders or related parties, reflecting prudent financial management [2].

证券代码：600066 证券简称：宇通客车 编号：临2025-044 累计担保情况 | | | 1 对控股子公 司及控股子 公司之间相 互提供的担 保 被担保人名称 公司全资子公司香港宇通国际有限公司 （以下简称"香港宇通"）、YUTONG FRANCE S.A.S.（以下简称"法国宇通"）、 天津宇驰顺捷汽车销售服务有限公司（以 下简称"天津顺捷"）、YUTONG SPAIN HOLDCO, S.L.（以下简称"西班牙宇通"） 7 月担保发生额 47,654.90 万元 是否在前期预计额度内 ☑是 □否 本次担保是否有反担保 □是 ☑否 为购房人提 供阶段性担 保 被担保人名称 购房人 7 月担保发生额 952.20 万元 是否在前期预计额度内 ☑是 □否 本次担保是否有反担保 □是 ☑否 对销售业务 链相关企业 提供的担保 被担保人名称 GROUPEMENT TRACTAFRIC VEHICULES INDUSTRIELS ET YUTONG BUS CO., LTD. （ 为 公 司 与 TRACTAFRIC VEHICULES INDUSTRIELS 组成的联合投标体，以下 简称"Yutong&TVI ...

Core Viewpoint - Yutong Bus Co., Ltd. reported a decline in overall sales for July 2025, with a notable increase in light bus sales, indicating a shift in market demand [1][2][4]. Sales Data Summary - In July 2025, Yutong sold a total of 3,219 vehicles, representing a year-on-year decrease of 4.05% compared to 3,355 vehicles sold in the same month last year [2]. - Breakdown of sales in July 2025: - Large buses: 1,570 units sold, down 21.22% from 1,993 units [2]. - Medium buses: 943 units sold, up 8.39% from 870 units [2]. - Light buses: 706 units sold, a significant increase of 43.50% from 492 units [2]. - Cumulative sales for the first seven months of 2025 reached 24,540 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.63% compared to 23,910 units [2]. - Cumulative sales breakdown for the first seven months: - Large buses: 12,708 units sold, down 9.35% from 14,018 units [2]. - Medium buses: 7,258 units sold, a slight increase of 1.09% from 7,180 units [2]. - Light buses: 4,574 units sold, a remarkable increase of 68.66% from 2,712 units [2][4]. Market Trends - The strong growth in the light bus segment is a significant driver of overall sales performance for Yutong, highlighting a shift in consumer preference towards lighter vehicles [4].

Group 1 - A total of 31 stocks received buy ratings from brokerages, with 7 stocks announcing target prices [1] - Based on the highest target prices, Yutong Bus, BYD, and Chuan Yi Co. ranked highest in target price increase potential, with expected increases of 45.71%, 42.09%, and 36.56% respectively [1] - Among the rated stocks, 27 maintained their ratings, while 4 received their first ratings [1] Group 2 - Eight stocks received attention from multiple brokerages, with Zhongchong Co., Ying Shi Network, and Haowei Group each receiving ratings from 2 brokerages [1] - In terms of industry distribution, the automotive and auto parts sector had the highest number of buy-rated stocks at 10, followed by durable consumer goods and apparel with 4, and semiconductors and semiconductor production equipment with 3 [1]