Group 1 - The controlling shareholder, Hengli Group, and its concerted parties hold a total of 5.311 billion shares, accounting for 75.45% of the total shares [1] - A total of 1.790 billion shares have been pledged, representing 33.71% of their holdings and 25.43% of the total share capital [1] - Hengneng Investment holds 1.498 billion shares, which is 21.29% of the total, with 0.622 billion shares pledged [1] Group 2 - On September 25, Hengneng Investment pledged 53 million shares to CITIC Bank Suzhou Branch for liquidity purposes [1] - On September 26, 68 million shares were released from pledge [1] - Hengneng Investment has a good credit rating, and the risks associated with this pledge are controllable, with no substantial impact on the company [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical and basic chemical sectors [6]. Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is expected to experience a recovery in prosperity due to the implementation of the "Stabilization Growth Work Plan" for 2025-2026, which aims to enhance high-end supply and optimize capacity in various sub-sectors [1][2]. - The report highlights the importance of controlling new capacity for key products such as refining, ethylene, PX, and coal-to-methanol, which is anticipated to improve the supply structure [2]. - The focus on fertilizer production stability and the development of new types of fertilizers is expected to continue, with recommendations for companies in this sector [3]. - The report emphasizes the acceleration of new materials and emerging technologies in the chemical industry, driven by policy support for high-end supply and digital transformation [4]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Growth Policies - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have issued a plan to stabilize growth in the petrochemical industry, focusing on high-end supply and project management [1]. - The plan includes measures to enhance supply optimization and support the development of high-end chemical materials in electronics, new energy, and medical equipment [1]. Section 2: Capacity Control and Supply Optimization - The plan specifies strict control over new refining capacity and reasonable planning for the addition of ethylene, PX, and coal-to-methanol capacities, supporting the replacement and upgrading of old facilities [2]. - In 2024, China's refining, PX, and methanol capacities are projected to decrease by 1%, remain unchanged, and increase by 2% respectively, indicating a significant slowdown in capacity growth [2]. Section 3: Fertilizer Production Stability - The plan aims to optimize the production management of key fertilizer companies and ensure stable raw material supply through long-term contracts [3]. - The report notes that the prices of some upstream raw materials have risen significantly, which may impact fertilizer production [3]. Section 4: Development of New Materials and Technologies - The report anticipates accelerated development of high-end chemical materials and emerging technologies, including carbon capture and green ammonia applications [4]. - It encourages the development of new materials in sectors such as integrated circuits, new energy, and medical devices, with a focus on innovation and domestic substitution [4]. Section 5: Company Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their potential to benefit from the outlined policies, including: - **Buy**: Yun Tianhua, Dongcai Technology, Hualu Hengsheng, and Luxi Chemical [7]. - **Overweight**: Hengli Petrochemical, Huayi Group, Tongkun Co., Guangwei Composite, Xinfeng Group, and Wanwei High-tech [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The "Stabilizing Growth Work Plan" for the petrochemical industry has raised expectations, focusing on enhancing technological innovation, expanding effective investment, and fostering market demand [8] - The green low-carbon industry, particularly green polyester, is expected to experience rapid growth due to new technologies and significant market potential [8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report favors companies that have strategically positioned themselves in the green polyester sector, such as Wankai New Materials (301216, Buy). Other recommended stocks include Sinopec (600028, Buy), Hengli Petrochemical (600346, Buy), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493, Buy), Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy), and Huayi Group (600623, Buy). Additionally, companies in the pesticide formulation segment like Runfeng Co., Ltd. (301035, Buy), Guoguang Co., Ltd. (002749, Buy), and Hailier (603639, Buy) are also highlighted [3] Industry Overview - The petrochemical industry is currently facing significant oversupply, making rapid recovery through market-driven policies challenging. However, the long-term outlook for the industry is improving, with lower valuations for leading chemical stocks providing good investment opportunities [8] - The green low-carbon sector, including green methanol, bio-aviation fuel, and green polyester, is gaining market attention due to its vast market space and the need for sustainable development. Companies that capitalize on these trends are expected to achieve rapid growth [8] Recent Developments - The recent "Stabilizing Growth Work Plan" emphasizes controlling new refining capacity and supporting key products in electronic chemicals and high-end polyolefins, while also fostering new application scenarios in emerging fields like renewable energy and low-altitude economy [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, indicating a recovery in industry prosperity [3][5]. Core Viewpoints - The "Petrochemical Industry Steady Growth Work Plan" aims for an average annual growth of over 5% in the industry's added value from 2025 to 2026, with a focus on stabilizing economic benefits and enhancing technological innovation [4][5]. - The report highlights five key initiatives to achieve these goals, including strengthening technological innovation, expanding effective investment, and enhancing market demand [6][10]. - The upstream sector is experiencing a trend of widening supply and demand, with expectations of oil prices maintaining a medium to high level despite potential downward adjustments [4][18]. - The refining sector is seeing improved profitability due to a recovery in oil prices, although the current product price differentials remain low [4][45]. - The polyester sector shows signs of recovery, with expectations for improved profitability as supply and demand conditions improve [14]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices increased to $70.13 per barrel, a 5.17% rise week-on-week, while WTI prices rose to $65.72 per barrel, up 4.85% [4][18]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased to 415 million barrels, down 610,000 barrels from the previous week, and are 4% lower than the five-year average [20][22]. - The number of U.S. drilling rigs increased to 549, up 7 rigs week-on-week, but down 38 rigs year-on-year [28]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products fell to $13.54 per barrel, down $4.51 from the previous week [4]. - The report notes that while refining product price differentials have improved, they remain at low levels, with expectations for gradual improvement as the economy recovers [4][45]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices have stabilized, with the average price in East China at 4528.6 CNY per ton, down 1.69% week-on-week [4]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in the polyester industry as new capacity additions taper off in the coming years [14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as high-quality refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [14][15]. - It also suggests monitoring companies in the upstream exploration and development sector, which are expected to maintain high profitability due to sustained capital expenditures [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [5][6][20] Core Insights - The petrochemical industry is expected to see stable growth due to the introduction of policies aimed at enhancing industry health and eliminating outdated capacity [5][6] - The demand for viscose filament is anticipated to tighten, leading to an upward trend in prices, while the grass herbicide market is expected to optimize its structure [5][6] - The global GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.8%, with stable oil demand despite some slowdown due to tariff policies [5][6] Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable [5][6] - The coal market is anticipated to experience long-term price stabilization, with easing pressures on downstream sectors [5][6] - Natural gas exports from the U.S. are likely to accelerate, potentially lowering import costs [5][6] Chemical Sector Analysis - The report highlights that the viscose filament industry will see a supply-demand tightening, with a projected increase in operating rates from 84% to over 95% [5][6] - The grass herbicide market is set to address issues of low pricing and quality through upcoming industry meetings aimed at regulating competition [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals [5][6] - Specific companies to watch include Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, Jilin Chemical Fiber, and Lier Chemical, which are expected to benefit from market dynamics [5][6][20] Key Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies, indicating various ratings such as "Buy" and "Increase" for companies like Hailir Chemical, Yunnan Chemical, and Wanhu Chemical [20]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" as the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark [148]. Core Insights - The report highlights that domestic and international refining project price differentials have shown a decline, with domestic key refining project price differential at 2338.86 CNY/ton, down by 1.52% week-on-week, while the international price differential is at 1062.71 CNY/ton, down by 9.32% [2][3]. - Brent crude oil average price for the week ending September 26, 2025, was 68.03 USD/barrel, reflecting a slight increase of 0.71% [2][3]. - The report indicates that the refining sector is facing mixed signals, with international oil prices experiencing volatility due to geopolitical factors and economic data from the US raising concerns about demand [2][14]. - In the chemical sector, prices for petrochemical products have generally weakened, with price differentials narrowing across various products [2][46]. - The polyester and nylon sectors are experiencing price declines, with polyester filament factories slightly reducing production while facing weak demand [2][81][115]. Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The report notes fluctuations in oil prices, with Brent and WTI prices increasing by 3.45 and 3.04 USD/barrel respectively from the previous week [14]. - Domestic diesel and gasoline prices have slightly decreased, with average prices at 6905.29 CNY/ton and 7995.14 CNY/ton respectively [14]. Chemical Sector - Polyethylene prices have shown slight declines, with LDPE, LLDPE, and HDPE averaging 9685.71 CNY/ton, 7148.00 CNY/ton, and 8000.00 CNY/ton respectively [53][66]. - The report indicates that the MMA market is showing price stability due to limited supply pressure, with MMA averaging 10242.86 CNY/ton [66]. Polyester & Nylon Sector - PX prices have decreased, with the current average at 5757.10 CNY/ton, while PTA prices are also down to 4537.86 CNY/ton [81][96]. - The report highlights that the demand for polyester filament remains weak, with production adjustments being made in response to inventory levels [81][123]. Market Performance - The report tracks the stock performance of six major refining companies, noting significant weekly changes, with Rongsheng Petrochemical up by 4.55% and Dongfang Shenghong down by 3.32% [134][135]. - The overall performance of the refining index has increased by 44.48% since September 4, 2017, outperforming both the oil and petrochemical industry indices [137].

Core Viewpoint - The coal chemical concept sector has shown a positive performance with a 0.80% increase, ranking fifth among concept sectors, driven by significant gains in several stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Sector Performance - As of September 26, the coal chemical concept sector increased by 0.80%, with 60 stocks rising, including Yicheng New Energy which hit the daily limit up of 20% [1]. - Notable gainers in the sector included Donghua Technology (up 10.04%), Hongsheng Co., and Luhua Technology, both hitting the daily limit [1][3]. - The top decliners were Lu'an Environmental Energy, Jiufeng Energy, and Hangyang Co., with declines of 2.89%, 2.44%, and 2.39% respectively [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The coal chemical sector attracted a net inflow of 435 million yuan, with 44 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 50 million yuan in net inflow [2]. - Donghua Technology led the net inflow with 148 million yuan, followed by Junzheng Group and Luhua Technology with 114 million yuan and 82.94 million yuan respectively [2][3]. - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Yicheng New Energy (35.30%), Luhua Technology (27.98%), and Donghua Technology (22.55%) [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.65% on September 26, with the oil and petrochemical sector leading the gains, increasing by 1.17% [1] Industry Summary - The oil and petrochemical sector saw a net inflow of 78.76 million yuan, with 32 out of 47 stocks in the sector rising [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow were Hengyi Petrochemical (67.72 million yuan), China Petroleum (67.71 million yuan), and Hengli Petrochemical (46.23 million yuan) [1] - The sectors with the largest declines were computer and electronics, with decreases of 3.26% and 2.75% respectively [1] Company Summary - Hengyi Petrochemical experienced a significant increase of 6.89% with a turnover rate of 2.00% and a net inflow of 67.72 million yuan [1] - China Petroleum rose by 0.25% with a turnover rate of 0.07% and a net inflow of 67.71 million yuan [1] - Hengli Petrochemical increased by 3.48% with a turnover rate of 0.67% and a net inflow of 46.23 million yuan [1] - The companies with the largest net outflows included Tongkun Co. (10.3 million yuan), Donghua Energy (35.13 million yuan), and Rongsheng Petrochemical (26.22 million yuan) [1][2]

Market Overview - The refining and trading sector increased by 0.72% on September 26, with Hengyi Petrochemical leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.11, down 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13209.0, down 1.76% [1] Stock Performance - Hengyi Petrochemical (000703) closed at 6.83, up 6.89% with a trading volume of 716,400 shares and a turnover of 495 million [1] - Tongkun Co., Ltd. (601233) closed at 14.95, up 6.03% with a trading volume of 855,000 shares and a turnover of 1.29 billion [1] - Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493) closed at 9.89, up 4.99% with a trading volume of 758,500 shares and a turnover of 743 million [1] - Other notable stocks include Daqing Huake (000985) up 3.90% and Hengli Petrochemical (600346) up 3.48% [1] Capital Flow - The refining and trading sector saw a net inflow of 37.72 million from main funds, while speculative funds had a net inflow of 72.77 million [2] - Retail investors experienced a net outflow of 110 million [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Hengli Petrochemical (600346) had a main fund net inflow of 70.19 million, with a retail net outflow of 76.95 million [3] - Hengyi Petrochemical (000703) saw a main fund net inflow of 66.45 million, with a retail net outflow of 68.47 million [3] - China Petroleum (601857) had a main fund net inflow of 65.63 million, with a retail net inflow of 18.97 million [3]

Group 1 - Hengli Petrochemical's stock increased by 5.12% on September 26, reaching a price of 17.24 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 448 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.38%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 121.354 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on March 9, 1999, and listed on August 20, 2001, is located in Dalian, Liaoning Province, and specializes in the research, production, and sales of polyester fibers, polyester films, and related products, as well as the production and sales of steam and electricity [1] - The main revenue composition of Hengli Petrochemical includes refining products at 45.92%, PTA at 31.10%, polyester products at 19.24%, and others at 3.73% [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Harvest Fund has a significant position in Hengli Petrochemical, specifically the Harvest CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index Fund A (013527), which reduced its holdings by 84,500 shares in the second quarter, now holding 363,800 shares, accounting for 2.95% of the fund's net value [2] - The Harvest CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index Fund A was established on September 22, 2022, with a latest scale of 16.2829 million CNY, achieving a year-to-date return of 19.12% and a one-year return of 29.73% [2] - The fund manager, Zhang Chaoliang, has been in the position for 5 years and 290 days, overseeing total assets of 24.102 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 70.4% and the worst being -29.94% [2]