Core Viewpoint - The gold industry is experiencing significant growth due to rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Companies in this sector are leveraging their resource advantages and operational efficiencies to capitalize on these market conditions. Company Summaries - **Sichuan Gold (001337)**: Located in Sichuan, the company benefits from high-quality gold resources and low-cost mining advantages. It is expected to gain from rising gold prices and regional resource integration policies, enhancing its growth potential [1]. - **Zhaojin Gold (000506)**: A well-established player in the gold industry, Zhaojin has a comprehensive supply chain and strong technical capabilities. The company is positioned to benefit from increased gold demand due to geopolitical tensions and has a robust hedging strategy to stabilize profits [2]. - **Shandong Gold International (000975)**: This company operates globally, focusing on low-cost mining resources. It is expected to thrive amid geopolitical conflicts, leveraging its operational experience and resource management to respond to international gold price fluctuations [3]. - **Xiaocheng Technology (300139)**: Focused on intelligent mining solutions and African resource development, the company is set to benefit from both rising gold prices and increased demand for mining technology services [4]. - **China National Gold (600489)**: As a leading state-owned enterprise, it has the largest gold reserves in China. The company is expected to play a crucial role in stabilizing domestic gold supply and prices amid rising global demand [5]. - **Western Gold (601069)**: Based in Xinjiang, the company benefits from high-quality resources and regional policies supporting resource integration. It is positioned as a key player in ensuring domestic gold supply [6][7]. - **Chifeng Gold (600988)**: A rapidly expanding company that has increased its resource reserves through acquisitions. It is expected to enhance profit margins through optimized mining processes amid rising gold prices [8]. - **Hengbang Shares (002237)**: A leading gold smelting company, it benefits from its ability to process complex ores and is positioned to gain from rising gold prices and increased demand for silver recovery [9]. - **Shandong Gold (600547)**: The absolute leader in the gold industry, it has the largest resource reserves and production capacity. The company is expected to stabilize market expectations and supply amid rising gold prices [10]. - **Hunan Silver (002716)**: A core player in the silver industry, it benefits from rising silver prices and increased demand from the photovoltaic industry, enhancing its profit margins [11]. - **Zijin Mining (601899)**: A major player in the non-ferrous metals sector, it has a global footprint in gold mining and is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions [12]. - **Yintai Gold (000975)**: This company has a strong resource base and low-cost mining operations, positioning it well to benefit from rising gold prices and increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [13]. - **Shengda Resources (000603)**: A leading silver company, it is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand from the photovoltaic industry, while also expanding into gold resource development [14]. - **Yuguang Gold Lead (600531)**: A leader in lead and zinc smelting, it has strong silver recovery capabilities and is expected to benefit from rising silver prices amid increased industrial demand [15]. - **Hunan Gold (002155)**: A significant gold producer, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and regional resource development policies, enhancing its growth potential [16]. - **Zhongrun Resources (000506)**: Focused on overseas gold projects, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions, leveraging its operational experience [17]. - **Yuancheng Gold (600766)**: This company is focused on gold exploration and development, benefiting from rising gold prices and regional resource integration [18]. - **Xingye Mining (000426)**: A multi-metal mining company, it is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand for silver in the photovoltaic industry [19]. - **Jin Gui Silver Industry (002716)**: A leading silver smelting company, it is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand from the photovoltaic industry [20]. - **Western Mining (601168)**: A core player in the non-ferrous metals sector, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and increased demand for new energy metals [21]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)**: A global mining giant, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and geopolitical tensions, leveraging its diverse resource portfolio [22]. - **Guizhou Platinum Industry (600459)**: A leader in precious metals, it is expected to benefit from rising demand for platinum and palladium amid global energy transitions [23]. - **Nanmin Group (001360)**: A mining equipment leader, it is expected to benefit from rising gold prices and increased demand for mining equipment amid a booming gold market [24]. - **Xingye Silver Tin (000426)**: This company is expanding its global gold asset portfolio and is expected to benefit from rising silver prices and increased demand for gold [25].

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - In the first month of the new year, spot gold has increased by over 8%, rising more than $380 [1] - Major gold mining companies include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold, all of which have strong resource reserves and cost control capabilities [3] - Shandong Gold is noted for its high correlation with gold prices, indicating significant earnings elasticity [3] Group 2: Silver Market Overview - Silver resources are led by companies like Silver Mountain Mining, which has a silver reserve of 8,382 tons, ranking first in Asia [4] - Shengda Resources focuses on silver mining and refining, with 92% of its business in silver, showcasing strong profitability linked to silver prices [5] - Hunan Silver is the only listed company in China primarily focused on silver, with a full industry chain from mining to refining [7] Group 3: Platinum Group Metals - Companies like Zhongxin Metal and Guoyuan Platinum are involved in the recovery and production of platinum group metals, with significant future production expected [7] - The demand for palladium is anticipated to rise due to its use in automotive emissions control, benefiting companies that produce it as a byproduct [7] - GreenMei is a leader in the recycling of electronic and automotive waste, with a substantial capacity for recovering precious metals [7]

Group 1 - The precious metals sector increased by 3.47% compared to the previous trading day, with Hunan Silver leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] - Hunan Silver's stock price rose by 10.03% to 12.40, with a trading volume of 4.6076 million shares and a transaction value of 543.8 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the precious metals sector was 546 million yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 612 million yuan [1] - Hunan Silver had a main fund net inflow of 3.28 billion yuan, representing 6.04% of its total trading volume [2] - The trading data indicates that while some stocks like Hunan Silver saw positive main fund inflows, others like Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold experienced significant net outflows [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [7][8]. Core Insights - The geopolitical situation continues to create volatility, but gold prices are expected to remain supported due to ongoing tensions [3][52]. - The steel industry is anticipated to see improved profitability due to the implementation of growth policies and an optimistic demand outlook in sectors like shipbuilding and construction [4][5]. - The copper market is expected to tighten due to supply constraints from major mines, while demand is projected to increase in sectors such as electric power grids and new energy vehicles [4][41]. - The aluminum sector faces challenges with oversupply in alumina and potential short-term price corrections, but the demand from the new energy vehicle sector remains a key focus [4][48]. - The rare earth industry is expected to see a revaluation of related companies due to China's export controls and the strategic importance of rare earth resources [7][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Industry - Current steel mill inventory pressure is not significant, and short-term demand decline is limited, with expectations of price support before the Spring Festival [5][19]. - As of January 16, 2026, the total steel inventory was 12.4955 million tons, a decrease of 0.39% from the previous week, but an increase of 7.72% year-on-year [26][27]. - The comprehensive price index for steel on January 16, 2026, was 3,457.46 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.15% increase from the previous week [39][40]. Copper Industry - The copper market is facing a lack of driving force for price increases, but expectations for 2026 remain positive due to anticipated demand growth [3][41]. - As of January 16, 2026, LME copper prices were 13,000 USD/ton, with SHFE copper prices at 101,900 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease in LME prices but an increase in SHFE prices [46]. Aluminum Industry - The aluminum processing sector is currently in a contraction phase, with a PMI of 42.4% as of December 2025 [48]. - The average price of alumina on January 16, 2026, was 2,666 CNY/ton, down 1.00% from the previous week [49]. Precious Metals - The geopolitical landscape and mixed economic data from the U.S. are influencing gold prices, which are expected to remain supported [52]. - As of January 16, 2026, COMEX gold prices were 4,601.10 USD/oz, reflecting a 1.83% increase from the previous week [53].

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a collective pullback in major indices, with significant declines in copper and gold prices, while emerging sectors like AI data centers are driving long-term demand for non-ferrous metals [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 20, 2026, major indices have collectively retreated, with copper prices experiencing a sharp drop and gold prices slightly declining [1]. - Gold ETFs, such as Huaxia (518850), fell by 0.2%, while the gold stock ETF (159562) decreased by 2.31%, and the non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) dropped by 2.34% [1]. - The trading volume was active, with a turnover of 216 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.49%, indicating potential fund accumulation [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Demand Drivers - Non-ferrous metal ETFs have seen continuous net inflows over the past 18 days, totaling 10.774 billion yuan [1]. - Emerging fields like AI data centers are becoming core demand drivers for non-ferrous metals, with significant reliance on copper and aluminum for power and cooling systems [1]. - The demand for copper and aluminum is expected to be supported in the long term due to "AI capital expenditure growth" and global energy transition trends [1]. Group 3: Industrial Product Price Dynamics - According to Dongfang Securities, market expectations for short-term interest rate cuts have been dampened following statements from Trump, leading to weakened financial support for industrial product prices [2]. - Increased domestic inventory and lower downstream processing rates have contributed to negative feedback for major industrial products like copper and aluminum [2]. - Despite short-term volatility, strong support for industrial products is anticipated due to internal and external policy expectations, with some inventories at historically low levels [2]. Group 4: ETF Index Composition - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Non-ferrous Metal Industry Theme Index (000811) include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, collectively accounting for 52.98% of the index [2].

Group 1 - The precious metals sector increased by 4.18% on January 19, with Sichuan Gold leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] - Key stocks in the precious metals sector showed significant price increases, with Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold both rising by 9.99% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the precious metals sector was 1.549 billion yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.489 billion yuan [1] - Major stocks like Zhongjin Gold and Shandong Gold saw net inflows of 342 million yuan and 301 million yuan respectively, indicating strong institutional interest [2] - Retail investors showed negative sentiment towards several stocks, with significant outflows from Sichuan Gold and other companies [2]

Market Overview - China's GDP is projected to grow by 5% year-on-year by 2025, with A-shares showing mixed performance today; the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29% to 4114 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.09%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% [1] - The total market turnover reached 2.73 trillion yuan, a decrease of 324.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 3500 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The State Grid announced that fixed asset investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan, leading to a surge in the electric grid equipment sector, with over ten stocks hitting the daily limit [2][6] - Precious metals stocks performed strongly, with Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Mining both hitting the daily limit, and other stocks like Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold also seeing significant gains [4][5] - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept stocks surged, with Hainan Development hitting the daily limit and other stocks like Shen Nong Agriculture and Jinpan Technology also showing strong performance [8][9] - The commercial aerospace sector was active, with stocks like Oke Yi and Can Neng Electric hitting the daily limit, driven by successful tests of a manned spacecraft by Beijing Chuan Yue Technology [10][11] Notable Declines - The Kimi concept and AI corpus sectors saw declines, with stocks like People's Daily and Vision China hitting the daily limit down [2] - Communication equipment stocks faced significant losses, with Ruijie Networks dropping over 12% and other stocks like Cambridge Technology and Oriental Communication hitting the daily limit down [12][14] - Baogang Co. experienced a sharp decline of 5.2% following an explosion at its plate factory, resulting in casualties and production disruptions [15][16] Future Outlook - The market is expected to transition to a volatile trend after reaching previous highs, with increased focus on earnings disclosures as January progresses. Companies with better-than-expected earnings or those that stabilize post-disclosure are likely to attract attention [18]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong performance in gold stocks, driven by rising gold and silver prices due to geopolitical tensions and tariff threats from Trump, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold both hit the daily limit, while Shanjin International rose over 6%, and both Zhongjin Gold and Western Gold increased by over 4% [1] - The total market capitalization of Sichuan Gold is 15.8 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 35.14% [2] - Zhaojin Gold has a total market capitalization of 14.8 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 21.75% [2] - Shanjin International has a total market capitalization of 82.6 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 22.32% [2] - Zhongjin Gold has a total market capitalization of 130.3 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 15.07% [2] - Western Gold has a total market capitalization of 28 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 15.25% [2] Group 2: Gold and Silver Prices - Spot gold reached a new historical high of 4,690 USD per ounce during trading [1] - Spot silver also hit a historical high of 94.15 USD per ounce [1] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - Analysts indicate that geopolitical issues, particularly the situation in Iran, are causing short-term uncertainty among global investors, which is likely to sustain the current interest in gold [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Zhongjin Gold experienced a 5.04% increase in stock price, reaching 26.90 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.707 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 1.33%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 130.393 billion CNY [1] - Zhongjin Gold Co., Ltd. is located at 9 Andingmen Outer Street, Dongcheng District, Beijing, established on September 24, 2007, and listed on August 14, 2003. The company's main business involves geological exploration, mining, and smelting of gold and other non-ferrous metals [1] - The revenue composition of Zhongjin Gold is primarily from smelting at 94.45%, mining at 27.85%, and other activities at 0.03% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of the top ten circulating shareholders of Zhongjin Gold, Huatai-PB Fund's ETF reduced its holdings by 2.4082 million shares in the third quarter, now holding 49.5589 million shares, which is 1.02% of the circulating shares. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 63.931 million CNY [2] - The Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF was established on May 4, 2012, with a latest scale of 425.581 billion CNY. Year-to-date return is 2.29%, ranking 4290 out of 5580 in its category; the one-year return is 27.87%, ranking 2828 out of 4226; and since inception, the return is 121.13% [2] - The fund manager of Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF is Liu Jun, who has a cumulative tenure of 16 years and 234 days, managing total assets of 542.504 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 189.39% and the worst being -45.64% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that negative feedback is intensifying, leading to potential price fluctuations. As industrial product prices rise, domestic downstream negative feedback is increasing, resulting in accelerated inventory accumulation. Recent margin increases by CME and SHFE for certain products may lead to significant short-term price volatility in industrial metals. However, the overall bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the expectation of supportive policies [3][9] Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - Liquidity expectations are reverting, which does not hinder the long-term bullish logic. Recent statements from Trump favoring Hassett for the National Economic Council position have increased market expectations for the new Fed chair. The probability of a Fed rate cut in April has dropped to 30%. This has led to potential price fluctuations in precious metals due to a weakened narrative around short-term rate cuts [9][13] 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector rose by 3.03% in the week ending January 16, ranking third among all industries [18] 3. Precious Metals - Short-term narratives around rate cuts are faltering, leading to potential price volatility in precious metals. As of January 16, SHFE gold rose by 2.57% to 1,032.32 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 2.62% to 4,590.00 USD per ounce. The report notes that the People's Bank of China increased its gold reserves to 7,415 million ounces, marking a continuous increase for 14 months [14][29] 4. Copper - The report highlights that negative feedback is intensifying, leading to increased price volatility for copper. As of January 16, SHFE copper fell by 0.63% to 100,770 CNY per ton, while LME copper decreased by 1.50% to 12,803 USD per ton. The report also notes a significant increase in global visible copper inventory [17][28] 5. Aluminum - The aluminum processing sector shows resilience, with profitability per ton of aluminum expected to remain high. As of January 16, SHFE aluminum fell by 1.66% to 23,925 CNY per ton. The report indicates that the average profit for the aluminum industry is around 7,868 CNY per ton [16][89]