Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector assets [10][11] - The coal supply side is experiencing a contraction, with a decrease in coal mine capacity utilization rates, while demand is expected to recover, leading to a potential rebound in coal prices [10][11] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality coal companies that exhibit strong profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE), and dividends, which are expected to remain attractive investments [10][11] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Prices - As of June 14, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 610 CNY/ton, a decrease of 1 CNY/ton week-on-week [2][29] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is reported at 1250 CNY/ton, down 40 CNY/ton from the previous week [31] 2. Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 94%, down 1 percentage point week-on-week, while coking coal mines have a utilization rate of 83.71%, down 0.9 percentage points [10][46] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has decreased by 9.50 thousand tons/day (-3.03%) and in coastal provinces by 0.30 thousand tons/day (-0.17%) [10][47] 3. Coal Inventory and Transportation - As of June 12, coal inventory in inland provinces has decreased by 12.60 thousand tons, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 38.50 thousand tons [47] - The report notes that the daily coal consumption is in the early stages of a seasonal increase, indicating a potential recovery in demand [10] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others, while also considering companies with high elasticity like Yanzhou Coal and Guohua Energy [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Jining City is implementing a comprehensive strategy for industrial economic development, focusing on the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, the cultivation of emerging industries, and the forward-looking layout of future industries, effectively fostering new quality productive forces and achieving significant results in high-quality development [1][9][13]. Group 1: New Quality Productive Forces - New quality productive forces are defined as advanced productive forces characterized by high technology, high efficiency, and high quality, driven by innovation and aligned with new development concepts [2]. - Jining's strategy includes a "232" industrial cluster framework, forming a gradient industrial system with two trillion-level industries (new energy, high-end equipment), three hundred billion-level industries (high-end chemicals, new materials, food), and two hundred billion-level industries (new generation information technology, pharmaceuticals) [1][13]. Group 2: Economic Performance - Jining's GDP is projected to reach 586.75 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, showcasing robust economic resilience and vitality [3]. - The tertiary industry added value reached 305.54 billion yuan, growing by 6.8%, becoming the main engine for economic growth, while the secondary industry added value was 217.6 billion yuan, growing by 5.1% [3]. Group 3: Industrial Development - The industrial economy in Jining is expected to achieve high-quality development, with industrial added value reaching 185.55 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [5]. - Significant projects in traditional industries include over 1,100 industrial technological transformation projects, with 249 projects included in the provincial technological transformation directory [5]. Group 4: Innovation and Market Dynamics - Jining has seen a market entity scale exceeding one million, reaching 1.016 million households, with 1,700 new "Four Up" enterprises added [7]. - The city has strengthened its innovation capabilities, with a 13% year-on-year increase in R&D expenditure and the number of high-tech enterprises reaching 1,800 [7]. Group 5: Policy Framework - Jining has introduced several policies to support the development of new quality productive forces, including plans for large-scale equipment updates and the development of the medical and health industry [9][10]. - The government emphasizes the importance of creating a modern industrial system and has set six key tasks to achieve this goal, including promoting the integration of technology and industry [10][11]. Group 6: Future Industry Layout - Jining is focusing on future industries such as aerospace, life sciences, and intelligent robotics, with plans for hydrogen energy preparation and low-altitude economy projects [19][24]. - The city aims to establish a complete innovation chain in the new energy sector, from lithium battery materials to energy storage systems, with ongoing investments in R&D [25][26].

兖矿能源集团股份有限公司 2024年年度末期权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： A 股每股现金红利人民币 0.54元（含税）。 相关日期 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | | 现金红利发放日 | 股份类别 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A 股 2025/6/17 － | | | 2025/6/18 | 2025/6/18 | | H 股股东的现金红利派发不适用本公告。 股票代码：600188 股票简称：兖矿能源 公告编号：临 2025-044 差异化分红送转： 否 。 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经兖矿能源集团股份有限公司（"兖矿能源""公司"）2025 年 5 月 30 日召开的2024年度股东周年大会审议通过。 二、分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 1 公司不存在 ...

兖矿能源集团股份有限公司 股票代码：600188 股票简称：兖矿能源 公告编号：临 2025-044 2024年年度末期权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： A 股每股现金红利人民币 0.54元（含税）。 相关日期 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | | 现金红利发放日 | 股份类别 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A 股 2025/6/17 － | | | 2025/6/18 | 2025/6/18 | | H 股股东的现金红利派发不适用本公告。 差异化分红送转： 否 。 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经兖矿能源集团股份有限公司（"兖矿能源""公司"）2025 年 5 月 30 日召开的2024年度股东周年大会审议通过。 二、分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 1 公司不存在 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Views - The coal mining industry is experiencing a tightening supply in safety production month, with daily consumption increasing week-on-week and port inventories decreasing [2][5] - The report highlights the potential for a rebound in thermal coal prices as the summer peak season approaches, supported by low inventory levels at power plants [5][16] - The overall coal market fundamentals have improved significantly compared to previous periods, with expectations for price stabilization and recovery [5][16] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - Port inventories continue to decrease, with a week-on-week drop of 125.3 thousand tons, indicating a tightening supply [30] - Daily consumption at coastal and inland power plants has increased, with a week-on-week rise of 2.0 and 24.9 thousand tons respectively [25][31] - The average price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port has decreased by 2 yuan/ton week-on-week, now at 609 yuan/ton [17] Coking Coal - Supply of coking coal has contracted, with a week-on-week decrease in production capacity utilization by 0.87 percentage points [41] - The average customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal has decreased by 234 trucks week-on-week [45] - Coking coal prices at major ports have decreased, with the price at Jing Tang port dropping by 30 yuan/ton to 1270 yuan/ton [42] Coke - The implementation of the third round of price reductions has led to a decrease in the operating rate of coke enterprises, down 0.15 percentage points to 76.04% [53] - Coke prices have decreased by 70 yuan/ton week-on-week, now at 1280 yuan/ton [53] - The average profit per ton of coke has improved by 20 yuan/ton week-on-week, now at -19 yuan/ton [57] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong cash flow and high profitability, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy [78] - It emphasizes the value attributes of the coal sector, particularly in the context of recent government support and market stability [77][78]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Buy" for coal mining companies [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the historical peak in Q4 2021, and the market is well aware of the price decline. The industry is at a critical stage of price bottoming, and the bottom may not be far off. It is essential to grasp the intrinsic attributes of the industry and maintain confidence [3]. - In May 2025, India's coal-fired power generation decreased by 9.5% year-on-year to 113.3 billion kWh, marking the largest year-on-year decline since June 2020 [2]. - The report emphasizes that domestic coal companies are increasingly facing losses, with over half (54.8%) of coal enterprises reporting losses as of March 2025. This trend may lead to increased probabilities of both passive and active production cuts [3]. Summary by Sections Coal Prices - As of June 6, 2025, coal prices showed mixed trends: European ARA port coal price at $89/ton (down 2.2%), Newcastle port coal price at $218.9/ton (unchanged), and IPE South Africa Richards Bay coal futures at $91/ton (up 1.2%) [1][32]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy - Shaanxi Coal and Energy (601225.SH) - Buy - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) - Buy - Electric Power Energy (002128.SZ) - Buy - Jinko Coal Industry (601001.SH) - Buy - Yancoal Energy (600188.SH) - Buy - New Hope Energy (601918.SH) - Buy [6]. Electricity Demand - In May 2025, India's total electricity generation decreased by 5.3% year-on-year to 160.4 billion kWh, with peak demand down 8% to 231,000 MW, primarily due to mild weather conditions [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector is entering a "Golden Era 2.0," with core value assets expected to rise again. The current weak domestic economy and external pressures, such as tariffs from the Trump administration, along with a downward trend in interest rates, make coal a stable dividend investment. Insurance funds have begun new allocations in coal and other dividend sectors, which are perceived as low-risk due to state-owned backgrounds [4][12]. - The coal market is expected to stabilize and rebound as supply-demand fundamentals improve. Both thermal and coking coal prices are at low levels, with potential for upward movement following the implementation of macroeconomic policies and the upcoming construction season in 2025 [4][12]. - The coal sector is likely to see a renewed investment focus due to supportive macro policies and capital market initiatives. High dividend payouts have become a trend, with several listed coal companies announcing mid-term dividend plans, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment [4][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Logic - The coal sector is viewed as a stable dividend investment due to weak domestic economic performance and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Insurance funds are starting new allocations in coal, which is seen as a low-risk investment [4][12]. 2. Key Indicators Overview - The coal sector experienced a slight decline of 0.5% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.38 percentage points. The sector's PE ratio is 11.81, and the PB ratio is 1.18, ranking low among all A-share industries [7][9]. 3. Thermal Coal Industry Chain - As of June 6, the Qinhuangdao port price for Q5500 thermal coal is 609 CNY/ton, a slight decrease of 0.33%. The operating rate of coal mines in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia is 81.3%, with a minor decline [3][15]. - The inventory at ports in the Bohai Rim has decreased to 29.31 million tons, down 4.1% from the previous week, indicating a continued trend of inventory reduction [3][15]. 4. Coking Coal Industry Chain - The price for main coking coal at the Jing Tang port remains stable at 1270 CNY/ton. However, the market is facing potential supply disruptions due to political changes in Mongolia and domestic cost pressures [3][16]. - The average daily iron output remains above 240 CNY/ton, indicating resilient demand for coking coal despite pressures from the steel industry [3][16]. 5. Company Announcements - Several coal companies have announced plans for stock buybacks and increased shareholder holdings, signaling confidence in the sector's valuation and potential for price appreciation [4][12]. 6. Selected Coal Stocks - Key stocks to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy for dividend potential; Pingmei Shenma and Huabei Mining for cyclical logic; and Guanghui Energy and Xinjie Energy for growth potential [4][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several coal companies, including Jin控煤业, 陕西煤业, 华阳股份, 中国神华, 中煤能源, 山煤国际, 新集能源, 兖矿能源, and 淮北矿业, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [3][11]. Core Views - The report highlights that the continuous destocking at ports and the upcoming peak summer demand are expected to drive a rebound in thermal coal prices. The demand side is seeing an increase in daily consumption by power plants as temperatures rise, while supply is tightening due to reduced production and stricter safety inspections [1][7]. - The report suggests that after verifying the bottom support for coal prices, the stable high dividend yield of coal stocks enhances their investment value, leading to a potential valuation uplift for the sector [1][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with stable performance and high cash flow growth, recommending specific stocks based on their financial health and market position [11]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The report notes that the coal market is experiencing mixed price movements, with low-calorie coal prices slightly increasing due to tight supply. The overall market remains stable, with port coal prices showing minor fluctuations [1][7]. - The report indicates that the average daily coal consumption by power plants has increased, with a week-on-week rise of 33.7 thousand tons, reflecting a growing demand for electricity [9]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report discusses the supply side, noting a significant decline in coal production due to low prices and stricter environmental checks, particularly in regions like Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia. This is expected to lead to a tighter supply situation [1][10]. - On the demand side, the report highlights that non-electric demand remains high, and the anticipated increase in thermal power generation could lead to a positive shift in coal prices [1][7]. Company Performance - The report provides earnings forecasts and valuations for key companies, with Jin控煤业 expected to have an EPS of 1.68 yuan in 2024, while 陕西煤业 is projected to have an EPS of 2.31 yuan. The report recommends these companies based on their stable earnings and growth potential [3][11]. - The report also notes that the coal sector has underperformed compared to the broader market, with a weekly decline of 0.3% for the coal sector compared to a 0.9% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [12][15]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with robust performance and cash flow, such as Jin控煤业 and 陕西煤业, as well as industry leaders like 中国神华 and 中煤能源. It also suggests looking at companies with growth in production, such as 华阳股份 and 山煤国际 [11][12].

"申能股份高度重视股东回报。上市以来，公司坚持每年现金分红，累计分红达247亿元，体现了国有上 市公司的主体责任和担当。"华士超介绍。 新华文轩董事长周青表示，公司上市以来一直保持着稳定的增长态势，总资产、净资产、营业收入、利 润总额、扣非归母净利润的年复合增长率分别达8.87%、8.62%、8.88%、11.97%和11.98%。 据悉，2016年上市以来，新华文轩每年都实施了现金分红，累计分红金额达45.04亿元。2024年，公司 拟向全体股东每10股派现金股利4.1元，共派发现金股利5.06亿元。 ◎记者 何昕怡 "2024年，广州发展资产规模、营业收入、利润总额均保持增长态势，归母净利润连续3年创历史新高， 天然气、新能源、储能业务版图持续扩大，业务板块全面盈利。"广州发展董事长蔡瑞雄称。 6月5日，2024年沪市主板高分红重回报专题集体业绩说明会在上证路演中心举行。兖矿能源、申能股 份、广州发展、新华文轩等4家上市公司高管集体亮相，通过分享现金分红情况、ESG建设进展，多维 度传递企业发展的强劲动力和韧性。 现金分红热情持续高涨 高分红、强回报，一直是沪市公司的亮眼标签。此次业绩说明会上，4家公司亦 ...

迎接 6 月基本面拐点 [Table_Industry] 煤炭 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.06.05 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 ——煤炭行业周报 | [table_Authors] 黄涛(分析师) | 王楠瑀(研究助理) | | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | 登记编号 S0880515090001 | S0880123060041 | 本报告导读： 煤价底部企稳，预计随着全国气温的逐步攀升，再考虑到库存去化，预计煤价拐点 就在 6 月，当前就是基本面拐点。 投资要点： [投资建议： Table_Summary] 从板块推荐角度，依然推荐红利的核心中国神华、陕西煤业、 中煤能源；继续推荐兖矿能源、晋控煤业。 疆煤外运及内蒙的铁路运费再次下调，背后或反应新疆内蒙外运大规模 亏损压力。上周疆煤外运及内蒙的铁路运费再次下调，物流成本继续下 降。旺季来临时候下调运费，显示出产地，新疆内蒙外运大规模亏损压 力，运量下降倒逼铁路降价，在当前 620 元港口价格下已经刻不容缓， 侧面反映两大产地压力。我们认为 4 月全国产量 ...